ZNCurrently ZN futures are in the buy zone, but if the red average indicated by the blue arrow is broken and we enter the green zone, the market will be in the sell phase.
ZN1! trade ideas
ZN1! / $TLT Short Idea UpdateUpdating Jan 2 post after jobless claims
Surprised we saw such a big move after claims
Highlights extreme market positioning for cuts this year
Higher crude supports higher rates move. position hedges middle east volatility
NFP tmrw is wildcard
Remember NFP is wildly volatile
Prefer buying Feb puts as defined risk trade
ZN currently at technical support and rates at big 4% resistance
Look to fade bounce
5ema serving as resistance on various time frames
10 year t-note, ZN IN 30 MINHello to all tradingview investors, according to my previous analysis I see a great opportunity with good probability, the details are reflected in the chart, greetings and good luck to all.
US 10yr Trend ReversalZN1! Upward Trend Tested
Price action breaks trendline, fails to recapture, and settles at support ~112'05
111 next key level
Higher oil supports move lower/higher yields
Long Feb Expiration Puts define risk thru various economic events (NFP, CPI, Fed)
OPTION SENTIMENTYesterday, a 10-year bond portfolio was created in the market. The goal is to maximize profit when the price is between $109 and $110 by the expiration date of January 17, 2024. This one requires careful observation.
Bond Bears Beware (3+1 reasons)This is a brief video sharing my thoughts why I think T-Notes have bottomed out.
It is not a full, detailed analysis, but rather a quick video sharing thoughts on 3 + 1 patterns.
Two of these patterns are on the MACD-v , one seasonal and as a "bonus" the historical reaction to changes of Fed Policy.
forecasting t-note ZN in 15 min Hello to all tradingview investors, according to my previous analysis, I see a great sales opportunity with good probability, the details are reflected in the graph, greetings and good luck to all
T-note ZN1! only billy has the power and glory for god's sake!billy-billy-no, soros, rothschild, blackrock, rockie and the creepy ghost of kissinger are pumping money, printing as fools and ripping the market off. Therefore we see the t-note really overbought.
Just do the same like these evils and sell puts on ZN1! january contract at 110,25 strike price and fvckthem. Collect the premium.
Notes still in a bear market Even though the ZN 10yr notes look like they want to reverse higher (lower yields) we can't forget how bearish this long term trend is. While below 109'05 the bears remain in control
ZN1! only billy has the power and glory for god's sake!billybillyno, soros, rothschild, rockie-feller, larry pink and the rest of pedoyews elites that run the world are pumping the t-note as they print money as fools to later dump it. Do not be silly and buy puts options at 108,50 or sell calls at 110,50 on JAN 2024 contract and fvckthem
T-Notes rally Looking for T-Notes to continue the rally in coming months:
It looks like it ended a 5 waves pattern
There is a divergence on the MACD between wave 3 and 5
Their is the 10 year S2 at 105 and an untested demand zone
Historical number of shorts on the T-Notes ( COT: Reportable Non-Commercial Net Positions (Futures Only))
Lower inflation and potential economic effects of such a rapid increase in rates should make rates go down
December is usually the worst month of the year for treasuries but 2024 should be a good year for bonds.
10-Year Bond Option SentimentAnalysis of yesterday's CME options market transactions shows that the market participants are positive about the prospects of the long bonds, betting on its growth to $111.5 within 20-30 days.
The Power Of Option Analysis. Sentiment on 10-year bonds.Another reason to get involved in options research analysis. Yesterday and last Friday, 10-year bonds options contracts on the CME were found which have a predictive component in the form of sharp price movement in any direction. Today's 10-Year Bonds chart has fully realized this sentiment, allowing the most informed participants to capitalize well. And did you make money on today's Bond rally?
Bonds - Bullish Quarterly Bias I am seeing a bullish '22 model on Bonds with a clear Original consolidation. I am bullish on bonds for the rest of the quarter. As a result, I am leaning bullish on all assets that directly correlate with bonds & bearish on assets that indirectly correlate with bonds including yields.
10 year note Trade4 hour chart: TrendCloud is up
1 hour chart: TrendCloud is up
CCI is above +100
15 minute demand zone
Stop is 1% Risk
Target is 2:1
Has the bond market bottomed?The big question everyone is asking today (and yesterday) is "Is the bottom in the bond market?"
So far, following the FOMC decision yesterday, the market seems to think so. And following the jobs report (Non Farm Payroll number) tomorrow, we will probably have a good idea if the bounce is sustainable, or we are about ready to resume the downtrend, and yields back towards 5%. Technically, we are reaching the channel that has kept the 10yr pressured since spring of 2023. However, a break of the 50dma and channel resistance at 108'02 may be the trigger that actually squeezes the market much higher, sending yields falling at a rapid rate. We'd expect that on a "weak" jobs report and the US Dollar to fall precipitously from here. However, we must keep in mind that the headline number has come in higher than expected 7 of the last 10 reports in 2023. So, a weak NFP report is not a given!
forecasting ZN T-BUNDS IN 15MINHello to all investors, according to my previous studies and according to my experience as a trader, I see a good investment opportunity with a high probability of success, the details are reflected in the graph
ZN Week of 16 to 20 2023Please see video for exact points and opinion.
Still in a down trend.
Thank you.
#ZN Playing A Potential CorrectionIn this update we review the recent price action in the US 10yr Note futures contract and identify the next high probability trading opportunity and price objective to target
PAST PERFORMANCE NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
Pattern expected - ZN I expect this pattern on ZN in the next weeks. It may give some ideas about what’s coming next in the global economy.
Ten Year Notes ($ZN) Bearish Impulse Remains IncompleteShort term Elliott Wave view suggests that cycle from 9.1.2023 high in Ten Year Notes ($ZN) remains incomplete. The decline is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from 9.1.2023 high, wave 1 ended at 109’19 and rally in wave 2 ended at 110’07. The Notes extended lower in wave 3 as an impulse in lesser degree. Down from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 109’08 and wave ((ii)) rally ended at 109’2.
The Notes then extended lower in wave ((iii)) towards 108 and rally in wave ((iv)) ended at 108’17. Final leg wave ((v)) ended at 107’07 which completed wave 3. Wave 4 is in progress to correct the decline from 110’07. Potential target for wave 4 is 23.6 – 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of wave 3. This area comes at 107’29 – 108’11. Near term, as far as pivot at 110’07 high stays intact, expect rally in wave 4 rally to fail in 3, 7, 11 swing for further downside.
Sell 3T Bonds at Markethello trader
Sell point 108.18 TARGET 104.22
Expecting the sell-side targets to be reached sooner or later, this would cause a rise in Interest rates and the prices of commodities and Dollar Index
