YM1! - Weekly Market Update, 10/24Dow futures are approaching their 50 day SMA after a rather aggressive bear market rally these past few week.
The ORANGE and BLACK channels overhead will act as resistance along with the 50 day SMA.
The market this past week was broadly oversold which is believed to support this relief rally.
All technical indicators point to a longer term bearish scenario at this time, at least until we start to see some technical and fundamental changes.
MYM1! trade ideas
Dow Jones: Bar ExercisesOur athletic Dow Jones! After it has hopped from line to line, all the while finishing not only the overarching downwards movement in the course of wave iv in magenta but also waves (i) and (ii) in blue, the index has continued its fitness training with some bar exercises at the resistance line at 30513 points. We expect it to upswing from this mark, rising into the blue zone between 32567 and 33685 points to complete wave (iii) in blue, before starting a countermovement. However, there is a 45% chance that Dow Jones could lose its grip and drop below the support at 29640 points, thus triggering further descent below the next mark at 28635 points.
Outside and Insidebar days next to each other started trendsin the past those inside bar days next to outside bar days triggered a trend changes.
due to the lower risk i like to go long above an insideday bar with the stop below the prior days low.
Lets see how long this uptrend will last
there is always the chance for a drop down below the 50% level and the trend is still going upwards...
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 OCT 17US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 OCT 17
Support at 28886 long was fruitful.
Market is in rotation of 1800pts. Next target should be toward bottom
of rotation range 28635.
Possible scenarios:
1) Rotation play = trades to be taken at boundary of range.
2) Signs of breakout = look for higher lows / market loitering near
-> breakout of zone, --> test and accept of breakout = long
3) Signs of breakdown = look for lower highs / market loitering
near bottom of range --> breakdown of range --> Short on test and
reject of breakdown
Price reaction levels
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
32789 31793 31385
30513 28732 29639
29315 27741 26876
26212
Weekly: High vol up bar close off high toward middle = undecisive
Daily: Ave vol down bar close off at low = minor supply
H4: Very high vol down bar close at low = demand present
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable week ahead.
YM1! - Weekly Market Update, 10/17The indices had a rather wild week, the technicals are approaching being oversold. A bounce from here would not be unexpected as there is some consolidation occurring as price is currently hovering around the June low's area.
I'd like to see the market cycle back to an area of being overbought and finding a low risk confirmed area to short from. At this time I'm looking for thing's to setup again for a desirable entry.
I've adjusted support and resistance structures accordingly.
Free money! CPI news tomorrow, bull or bear, 830a eastern.Greetings Traders. Tomorrow on Thursday October 13th, 2022 is the CPI earnings report. This release happens at approximately 8:30am eastern time. However, market movement will be starting early tonight, premium collection territory.
The YM1! e-mini dow jones futures will show plenty of chart movement.
I have marked the chart. no requirement for a stop as the chart will satisfy within the purple range and touch the purple lines, all that's required is time. Once the purple line has been touched at anytime on the chart then the market has satisfied that portion of the move, that move is now marked as complete. Both purple lines will be touched, there is a lot of liquidity where the market would like to go and its marked by the purple ellipses on the chart. The purple lines also represent a 1 deviation move from the days average mean in either direction which didn't happen yesterday. Its very likely both lines at 29461 and 29165 will be touched at least once by Thursday market close late tomorrow.
Plenty of volatility for bulls and bears tomorrow! Starting Wednesday evening.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
Strategy for bear #DJI #DJIA1!I'd like to say to everyone reading this hello! I like to draw symmetrical lines and uncover hidden meanings in their relationships. This is a chart of lines I have drawn. Sometimes I like to illustrate my drawings with icons. Historiclese ensures the historical accuracy of each drawing. I hope these lines speak to you well!
DJIA1! SHORTS 1HI'd like to say to everyone reading this hello! I like to draw symmetrical lines and uncover hidden meanings in their relationships. This is a chart of lines I have drawn. Sometimes I like to illustrate my drawings with icons. Historiclese ensures the historical accuracy of each drawing. I hope it speaks to you too!
DOW JONES 1DPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you enter carefully the price behavior with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message..
Enjoy Trading... ;)
/ym #Technical analysis/ym trading at the monthly support zone.
support zone - 28700,27450,25247
resistance - 29700, 31800
Because of fed interest rate hike decision the market behaves choppy and neutral bear market.
should be more cautious for daily trading,
whereas buy the dip opportunity for long-term investment good returns over time.
This week trend may reverse from here for retracement. Short the rip for Traders.
Fomc minutes and cpi data this week lots of volatility.
Happy Trading!!!
Elliott Wave View: Dips in Dow Futures (YM) Might Find SupportDow Futures (YM) shows incomplete bearish sequence from 1.5.2022 high favoring further downside. The decline from 8.16.2022 high is in progress as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from 8.16.2022 high, wave A ended at 30975 and rally in wave B ended at 32789. Index extends lower again wave C towards 28635 which completed wave (W). Rally in wave (X) is currently in progress as a zigzag structure as the 60 minutes chart below shows.
Up from wave (W), wave ((i)) ended at 28974 and dips in wave ((ii)) ended at 28772. Index extends higher in wave ((iii)) towards 30399, and pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 29933. Final leg higher wave ((v)) ended at 30513 which completed wave A. Wave B pullback is in play to correct cycle from 10.3.2022 low before the rally resumes. As far as pivot at 28646 low stays intact, expect dips to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for 1 more push higher to end wave C of (X). Afterwards, Index should resume the decline lower in wave (Y). Potential target lower is 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension from 1.5.2022 high at 22560 – 27022.