ZW1! trade ideas
wheat futes searching for bid above 18'4If we break above 18'4 we will likely retest the highs as the recent highs were front run with resistance slightly above there. If we take out the recent low, I'm neutral as no clear sign that we retest the recent low all the way down at 594. The fact that we moved above recent resistance should favor the bulls. Wave pattern is suggestive of correction rather than new impulse down.
See my other post on corn. One way of playing this would be to engage in a spread trade e.g. long wheat/short corn, depending on price action.
Wheat Futures September 2021 ContractThe pattern is currently doing a sideways or consolidation in 1 HR and below. It looks like the selling pressure is present unless if its breaks the red line resistance with a strong buying force. Other confluence for shorts are:
1) Pattern making a reversal at a 61.8 Fibo level
2) Seller coming in, can be seen in Volume
3) Bullish momentum getting less and less
4) Price break 100MA, but yet to respect it.
Entry guidelines:
- I will wait for the price to break the trendline and the support area before going into a position targetting 160-170 ticks below.
Good luck!
Elliott Wave Analysis: WHEAT Is Still Looking For The BottomHello traders and investors!
Today we will talk about commodities, specifically WHEAT, in which very interesting development.
Well, as you know, commodities have been very bullish for the last year and some of them made strong and impulsive rise, but this is not the case for WHEAT, as we see slower price action and corrective wave structure from the lows.
We are talking about (A)-(B)-(C) flat correction where wave C has ended within an ending diagonal (wedge) pattern. The whole structure belongs to a higher degree wave IV correction of a bigger monthly wedge shape that can send the price back to lows for wave V before market finds the bottom.
What we want to say is that maybe it's time for a slow down in the commodity market, where WHEAT could be on of the weakest, especially after recent strong and impulsive decline back below lower ending diagonal pattern, which confirms that correction from the lows is completed, but real bears may show up below 600 region!
Be humble and trade smart!
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Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
Wheat Target 1222-1268As an upward C of B wave in a flat correction, this rally should retrace about 90% of the wave "a" segment that constituted most of the recent decline from the all-time high.
This analysis will need to be revised if price falls below 593, because that it is the thrust origin for the rally, so that would be an ideal stop loss level for a long trade here.
WHEAT - SHORT; Continued SELLing for the foreseeable future"Margin pressures; How to survive in an over-provisioned environment." - Was the topic/title of a recent grain cash traders' conference. What does that tell you?...
In short, industry insiders do not expect to see daylight (i.e. profits) as far out as 2025! - And that concludes the essence of all that was said during that get-together.
(Try that on for "inflationary pressures" .)