MYM1! trade ideas
Dow Jones monthly points to WWIII bear trap ruse just like C0V1DThe strong bounce on a confluence of supports--plus the usual "but we've only seen the beginning of the bear market lol" articles--would strongly suggest that the yellow brick inflation road will continue (see both related ideas) and that recent market activity is another ploy to keep retail anxious / confused / short (valid for as long as the highlighted supports hold)
DowJones 32499 Target Achieved, What Next?Technical & Trade View
Dow Jones (emini futures continuous contract)
Bias: Intraday Bullish Above Bearish below 32400
Option Expiry:
32499 Target Achieved…New Pattern Emerging
Technicals
Intraday 32400 is primary support
Primary pattern objective is 33500
Acceptance above 33050 next pattern confirmation
Failure below 32200 opens a test of 31900
20 Day VWAP bullish, 5 Day VWAP bullish
YM1! - Weekly Market Update, 10/17The indices had a rather wild week, the technicals are approaching being oversold. A bounce from here would not be unexpected as there is some consolidation occurring as price is currently hovering around the June low's area.
I'd like to see the market cycle back to an area of being overbought and finding a low risk confirmed area to short from. At this time I'm looking for thing's to setup again for a desirable entry.
I've adjusted support and resistance structures accordingly.
MYM Showing Signs of Bull Trap | Market Structure"Show me the weekly charts and I'll show you the news"
For MYM/ Dow Jones we have a clear market structure being formed with lower highs and lower lows with a distinct trend line. There is still bearish news with inflation until December at least for the feds, the market is showing signs that we are preparing to go short for the next month or so.
If we close Friday with a wick on the weekly, prepare to enjoy some nice trends that shall sink like the Titanic over the next few weeks.
Dow Jones Futures: Close to front cloud chart resistance zone!Dow Jones Futures: Close to the front cloud chart resistance zone of 31442. Need to see a breakout above this cloud chart resistance zone to change outlook to bullish from bearish on the cloud chart. Critical week ahead!
We had a great rebound rally after rebounding from the 29490 support zones on the weekly cloud chart!
YM1! - Weekly Market Update, 10/24Dow futures are approaching their 50 day SMA after a rather aggressive bear market rally these past few week.
The ORANGE and BLACK channels overhead will act as resistance along with the 50 day SMA.
The market this past week was broadly oversold which is believed to support this relief rally.
All technical indicators point to a longer term bearish scenario at this time, at least until we start to see some technical and fundamental changes.
Dow Jones: Bar ExercisesOur athletic Dow Jones! After it has hopped from line to line, all the while finishing not only the overarching downwards movement in the course of wave iv in magenta but also waves (i) and (ii) in blue, the index has continued its fitness training with some bar exercises at the resistance line at 30513 points. We expect it to upswing from this mark, rising into the blue zone between 32567 and 33685 points to complete wave (iii) in blue, before starting a countermovement. However, there is a 45% chance that Dow Jones could lose its grip and drop below the support at 29640 points, thus triggering further descent below the next mark at 28635 points.
Outside and Insidebar days next to each other started trendsin the past those inside bar days next to outside bar days triggered a trend changes.
due to the lower risk i like to go long above an insideday bar with the stop below the prior days low.
Lets see how long this uptrend will last
there is always the chance for a drop down below the 50% level and the trend is still going upwards...
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 OCT 17US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 OCT 17
Support at 28886 long was fruitful.
Market is in rotation of 1800pts. Next target should be toward bottom
of rotation range 28635.
Possible scenarios:
1) Rotation play = trades to be taken at boundary of range.
2) Signs of breakout = look for higher lows / market loitering near
-> breakout of zone, --> test and accept of breakout = long
3) Signs of breakdown = look for lower highs / market loitering
near bottom of range --> breakdown of range --> Short on test and
reject of breakdown
Price reaction levels
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
32789 31793 31385
30513 28732 29639
29315 27741 26876
26212
Weekly: High vol up bar close off high toward middle = undecisive
Daily: Ave vol down bar close off at low = minor supply
H4: Very high vol down bar close at low = demand present
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Have a profitable week ahead.