GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Absolutely beautiful to see our 1h chart idea playing out perfectly. After completing the bearish targets earlier this week, we had the ema5 cross and lock below 3306 opening the swing range.
- This played out perfectly hitting the first swing range level and doing exactly what it say son the tin giving the full swing into 3306 just like we highlighted.
We will now look for ema5 lock above 3306 for a continuation into the bullish targets above or failure to lock will see rejections into the lower Goldturns for suport and bounce.
If it continues to fail breakout above, into the first Bullish target, then we are likely to see the full swing range tested on the rejections.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3358
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3358 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3416
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3330 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3306 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3283 - DONE
3254
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
CFDGOLD trade ideas
GOLD: Bullish Accumulation PatternI spotted a clear ascending triangle pattern on a daily time frame.
To validate a bullish continuation, we need a breakout above the neckline.
A daily candle close above 3370 will serve as a strong confirmation, and we can expect a move up to at least the 3440 resistance level.
XAU/USD) bearish Trend Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown
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Technical Breakdown:
1. Descending Channel:
Price is trading within a clearly defined downward-sloping channel (black trendlines).
This suggests a short-term bearish trend.
2. Resistance Zone (Yellow Box at 3,335–3,340):
Price recently rejected from this resistance area.
This zone aligns with both the 200 EMA and previous structure, strengthening its validity.
3. EMA Confluence:
The 200 EMA (3,336.798) is acting as dynamic resistance.
Price is currently below the EMA, confirming the bearish bias.
4. Support/Target Zone:
The projected target zone is around 3,313.266, labeled as a support level.
This level has acted as previous structure support, increasing its significance.
5. RSI Analysis:
RSI is at 37.18, close to the oversold region, but not yet fully exhausted.
Suggests there’s still room for a downside move before any potential bounce.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry: Below the resistance zone (~3,335–3,340)
Target: 3,313 (support zone)
Invalidation: Break and hold above 3,340–3,345
Risk Note: Watch for potential consolidation or fakeouts before continuation.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
How to seize deterministic trading opportunities?The rebound momentum of the gold market has been significantly enhanced today. After breaking through the 3345 resistance in the Asian session, it has continued to rise. It has now reached around 3360, and has rebounded by more than US$50 from this week's low of 3310, setting a new rebound high in the past three trading days. After the gold price effectively broke through the key resistance band of 3340–3350, it triggered some short stop loss trading and trend funds to enter the market, driving the price to accelerate the upward trend. Judging from the hourly chart, the trading volume has increased by about 30% compared with the same period yesterday, indicating that the market's recognition of this round of rebound has increased significantly.
A physically full sun candle chart has been closed in the 4-hour cycle, successfully standing on the Bollinger middle track, further confirming the upward structure, the mid-track support area 3340–3345 has become a key position for bulls' defense, and the short-term structure of the market is still relatively strong. Overall, the intraday retracement range of gold is limited, and the probability of continuing to rise is relatively high. In terms of strategy, it is still recommended to go long. In the short term, focus on the 3340–3345 area retracement support, and the stop-profit target is 3365–3370; if the upward breakthrough, pay attention to the suppression performance of the 3370–3375 line, beware of highs and falls, and pay attention to controlling risks.
Weekly XAUUSD Outlook | July 21–25GoldFxMinds | Structure-Based HTF Plan
Hello traders,
This week we’re back in key HTF territory. Price is compressing inside a premium structure zone, between clean supply and demand areas. Trend is still bullish, but momentum is weakening — so we focus on structure to guide us.
🟨 Weekly Bias: Neutral | Range Structure in Play
We currently have no confirmed bullish or bearish bias on the weekly timeframe.
Gold remains trapped in a macro range between:
🟥 Upper Resistance Zone: 3355–3380
🟦 Lower Demand Zone: 3280–3240
Last week’s movement created a wick grab near 3375 followed by a strong push down, but without a clean break of structure — meaning we’re still inside a distribution–accumulation trap.
📌 Until we see a clear breakout (above 3380 or below 3280), the weekly bias remains neutral.
This is not a time to force directional trades on the weekly.
Instead, we wait for Daily and H4 confirmation, and position ourselves around the edges of this weekly range.
