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Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) FuturesCboe Volatility Index (VIX) FuturesCboe Volatility Index (VIX) Futures

Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) Futures

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VX1! trade ideas

front month vix futures remain overbought (vx1!)the upside in short term vix futures remains muted as limitations on how far out broader market shorts in the money puts are due to backwardation in front month contracts. this is leading to derivatives like UVXY to probably continue to sell off of overbought. we could find ourselves back in the low 14s UVXY if we see 22 vix again which should be soon. if we go over 28 vix id imagine were headed for 20 UVXY. the weekly picture for vix is bearish.
CBOE:VX1!Short
by cerealtrades
VIX - Daily Range for Continuous ContractGiven the VX Complex has asserted a Positive Weekly Trend for the First time since the Roswell Crash (4/5 LT Structure) - the ST Structure indicates more to come for IT 4/5. ________________________________________________________________ % Contango M1 @ 3.66% M2 @ 1.74% M3 @ 0.78% M4 @ 0.12% M5 @ 1.51% M6 @ -0.38% M7 @ 0.57% _________________________________________________________________ As long as the 50 SMA is holding on both the Daily, but far more importantly on the Hourly - the VXG has game into ROll/Settle. New highs should remain the Trade into March. __________________________________________________________________ VVIX has performed extremely well for VX Leading Indications.
CBOE:VX1!
by HK_L61
VIX - VXG Daily 2021 Weekly Trend extends to 2022That TRend is Higher into March. How it unfolds, is a matter of interest to everyone with Skin in the Game at the Flamingo. Given VX Crush Friday is here, we see how the day unfolds. ______________________________________________________ It is usually after the EU Session closes the VX COmplex assault begins and accelerates into the Close. Yields will wreck the MArkets again as ZN appears to be heading to new lows. It will be extremely VOLATILE into March with wild swings in both directions. ______________________________________________________ VVIX has been a great leading Indicator.
CBOE:VX1!
by HK_L61
VIX - VXG / VVXX / VVIXThe Volatility Complex has been on a Wild Ride filling overhead Gaps and remaining in Trend. Super Bubbles taking time out - provide immense Lift for the VX Complex when the Operators take their foot off its throat, which they did to counter Super Leap Week whereby everything was put on Sale. Or You could always watch your neck of the woods... app.capitoltrades.com You'll notice Apple is Congressional Grifters easy money... GOOG MSFT NVDA FB AMZN AMD QCOM Oh, and there are some VIX Speculators on the HIll. _________________________________________________________________________ 711s a Fan Favorite across the isles... must be something to do with those contributions. And ht Sei feeding trough - where bill after bill is going to be proposed...
CBOE:VX1!
by HK_L61
VIX - 22.50 Pivot - 2 Ticks Higher from Prior Week 22.40The VIX is inside its Intea-Day Uptrend. The ES is inside ita Intra-Day downtrend. ___________________________________ Countertrends will move price to the VIX squeeze providing a Lower Low for the Indies. 8 AM Bond Open will provide some clues. Vix Support is 19.70 4645.25 and 4638.75 remains the Micro Support for the ES. 4691.74 remains overhead MIcro Resistance when correlating the VVF. The range for NQ Expands from 15410 to 157544.
CBOE:VX1!
by HK_L61
VX - M1/V1 : M2/V2 DailyThe VIX Guy, 50 Cents isn't present. Implied VX is SKY HIGH. __________________________________ The Illusion continues to Live. A great many are going to pay the Price for being dead-ass wrong. __________________________________ I'm going to be as Subjective as the mood suits today. QE Breeds Instability Conditions under QE - the substantive change may actually be relatively minor, but this is irrelevant to speculators and Degenerate Gamblers at the Flamingo Sports Book. The reason, simple: Speculators with assets in the Bag with longer maturities will take larger capital losses with relatively small changes in interest rates under prevailing Confidence. Projecting my inner monologue is something I attempt to avoid on balance - Shake Rattle and Roll on FOMC minutes is how I'm setting up for a Deline. ______________________________________ Something very serious is about to happen, can't shake it. We will be SELLERs, win lose or draw. Scalps the Micro Ranges with a SKEW at extremes. There you have it... Alex and I are Salmon Fishing. Have a great rest of the Weekend. Happy Hunting - Hunter Killer
