Bearish Looking 10Y US Notes Can Push USDJPY HigherHello traders!
Today we will talk about 10Y US Notes and its negative correlation with USDJPY.
10Y US Treasury yields keeps pointing lower, as we see a bearish triangle formation within wave 4 correction that can send the price even lower for wave 5. If that's the case, then respecting correlations, USDJPY can see more gains for wave 5, as we also see a bullish triangle pattern within wave 4.
As you can see, triangle, a continuation pattern can be approaching the end, as we see the final subwave "e" in progress, so ahead of NFP report, be aware of that final 5th wave before we will see reversals.
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ZN1! trade ideas
Bonds Testing Relative HighsBonds have encroached on the upper bound of the range, hitting our target at 131'02. We have inched above that at present and are running into some resistance as identified by two triangles on the KRI. The Kovach OBV has picked up notably. If the bull bias continues watch for ZN to cross the vacuum zone to 131'12. If we pull back a bit, then watch for it to fall back to comfort in the 130's, with 130'26 being the nearest level of support.
10 YEAR T-NOTE HTF ANALYSIS 11/2 SESSIONSummary :
Price trading lower, creating new yearly low, and it reverse to trade higher. However it created an insignificant low, creating a new equal lows (liquidity) bellow. The price doesn't break the higher swing (BMS) and created confluence to trade lower. But we have to be careful cuz it's still trading on a range, so it's possible for the price to trade higher, but for this time it's safe to assume it's gonna trade lower.
Confluence :
-10&20 EMA (DAILY) = BEARISH
- BEARISH DAILY BMS
- 1D BEARISH OB + RTO
- 1D ICT BEARISH BREAKER
- MOST RECENT LIQUIDITY RUN ON SHORT TERM SWING HIGH + STOP HUNT (SH)
Conclusion :
-Bias = Bearish, Bullish for Dollar, Bearish for Major Foreign Currencies (EUR,GBP, etc.)
-Target = Old Low (In this case Yearly Low)
-Probability = MEDIUM
-Suggestions = Find another confluence, in the dollar index & the pairs that you want to trade, Higher Time Frame Or Lower
ZN1! - after sqeez -ready make profetWe notice that after an upward trend, the market began to decline
Then a big red springbox appears whit big volume thats mean sqeez
after that we wait for the firs green springbox with wick
thats means we can buy Because the market changes direction upwards
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ZN - 10 Year Note FuturesPrice remains problematic in the Extreme for Equity Bulls.
As does TLT and ZB.
We have indicated for months - breaking 1.171 - 1.762 for the
10 Year Note Yield would commence the Next Sell Off.
We shall see...
4/4 isn't complete until ZN / 10 Year Yields RESOLVE.
A break of 130.005 and close under... yeah, naw, Equities will not
hold up.
Small View We notice a gradual decline with the Vwap indicator .In the case it can be said that it rises to the stage of the blue line .However ,it cannot be denied that the content in the analysis is subject to change at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting the trader in making an independent investment decision CBOT:ZN1!
ZN - 10 Year Note / Lows of the Year Tested @ 1.612%Substantial Further Progress in Trade.
$120Billion in Taxpayer's Future Monies down the drain.
Job Creation does not come from the Prop in Equities.
Share Buybacks do not create Jobs nor do they have a lasting
effect upon Economic Activity.
They do, however - create issues for Bond Holders as Inflation
takes hold and remains persistent.
Wall Street fooled everyone - Steve Van Metre fans included.
Amazing
Will the markets meltdown and hammer the bulls as yields rallyThe action has been very heavy this week and major indexes have been pressured lower. There is a lot for bulls to think about and many will be getting nervous. Will the FED come to the rescue again??....and will the Dip Buyers provide support again. In the video I take a look at my key markets and how I am approaching the current market action. I look at US 10-year bonds, the USD, SP500, DOW, Nasdaq and the ASX200.