US30 Stuck at Resistance โ 05/05/2025๐ US30 Stuck at Resistance โ 05/05/2025 ๐
๐ Strong Bounce โ But Watch This Supply Zone!
US30 ripped from the 36,700s all the way back above 41,000 ๐ฅ โ but now weโre seeing price stall just under a major resistance zone at 41,200โ41,300. Bulls have full control for now, but signs of exhaustion are building ๐ฅต.
๐ Key Observations:
๐น Price holding above 40,700 (key support)
๐น 41,200โ41,300 = local resistance zone
๐น 42,359 = next major upside target ๐ฏ
๐น EMAs still bullish but starting to curve โ ๐ possible slowdown?
โ ๏ธ Expect a squeeze or rejection play soon โ market is winding up for the next breakout or pullback ๐ฃ.
๐ฏ Trade Plan:
๐ฐ Current range = 40,700 โ 41,300
๐ป Lose 40,700 = retrace likely to 39,775, possibly 39,200
๐ Break + close above 41,300 = upside open toward 42,359โ42,787
๐ง Mindset Reminder:
๐ Donโt chase highs! Wait for clean structure or rejection
โก When EMAs compress, expect volatility to explode
๐ Patience + plan = edge
US30 trade ideas
US30 - AnalysisKey Levels to look for:
Resistance - 41250
Support - 40800
Currently price show a neutral trend. Resistance level must be broken for a bullish outlook as long as support is respected. A double top formation near resistance level. Failure to break this level will result in retest of support level.
US30 Long Setup | Targeting the Unfilled 4H Gap๐ง Technical Analysis
๐น Unfilled Gap (Target Area)
A large 4H imbalance/gap remains unfilled between 41,500โ41,600, highlighted in yellow.
This acts as a magnet for price โ the market often retraces to fill inefficiencies after structure is built below.
๐น Breakout and Retest
Price has broken above a consolidation structure and returned to retest the breakout level.
The "Invalidation Zone" (~41,147โ41,222) is clearly marked โ if price breaks below this area, the long idea is invalidated.
Current candle shows strong bullish follow-through after testing the invalidation area.
๐น Bullish Market Structure
The overall price action is forming higher highs and higher lows.
The recent impulse move confirms bullish momentum and continuation potential.
๐ Trade Setup
Bias: Bullish
Entry: ~41,237.50 (current price)
Stop Loss: Below 41,147 (clear invalidation zone)
Target: 41,541.52 (unfilled 4H gap)
Risk:Reward: High (approx. 1:3+)
โ
Why This Trade Makes Sense
Clean structure breakout
Clear imbalance target above
Strong follow-through candle at breakout retest
Logical invalidation level below the range
โ ๏ธ Risk Considerations
Watch for volatility around news events (US data, FOMC, etc.)
A close below the invalidation zone would signal failed breakout
๐งญ Trading Plan
If price continues to hold above 41,200 and prints bullish continuation patterns (e.g., bull flags or strong engulfing candles), holding toward the 41,540โ41,600 range remains valid.
DowJones INTRADAY NFP volatility trigger! Momentum is bullish, but todayโs NFP report is a key risk event. A weaker-than-expected jobs number could reinforce rate cut bets and extend the rally. A surprise beat may trigger profit-taking.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41200
Resistance Level 2: 42000
Resistance Level 3: 42710
Support Level 1: 39446
Support Level 2: 38490
Support Level 3: 37840
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 โ Rejection from Supply Zone! Dow Heading Lower?Timeframe: 1H | Strategy: Supply & Demand + Price Action
The Dow Jones just tagged a key supply zone near 40,965 and printed a clean rejection candle โ a potential signal that bulls are losing control.
Technical Outlook:
Supply Zone (Resistance): 40,965 โ 41,020
Breakdown Point: Below 40,486 = possible short trigger
Demand Target Zone: 39,938 โ 40,000 (orange block)
Observations:
Price attempted a breakout but was rejected at the top of the supply zone
A clean bearish candle has formed at resistance
Market sentiment may be shifting ahead of upcoming U.S. data (see icon)
Trade Idea (Bearish Bias):
Entry: Below 40,486
Target: 39,938
Stop Loss: Above 41,020
Watch for volume confirmation and retest of the breakdown level.
Invalidation:
If price closes above 41,020 on strong momentum, the bearish setup is off the table.
Fundamental Alert:
US data/events may trigger volatility soon โ watch for fakeouts or sharp reversals.
Will the Dow retrace to the 40K zone, or is this a false sell signal? Drop your view below!
Like & follow for more clean price action setups!
