YM1! trade ideas
DJI Short Setup & Measured Move to ~32kDow Jones Industrial Average is overbought. I can tell without using RSI or any other momentum indicator. Thus, we have our short setup for this week.
The ellipses point towards a very steep angle down, which could serve as a prime example for how far it can move vertically downward on peak selling. This can be very useful when measuring subsequent projected moves for future shorting and could offer some valuable insight into what kind of Elliott Wave correction might be forming on the monthly chart.
I'm already long DIA Puts held over the weekend, but Ill be adding to these two specific strikes/expirations if there's any sort of opening pullback upward. See below for details:
Contract 1 - Long DIA Put (1/3rd Total Position) - 342 Strike, 1/28 Expiration
Contract 2 - Long DIA Put (2/3rd Total Position) - 340 Strike, 2/4 Expiration
For those new to my options plays, I only list the speculative long positions that I have and not the short call positions that I intend to open because most do not have access to such methods. I will be shorting the calls two bucks above the open for 1/28 exp.
Anywho, the elliptical geometry seems to be leaning towards an incredible 5000 point measured move down vector that will likely start and end in the same trading day! Unless that triggers a circuit breaker on an equivalent move down in SPX, itll be an all time record for sure.
-Ellipti-Pig
DJ:DJI
SP:SPX
CURRENCYCOM:US30
CURRENCYCOM:US500
AMEX:DIA
AMEX:SPY
DJI Potential bearish drop | 24 June 2022On the H4, with price expected to reverse off the ichimoku cloud resistance, we have a bearish bias that price will drop from our 1st resistance at 30795 where the horizontal pullback resistance is to our 1st support at 29748 in line with the horizontal swing low support. Alternatively, price may head for 2nd resistance where the horizontal pullback resistance and 50% Fibonacci retracement is.
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DJI Potential bearish drop | 23rd June 2022On the H4, with price moving below the ichimoku cloud, we have a bearish bias that price will rise from our 1st resistance at 30795 where the horizontal pullback resistance is to our 1st support at 29748 in line with the horizontal swing low support. Alternatively, price may head for 2nd resistance where the horizontal pullback resistance and 50% Fibonacci retracement is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Dow Jones potential for a drop! | 22nd June 2022On the H4, with price expected to bounce off the stochastics indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from our 1st support at 29748 where the 127.2% Fibonacci extension is to our 1st resistance at 30795 in line with the horizontal pullback support. Alternatively, price may break structure and head for 2nd support where the 161.8% Fibonacci extension is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
2 Steps in Drawing a Downtrend Channel A buying strategy in a downtrend.
How to identify buying opportunity in a downtrend?
Not my preference to buy in a downtrend, but that does not mean we should avoid it when buying opportunity arises.
Recognizing it is a downtrend, we keep our buy position short-term; as we are going against the trend.
Discussion: Rules in constructing a downtrend parallel trendline
Rule 1 – First the downtrend line
Rule 2 – Then, its parallel
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
DJI potential for rise! | 21st June 2022On the H4, with price expected to bounce off the stochastics indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise from our 1st support at 29748 where the 127.2% Fibonacci extension is to our 1st resistance at 30795 in line with the horizontal pullback support. Alternatively, price may break structure and head for 2nd support where the 161.8% Fibonacci extension is.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
DOW daily : looking for buy with SL in low , hold it 7-8 day personaly i belive dow will see EMA200 daily 33500 soon
BUY BUT 100% PUT SL IN LOW , NEVER REMOVE SL , dont close buy soon , after +80 point ,move SL to open price,let it go
if dow break low (need bad news) above green arrow (next posible low) when pinbar comes we can buy and hold to high
good luck
Showcase: Trading the e-mini Dow Jones (YM) 22-06-201. Did a long trade (paper trading) on e-mini Dow Jones.
2. Reason for the long trade:
a) Price do a higher lower; a UT bar appears but the next bar overtake the UT.
b) Volume is supporting the upward move.
c) Strong support level at 29910 range.
3. Trade entered with SL @ 50pts and TP @ 75pts; as price move upwards with unrealised profit, the SL is revised upwards to minimise the losses and eventually lock-in the profit.
4. Price eventually do a pullback after breaking the recent Resistance (29966 range); our SL got hit and we exited with a realised profit of 24pts.
5. Price may move upwards from hereon; it is OK to exit with a small profit rather than be ambitious.
We can't go anywhere without the DOWI was a bullish hopeful at the start of the week...I was thinking we would fill the 4K gap on the ES and then just go. Instead we spent 4 days closing below this figure. Yes, we closed the week above it and kept the lagging span just above the cloud but we cannot go anywhere with the DOW and this chart says it all. Neckline is clearly broken. Now, I do think we could have a minor rally to end May with a possible green monthly candle.
The charts are clearly broken and will have limited re-tracements IMO.
The NQ & RTY are in bear markets, enough said there.
Sell the rip....
YM1! - Weekly Market Update, 6/20/22Dow Futures have triggered a short opportunity based upon last week's price settlement. I've detailed my ideal entry, stop loss and targeted areas on the chart.
I've also updated support and resistance structures for your reference. Wishing you a blessed and profitable week ahead!
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 JUNE 20 Week
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 JUNE 20 Week
Last week shorts reigned. The week ended with demand coming in to support the market.
We may see long opportunity near 29639 temporarily.
Else, wait for price reaction to 29639.
Possible scenarios considered are:
1) 29639 support fail for short continuation
2) Channel and 29639 support: Return of demand for temporary long opportunity
3) If market retrace on low volume to higher levels and is rejected = short
Price reaction levels
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
32563 31299 30999
30157 29639 26212
Weekly: High vol wide spread down bar close off low = demand has come in.
Daily: High vol down bar, narrower spread and closing off low = strength - demand has come in
H4: Last 2 bars combined = UHV down bar closing in middle = Demand present
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable week ahead.
Dow daily say : fibo 161% say dow can crash to 29000above green arrow (next posible low place) when pinbar on 1hour , 4haur or daily chart come , we must pick buy ok? but with SL in pinbar low understand ? for hold to high
if clear buy pinbar verfy not come , wait more , dont pick buy
if pinbar comes , dont fear pick buy but very low size , dont close it soon,after 80 point move SL to open price , let it go upper ,try hold it until 34000 area (can take 10 day)
personaly i think 29500(2nd green arrow) is 2022 low , then dow will start big +up trend to high
good luck , if you have old buys in witout SL you are in danger ,dow can go downer in coming hour ,for help contact my Telgram :ramin_trader2006