US100 trade ideas
NQ sell explaining Hi traders
as u see in the chart we have to LQ one higher and one lower .
- The higher one should be internal LQ that were gonna target it after we took the lower
- The lower is to close and we should focus to take it first
1-1 We observe on the last week huge fall on market and trump decision who affect on the market to move down down
1-2 I'm not sure but 100% the market well open on Gap and if that true we should be patience not take any trade until we got confirmation remember being patience
1-3 the analysis will be 100% if the market not open on huge gap we must wait London session probably were gonna see a Juda swing on London or new York session to move down and took the LQ
this trade for short term not for long term to hold
Good luck any question i would like to answer
Nasdaq Pending Short: Completion of Wave 1 of CLike I mentioned in the video, we have completed a 5-wave structure for wave 1 of C. We are currently in wave 2 of C. And while this is a long-then-short idea, I feel that the risk to go long at this point of my posting is too risky, so it's better to wait for a short opportunity.
NASDAQ Black Monday or a Massive Rally??Nasdaq (NDX) opened on early Monday futures trade below both its August 05 2024 and April 19 2024 Lows. All technical Supports have been broken and the market made new 12-month Lows. The market sentiment is extremely bearish, technically oversold, even the 1W RSI is below the 30.00 oversold barrier and the prevailing fundamentals regarding the back-and-forth Tariffs between nations don't leave much room for encouragement.
The index is more than -25% off the February 17 2025 All Time High (ATH), technically Bear Market territory, and the last time it dropped more this fast is during the lockdowns of the COVID crash (February 20 - March 23 2020). The market dropped by -32%, below also all known technical Supports (including its August low) before finding support and forming a bottom just above the 1W MA200 (red trend-line).
The two time events are virtually identical with the only notable difference is that Nasdaq is about to form the 1D Death Cross now while in 2020 it did about 1 month after the low.
The only technical development that leaves room for encouragement is that the 1W RSI during COVID got oversold just a day before the eventual market bottom.
Does today's 1W RSI drop into oversold territory mean that we are about to form a bottom? Unknown. But what we do know is that on March 03 and 16 2020 on two urgent, out-of-schedule meetings, the Fed stepped in to save the market from the free-fall (and save they did) by cutting the Interest Rates to near zero (first to 1.25% and then to 0.25% subsequently from 1.75% previously).
Perhaps that is the only thing that can restore investor confidence (certainly the only action that the Fed can do) and avoid a Black Monday below the 1W MA200, which would be catastrophic. On the other hand, if the U.S. government reach indeed trade deals with the rest of nations and the Fed do what they can from their end, we may even hit new ATH by August!
So what do you think it's going to be? Black Monday or Massive Rally?
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Nasdaq Short: Adjustment in Primary Wave CountsI've made changes to my original wave count where wave A has ended on a short 5th wave. However, the strength of the rally today made me revisit the counts itself and I realised that it is actually more appropriate for the 5th wave to extend.
I studied if there is a relationship if I moved the original 5th wave down 1 degree to become a 1st of 5th and I was truly taken aback when the relationship was crystal clear and staring at me but I was too blind to see it (actually, I was too busy at work to study the charts again which is why I only publish this 2 days later).
Now that Wave A has completed, the strong rally these 2 days can be easily accepted. Are we going into a wave C crash? I believe so. So sit tight and enjoy the ride!
Remember to keep your risk tight. I can be wrong (as I often do).
Good luck!
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Potential bullish bounceNasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 17,407.64 which is a swing-low support that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 17,000.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 18,238.84 which is a swing-high resistance.
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NAS100The NAS100, also known as the Nasdaq 100, is a stock market index that includes 100 of the largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Market. It primarily represents technology and innovation-driven companies, such as those in sectors like technology, healthcare, consumer services, and industrials. The index is often used to gauge the performance of the tech-heavy part of the stock market. It reflects how well these companies are performing overall, but unlike other indexes, it excludes financial companies like banks and insurance firms. Investors and analysts often look at the NAS100 to track trends in the tech sector and its influence on the broader economy.
US100 (NASDAQ) Trade Idea 📊 US100 (NASDAQ) Trade Idea: Critical Support Test & Potential Reversal Setup
🔍 Key Levels & Context:
The US100 is currently testing a significant support zone between 16,000–17,000, which has historically acted as a springboard for rallies (see 2023 bounce). A breakdown below 16,000 would suggest a deeper correction toward 15,242 (next support) or even 14,000, while holding above 17,000 could keep the bullish structure intact.
🎯 Profit Targets (If Bullish Reversal Confirmed):
Initial Target: 19,000 (Previous resistance → now potential support-turned-resistance)
Secondary Target: 20,000–21,000 (Psychological level & measured move from consolidation)
Stretch Target: 23,000–24,000 (All-time high retest, Fibonacci extension confluence)
📉 Bearish Scenario (If Support Fails):
A close under 16,000 opens the door to 15,242 (2023 swing low)
Short-term rallies into 17,500–18,000 could then become sell opportunities.
So I think the US100 pursues the following projection, and I'd be happy if you share your thoughts 🫡
#Trading #NASDAQ #US100
Understand Trump tariff war, Assess if market rebound is likelyIf you want to better understand Trump’s strategy for the tariff war and the underlying intentions—especially to assess whether a rapid market rebound is likely—you may refer to a paper by Trump’s economic advisor Stephen Miran, titled “A User’s Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System.”
Here’s a brief summary of the key points from the paper regarding the trade war:
1. Market Volatility Is Anticipated
The paper acknowledges that sharply raising tariffs may trigger financial market turbulence, increase uncertainty, lead to rising inflation, potential interest rate hikes, and a stronger U.S. dollar—all of which could cause broader ripple effects. (In other words, the Trump administration is aware that such moves will shake the markets.)
