ZN1! trade ideas
ZN1 30 MINUTES CHART TIME FRAME Finally a nice volume after a long sideways trend hopefully the Zn1 continues and have a beautiful uptrend today is the day .ZN1 30 minutes time frame
10Yr - A Very Clear Capital Return PanicSince January there has been a stealth accumulation out the Curve.
In March it began to quietly accelerate.
While Algo's drove ZN into the 131s, buyers were gobbling up
each and every drive lower, building an outsized position which
saw Volume peak in May from May 2nd to May 31st.
Dark Pools began their acceleration in March.
There is a clear trend deeply concerned with an "Event" - one
which saw Volumes begin to accelerate June 16th.
Volatility in Bonds should begin to pick up dramatically.
Extreme Caution is warranted for Equity Complex, in particular
Technology and Regional Banking.
The VIX Curve, specifically SEP/OCT spread should be closely watched.
We are seeing clear signs of Backwardation that could quickly invert.
10 Year Treasury Note into Jackson Hole10yr Yields peaked at ~1.70 as the Federal Reserve began YCC
(Yield Curve Control) well in advance of recognition by the
Retail Bond Market.
With a shortage of T-Bills and Janet Yellen attempting to Fund
the Fiscal Malfeasance out the Curve in order to reduce Short
Term funding.
With CASH mounting in Money Market Funds, there remains a
large pool of Cash with the potential to absorb further issuance
while driving Notes to Bonds Yields even lower.
The issue becomes the non-transitory nature of shortages,
rates of labor, price levels for those of us keeping track and
a number of perversions to the integrity of Data presented.
There is a long history of Intervention Failures, the approaching
one will be historic. Europe has by any measure, already defaulted.
This Point of recognition is quickly approaching in August.
It will spread and generate a panic.
We should sell !!my prediction we should sell
First we notice the remarkable volume and second we see the break of VWAP
Signals from the Bond MarketAfter this sideways dredge in the bond market, the upside vulnerability is mounting. Appetite for bonds reflected in prices rising could lead stocks to underperform or lag for a short period of time. This scenario would be seen as a correction in a prolonged decline. The below video explains what levels to watch for.
Strong buy signalAccording to my analysis, the chart indicates a strong and very profitable buy signal
ZNIf we break the trading range ( Rectangle ) with force and high volumes then we could have a trend.
If it breaks with a big green candlestick and high green volume then we could buy it.
If it breaks with a big red candlestick and high red volume then we could sell it.
exploration of the multi-timeframe indicator dashboardhover your mouse over the white anchor symbols to see how the chart is read at that point
why does all of this work? these indicators are all incredibly popular -popular enough to feature in most trading strategies, and are the inputs of many automated trading strategies
think of it as a big grid with moving lines where participants execute their trades at these lines
Similar bull flag visible on 10 year. Same but different.Here is almost the exact same trade from a signals and trigger standpoint.
It's basically the same formation, but in a different market.
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What is different about this one than from gold? Quite a lot actually. It's better to go through that kind of stuff on one's own, but what I would really want people to notice is this bond trade looks like it broke out of an area of consolidation, and is now using the flag to dip into a retest of a broken resistance area. Do not blow any fuses adding confluences to your trading, but if you can find places where it looks like all the bull tribes are uniting then you can find high probability areas where price will move higher from in the future.