#US30 #DowJones #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #Indices #BearishReversal #TradingView
US30 โ Chop or Fakeout?๐ด US30 โ Chop or Fakeout? ๐ด
May 2, 2025 โ 1H Chart Update
After the bullish breakout above 40,700 yesterday, US30 surged to 41,051, but weโre now seeing price stalling just under that level, forming a potential double top or distribution pattern โ ๏ธ
๐ Technical Breakdown:
๐งฑ Price rejected at ~41,050 (previous swing high zone)
๐ Small pullback forming after strong bullish leg
๐ Key short-term support still at 40,700
๐ง Market could be consolidating post-FOMC run or prepping for a deeper pullback
๐ฏ What to Watch:
Bullish Continuation Setup:
โ
Needs a 1H candle close above 41,050
๐ฏ Target: 42,000 โ 42,359 resistance zone
Bearish Scenario:
๐ป Break below 40,700 flips structure short
๐ฏ Downside targets: 40,260 โ 39,775
Neutral Bias If:
Price consolidates between 40,700 โ 41,050 = no clear trend โ stay flat
long ideaThis Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For educational Purpose to Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView
DOW JONES: The most critical 1D MA50 of all.Dow Jones is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.914, MACD = -282.250, ADX = 30.751) but has completed 5 green 1D candles in a row, going for the all important Resistance test of the 1D MA50. This trendline has been intact since March 3rd and is on a crucial Resistance cluster as this is where the LH trendline from the ATH is. The 1D RSI is already on an Inverse H&S, which is a positive sign but we need to see a candle closing over the 1D MA50 to validate the restoration of the long term bullish trend. If succesful, we will turn long and target the ATH Resistance (TP = 45,000), which is also just under the 2.0 Fib extension.
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US30: Time to Reverse or Push Higher?Hey Traders,
As you can see on the chart, price tapped into a major level around the $37,000 area, where we saw a weekly liquidity grab followed by a 4H change of character โ leading to a strong push up to the $40,800 zone.
Now, weโre looking at two possible scenarios:
๐ Scenario 1:
Price pulls back to the $39,100 area and gives a solid 4H confirmation โ Targeting the $41,000 zone.
๐ Scenario 2:
Price breaks below the $39,100 area and the trendline, then pulls back into the same level with confirmation โ Targeting the $37,000 / $36,000 area.
โ ๏ธ This is not financial advice โ just sharing my view on the current setup.
Be safe, be happy, and have a great trading day.
โ Mr. Wolf ๐บ
US30 (Dow Jones) Daily Analysis โ Make or Break at DowntrendUS30 Daily Analysis
Technical Outlook โ May 1, 2025
๐ Current Market Condition:
US30 is trading near a critical confluence zone where price meets descending trendline resistance and horizontal supply. This level previously acted as a strong rejection point, making the current test significant.
๐งฉ Key Technical Highlights:
Price testing descending trendline from March highs.
Horizontal resistance zone around 41,000โ41,300 is being challenged.
Stochastic oscillator is nearing overbought levels, suggesting caution.
The ascending channelโs lower boundary recently held as support near 38,000.
Compression forming between trendline resistance and rising support.
๐ Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Case:
Break and close above 41,300 could open path to retest 43,000 and 45,000 levels.
Look for a bullish daily candle with strong volume above trendline.
Bearish Case:
Rejection from current resistance could send price back toward 39,500โ38,000 support zone.
Watch for bearish divergence on Stochastic or failed break above resistance.
๐ Important Note:
This week's economic calendar includes key data releasesโstay alert for volatility that may trigger a breakout or reversal.
If you found this analysis valuable, kindly consider boosting and following for more updates.
Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
US30: Long Position Setup โ Buyers Target Key ResistanceOverview:
The US30 index (Dow Jones Industrial Average) presents a clear long setup as price tests a crucial support zone, with potential bullish momentum targeting higher resistance levels. The chart's long position tool highlights a well-defined risk-to-reward framework.
Key Details from the Chart:
Long Position Tool Breakdown:
Entry Point: Price hovering near the support level, suggesting a strong buying opportunity.
Stop-Loss Level: Positioned slightly below the support to limit downside risk.
Take-Profit Target: Aiming for the next resistance zone above current price levels.
Support and Resistance Analysis:
Support Zone: A reliable level where buyers have repeatedly entered the market.
Resistance Zone: Above the take-profit target, where sellers might step in and stall upward movement.
Volume Insights:
Increased buying interest near the support level signals bullish sentiment. Volume profile analysis confirms strong participation at these levels.
Long Trade Plan:
Entry Strategy: Initiate long positions near the support level, ensuring confirmation with bullish candlestick patterns or a surge in buying volume.
Stop-Loss Placement: Secure the position with a stop-loss below the support level to protect against adverse price movements.
Take-Profit Levels: Target the resistance zone, maximizing potential gains while maintaining favorable risk management.