🔹 Last Week Recap
Weekly candle created a wick into 3377, rejecting just under previous week’s high. No BOS, no liquidity sweep with continuation — just a clear rejection inside supply, confirming premium trap.
Weekly candle closed with a top wick and small body — price is compressing under resistance. Still bullish structure, but not impulsive.
🔹 Weekly Key Structure Zones
🔸 3365–3390 (Supply)
→ Reason: Rejection from prior weekly high (3377), aligned with clean OB and FVG left behind from June breakout.
→ Structure context: No bullish BOS above 3375. This is now an unbroken supply zone with strong wick rejections. Liquidity sits above.
→ Use: Wait for price to tap back in → look for M15–H1 reaction for possible sell if no BOS above 3390.
🔸 3430–3450 (Supply - Last Line)
→ Reason: Unmitigated impulsive candle OB from prior macro swing high. This zone marks the final structure before a full continuation toward new highs.
→ Structure context: If this breaks with a strong BOS, macro structure flips bullish again.
→ Use: Only engage if price clears 3390 with strong volume and closes → watch this for last reaction zone.
🔸 3285–3260 (Demand)
→ Reason: Last bullish OB + FVG combo from early July, unmitigated. Price never retraced to this base since the rally.
→ Structure context: No BOS down yet, so this is still valid bullish origin.
→ Use: If price pulls back aggressively this week, watch this zone for LTF confirmation (CHoCH or BOS bullish). This would be a clean discount buy.
🔸 3210–3180 (Deep Demand)
→ Reason: Higher timeframe CHoCH origin zone, aligns with Fibonacci 61.8% retracement from entire May–July swing.
→ Structure context: Only in play if 3260 fails and we get clean BOS down on Daily.
→ Use: This is your swing buy zone if market breaks structure lower. Strong confluence for reaction.
🔹 HTF Structure Recap
Weekly trend: Still bullish (no BOS down), but compression under resistance
Structure range: Between 3390 and 3260 — price inside premium, no breakout yet
EMA Flow: Bullish but extended. Space for retracement.
RSI: Divergence above 3350 — supporting possible retrace.
🔹 Macro Events This Week
Tuesday: Powell speaks 🗣️ (volatility risk)
Thursday: Flash PMIs (usually directional)
Friday: Durable Goods & Home Sales 🏡
⚠️ Be patient on high-impact days. Let price come into your marked zones — don’t chase inside noise.
🔹 Summary & Plan
We are inside a macro range between 3390 (supply) and 3260 (demand). Structure is not broken — so we play both sides:
Sell Setup: If price taps back into 3365–3390 with no BOS → watch for reaction
Buy Setup: If price retraces into 3285–3260 → look for clean bullish CHoCH to validate
Middle area = chop. Wait for price to get to structure zones — don’t guess.
Thanks for reading 💛
We’ll drop daily and intraday outlooks once price moves closer to one of these structure zones. Until then:
🎯 Trade the reaction, not the prediction.
🔥 If you want these levels and sniper plans every day, follow , like 🚀🚀🚀 and drop a comment if you caught the move!
Stay focused, stay sharp, and never force a trade.
GoldFxMinds
Beaish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the pivot which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 3,356.57
1st Support: 3,330.37
1st Resistance: 3,374.33
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XAUUSD SIGNIFICANT CORRECTION ABOUT TO HAPPEN!!!Price is warming up to make a massive drop (correction) in higher Timeframe. We can spot a Wedge pattern that’s currently forming on the H4 timeframe which signals a bearish continuation. This would be the first significant correction since price broke out of the $2000 psychological level. A sell opportunity is what we await to capitalize on this market.
XAU/USD Eyes Deeper Decline After Corrective ABC Completion🔻 📊 Technical Structure (4H)
✅ 5-wave bearish impulse completed
✅ ABC correction likely completed
✅ Supply zone: 3,371–3,376
📌 Downside Targets
First: 3,302.47
Final: 3,221.78
🔻 Invalidation Zone
Above: 3,376.03 (Break above invalidates short scenario)
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📈 Market Outlook
Macro Context: Gold faces pressure amid rising real yields and stronger dollar flows.
Technical Context: Price trapped within a long-term descending wedge; corrective rally meets resistance.
Risk Appetite: Risk-on tone limits safe-haven demand in short term.
