ZB - end of bear market?Stocks are selling off, and it looks like there's more to come. Interestingly, "flight to safety" was non-existant so far.
Market crash, and a recession that follows are profoundly deflationary events. Consequently, bonds should rally. And with agood reason: 3% guaranteed for 20+ years more and more looks like not such a bad proposition.
Moreover, it seems that market is crashing trying to find the point where interest rates would start coming down. And they will when FEAR, real FEAR emerges.
Trendline is broken, and ZB is coiling under the purple SMA with momentum divergence in place, picking up a nice bid in yesterday's sell off. If stocks really tank, and why wouldn't they after reaching historic valuations, and deflation returns.... interest rates at ZERO again?
ZB1! trade ideas
T-BOND QUICK ANALYSIST BONDS Understandable monthly analysis for everyone , after /21\ years of uptrend now we have a decisive moment nobody can predict what's going to happen next.
as a professional trader, I see we have 3 probabilities either the market will break out, or the market will return uptrend, and either will be a trading range.
33,3% breakout.
33,3% return up.
33,3% trading range.
only GOD knows what is next
ZB - The Long Bond, will the reversal take place?Bonds are oversold on every trend level, monthly, weekly and daily. Whenever, indicators like RSI reached these levels, bonds reversed to the upside. Inverted yield curve suggests that FED is unlikely to become more hawkish then it already is. Look closely to 150 level, as a decisive break could signal a significant change in trend.