Dow Jones potential for a drop! | 22nd June 2022On the H4, with price expected to bounce off the stochastics indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from our 1st support at 29748 where the 127.2% Fibonacci extension is to our 1st resistance at 30795 in line with the horizontal pullback support. Alternatively, price may break structure and head for 2nd support where the 161.8% Fibonacci extension is.
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YM1! trade ideas
2 Steps in Drawing a Downtrend Channel A buying strategy in a downtrend.
How to identify buying opportunity in a downtrend?
Not my preference to buy in a downtrend, but that does not mean we should avoid it when buying opportunity arises.
Recognizing it is a downtrend, we keep our buy position short-term; as we are going against the trend.
Discussion: Rules in constructing a downtrend parallel trendline
Rule 1 – First the downtrend line
Rule 2 – Then, its parallel
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DJI potential for rise! | 21st June 2022On the H4, with price expected to bounce off the stochastics indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from our 1st support at 29748 where the 127.2% Fibonacci extension is to our 1st resistance at 30795 in line with the horizontal pullback support. Alternatively, price may break structure and head for 2nd support where the 161.8% Fibonacci extension is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
DOW daily : looking for buy with SL in low , hold it 7-8 day personaly i belive dow will see EMA200 daily 33500 soon
BUY BUT 100% PUT SL IN LOW , NEVER REMOVE SL , dont close buy soon , after +80 point ,move SL to open price,let it go
if dow break low (need bad news) above green arrow (next posible low) when pinbar comes we can buy and hold to high
good luck
Showcase: Trading the e-mini Dow Jones (YM) 22-06-201. Did a long trade (paper trading) on e-mini Dow Jones.
2. Reason for the long trade:
a) Price do a higher lower; a UT bar appears but the next bar overtake the UT.
b) Volume is supporting the upward move.
c) Strong support level at 29910 range.
3. Trade entered with SL @ 50pts and TP @ 75pts; as price move upwards with unrealised profit, the SL is revised upwards to minimise the losses and eventually lock-in the profit.
4. Price eventually do a pullback after breaking the recent Resistance (29966 range); our SL got hit and we exited with a realised profit of 24pts.
5. Price may move upwards from hereon; it is OK to exit with a small profit rather than be ambitious.
We can't go anywhere without the DOWI was a bullish hopeful at the start of the week...I was thinking we would fill the 4K gap on the ES and then just go. Instead we spent 4 days closing below this figure. Yes, we closed the week above it and kept the lagging span just above the cloud but we cannot go anywhere with the DOW and this chart says it all. Neckline is clearly broken. Now, I do think we could have a minor rally to end May with a possible green monthly candle.
The charts are clearly broken and will have limited re-tracements IMO.
The NQ & RTY are in bear markets, enough said there.
Sell the rip....
YM1! - Weekly Market Update, 6/20/22Dow Futures have triggered a short opportunity based upon last week's price settlement. I've detailed my ideal entry, stop loss and targeted areas on the chart.
I've also updated support and resistance structures for your reference. Wishing you a blessed and profitable week ahead!
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 JUNE 20 Week
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 JUNE 20 Week
Last week shorts reigned. The week ended with demand coming in to support the market.
We may see long opportunity near 29639 temporarily.
Else, wait for price reaction to 29639.
Possible scenarios considered are:
1) 29639 support fail for short continuation
2) Channel and 29639 support: Return of demand for temporary long opportunity
3) If market retrace on low volume to higher levels and is rejected = short
Price reaction levels
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
32563 31299 30999
30157 29639 26212
Weekly: High vol wide spread down bar close off low = demand has come in.
Daily: High vol down bar, narrower spread and closing off low = strength - demand has come in
H4: Last 2 bars combined = UHV down bar closing in middle = Demand present
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable week ahead.
Dow daily say : fibo 161% say dow can crash to 29000above green arrow (next posible low place) when pinbar on 1hour , 4haur or daily chart come , we must pick buy ok? but with SL in pinbar low understand ? for hold to high
if clear buy pinbar verfy not come , wait more , dont pick buy
if pinbar comes , dont fear pick buy but very low size , dont close it soon,after 80 point move SL to open price , let it go upper ,try hold it until 34000 area (can take 10 day)
personaly i think 29500(2nd green arrow) is 2022 low , then dow will start big +up trend to high
good luck , if you have old buys in witout SL you are in danger ,dow can go downer in coming hour ,for help contact my Telgram :ramin_trader2006
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 JUNE 13 Week
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 JUNE 13 Week
Last week we see a Scenario1 Rotation followed by Scenario3.
Market descended on strong volume, very nice short.
Possible scenarios considered are:
1) Market continue to be in rotation between 33205-32500
= Wait
2)32728 becomes support
3) 32728 becomes rejected and market return to test
30584-30926
Price reaction levels
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
36446 35750 35330
34807 34027 33531
33205 32563
31411 30926 30584
Weekly: Ave vol down bar close at low = Supply remains
Daily: Ave vol down bar closing toward low = Supply remains
H4: Ave vol down bar closing off low = some demand present
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable week ahead.
Dow Jones Potential bullish rise | 9th June 2022On the H4, with RSI moving in an ascending trendline, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from our 1st support at 32685 where the horizontal swing low support and 38.2% fibonacci retracement are to our 1st resistance at 34042 in line with the swing high resistance and 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Alternatively, price may break structure and head for 2nd support at 31876 where the pullback support, 78.6% fibonacci projection and 78.6% fibonacci retracement are.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Dow Jones Index tracing a triangle - means that upside has begunThe benchmark index Dow Jones Industrial Average, or simply put DJIA has been an upside since late May and the question going around is whether this rise is for real is it only a retracement before next wave down. I believe the correction is most likely over and the bounce we have been seeing of late is indeed a market reversal.
What you are seeing in the chart above is a triangle on a 2-hr chart of Dow Jones. Triangle patterns are always time consuming to the point of frustrating buyers and sellers alike, but they signify a thing or two and those are worth noting. Firstly, triangles appear in wave 4 (in a five wave structure), which means that after the triangle completes (which it will very soon as shown by the arrows on the chart), it will mark a brisk rise in prices in wave 5. The not so good news is that it also means that prices will correct significantly after completion of wave 5.
Overall the wave iv and wave v are part of an intermediate Wave 1 and the correction soon to follow (after wave v) will comprise wave 2. The markets will commence a major bull run in wave 3 once wave 2 retracement correction completes. So, tighten your seat belts and get ready for real action the markets. Most world indexes move together, which also means that along with US indices, most other major indices including DAX, FTSE, NIFTY etc. should mov along.