ZN1! BuyWe can Buy limit when price go to 127'16'0 !
first target and get our small profit in 127'18 !
next one is 127'20 !
last target to 127'25 if price break zone 127'22 !
ZN1! trade ideas
ZN T-note0.47%
As chart shows and indicators we can see CBOT:ZN1! go up.
Good luck in trades, buddy.
Market Recap and levels to watch for the coming sessionsMorning Jumpstart Macro View 26-01-22
US markets found some buying early only to give way to selling pressure into the close to close the Indexes in negative territory. FOMC is out late in the coming US session which weighed on the market especially tech (Nasdaq).
For a deeper look at the price action, key levels and what I see playing out...watch the video and feel free to leave any comments.
Thanks for watching and please take some time to check out the website.
ZN -10-years TREASURY NoteThis detail of price development to the hourly chart is based on a previously published global analysis.
Bonds Rally with the Stock SelloffBonds have gotten a lift off the selloff in stocks. An influx of risk off sentiment gave ZN a much needed lift back to the 128 handle. We had dipped in the very lows of the 127 handle, and were appearing to get ready to break into the 126's, when the fallout from stocks caused a notable risk off shift. We have broken through our level at 127'22. As predicted yesterday, we crossed the vacuum zone and touched 128'10, the first level in the 128 handle, before retracing slightly. At the time of this writing, we are hovering just under this level. We will see if the fallout in stocks continues today, in which case, we can expect higher levels, the next target being 128'24. The Kovach OBV has turned solidly bullish, likely a bit more than it would if this were just a simple relief rally. But if the selloff continues, 127'22 and 127'08 are the next targets to the down side.
ZN TO BUY NOWHello World
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We may see a respectable rise in ZNWe may see a respectable rise in ZN
Breaking the trend, we may continue the upward trend
heavily bearish market with low resistance selling recommended heavily bearish market with low resistance selling recommended
ZN Tnote10y to buy signalanalysis of ZN Tnote10y at 7H35 Chicago time . there is a strong signal to buy
Strong sell-off of US Treasuries znStrong sell-off of US Treasuries zn
Target level 126.250
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There is a strong indication of the rise of ZNThere may be a breakout for the VWAP index and we see a rise in ZN
ZN ANALYSISHello friends.
Please support my work by clicking the LIKE button(If you liked).Thank you!
ZN ANALYSIS
easy LONG trade
you enter and you wait
market GO UP
Strong sell-off of US Treasuries znStrong sell-off of US Treasuries zn
Target level 126.250
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Bonds Ranging Between Our LevelsBonds have edged up, but as predicted, are facing resistance at 128'24. We saw a red triangle on the KRI at this level to confirm resistance. Currently, we are seeking support at 128'10, which we also anticipated. Two green triangles on the KRI are suggesting support here. As discussed yesterday, bonds are establishing value between 128'10 and 128'24. The Kovach OBV has edged up, but has leveled off. If ZN is able to break through 128'24, then there is a vacuum zone to 129'11. Otherwise, we should see support at 128'00.
ZN - 10 Year Note Futures / An important ChartThe importance of ZN as an Instrument cannot be overstated.
It has been extremely technical and Reliable in assisting us in
forecasting Rate Mid Curve and provided the ROC's for TNX.
Today's MAcro Data begins with the CPI @ 8:30 AM EST using
the new Base Effect from the BLS.
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CPI is projected to be 4%.
Food prices have already increased substantially into 2022
as we indicated Mid-Q4 2021 - Pordiucer were going to begin
passing along increases at an average rate of 20-23%.
Energy continues to Rise as do Commodities, on balance, across
the Board.
M2 continues to move higher, as does the Fed's Balance Sheet.
_______________________________________________________
The reaction to the CPI this morning will provide direction for the
Indexes the balance of the week.
Pricing Power is being passed along to end-users (consumers) at
a time when the Federal Reserve is indicating they are about to begin
an aggressive reduction in Liquidity and an accelerated pace of
increases to the Fed Funds Rate.
We have seen back to back ALGO driven increases in the ES / NQ / YM
and indicated 10 Yr Yields would pullback ~ 1.81% (1.808 was close
enough).
2021/2022 measured move is now .998 to 1.808 - a near doubling of
the Mid Curve.
________________________________________________________
The Bond "safety" Trade wasn't entirely wrong until the Curve
began to work its magic. We indicated in July Rates would begin
rising again into the end of 2021.
Where the Bond Buters lost sight of the Safety Trade was quite
simple - Convention holds only when the Yield Curve is steepening.
As YCC gave way to a FED backstop where the recycling ballooned
the Fed's Balance Sheet and Auction after failed Auctions began to
appear beginning at the long end of the Curve.
My Thesis proved 100% correct, then as now.
We anticipate a reaction to Mid Curve on today's ReCalc.
Safe Trading.
10 Yr T Note Major Downside Target In this update we review the recent price action in the US 10Yr T-Note and identify the next high probability trade location and target
Have Bonds Bottomed??Bonds have stabilized at lows, and have started to form a range, as we suggested yesterday. We have started to find value just above 128'10, and below 128'24, the exact range we identified in the last report. After plummeting two full handles since the beginning of 2022 it was time for ZN to reach some sort of equilibrium before its next move. From here we expect value to continue to form at current levels. A relief rally is not out of the question, especially after such a selloff. If so, we could make a run for the 129 handle again. There is a large vacuum zone above to 129'11, which should be considered a max upper bound at this point. The floor seems to be 128'10 for now. The Kovach OBV is still quite bearish, so there is little hope for a genuine bull rally any time soon.
Yields Soar, Treasuries Smash Lows!!Bonds have tumbled off soaring yields. Rising inflation seems to be one of the key drivers, along with paradoxically increasing risk on sentiment in stocks, as the indexes are testing new highs again. ZN smashed through support in 130 handle. We saw absolutely no support from 130'00, the final barrier to the 129 handle, and even less from 129'26, the first level in the 129's. We finally bottomed out (for now) at 129'11, one of the levels we have identified months back using inverse Fibonacci Extension levels. The Kovach OBV has fallen off a cliff with the selloff, but appears to be leveling off as the price stabilizes here. Anticipate some ranging at current levels are digested. The next level down is 128'24. If we catch a relief rally, then 129'26 should provide resistance.
3 JANUARY 2022 10 YEAR T-NOTE DAILY BIAS ANALYSISSummary :
Sideways market
Confluence :
-10&20 EMA (DAILY) = BEARISH
-BEARISH SMS/FAILURE SWING
- 1D ICT BEARISH FRESH ORDER BLOCK
- MOST RECENT LIQUIDITY RUN ON MID TERM SWING HIGH (DAILY)
Conclusion :
-Bias = Bearish possible bullish even testing the 1D FRESH BEARISH OB , Bullish for Dollar, Bearish for Major Foreign Currencies (EUR,GBP, etc.)
-Target = EQL
-Probability = LOW, still very biased because it's still the first day in 2022, t-note still delayed, market still have to create a setup to go somewhere. Well it's safer to have a bias about the market condition. and trade later when the market unfold a high probability setup.
-Suggestions = Find another confluence, in the dollar index & the pairs that you want to trade, Higher Time Frame Or Lower, wait till Tuesday/Wednesday.
