US100 trade ideas
US index futures and Apple tumble on Trump warningUS index futures and Apple shares tumbled in premarket as Trump warned the company of 25% tariffs if manufacturing of iPhones is not moved to the United States.
This is what Trump posted on social media:
"I have long ago informed Tim Cook of Apple that I expect their iPhone’s that will be sold in the United States of America will be manufactured and built in the United States, not India, or anyplace else. If that is not the case, a Tariff of at least 25% must be paid by Apple to the U.S. Thank your for your attention to this matter!"
Let's see if the recent stall in the rally will now turn into more than just a pause.
The other big concerns remains over US Treasuries and rising long term bond yields. Long-dated US Treasuries managed to claw back some of their recent losses yesterday and that helped the markets a little. But if the bond market selling resumes then yields will remain elevated and pressurize all sorts of risk assets. Without a fundamental shift in US fiscal policy, the implications of rising US borrowing costs and widening fiscal deficits means the US is on an unstable fiscal policy path, which could lead to heighten market volatility.
By Fawad Razaqzada
Trend Line Breakout – USNAS100The USNAS100 has shown signs of bearish momentum following a decisive break below a key trend line. This breakdown suggests increased selling pressure, potentially leading to lower price levels. Technical indicators support the bearish bias, with momentum shifting in favuor of the bears. The first target at 20,898 represents an initial support zone, while the second target at 20,270 could be reached if downside pressure intensifies. Traders should monitor volume and price action for continued confirmation and use appropriate risk management strategies, including stop-loss placement above the trend line, to protect against reversal scenarios.
Entry: 21,170
1st Target Point: 20,898
2nd Target Point: 20,270
US 100 – Further Moves Await NVIDIA Earnings UpdateGlobal stock indices have reacted positively at the start of this new trading week to President Trump’s decision to extend a deadline which would impose a tariff of 50% on EU goods imported into the US from June 1st to July 9th.
Taken alongside a new willingness being signalled from the EU side to speed the negotiating process along in key areas, means trader hopes have increased that a deal between the first and third largest of the world’s economies can be agreed in principle within the allotted time.
Focusing on US stock indices, the US 100 has risen 2.4% this week, taking it only a small step away from its recent highs at 21493 seen on May 20th. However, later today, the rally is about to face possibly its biggest challenge of the week in the form of earnings from the second biggest company on the planet ($3.3 trillion mkt cap) and AI bellwether NVIDIA, which are released after the market close.
Traders will not only be looking to judge company’s actual performance against expectations but will be eager to receive updates on the impact of President Trump’s tariffs on future revenue, chip deals with the Middle East, competition and its outlook for AI demand moving forward.
Answers to these questions and others may well impact sentiment towards technology stocks and the US 100 moving into the end of the week, and month, on Friday.
With increased volatility a possibility, knowing the technical outlook can also be helpful.
Technical Update: Focus on the May Highs at 21493
While last week did see correction themes develop within the US 100 index, there appears to be no clear-cut signs of a negative sentiment shift yet, as fresh buying developed above support provided by the rising Bollinger mid-average, currently at 20772 (see chart below).
However, looking forward, if the NVIDIA earnings prompt an increase in US 100 price volatility, what are the levels traders may be watching for clues to the next directional themes?
Potential Support Levels:
It is possible the rising Bollinger mid-average, currently at 20772, represents a first support for traders, and as such, closing breaks below this level might lead to a more extended phase of price weakness.
Such moves while not a guarantee of declines, could lead to a deeper sell-off towards 20001, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of April 21st to May 20th 2025 price strength.
Potential Resistance Levels:
With this week seeing fresh price strength emerge from above the rising Bollinger mid-average, a positive price pattern of higher highs and higher lows, may still be evident. This reflects buyers currently being willing to pay higher prices, each time a setback materialises.
However, to maintain this uptrend pattern in price, the focus could now be on resistance provided by the May high at 21493 (May 20th), with closing breaks above this level required to suggest further strength might then be on the cards, towards what could prove to be the next potential resistance level at 22226, which is the February 18th 2025 all-time high.
The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
US1001. I analyzed the U.S. 100 (Nasdaq) and identified a breakout setup.
2. A buy call was placed after confirmation of the breakout above a key resistance level.
3. Both Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels have been clearly mentioned.
4. The entry was based on a clean breakout with momentum, aligned with the overall trend.
NASDAQ got the 4H MA50 confirmation it neededNasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the April 21 bottom and last week it unfolded its latest technical Bearish Leg.
