Bonds Have An "Air-hole" Down to 148.If the long bond breaks tomorrow, there is little support until 148. That also coincides with the monthly trendline.
ZB1! trade ideas
ZB1! Long [Trade quality 4/5]We are currently in a strong monthly downtrend.
Sellers have broken through SEVERAL strong key levels.(Purple lines)
Price created supply/resistance zones on the way down & a head and shoulder pattern.
As I’m writing this price is testing key level 153”00 which has been respected as a support & resistance level since 2012!
If price sells below this key level it may blow through the first major demand zone at 149”21.
(If we see heavy selling)
I can’t be a first time buyer/zone tester while we’re in such a heavy downtrend.
That’s like jumping in front of a moving train.
The second demand zone is a way higher probability trade.
Multiple support/demand/key levels in this 139”00 - 136”00 area as well as a potential bear trap setup.
(Trendline fake breakout)
This entire thesis is dependent on selling pressure bringing us into the 139”00 area.
If price starts showing a break of the bearish structure within this zone I’ll jump on buyers team for a low risk trade.
I’d love to see VWAP get tested in this area for added confirmation.
We'll see.
*Confluence*
Demand zone
Support zone
S1
Trendline
200 ema test
Key level
(Potential) Bear trap
ZB - Bonds - 5 Interest Hikes. OK.
5 Interest rate hikes?
Yikes!
Well not so fast - this a huge divergence in Bonds
Seems people want them more than yesterday.
Basically pushing all weak hands out.
Personally long /ZB Futures and TLT 150 Calls out in March
Ultimate target is 158'25 in Bonds.
ZB1!2.4.22 ZB1! I talk about some of the dynamics and thinking that could help you as a buyer and a seller.
Gory Gory...What a hell of a way to die.
If you're sensitive please avert your gaze! Not for the faint of heart! Not much needs explained, it's all on the chart. 183-153=30 153-30=123 My guess is tgt is ran through hard if it doesnt get front run or stopped by the black trendline supoort. Time shall tell. It's been a good few hundred years boys, see you in the promised land!
bonds bullishbonds are bullish until Feb 15, this perfertly counteracts to a bearish stock market until Feb 14 as lined out in a previous idea
US Indexes had a late burst higher to end in the greenMorning Jumpstart Macro View and US market recap 1-02-22
The US had a late session burst higher that dragged the major Indexes into green territory ahead of key US employment data Friday. The USD continues to grind lower while Gold was range bound. Copper had a strong session while Oil continues to hold recent gains setting for another push higher.
For a deeper look at the price action, key levels and what I see playing out...watch the video and feel free to leave any comments.
View more at www.tradethestructure.com
End of month window dressing pushes US Indexes higherMorning Jumpstart Macro View and US market recap 1-02-22
The US ended the session well into the green again as end of month window dressing triggers another buying frenzy into tech. Prices on the Nasdaq, SP500 and DOW are all at key levels that could see another selloff in coming sessions.
For a deeper look at the price action, key levels and what I see playing out...watch the video and feel free to leave any comments.
View more at www.tradethestructure.com
Bond Market "Mini Crash" ? Remember the Level of 153'11 on /ZBA break under 153'11 on the /ZB could cause a "mini-crash" to 148. As seen on the left chart, there is a daily lack of support until 148.
Bargain hunters go shopping into tech and support US IndexesMorning Jumpstart Macro View and US market recap 31-01-22
US ended the week with a bang as bargain hunters went shopping to support the broader US market. Tech was again the favoured stocks which lifted the SP500 while the DOW lagged the enthusiasm. There may be some end of month window dressing on the cards also which may have provided some support.
For a deeper look at the price action, key levels and what I see playing out...watch the video and feel free to leave any comments.
View more at www.tradethestructure.com
ZB1!1.28.22 ZB1! This price pattern is becoming more difficult. Here is my point of view...thinking as a buyer and a seller.
ZB1!1.27.22 ZB1! : start thinking about market dynamics as a buyer and a seller to form your strategy as a buyer OR a seller.
Bulls spooked into close...key levels for the coming sessionsMorning Jumpstart Macro view / US Market Recap 27-01-22
US markets took a hit into the close after the Fed Reserve signalled rate rises and an end to free money. Gold fell as the USD rallied while oil continued higher thanks to supply concerns.
For a deeper look at the price action, key levels and what I see playing out...watch the video and feel free to leave any comments.
Hope you enjoy and have a good trading day!!
Treasury 30 yearsThis detail of price development to the hourly chart is based on a previously published global analysis.
ZB1!1.26.22 Bomds: managing a difficult trade..................................................................
ZB treasury bond 30 years set up analysisZB treasury bond 30 years set up analysis YOUR SET UP FOR TODAY
Bonds1.25.22 Bonds........................................what comes first...moving higher, or moving lower??
ZB treasury bond 30 years set up analysisZB treasury bond 30 years set up analysis, if the market breaks this red line with the force I will look only for shorts trades, this only on term of probabilities
short bondsUS 10year treasury bonds continue being bearish since we recently established a new downtrend, driven by the announcement of the FED to decrease QE.
We currently saw a little bit of consolidation, we are now trading at trend resistance while oscillators at maximum, due to time cycles we will see a bearish continuation into february.
Ps. bonds will deliver a 2% return at the end of 2024 according to rate hike plans if the FED, while inflation is around and will probably stay above 7 % , who wants to buy bonds in such an environment ?
bonds would have to surely deliver a 5 % yoy gain in price. It will take a while to gain that confidence into bonds.
Marlet Recap and levels to watch on key marketsInflation and rate rise concerns continued to pressure US indexes lower and Bond Yields higher. Watch the video for a more detailed breakdown on my Macro picture and key levels I am watching in major markets.
Thanks for watching and please take some time to check out the website.
ZB is bearishthe ZB is showing me a sell signal but as I explained to you earlier you should not trust the ZB on holidays
