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YM1! trade ideas

2024 Range Bound (Buy Lows, Sell Highs)2024 is shaping up to be a range bound year. I am not going to try to analyze what will happen years from now. I am taking it year by year. The last time we had a Doji candle year was in 2015. It even had the same increased volatility and sell off in August. If I see that little double bottom again, I am going long back up into the top of the range. It seems like every time it goes long, it does that silly little double dip first. I am flat all positions as I don't know the market's intention. Part of me thinks the 33 Secular Bull trend will continue up and another part of me can see a 40% sell off. I will be humble and take it day by day. Until then I will be playing short term on this range. It seems to me like we are getting ready to bounce up off of the blue 2024 open line. Same in 2015
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
August Gameplan Continuation Of Mitigated RangeUsing the prior range, price has retraced back into the 50% level to mitigate orders. This also aligns with the uptrendline on the weekly. I am expecting August to be an EXTREMELY bullish month with a huge pin bar at the bottom. I believe this is the month that will break out of 42,000. Using the fuel from shorts, I can see 6 points of reference for a squeeze back up. 1. The creeping order flow before the blow off down. This signals the bottom. 2. The gap just above the creeping order flow. 3. The gap on the Daily just under August's Open Price of 41,115 4. The 3 liquidity highs at 41,300 41,430 41,675 The June 20th to July 10th range SHOULD be defended and NOT be breached IF my thesis will play out. On the Weekly, I am expecting price to start buying and complete the 42,000 breakout.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
Weekly Overview: YM1 Dow Jones AnalysisThis week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (YM1) offers a critical technical landscape for traders. With the Nasdaq closing at 39,879, our outlook will hinge on this key level, determining whether the market will trend bullishly above or bearishly below. In the absence of significant fundamental news, technical indicators and market sentiment will play pivotal roles in shaping our trading strategies. Key support and resistance levels, along with volume trends and market momentum, will be essential in predicting the Dow's movements. Traders should remain vigilant and responsive to these technical cues to navigate the market effectively.
CBOT_MINI:MYM1!
by MOTIONCAPITALTRADING
YM - Singularity Between Them AllUnlike ES and NQ, the monthly candle closed out as a inside month, in comparative to the previous month which is different. I like to see when all three markets are moving lockstep with each other. However, YM is a market i use as a sort of barometer to gauge the strength of ES so information like this is crucial for risk management purposes. Although this month was a inside month, business was conducted inside the volume imbalance located @ $39,469 - $39,560 before a relief rally ensued. Will this continue?? I have my eyes on $40,400
CBOT_MINI:YMU2024Long
by LegendSince
Week of FOMC Bullish Continuation of Range Running HighsI anticipate next week of July FOMC to be a bullish week to run the highs inside this range. I will be Day trading off of the 15-minute chart using the 4 hours as my structure. I will only be looking for buys. Of course, seeing how this is a range, it could also just as easily sell back down into the bottom of the range. I will see how my support zone holds up. There is a setup of buying a pullback up to the highs but I am not quite fond of being a buyer at the middle of the range. They call the middle the slaughter house for a reason. If you do want to take it, then I would go light as it is a bit more risky.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
November 2025 Shorting Opportunity 1987 2.0 Flash CrashUsing 1987 as my template on the weekly chart, I am following price up to 49,500 at the 1.25X range expansion where I will place half my order. Then when I see a lower high and engulfment, I will place the other half of my order for the flash crash down to the 50% gold line. I will be using 1200 tick stops with 11,000 tick targets. I am expecting around November of 2025 as the time to go short. I will use 5 MYM micros risking $3,000 on the first half and another 5 MYM for $3,000 on the second half. IF, everything goes to my plan, then I will bank $55,000 on this trade. I will then use that $55,000 to buy my YM down at the 38,000 level to then start the wealth accumulation towards 150,000 SEE 1987 CHART BELOW FOR REFERENCE:
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
9
Best Trade Setup Low Of Day Parabolic Trend Squeeze Backtesting I will be going over this repeatable setup on the 15 minute chart and my goal is to master every little nuance of this setup. This setup offers at least 4-8 times your risk on the day trade. I have noticed that there are 3 variations of this setup depending on how Asia and London set it up. A quick run down of the tools I use Highlighter blue: Where the greatest entry would be for little to no drawdown after the market has been set up Range expansion: The high to low of the rectangle box to project upwards potential profit targets of 1.5-2.5 times that box Cyan Line: The day's current open price Green Line: The Low of Day heading into the NY session window I am making this post to help others and for me to reference often to better understand this setup that I want to master. Like Mcdonald's I need a repeatable product that is cookie cutter that I can reliably profit off of. I have noticed that this happens 4-5 times per month and up to 8 times some months. 4-5 times a month is a 20-25% occurrence rate based on 20 standard trading days in said month.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
