money rotations,"the dow bones, the og index has already shown us what the market is about to do.
those who know, shall prosper, those who don't will be left behind in the winds."
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i'm theorizing that all the dow money is going to rotate into big tech, small caps, and the spx500 in the next 3-4 months.
it's more probable for the dow to just chop while everything else runs up big time.
don't get caught in the distribution phase, seek opportunity elsewhere.
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dow bones, expanded flat target sits between 36.1~36.8k.
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happy holidays ♥
MYM1! trade ideas
YM1! 2W BEAR CYPHER, Steep drop expected DEC/JANThe 2W chart for DJI futures has entered trade for bear cypher harmonic pattern. The shape of this pattern typically retraces at pt1 back toward initial pattern entry/SL, then progresses sharply to pt2/3/4. I've indicated what the path typically looks like in red.
Best wishes for trading the holidays! -Worm
Dow Jones Weekly Volatility Analysis 5-9 Dec 2022 Dow Jones Weekly Volatility Analysis 5-9 Dec 2022
We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 2.82%, down from 3.06% last week according to VXD data
With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 7th percentile, while according to VXD, we are on 8th percentile.
Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between:
Bullish: 2.6% movement
Bearish: 1.9% movement
At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset,
meaning that there is a 19.5% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel:
TOP: 35473
BOT: 33370
Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is :
79% probability we are going to touch previous high of 34750
21% probability we are going to touch previous low of 33370
Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from
Weekly timeframe indicates 77% BULLISH trend
Daily timeframe indicates 80% BULLISH trend
4H timeframe indicates 53.3% BULLISH trend
Dow mini futures - volume resistance aboveOne of the best preforming parts of the stock market in recent weeks has been the Dow Jones Industrial average. On this mini futures chart I can see that this could be the time where we see a serious pull back because there is a high volume zone right above where we are now.
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 NOV 28
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 NOV 28
Scenario1 continuation long was in place from Nov 07's analysis.
Weakness are appearing on all timeframes. Tighten stops on
long positions. Volume was thin due to US holidays. Expected
to remain thin as year end approaches.
Possible scenarios:
1) Temporary short if 34246-33800 is rejected
2) Stay out of market since volume is thin
3) Continuation long if 34246-33800 is supported
Price reaction levels
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
35750 35330 34246-33800
33106 31793
30513 28635
Weekly: ND on uptrend = minor weakenss
Daily: Declining volume + narrow spreads = weakness
H4: Supply observed
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable week ahead.
Dow Jones Bear Case.gm,
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The highest request over the last few weeks = "elo, what's your bear case on the stonk market?".
Well, you guys asked for it...
So I'm here to give you just that.
A face ripping,
soul crushing,
heart wrenching dip;
which takes the average american's 401k,
and turns it into a 201k.
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Tuesday November 29th 2022 ~ December 21st 2022 = my calculated top.
Estimated to sit between 34,329 ~ 36,697.
.
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Friday May 12th 2023 ~ Tuesday October 24th = my calculated bottom.
Estimated to sit between 27,317 ~ 23,620
.
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🔺
dowjones 4hour : all scenario on dow 1-70% go down and touch support and go up to fibo161
2-30% go down break support and go downer
above green arrow after pinbar come on 1hour or 4hour or daily chart we must buy Sl: pinbar low and hold to new high ok?
if you have old sell,you must close all or hedge them in fibo50 33760-33770...dont forget dow,index, dax sp500 and gold love buy and uptrend so sell on them is very very dangerous..check weekly chart exactly
note: as predict 10 days ago in low dow can go to 35000 even 3600 so be careful from sell and 90% looking for buy
ALERT: END OF YEAR UP TREND RALLY ON INDEX LIKE DAX NASDAQ SP500 AND DOW CAN START
good luck
Dow Jones: Down UnderAfter moving sideways for a while, we're expecting Dow Jones to drop into the orange target zone between 32 762 and 31 980 points to complete wave iv in orange in order to push the trend back up to the orange target zone between 34 305 and 35 466 points. After managing to pull itself up there to compete wave (i) in blue, we expect the course to drop back South.
In our alternative scenario, Dow Jones can't turn the trend up this early and continues to drop below the support line at 31 738 points. After crossing this mark, the course should sink further into the blue zone between 31 331 and 29 789 points until wave alt. (iii) in blue hits its low before turning back up to move North. blue hits its low before turning back up to move North.
Is this rally a bear trap or a resuming bull? This is what we will be discussing today, and we are going to study both its technical and fundamental reasons and subsequently to derive why it is a bear trap? Or could it be a new bull in the making?
I hope this tutorial will be helpful, in enabling you to read into the market with greater clarity.
I have started a trading series, purpose for trading into longevity. Last week was on Buy Strategy, today on Sell Strategy. These strategies shared, they all can be applied to most markets and in different time frames.
Content:
a) The sell strategy – applicable to both:
· Long-term – Fundamental & Technical
· Short-term – Fundamental & Technical
b) Bull or Bear?
Some important dates:
14 Dec 21 - Fed: "Inflation no longer transitory"
10 Nov 22 – Oct CPI @ 7.7%, below expectation of 8.2%
Micro E-mini Dow Jones Futures
Minimum fluctuation
1 index point = $0.50
10 = $5
100 = $50
Of course if you need something more sizable, there is the E-mini Dow Jones Futures.
You can refer to the links below, you will find some of my past video tutorials, on how I time the different markets.
As time passes, you will see how nicely most markets trend along our analysis then.
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
DOWJONES 4hour : be careful from sell , upper target is 360002 scenario on dow possible
1- if it can break high door will open to 36000
2-in bad scenario with bad news it can go down to fibo50 then start wave2 of uptrend WE MUST BUY IT ABOVE GREEN ARROW AFTER PINBAR APPEAR IN 1HOUR,4HOUR,DAILY CHART and hold it 7-8 day to 36000 area
if you have old sell, close them soon as soon or hedge them with higher size: 1.5*total sell size
ALERT : NEW YEAR WILD RALLY CAN START SO DONT PICK SELL ,LOOKING FOR BUY dont forget like gold DOW love buy and upside trend
good luck