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⚠️ Risks to Watch
Breakout above 3,376 may trigger bullish breakout
Dovish Fed tone could reverse short-term USD strength
Geopolitical tension reviving gold demand
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🧭 Summary: Bearish Structure in Play
XAU/USD has completed a textbook ABC retracement and now sits inside a key shorting zone. A rejection here opens space for significant downside toward 3,221. Traders should watch closely for bearish confirmation before committing to positions, with stops tightly placed above 3,376.
NordKern - XAUUSD InsightNordKern | Simplified Insight OANDA:XAUUSD Short Opportunity Ahead
Gold saw a sharp surge in price today, primarily driven by political headlines that temporarily shook market sentiment. To be specific:
📅 Jul 16, 2025 – 16:56 CET
CBS Reports: Trump asked Republican lawmakers whether he should fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell. This headline alone triggered an intraday spike of +$52/oz in gold as markets priced in increased macro and institutional risk.
As previously stated "Context Matters."
While the President cannot remove the Fed Chair without cause, even the suggestion introduces uncertainty and undermines confidence in the Fed’s independence especially ahead of a high-stakes election cycle.
However, further developments quickly followed: 📅 Jul 16, 2025 – 17:58 CET
Trump: “Firing Powell is highly unlikely.” 📅 Jul 16, 2025 – 18:06 CET
Trump: “Reports on me firing Powell are not true.” With this clarification, the initial rally appears overstretched and sentiment-driven, leaving room for a corrective pullback as the market digests the full picture.
Trade Setup - Short Bias
Parameters:
Entry: 3356.40
Stop Loss: 3690.30
Take Profit: 3322.00
Key Notes:
- The spike was headline-driven and not supported by policy shift or macro data.
- Trump’s denial removes much of the political risk premium that had been briefly priced in.
- Watch for momentum fading near resistance and confirmation via intraday structure.
This remains a tactically driven setup. Manage risk appropriately and stay alert for any renewed political developments.
Gold's Downtrend: Is a Breakout Imminent?Hello traders, what do you think about the gold trend?
Let's set aside the news factors for now and focus on short-term technical analysis with a bearish outlook.
In the current technical picture, gold continues to trade below the trendline, lacking upward momentum, forming a descending wedge pattern. The behavior around the convergence of EMA 34 and 89 also indicates that sellers still control the market.
A sell strategy is favored, with attention to the support zone around 3,315 – 3,320 USD. If this level breaks, stronger sell-offs are likely to follow.
What do you think about gold’s price today? Leave your thoughts in the comments below!
Good luck!
Wait for the data release; do not chase short positions.The 4-hour timeframe remains in a range-bound consolidation. Only a decisive break below the 3320 level will truly open up substantial downward space. Let’s focus on today’s US Initial Jobless Claims data: while the indicator has been trending lower recently, the current market expectation is tilted toward a rebound.
Even though yesterday’s PPI data, after its release, was bullish for gold, its actual impact on prices was limited—far from comparable to core metrics like CPI.
In summary, all short positions have now closed out with profits. Waiting for the data release to trade in line with the trend is a more prudent approach: if prices hover around 3320 or 3310 ahead of the data and the figures come in bullish, you can decisively enter long positions once there’s a slight pullback. If the data turns bearish, avoid chasing the decline; instead, consider positioning around key integer levels such as 3290-3300, as a sharp bullish correction is likely to follow an oversold move. As for whether the bulls can achieve a full reversal, we’ll assess the broader picture then. Always remember: no market moves in one direction indefinitely—adaptability is key
🚀 Buy @3310 - 3320
🚀 TP 3330 - 3340 - 3350
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Gold Trading Update: What's Next for Gold This Week? Hello Traders! 👋
In my last post, I flagged two prime zones for selling Gold, and guess what? The first one has already delivered! 🎯 The Hourly IFVG (Inversion Fair Value Gap) between 3360-3365 triggered perfectly before today's CPI release, playing out like a charm. 💰
Now, all eyes are on the next level: the 4H FVG, which will act as an IFVG. This is our second potential entry point, and I’m targeting the Take Profit levels as outlined. Let’s see if this setup unfolds as beautifully as the first! 👀
What’s your take on Gold’s direction this week? Are you bullish, bearish, or sitting on the fence? 🧠 Drop your thoughts in the comments below, and let’s spark some lively discussion! 💬 Don’t forget to like, follow, and share your views to keep the trading community buzzing! 🚀
Gold Eyes 3365 – Breakout or Rejection?GOLD | Technical Outlook
Gold maintains bullish momentum as long as it trades above 3355, aiming to test the 3365 resistance level.
