MZS1! trade ideas
ZN or Soybean Future Long Train soon...Watching soybean futures now, with a bullish bais at this time. Looks like, if you look left on daily chart (a double or triple botton) is happening now. June is a cyclical time with Soybean from being bearish to going bullish for next month or two. Also, look left, specially on daily charts for support and resistance.
Soybeans running out of RSI - Bull ButterflyAugust Soybeans is nearing S3 at 966'2 and almost depleted RSI. This will give us a double bottom and a Bull Butterfly. This market could jump up then continue down into the 954 area and 935, although 935 might be a long shot. We might get a W bottom or sideways channelling down here.
Soybean Meal Head and ShouldersSeptember Soybean Meal has created an H&S. Market is now at the neckline and waiting to see if it breaks. Minimal drop would be to S2 at 364.3. Minimal shoulder height would put it at S3 at 353.5. Large sells for this formation came in at the 20 day MA at 378.1. There is also a support line coming in at 357 so this may be a launching area for an upward move. The other issue is an RSI support line that is almost reached. This tracks back several months. To make this H&S successful that line will have to be breached.
July Soybean Bullish BatWith all these Gartley patterns it's nice that we have a different setup on Soybeans. A bullish Bat may be in store for Soybeans. We are nearing a 20 day MA cross over. Again like Corn, Soybean Meal, Soybeans may use 20 day MA as support for another run up. We are watching breach of downtrend line for RSI.
May Soybean Head and ShouldersNew pivots for May Soybeans are in. Last shoulder has been created. Heavy buying on Thursday created right shoulder and reversal selling is pushing beans to cross the 20 day moving average. If this H&S pans out, minimal shoulder comes out at S3 at 972'2. Initial target is neckline at around S1 at 1017'1.
Soybeans Calling BIG down day today for beans. Looks like a weak Argentina crop cant compete with a +500bu carryout in the US. And talk of farmers increasing acres... How is the thought of that going to help things.
This tariff talk... Not going to be friendly in regards to US exports to china.
And about those technicals...
I mean come on. This market was OVERBOUGHT. end of story.
I think this one is a near term short play. Momentum is headed down. Get out of the way and catch a ride down the hill. New support will be found or it will head all the way down to the lower parallel.
I mean yes, large specs are still long overall, and this thing could get choppy with another super dry forecast over the weekend. Buuuuut too many bearish indicators in this one telling us its due for a little beating.
How much lower could we go? That is the magic question my friend. But for now, sure feels like some short term profit potential is calling.
We will see how this plays out...