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ZN1! trade ideas

Bonds Gain as Stocks Sell OffBonds have picked up as stocks have sold off due to increased risk sentiment. We have edged up to 131'02, the technical level we discussed yesterday. The Kovach OBV has picked up significantly, but is starting to level off as ZN finds value in the low 131 handle. We are gradually trekking up in a zig zag pattern, but will face resistance at the next technical level at 131'12. This is a relative high for December which will be difficult to break as we enter the holiday week for Christmas next week. We should have support from below at 130'26 and 130'19.
CBOT:ZN1!
by quantguy
2
The Bond Marekt Awaits Inflation DataBonds have continued their slow decline trough support at 130'07 and are hovering just above 130'00. We are starting to see support form in the middle of the vacuum zone between these two levels, confirmed by two green triangles forming on the KRI. Both Kovach momentum indicators have dropped precipitously, which might indicate that we are staring to become oversold and that 130'00 is a floor for now. If we see a relief rally, watch 130'07 or 130'19 for a target. If we continue to decline and break 130'00 then 129'26 is the next target. ZN is likely not to make any significant moves until CPI data comes out this morning.
CBOT:ZN1!Short
by quantguy
Two high probability paths that the graph may follow-We have a strong bearish trend , blue trendlines (blue channel) are strong support and resistance , yellow trendline weaker than blue trendlines , so it plays the role of support and resistance depends from the position of the graph, the blue area is also a solid support. 1- In case the chart breaks the blue support zone , it is quite possible that the chart will follow the blue trend lines (blue channel) going down. 2 - in case the chart breaks the yellow trendline, it is most likely that it will retest it or go up until it hits the blue trendline and goes down again following the blue trendlines (channel blue). Wait for confirmation. -Nous avons une forte tendance baissière, les lignes de tendance bleues (canal bleu) sont un support et des résistances forts, la ligne de tendance jaune plus faible que les lignes de tendance bleues, elle joue donc le rôle de support et une résistance dépend de la position du graphique, le la zone bleue est également un support solide. 1- dans le cas où le graphique romprait la zone de support bleue, il est fort possible que le graphique suive les lignes de tendance bleues (canal bleu) en descendant. 2 - dans le cas où le graphique casse la ligne de tendance jaune, il est fort probable qu'il la reteste ou monte jusqu'à ce qu'il touche la ligne de tendance bleue et redescende en suivant les lignes de tendance bleues (canal bleu). Attendre la confirmation.
CBOT:ZN1!
by UnknownUnicorn31132676
Futures Levels | Santa Rally - Naughty or Nice? (MES, MNQ, M2K)Let's take a look at potential key levels for the week, most notably the session lows from Friday. Will a Santa Rally begin to take hold, or is there more naughty action for the bulls? This weekend the crypto markets experienced a 15-30% decline, mostly looking like another scene from the movie "Horror For Over-Leveraged Longs." Given that backdrop, and the aggressive selling on Friday, I'd think the expectation would have been for a weak open for the futures stock indices. But so far, it's looking like the open following the prior Black Friday sell-off, and most markets are a tad green. Still, it's early, still. Stay Green & Trade Like You Mean It!
CBOT:ZNH2022
by RodCasilli
Bonds Consolidate, Breakout Soon??Bonds have consolidated as we have expected. We are seeing strong support at 130'19, and appear to be forming a flag pattern bounded by 130'07, and 131'02. The Kovach OBV is trending up slightly, suggesting a small bull bias. From here it could go either way. The Fed is discussing tightening, which would be bearish for bonds, but persistent risk off sentiment due to the Omicron strain could give ZN a lift, though it appears this may be priced in by now. We will see continued support from the upper and lower bounds of the range. Volatility has consolidated quite a bit so we expect a breakout either way potentially soon.
CBOT:ZN1!
by quantguy
1
Inverse Head and Shoulders in Bonds??Bonds have seen a bit of a relief rally as we predicted yesterday. They hit the exact target we identified, 130'00, before settling near support at 129'26. We anticipate a quiet market as we go into the US hoiday for Thanksgiving. The Kovach OBV is still solidly bearish, suggesting that this rally may be just a relief rally. That being said, we do have an inverse head and shoulders pattern forming with a neckline at 130'00. If we break out further, we could easily hit 130'07, or 130'19. If the selloff continues, our next target is 129'11.
CBOT:ZN1!
by quantguy
Bonds Establish ValueBonds have dipped but have found support at the levels we identified yesterday. ZN retraced from relative highs at 131'02 to 130'19. It has since rebounded and is currently testing 130'26. The Kovach OBV was quite strong, but has dipped with the retracement. We appear to be forming value between 130'19 and 131'02. If this is the case, then expect further support at 130'19 and resistance at 131'02. Beware of the vacuum zone below to 130'07. The next target above is 131'12.
CBOT:ZN1!Long
by quantguy
1
Bearish Looking 10Y US Notes Can Push USDJPY HigherHello traders! Today we will talk about 10Y US Notes and its negative correlation with USDJPY. 10Y US Treasury yields keeps pointing lower, as we see a bearish triangle formation within wave 4 correction that can send the price even lower for wave 5. If that's the case, then respecting correlations, USDJPY can see more gains for wave 5, as we also see a bullish triangle pattern within wave 4. As you can see, triangle, a continuation pattern can be approaching the end, as we see the final subwave "e" in progress, so ahead of NFP report, be aware of that final 5th wave before we will see reversals. Be humble and trade smart! If you like what we do, then please like and share our idea! Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
CBOT:ZNZ2021
by ew-forecast
2
10 YEAR T-NOTE HTF ANALYSIS 11/2 SESSIONSummary : Price trading lower, creating new yearly low, and it reverse to trade higher. However it created an insignificant low, creating a new equal lows (liquidity) bellow. The price doesn't break the higher swing (BMS) and created confluence to trade lower. But we have to be careful cuz it's still trading on a range, so it's possible for the price to trade higher, but for this time it's safe to assume it's gonna trade lower. Confluence : -10&20 EMA (DAILY) = BEARISH - BEARISH DAILY BMS - 1D BEARISH OB + RTO - 1D ICT BEARISH BREAKER - MOST RECENT LIQUIDITY RUN ON SHORT TERM SWING HIGH + STOP HUNT (SH) Conclusion : -Bias = Bearish, Bullish for Dollar, Bearish for Major Foreign Currencies (EUR,GBP, etc.) -Target = Old Low (In this case Yearly Low) -Probability = MEDIUM -Suggestions = Find another confluence, in the dollar index & the pairs that you want to trade, Higher Time Frame Or Lower
CBOT:ZNZ2021Short
by wekelex