However, signs of rejection at 3365 may emerge, especially if the 4H candle closes below this level. In that case, expect a period of sideways consolidation between 3365 and 3342.
A confirmed 1H candle close above 3365 would signal bullish continuation toward 3373, with an extended target at 3395.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 3355
• Resistance: 3365 / 3375 / 3395
• Support: 3342 / 3333
Outlook:
• Bullish above 3355
• Breakout above 3365 confirms further upside
• Rejection at 3365 may lead to short-term range-bound movement
Beware of false decline and real rise of gold
💡Message Strategy
On Tuesday, the dollar index continued to rise, eventually closing at a high of 98.68, after a mild inflation report sparked speculation that the Federal Reserve might keep interest rates unchanged for the time being.
Spot gold gave up its intraday gains after the release of CPI data, once touching the $3,320 mark, falling for the second consecutive trading day.
📊Technical aspects
In the hourly chart, gold has already touched the support trend line overnight.
Therefore, at present, it may be inclined to rebound, and gold still maintains an upward trend as a whole.
However, the upper 3340-45 is a short-term suppression position. If it cannot stand firm and break through 3340-45 today, it is not ruled out that it will continue to maintain 3320-40 for consolidation.
On the contrary, as long as it can stand firm above 3345 today, then gold will really rise in the future.
It is very likely that the high point of 3375 at the beginning of this week may be refreshed.
Therefore, in terms of operation, I suggest paying more attention to 3320-30. After all, 3320 is the overnight low. As long as it is not broken again, the probability of gold rising is very high.
However, if it falls below 3320 again today, it is not ruled out that it will continue to refresh the low.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3320-3330,SL:3305,Target: 3365
Excellent re-Buy opportunities as expectedAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I have Bought Gold throughout Friday's session within #3,330's however closed earlier below #3,348.80 (missed #3,352.80 benchmark break-out) however my Profits were already great so I don't mind. Keep Buying every dip on Gold (aggressive Scalps)."
I have re-Bought Gold firstly on #3,357.80, then #3,340's many times until actual #3,360.80 reversal towards #3,342.80 where I bought Gold again twice towards #3,352.80 benchmark. My key reversal points are nicely respected by Gold.
Technical analysis: Gold is showcasing underlying Bullish trend as #3,377.80 Resistance stands between current Price-action and #3,400.80 benchmark. However if #3,337.80 gets invalidated before any of the above happens, I have a Selling breakout as DX turned Neutral again on the Short-term (and remains Bearish on the Medium-term). This uptrend is directly related to the decline on DX but even then the drop on Gold will not be so strong. It seems that Investors who Sold Gold during the current #1-Week drop, closed their positions much earlier. Theoretically it makes Investors take capital off of riskier assets and place it in safe-haven assets such as Gold. Gold is testing once again #3,357.80 new / old Resistance after series of Bullish Hourly 1 chart’s candles (Engulfing, Three Outside Up) reaching Medium-term Resistance zone on #4th straight red candlestick. The Daily chart’s Volumes are on the rise again as the Daily chart’s Ascending Channel is looking to Price in a Higher High’s as last attempt was so far unsuccessful. Based on the Monthly chart where Bullish and Bearish Months take turns, I expect the whole July / August’s fractals to remain Bullish.
My position: My strategy remains the same, Buying every dip on Gold on my calculated key entry points which Gold respects and ultimately, anticipating #3,377.80 Resistance break-out to the upside.
Gold Double Bottom Rejection - Bullish Confirmation PatternThere is currently a double bottom rejection pattern at play and price is reacting to an H4 TF demand zone. Confirmations to go long will be in this demand zone or the next one. But my money is on the current one.
Best thing to do is wait for an M15 supply to break to validate taking longs from the current demand. But the bulls are showing strength.
XAUUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Off Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 3356.28, which is a pullback resistance that aligns closely with the 50% FIb retracement.
Our take profit will be at 3329.51, a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fib retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 3374.95, a swing-high resistance level.
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