2. Second Term: Focus Shifts to Legacy
While Trump and his team prioritized stock market performance during the first term, in a second term—when re-election is no longer a concern—he may focus more on leaving a political legacy. This includes reshoring manufacturing, tax reform, reducing national debt, and shrinking the trade deficit.
3. Tariffs as a Strategic and Fiscal Tool
This new round of tariffs serves not only as a pressure tactic , but also as a potential revenue source to fund Trump’s desired tax cuts. As such, the Trump administration may not rush to finalize new trade deals. Instead, tariff reductions would likely occur gradually, and only after securing substantial economic benefits.
4. Trade and Security Will Be Linked
Future trade negotiations will likely tie economic cooperation to national security. The U.S. could use a dual standard—“tariffs + security”—to compel other nations to follow U.S.-defined trade and geopolitical rules.
For example: Countries might be forced to join a tariff alliance against China. In exchange for market access, they would either have to tax Chinese goods or accept high U.S. tariffs and reduced security cooperation. For the EU, if it does not meet U.S. demands, tariffs would become a key revenue stream for the U.S., while freeing up American resources to focus on China’s rise rather than spending time and money on European security.
5. Big Picture Strategy: Build a Global “Tariff Wall”
This paper lays out a grand strategy to use tariff warfare to pressure countries into forming a global “tariff wall” encircling China, aimed at constraining China’s economic influence.
Strategic Implications
Based on this approach, the U.S. goal in trade negotiations is not merely tariff reductions or market access, but achieving:
1. Market access for U.S. goods via lowered barriers abroad.
2. Adoption of U.S.-led trade and geopolitical rules, including encircling China and sidelining nations like Iran and Russia.
3. Increased U.S. government revenue— meaning tariffs might persist throughout Trump’s term and not be eliminated outright!
Market Outlook
If the U.S. follows this roadmap, it’s unlikely that a consensus with China or other China-dependent economies (like the EU) will be reached quickly. This suggests that market volatility could persist for some time if these strategies are enacted.
Given the current asset declines showing signs of a liquidity crunch, without a clear positive catalyst (e.g., successful trade deals, tax cuts, or rate cuts), it may be difficult for equities, crypto, or even gold to see a meaningful rebound in the short term.
As markets remain highly sensitive to news, it’s crucial to focus on risk control in trading and consider reducing position sizes when needed.
Let’s keep the discussion going—what do you think about the future direction of U.S. trade policy under Trump?
Market Review: Full Higher Time Frame Review of NASDAQ bear runI hope this get's featured 🎯
The simplest macroeconomic review of NASDAQ you may see this year.
It's all a fib retracement. That's all I have to say for now 🔪 Share this with someone looking for a good review 💰
**Video was cut short by a minute or two but the general idea was complete
NASDAQ New Week Gap will tell you everything you need to knowIf you watched my idea update from Friday, I was saying that the sellside monthly lows as well as the 2023 yearly high are being targeted.
Low and behold, we hit all targets on the weekly gap drop. Let's see how price approaches the new week opening gap mid level (dashed white). It will definitely hit that level before the end of the week.
If it does not, that means we have super easy sellside targets to hit after a clear rejection back below tested highs as always.
Share this with someone needing easy targets 🎯
NAS100 Weekly Gap: Prime Short Setup or a Trap in Disguise?The weekly gap on NAS100 is lining up as a textbook short target—but will it hold or get steamrolled? While stops beyond the gap offer safer trade placement, downside momentum suggests any pullback may be short-lived. With 16,000 in sight as the next major low, bears have a reason to stay aggressive. Just don’t get caught on the wrong side of a gap fill gone rogue.
NASDAQ: Wave Analysis & Forecast for April-MayHello, traders! Let’s analyze the current wave structure of the NASDAQ index.
At the moment, there is a high probability that the index is forming wave C of a correction. Most likely, this is a horizontal expanded correction.
✅ Sub-wave 1 of wave C has already formed.
✅ Sub-wave 2 is also likely completed.
On Friday, the index showed a strong decline and closed at the day’s lows, indicating a high probability of further downside movement next week.
What’s next?
We expect the formation of the third sub-wave within wave C. Most likely:
🔻 The index will continue to decline toward 17,700, where the 38% Fibonacci level is located.
🔻 The key support zone is 17,300.
🔻 After a short correction, the decline may extend to 16,300.
🔻 In a deeper scenario – down to 15,700-15,000.
Technical factors
⚡ The price failed to break above the 200-day moving average, bounced off it, and started declining.
⚡ The next major support is the 200-week moving average, around 16,200.
⚡ Throughout April – May, the market is likely to remain in a correction phase.
Once key levels are reached, we expect a potential reversal and new highs in the second half of 2025.
Stay tuned and share your thoughts in the comments!
US100 Downtrend Analysis & Key LevelsAfter analysing the US100 chart, the index has been trading within a downtrend channel since Friday, February 21, 2025. After dropping to 19,131, it attempted a recovery but faced strong resistance at 19,957, leading to a decline. As the saying goes, “ Follow the trend—the trend is your friend. ” Given the ongoing downtrend, US100 may continue to decline toward the next strong support level at 18,489.
Ensure you adhere to proper risk management for long-term success.
Happy Trading
NASDAQ Elliott Wave Analysis – Wave 4 Pullback in PlayNASDAQ is currently reacting to a major support zone, aligning with the Elliott Wave structure. Based on this analysis, we are in the midst of a Wave 4 pullback, which is expected to complete soon. Once Wave 4 finds its base, we anticipate a strong impulsive move to the upside—Wave 5—pushing us toward a new all-time high (AHT).
📉 Watching for confirmation of support holding before entering long.
📈 Targeting a continuation toward new highs following the completion of this corrective phase.