As the 4H RSI bottomed on the 30.00 oversold barrier and the 4H MACD formed a Bullish Cross, that Leg bottomed and today the index gave the confirmation of the new Bullish Leg by breaking above its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).
This is similar to the April 21 bottom, so we expect at least a minimum of +9.18% rise on the current Bullish Leg, which gives a 22500 short-term Target.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Hanzo / Nas100 15m Path ( Confirmed Bullish Breakout )🆚 Nas100
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market tactics
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 21290 Zone ( Break Out Done )
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
————
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 21300
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 21000
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 21250 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 21150 – Liquidity Engineered
Hanzo / Nas100 15m Path ( Confirmed Bullish Breakout )Nas100 Chart / Opportunity
🆚 Nas100
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market tactics
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 21300 Zone ( Break Out Done )
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
Hanzo / Nas100 15m Path ( Confirmed Bullish Breakout )
Genius or Just Guessing? NAS100 Setup Has It AllNAS100 has broken its uptrend but still feels bullish overall. The plan? A tactical short on the pullback and a long if it reclaims strength. If both play out, it’s a multi-legged win. If not, it’s a lesson in humility. Here’s how we’re threading the needle with a high-risk/high-reward setup.
US100 (NASDAQ) BREAKOUT BLUEPRINT: LOOT LIKE A SMART TRADER!🔥 NASDAQ 100 HEIST: STEAL THE TREND LIKE A MARKET BANDIT! 🚨💰
Locked & loaded for the US100 (NASDAQ 100) heist? This slick blueprint cracks the code to loot profits—blending killer technicals with macro intel. Ride the bullish wave, but dodge traps near the Overbought Zone. Bears lurk, so secure your bag before the reversal hits! 🐻💨
🎯 ENTRY: STRIKE LIKE A PRO THIEF
Long the breakout near 21,500.0 (or ambush pullbacks at 20,400.0 & 19600.0).
Set stealth alerts to catch moves in real-time. 🕶️🔔
🛡️ STOP LOSS: ESCAPE ALIVE
Hide stops under the last 4H swing low/wick—no reckless bets!
Adjust for your risk—survivors play smart. ⚡
💸 TAKE PROFIT: VANISH WITH THE LOOT
Main Target: 22,250.0 (or bail early if momentum fades).
Scalpers: Trail stops & ghost out with quick wins. 🏃♂️💨
📡 WHY THIS HEIST WORKS
NASDAQ 100’s on fire: Fundamentals + COT data + macro tides align.
Sentiment’s bullish, but stay sharp—links below for the full intel. 🔍🌐
⚠️ WARNING: NEWS = POLICE SIRENS
Avoid new trades during high-impact news. 📢
Lock profits with trailing stops if you’re already in. 🔐
🤝 JOIN THE TRADING MAFIA
Smash LIKE, drop a comment, & let’s dominate the US100! �
Ready for the next big move? Stay tuned. 👀
Happy hunting, chart pirates! 🏴☠️📉
US100 INDEX TRADE IDEA 27 MAY 2025The US100 index is currently demonstrating strong bullish momentum, underpinned by both Smart Money Concepts and supportive market fundamentals. From an SMC perspective, the index recently completed a clear shift in market structure following a major sell-side liquidity sweep below the 16,000 region in April. This move tapped into a long-term demand zone and a bullish order block before sharply reversing upward. The subsequent rally broke the previous bearish structure from February to April, indicating a clear change in sentiment and suggesting that institutional players have re-accumulated positions. Price action reinforces this outlook through a breakout from a falling wedge pattern followed by a bullish continuation channel. The current structure shows a series of higher highs and higher lows, with price consolidating just above a key short-term demand zone near the 21,000 mark. This consolidation phase could represent a reaccumulation before a continuation toward the next liquidity targets.
The technical setup suggests a long opportunity with an entry zone between 21,000 and 21,100, targeting the next major resistance levels at 22,134 and 22,524. A protective stop loss can be placed just below the recent swing low or order block around 20,113, ensuring invalidation only if the bullish structure breaks. From a fundamental standpoint, mid-2025 has been favorable to tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq, as investors anticipate potential Federal Reserve rate cuts later in the year. Inflation has shown signs of easing, and corporate earnings in the tech sector have continued to outperform expectations, boosting investor sentiment. The broader macroeconomic landscape remains supportive, with resilient labor markets and improving risk appetite driving capital back into equities. With these tailwinds and a technically sound chart setup, the US100 presents a compelling swing long opportunity.
