ZB1! trade ideas
Greatest Swing Value(GSV) system. Backtest. T-BondsA GSV backtest is held from Larry Williams, which helped him win the Robbins World Cup in 1987. And it is also possible that this system helped win to his daughter Michel in 1990 in the same cup and show a yield of 1000% per annum, but this is not accurate, because he said that his daughter won using a simple mechanical bond trading system, but he didn’t say which one.
Rules
Buy on Tuesdays, Wednesdays, Fridays. Closing today is lower than 5 days ago. Buy with a breakdown of opening + 180% of GSV (4 days).
Sale on any day of the week. Closing today is higher than 6 days ago. Sell at the breakdown of the opening - 180% of GSV (4 days). Gold is lower than 20 days ago.
Output
Bailout exit system.
Profit is fixed at the first profitable opening after being in the market for 2 days.
Stop
$ 1600 or 1600 points.
Summary
On the left are examples of transactions only in a long position, on the right only in a short position. The yield curve does not look attractive in both cases. It walks in waves, often below 0. It seems that the times of this system have passed.
Of the additions, Larry, in his book, suggests transferring the stop to the level of opening the day after entering a position, but unfortunately such an algorithm cannot be programmed for Tradingview, just as Larry could not program it, as he wrote in the book. Testing was conducted from 2002 to 2020.
Of the existing filters, it should be noted that the gold filter for short transactions significantly improves the yield curve. When it is turned off, the curve is constantly below 0.
Top Trading Ideas for Bonds in Light of NFPBonds are getting smashed. It looks like either someone knows something we don't about Nonfarm Payrolls, or the bond market has finally excepted the risk on exuberance of the stock market. Both Kovach Momentum Indicators are solidly bearish, so avoid honey-badgering your way into a trade. The Elliott Wave suggests we should have a pullback before retracing further. However, a bumper number in NFP should be what the markets need for confirmation to propel this further.
Big Long opportunity for ZBVery large value area + demand zone play as ZB is approaching new lows. Both of those drawn on the chart. Looking for longs at 174'02 but my favorite place to go long would be 173'02. Once it bounces, expect a pullback from the down move at least to previous swing lows and VAL of yesterday at 175'08. For stops go for 8 ticks (based on lower timeframe structure at the top of area not shown on this chart, if they get broken then we cut the trade expecting a swing lower down the macro value area)
ZB Wedge Breakdown off Risk-On SentimentZB has apparently broken down from a bear wedge pattern. The level 177'30 marked a the lower bound of a significant range and this level will now provide resistance, where it once provided support. The Kovach Chande has turned negative, whereas the Kovach OBV is still relatively neutral. The bear trend will be confirmed when the Kovach OBV, which measures longer term momentum, turns south.
ZB1 UPDATE SELLZB1 OR SELL
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DISCLAIMER: As a trader you should consider your own risk:reward ratio and do proper lot sizing according to your margin and leverage level. Not every idea is a valid trade. This analysis is a trading idea, not a trading signal for you.