CBOE:VX1!
by HK_L61
VXF - Daily into 2022Volatility remains compressed with a slow and steady move lower on declining volumes. Protection is being bid at levels out the VX Curve at levels for February and March Expiries. It appears the Operators are beginning to Position ahead of the FOMC Meeting - January 25-26 (Tuesday-Wednesday). _________________________________________________________ Price Objectives for JAN VX (VXF) - 19.85 / 19.30 and the largest 2021 Daily extensions @ 15.20 & 12.30 for a Full extension. In the Chart above observe the prior two Highs with successive lower lows as VX Expanded into the end of 2021. Clear A / B / C patterns with the current move lower building "C". TIme indicates this move lower in VX Complex may continue into the first week in January. __________________________________________________________ The VX Curve remains in Contango (M1 - M4) Term Structure JAN - 20.80 @ 9.86% FEB - 22.85 @ 5.78% MAR - 24.17 @ 4.14% APR - 25.17 @ 1.71% ___________________________________________________________ October / November / December Roll to Settle arrived with Lows. The break of the 2021 50% implies there are Higher Highs ahead, from where is Time-Dependent - we can see the 3 Drives to a Low present prior to large reversals. By TIME - the same pattern suggests a Low for VX in early January. For Price - a Higher low by approximately 100 BPS. Unfortunately - there is a Large Daily Gap @ 17.35 for VFX for the Continuous Contract to Fill. __________________________________________________________ We remain patient for the Lower FIll and will wait for entry.
CBOE:VX1!
by HK_L61
1
VXF - M1/V1 VIXVX Complex has a bit more work to do to the Lower end of the Range. Year-End it is quite easy for the ALGOs to compress the Range into a Full Retracement after continued failures to move and close above the .618 @ 22.90. There remains a concerted effort to continue the compression leading the ES YM RTY to a Lift. Of concern for January, China is amassing Commodities in amounts unseen before and moving quickly to become as Food Independent and free of all imports Net of Feed Stocks. Soybeans were replaced with Corn for the Season, which is somewhat curious, as Feeder Inputs appears to be a better decision for Livestock. The CCP has been on a tear to reduce all Foreign Dependence, in excess of 84% of all Food Stuffs have been secured internally. ______________________________________________________________ It appears China is hoarding consumables and Food Stuffs. Commods should be watched closely into 2022 as actions taken by China do not occur in a vacuum. _______________________________________________________________ VX Compression was noted last week in a commentary and Chart which showed the Lower Price Objective and Compression. The Divergence within is of concern as when compression ends - This is when we see the VIX move higher, significantly higher.
CBOE:VX1!
by HK_L61
VIX - Settlement Range for Continuous ContractSpot Vix - 22.05 VXZ - 21.45 VXF - 23.70 _________________________________________________________________ Tomorrow the New Continuous Contact for the VIX will begin trading. To project Price we need to consider the VXZ / VXF Spread (Roll Yield) and use Draws for both months to determine the Point of Convergence for Price based upon Draws for both Contracts. The VXF Chart above provides the Price Objectives and lower Gap FIlls. The VIX has been trending down for some time now and may continue the trend into year-end. Clearly, this gives the ES YM RTY room to move higher. __________________________________________________________________ We indicated yesterday the RT Potential and Price Objectives above into the Gap Fills as the Lower POs were front-run by a significant Margin. The NQ kept the 615 pivot gyrating until it moved tp and through it during the 3 PM EST to 4 PM EST Hourly Bar. In the final Hour, the NQ would trade below the 615 Pivot for the last time. ES, exactly the same pattern. YM, a bit different, but close. ___________________________________________________________________ Into Wednesday's during Settlement, we will see the direction for the rest of the year's - Low Volume Price action in all probability. We traded the Lows of the Range and the A/D was sitting on Lows, it can stabilize or Rise. It remains a very Negative indication, as do all longer TF Charts. ____________________________________________________________________ RT Anticipated, RT in Trade - Gap Fill. VFX has some catching up to do on the downside. It will provide a Lift to the Indices. Momentum Cloud to Trending Cloud Supports is the Price Objectives & Gap FIlls remain lower.
CBOE:VX2!
by HK_L61
1