Elliott Wave Analysis: Dow Futures (YM) Resumes Bullish TrendShort Term Elliott Wave View in E-Mini Dow Jones Futures (YM) suggests the trend should continue higher within the sequence started from April-2024 low as the part of daily sequence. It favors upside in wave 5 of (5) since 18-April, 2024 low, while dips remain above 40053 low. Since April-2024 low of (4), it placed 1 at 40213 high, 2 at 38111 low as dip pullback and 3 at 41672 high. It ended 4 as clear 3 swing zigzag pullback at 40053 low and favors upside in 5, which confirms above 41672 high to avoid any double correction, if breaks below 40053 low. Within 4 correction, it placed ((a)) at 40466 low, ((b)) at 40795 high and ((c)) at 40053 low, which missed the equal leg areas in 4 before resume higher. Above 4 low, it placed ((i)) of 5 at 41051 high and favors corrective pullback in ((ii)), which should remain above 40053 low to extend higher in ((iii)). Within ((i)), it placed (i) at 40685 high, (ii) at 40158 low, (iii) at 41029 high, (iv) at 40863 low and finally (v) at 41051 high as ((i)). It placed (a) of ((ii)) at 40606 low and favors bounce in (b) before turning lower in (c) to finish ((ii)). As long as it stays above 40053 low, it should resume higher in 5 and can extend towards 42052 – 42671 area to finish the impulse started from April-2024 low before correcting lower. Alternatively, if it breaks below 40053 low, it can do double correction towards 39432 or lower levels before it should turn higher.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Elliottwave-Forecast
YM Day Trade and Swing Trade (Setup Range Sell Continuation)For my Monday gameplan: Downtrend continuation from the Range High to the Range Bottom Pullback Somewhere in the 50% level Take out the low from Friday and the 5 bottom liquidity from last Monday- Tuesday Hit the mid point of the bottom of the range and close the gap from last Monday Daytrade: 50 tick stop 200 tick target 4:1 Not looking for anything massive, just 150-200 ticks. My daytrades are base hits Swing Trade: On my other swing trading account, I will take the same trade idea and hold it for a couple days, using a bigger stop and bigger target 150 tick stop 800 tick target 8.33:1 Target possibly hit if trade works, Tuesday
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
Dow Jones Futures Daytrading Setup Continuation Long 41,750I am looking for a pullback Long for the continuation up to 41,750 which is around the 2X range expansion. A somewhat of a repeat of yesterday. A dip below the open followed by Long at the NY open. I will have to see how price is behaving towards the NY open. My stops are always 50 ticks and my targets are 150 ticks. 3 to 1 Using my wealth trade, price is now in breakout mode on the weekly and will be ripping higher to 49,000. I will only be looking for Longs for the next 12 months.
CBOT_MINI:MYM1!Long
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
Dow Jones Transitioning Into Range August CPI BreakoutDow Jones has now transitioned into a range. I will be changing my plays to range bound plays. My thesis is it will spend 4 weeks going sideways before the August CPI report will breakout Long up to 42,000 and then up to 49,000. I will look for sells in the red upper box and buys in green lower box. I will use the quarter dotted lines as price targets and possible bounces off of. I will be looking for runs of highs and lows for liquidity sweeps. Each 25% level of this range is roughly 350 ticks. The entire high to low of this range is roughly 1400 ticks Here is a rough idea of how I plan to daytrade this range. Looking to target swing highs and lows for sweeps Looking to target each 25% level for profit targets Entry Model: 15 minute chart 4 Hour Structure Weekly Trend 50 tick Stops 150 tick Targets 3:1 risk to reward 40-45% win rate Only 2 losses per trading day
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
Dow Jones Wealth Building Trades 1987 2.0 Long 49,000I have fine tuned my add strategy on this trade that I have been in for almost a month now. I am trading off of the weekly chart. My original entry was June 30th at 39,520 I added again July 16th at 41,268 I plan on adding three more times, using the profits from the other two positions to fund these new positions. Add 2: 42,500 area Add 3: 44,000 area Add 4: 45,200 area I will bail out and close all positions by 48,500-49,000 area What I don't get is why the market is setting up another 1987 style flash crash around August 2025? Nearly EVERYTHING is identical to 1987 setup that this is what I am basing my trade off of. Compare the two charts below and let me know. One from today and one from 1987 1987 2025 I am not sure what to do about that massive shorting opportunity coming up, if I want to just YOLO 10% of my portfolio on it. I feel ok with taking a 10% hit if it doesn't pan out. Or, do I just sit on cash and wait and see. I will have to wait until price starts to unfold later.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by Dow_Jones_Maestro