Market Sentiment:
The chart reflects growing buyer interest, with price action likely to push higher as long as the support zone holds. Traders should remain vigilant for reversal signals and manage positions accordingly.
Closing Thoughts: This long trade setup on US30 offers a well-balanced approach, allowing traders to capitalize on bullish momentum while minimizing risk. As always, patience and discipline are key to executing trades effectively.
DowJones INTRADAY at pivotal zone Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41200
Resistance Level 2: 42000
Resistance Level 3: 42710
Support Level 1: 39446
Support Level 2: 38490
Support Level 3: 37840
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30: Local Bullish Bias! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD togetherโบ๏ธ
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 40,968.4 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 41,302.5 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
โค๏ธSending you lots of Love and Hugsโค๏ธ
US30 (Dow Jones) Outlook โ Thursday SetupWe're seeing a strong bullish push following the London Open. My expectation is for price to dip back into the London ORB zone and test one of the marked short-term demand blocks.
๐ Play-by-Play Expectation:
Pullback to the lower OB zones and ORB.
Strong reaction from demand with bullish continuation.
Final target: top of the H1-H4 Supply Channel above 41,200โ41,300 zone.
๐ง Contextual Notes:
Clean structure break post-London open.
Price filled imbalances efficiently.
Still respecting bullish internal order flow.
Clear confluence with trendline + FVG zones below.
๐ Key Zones:
Demand/Entry: ~40,840โ40,760
Target Supply: ~41,250+
Invalid below: 40,643
Let the market come to your zone โ no chasing. Be patient and precise. ๐งโโ๏ธ
โ ๏ธ DISCLAIMER:
This is my own analysis and Iโm still learning. Please do your own research and be careful with your risk management. This is not financial advice.
US30 Breakout Confirmed โ May 1, 2025 ๐ฅ US30 Breakout Confirmed โ May 1, 2025 ๐ฅ
๐ We Finally Cleared the Range!
US30 just exploded past the 40,360-40,700 resistance, tagging 40,870 with strength. This is the clean breakout bulls were waiting for โ structure broke, EMAs supporting, and momentumโs on the side of the buyers ๐ช๐
๐ Technical Breakdown:
โ
Clean breakout above 40,700
๐ Higher highs + higher lows confirmed since 4/19
๐ง Break + retest of 39,775 support zone last week
๐ EMAs (blue & white) strongly sloped upward = trend confirmation
๐ฏ Trade Ideas:
Breakout Pullback Entry:
๐ Wait for a retest of 40,700 โ 40,750
๐ฏ Targets: 41,200 โ 42,000 โ 42,359
Aggressive Longs:
Enter now with tight risk under 40,700
๐ Target next resistance at 42,359 or even 42,787 in the coming sessions
Bearish Invalidated Until:
๐ป 39,775 breaks โ no shorts while above EMAs + structure
Everyone I am shorting DOW/US30Team I am shorting DOW, - MUST have stop loss the price could hit 40912-16 - but short slowly now, with STOP loss at 40960-65
Target 1 at 40750-40735 - reduce 30% volume
Target 2 at 40650-40600 - reduce 50% volume
Target 3 at 40550-740483 - remaining
Once the price reaches the first target, bring STOP LOSS TO BE
NEXT week, I will be releasing a video on how I made 1000% profit in 4 weeks. I would love to share my strategy with the world.
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Stop Loss ๐:
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US30 Trading Into Major Resistance - Look For Dow Jones Retrace๐ US30 Analysis: At the moment, I'm watching the US30 as it looks overextended ๐ and is trading into previous highs. ๐งฑ If you look left on the chart, it's approaching a key resistance level on both the weekly and daily timeframes.
Iโm expecting a potential retracement ๐ and monitoring for a bearish break of structure on the 30-minute timeframe โฑ๏ธ as a possible setup for a counter-trend short ๐ โ aiming for the imbalance zone visible on that timeframe.
๐ Drawing a Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing low to high, the 50% equilibrium ๐ lines up perfectly with the imbalance area, adding confluence to the idea.
๐ This is shared for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice ๐ผ.
US30 Bulls Testing Resistance โ Will 40,770 Hold or Break?Price is currently testing the 40,770 ๐ผ resistance zone after a strong bullish push. This level has previously acted as a key ceiling and could determine the next directional move. Price has been climbing steadily with higher lows, indicating bullish momentum.
Support at: 40,194 ๐ฝ, 39,070 ๐ฝ, 36,800 ๐ฝ
Resistance at: 40,770 ๐ผ, 41,552 ๐ผ, 42,540 ๐ผ
Bias:
๐ผ Bullish: A clean breakout and hold above 40,770 could open the path to 41,552 and 42,540.
๐ฝ Bearish: Rejection at 40,770 or a drop below 40,194 could signal weakness and send price back to 39,070.
๐ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.