ZN1! trade ideas
ZN 10yr. futures at strong supportZN 10 year futures are testing strong support on the Yearly S1 pivot points.
Elliott Wave: 10Y US Notes Is Finishing Five-Wave CycleHello traders!
10 Year US notes made a bigger decline recently, a clear impulse weakness down from start of the year which can be coming into late stages as we see price in wave five, but with room for 130'00. At the same time we see divergence on the Elliott wave oscillator, but with room for slightly more weakness to complete wave 5 cycle with a potential divergence.
10-YR. Using Fib's as sell zone.If you're late to the party, like I am, 10-year has been getting ridden way down in '21.
I see the 'M' reversal double bottom. There are some subtle signs of bullishness, including flattening 200 MA.
It's been a steep downhill run, and I would expect the momentum will continue with another spike low. but. every trend comes to an end.
I would much rather be the one pushing the boulder than catching it, so I'm looking to sell in the upper Fibonacci area. Seeing as sellers have been letting price get pretty high before displaying control recently, This keeps me less interested in the .5 level. Also, my risk manager can't tolerate using the .5. Too much volatility.
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Anybody else's crystal ball come out differently?
A longer term perspective on BondsThe recent sell off in the bonds has been sharp and is having reverberations throughout the broader markets.
This is a monthly chart looking at bond prices going back twenty years. I was surprised to find that although the current price action has felt extreme, the bonds are still well within a 2 standard deviation regression channel.
I've drawn in some possible pathways for bond prices over the next decade. While I believe there's a fairly high probability that the bottom of the regression channel around 125'00'0 will be tested and prices will eventuate toward high value areas on the volume profile, the pathways are less of a forecast and more of an illustration of questions that I have.
Specifically: will the highs around 142'00'0 during the March 2020 COVID crash be tested (and possibly taken out), or will they end up being the high for the foreseeable future? If Bond prices continue to fall, when will the FED step in and apply yield curve control? Most importantly, what effects will all of this have on the broader markets?
In April 2019, the Federal Reserve released a report which stated that for every 2.5 move up in the DXY, there is a 10% decline in new C&I bank loan origination. Not only do falling bond prices lead to more challenging debt environments for businesses and consumers, they can lead to a stronger dollar thus putting deflationary pressures on an economy.
Needless to say, trading bond positions on a Monthly time frame isn't really viable (or exciting) for most retail traders. However, keeping these kind of macro ideas in mind help me provide a context and framework toward my own trading.
Easy money by selling short US bonds market ( ZN & ZB) The interest rate can only go up and up, we can expect easy money.
The weekly chart shows a significant bearish trend that may have room to extend.
Don't try to surf , just sell and wait.
others markets ( stock indices , commodities, and currencies) will be volatile and quite difficult to trade, while the bonds market have only one trend : the south.
10 year bond broke broadening rising wedge supportBroadening rising wedge broke earlier, low will be tested and yields are going to spike and make new intermediate highs.
1.6% will only be seen in the rear view mirror.
10Y T NOTE FUTURES (ZN1!) SwingThe Market is in a DownTrend.
Everything is mentioned on the chart
The market will keep going down ( My prediction)
Target A: 131'20'5
IF you have a,any questions, leave it in the commentbox
ZN BUY SIGNALHere's an other SELL signal of ZN1. You can trust it for at least 4hours from now.
i like to keep it clean and simple so anyone can understand.
ZN Buy SIgnal here's another SIgnal "BUY" for ZN. all the indicators indicate it will go High Today.
Simple, clean and Readabl by any person.
ZN1! Still In Trending Down!Hello ladies and gentlemen, according to my graphical analysis Of The 10 YEAR T-NOTE FUTURES, there is a high probability of drop to the 131'03'5 level in the coming weeks.
analyse We are waiting for a break of the support area 133’20’5 with a strong candle, and from there we will enter selling targeting the area 132’12’0 as the first target and also 131’29’0 as the second target.