NASDAQ: Needs to reclaim the 4H MA50.Nasdaq is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 62.436, MACD = 467.180, ADX = 28.529) as it maintains its long term bullish trend through the Channel Up pattern, which recently is transitioning into a Rising Wedge. We are willing to turn bullish again upon a 4H candle closing over the 4H MA50 and aim for a +11.17% rise (TP = 23,000) on the HH trendline, like the April 21st rebound did.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NAS100 at Critical Supply Zone – Is a Major Reversal Brewing?The NAS100 (US100) just tapped a key supply zone around 21,250, showing strong signs of overhead resistance. This is the same area that previously triggered sharp rejections – and we’re back there again.
What I'm watching:
Price Action is currently reacting to a visible supply zone (highlighted in blue).
If the market fails to break above 21,250, I expect a potential rejection leading to:
First support zone: 17,064
Second deeper target: 12,588 (strong demand zone highlighted in orange).
Bearish Outlook Triggers:
Daily close below 20,900
Increased sell volume at resistance
Failure to form higher highs
Bullish Invalidator:
Clean breakout and retest above 21,250 with momentum
My Plan:
Watching for short signals near resistance with tight SL above 21,400. TP zones set around 17k and 12.5k if weakness confirms.
Technical Confluence:
Previous highs acting as resistance
Supply & demand zones (LuxAlgo VR)
Bearish divergence forming on RSI (not shown here but visible on lower TFs)
What do you think? Will NAS100 break out or is a deep correction coming?
#US100 #NASDAQ #Indices #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #TradingStrategy #ReversalSetup #SmartMoney #BearishBias
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument 37Last week the market created great opportunities for buyers and sellers as there was a high level of volatility and consolidation, so much so that many traders ignored a key element in the movement for NAS100 and that is that with all the selling that took place, the NAS100 index still closed above the previous weeks low and above the lowest point so far of the year...a clear indication that the HL's are still intact.
As I have always said and will continue to say...any sells on the NAS100 are only temporary retracements to form the HL on a larger timeframe. With that being said, any retracement sell that I take is simply to capitalized on the current retracement and to build my account to be able to scale up to a larger lot size.
While many continue to anticipate a sustained drop in the NAS100...A master class in trend movements is currently being prepared and will be executed when the time is right.
For now, I continue to capitalize on this perfect opportunity to take buys and sells in a consolidatory market that clearly is making space for the next move once it completes it's required retracement.
Until such times:
1. I enter on my largest HL
2. Exit on my largest LH (if the market continues to consolidate and wait for the next HL to be
formed for another entry
3. The HH's are guaranteed to come again once the upper level consolidation is broken.
Until then, the retracements provide some very profitable bonus moves once you have an understanding that they will not continue forever.
So for this week...no rush to enter any buys without proper confirmation.
My original level is 20,667.9, however my if I get a confirmation before that level is touched then the buys will resume for me.
Have a great week and happy trading.
#oneauberstrategy
#auberstrategy
#whywewait
#patience
#zigzagtheory
#oneauberstrategy
Position for a Short-Term Bounce
- Key Insights: The NASDAQ has entered a historically oversold state, presenting
a high-probability opportunity for a short-term rebound. While bearish
signals persist due to recent momentum shifts, long-term institutional
activity indicates underlying support. Traders should look for defensive
buying near support zones to capitalize on upward moves. Critical levels
must be monitored closely for confirmation.
- Price Targets:
- Next Week Targets:
- T1: 21,000
- T2: 21,479
- Stop Levels:
- S1: 20,426
- S2: 20,250
- Recent Performance: The NASDAQ has faced four consecutive days of declines,
breaking below key technical levels that signal bearish pressures. However,
institutional support and broader bullish indicators remain intact, keeping
the index positioned as the strongest major U.S. equity index in the longer
term. Historically oversold conditions provide optimism for a potential
bounce next week.
- Expert Analysis: Despite short-term bearish momentum, expert outlook continues
to align with NASDAQ’s long-term resilience above major moving averages.
Institutional liquidity flow and ongoing interest in technology continue to
support the index, though caution is warranted around immediate support
barriers to avoid deeper pullbacks. Monitoring liquidity gaps is crucial.
- News Impact: NVIDIA earnings are anticipated to be a pivotal event next week
and could drive volatility in NASDAQ tech sectors depending on the outcome.
Elevated volatility levels, as evidenced by the VIX, further warrant caution
while underscoring potential opportunities for rebound plays. Additionally,
NASDAQ’s move to expand zero-day options trading has drawn mixed responses
but could influence short-term speculative activity in its top tech stocks
like Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet.