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Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you Influencing Factors on Gold Prices: - Geopolitical Factors: Trump announced a comprehensive ceasefire between Israel and Iran, which will greatly ease tensions in the Middle East. The market's safe-haven demand triggered by the Israel-Iran conflict will drop significantly, and investors' safe-haven buying of gold will correspondingly decrease, thus exerting downward pressure on gold prices. Historical experience shows that when there was an expectation of a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon, gold prices once fell significantly due to the reduction in safe-haven demand. - Market Expectation Factors: Although Fed Governor Bowman hinted at a possible rate cut in July, which is positive for gold, the impact of the ceasefire news may be more direct and significant. Currently, market expectations for a Fed rate cut remain uncertain—CME data shows the probability of a rate cut in July is only 8.3%. In this context, the cooling of risk aversion triggered by the ceasefire may temporarily dominate the trend of gold prices, causing gold to face correcton pressure. - Technical Aspects: Before the ceasefire news emerged, gold prices fluctuated in the range of $3,350-$3,395, with $3,350 providing certain support and $3,400 serving as the upper resistance level. It is expected that after the ceasefire news is announced, gold prices may test the support at $3,350. If the support fails, they may further fall to around $3,300. Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you XAUUSD sell@3365~3355 SL:3380 TP：3345~3330
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by David_Wilson1
Gold prices continue temporary downtrend⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) came under renewed selling pressure during Friday’s Asian session, dipping to their lowest level in over a week, near the $3,344–$3,345 range. The decline was largely driven by the Federal Reserve’s hawkish tone, which emphasized persistent inflation risks and suggested a more gradual path to interest rate cuts—dampening demand for the non-yielding precious metal. Nevertheless, fragile market sentiment and a cautious risk environment may continue to lend some support to gold, potentially cushioning it against steeper declines. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Selling pressure continues to maintain, pushing gold price down to 3304 today, the downtrend price line is maintaining well. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3418- 3420 SL 3425 TP1: $3400 TP2: $3382 TP3: $3370 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3306-$3304 SL $3299 TP1: $3315 TP2: $3328 TP3: $3340 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
Wait for the key points to be confirmed before taking actionThe trend of gold on Friday is still in line with my analysis. Before the market opened, I suggested that gold would rebound from the bottom. Considering the resistance level, I would arrange short orders with a light position. I clearly emphasized that I should not chase short orders at low levels. The actual market price fluctuated upward after hitting the 3340 line at the lowest point, and maintained a range-bound fluctuation pattern as a whole. We arranged long orders in batches at 3342-3353, successfully stopped profit near 3358, reversed shorting, and stopped profit again at 3342. After that, the market hit the top again and was blocked. Short orders were arranged at 3370-3375. It is not recommended to hold positions over the weekend. I have already left the market with a small profit near 3365. Although there was no significant breakthrough, all ended with profit, but it was quite satisfactory for Friday's market. News: Gold prices were stable on Friday, but fell 1.8% this week. It closed at 3368. The latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement reinforced the Fed's cautious stance, keeping interest rates in the 4.25%-4.50% range. However, the statement also lowered the number of expected rate cuts this year, which put downward pressure on gold prices. In addition, U.S. Treasury yields did not change much but rose slightly, reflecting the stabilization of market risk sentiment. The 10-year Treasury yield rose by more than 2 basis points to 4.421%, and the 30-year Treasury yield rose to 4.924%. Rising yields often put pressure on non-yielding assets such as gold, further suppressing the upward momentum of gold prices. The Fed's failure to immediately launch an easing policy, coupled with a stronger dollar and a reduced urgency of geopolitical risks, have all exacerbated selling pressure. Unless tensions escalate again or the Fed unexpectedly turns, short-term gold price forecasts point to further weakening. The price of gold has rebounded since it fell from its historical high of 3500 to 3120， After continuous rise, due to the decline of risk aversion in the market, it fell under pressure at 3452. It rebounded to 3340 on Friday. The K-line combination arrangement was bearish. The 4H chart showed a stop-loss signal. It is expected that the market will consolidate below 3400 in the short term. In the medium term, attention should be paid to the geopolitical crisis and the July interest rate decision of the Federal Reserve. It will break through the node after confirming the upper resistance of 3400. In the short-term 4-hour chart, the lower support is around 3340-3345, and the upper short-term resistance is around 3380-3385. Focus on the suppression of the 3400-05 line. The overall idea of ​​​​retracing back to long positions remains unchanged, and the middle area is mainly kept on the sidelines. Be cautious in chasing orders and wait patiently for the key points to be confirmed before intervening. If the upper resistance is not broken, you can still consider light positions to arrange short orders, and pay attention to the bottom for the specific entry point.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
1
XAU/USD: The truth may be late, but it will never be absent.Trump tweeted late at night that a ceasefire had been reached between Israel and Iran, causing gold and crude oil prices to crash straight away. So far, neither side has officially announced the ceasefire, and new explosions continue to be reported, with the situation likely to reverse at any moment. Market sentiment runs faster than the truth, but the truth will catch up sooner or later. Key Focus Points: 1.Monitor the authenticity of the ceasefire 2.Track Fed dynamics: If the Fed hints at rate cuts under pressure, the bullish logic for gold will remain intact. XAUUSD sell@3365-3375 tp:3340-3330 buy@3330-3340 tp:3360-3370 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
Gold Holds the Line – Will It Break Above $3,500?Gold continues to maintain its long-term uptrend after a technical pullback toward dynamic support around $3,325, aligning with both the EMA34 and the rising trendline. If price rebounds from this zone and breaks above the key resistance between $3,460 and $3,500, a strong rally toward $3,600 could unfold in the medium term. However, upcoming U.S. economic data—including GDP and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, Core PCE—will be critical in determining whether gold has the momentum for a breakout or remains in consolidation. Are you holding gold, or waiting on the sidelines?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Edward_TradingFX
1
Bearish Technicals prevailedTechnical analysis: Despite the strong Bearish candle sequence on the DX (few percents down), Gold remains on losses however above my Support for the session as the U.S. session approaching and geo-political tensions resurfacing. However, #3,395.80 is new Resistance zone made by the Hourly 4 candlestick configuration. Gold is pulling back again after it failed to break above it’s Resistance variance (#3,388.80 - #3,395.80 - #3,402.80) on the Hourly 4 chart, while #3,352.80 benchmark configuration is protecting the eminent downtrend. This sequence is similar to the September #24 - #28 pattern when a Double Bottom was made before the strong rebound. Also current Gold's impulse and rejection was Highly correlated with the side Swings on the Bond Yields market, happening on Hourly basis. As discussed, Gold is Trading within Descending Channel and that fractal is Buying back every dip and postponing the downtrend and pointing me that Gold should be timed for consolidation session (regarding Short-term). I am looking to complete a full oscillation towards #3,327.80 if #3,342.80 - #3,352.80 gives away, in the same time my main point of interests. I am expecting recovery however within #1 - #3 sessions if DX extend the Selling sequence and remain with a Daily chart proportions decline. My practical suggestion would be to wait for a break-out and then make a move, since at the moment - there is a clash between Bearish Technicals on Gold and Fundamental war escalation uncertainty which could make Investors park their capital from Gold into more riskier assets - and vice versa. Consequently the current consolidation and another Bearish wave should come as no Technical surprise, only if Fundamentals do not arise Buyers of the market. My position: As my Profit quota for the week / Month is already acquired, I will not take any more orders for today's session. I lean of course more to Bearish side Intra-day, however even if I engage, will be Scalp order rather than positioning myself for #10 - #20 point move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by goldenBear88
GOLD THE united state interest rate stands at 4.25%-4.5% the US10Y open the day at 4.293% and closes 4.26% a significant drop from may high of 4.62% the dollar index is heading to 96$ after open 97.611$ to close 97.313$. Final GDP q/q Actual: -0.5% Forecast: -0.2% Previous: -0.2% The US economy contracted by 0.5% in the first quarter, worse than the expected 0.2% decline, indicating a sharper slowdown than anticipated. 2. Unemployment Claims Initial Claims: 236,000 Forecast: 244,000 Previous: 245,000 Initial jobless claims fell by 10,000 to 236,000, lower than forecast and near historically low levels, suggesting that layoffs remain relatively subdued despite economic challenges. 3. Core Durable Goods Orders m/m Actual: +0.5% Forecast: +0.1% Previous: +0.2% Core durable goods orders, which exclude transportation, rose 0.5% month-over-month, beating expectations and signaling some resilience in business investment. 4. Durable Goods Orders m/m Actual: +16.4% Forecast: +8.6% Previous: -6.3% Total durable goods orders surged 16.4%, a strong rebound following a prior decline, indicating a pickup in demand for long-lasting manufactured goods. 5. Final GDP Price Index q/q Actual: 3.7% This measure of inflation in the GDP deflator remains elevated, reflecting persistent price pressures in the economy. Summary of Market Implications: The larger-than-expected GDP contraction signals economic weakness, which could increase expectations for accommodative Fed policy. The drop in initial jobless claims supports the view that layoffs are limited, but rising continuing claims suggest some labor market softness ahead. Strong durable goods orders point to underlying business investment strength, providing a mixed but cautiously optimistic outlook. Elevated inflation as shown by the GDP price index keeps inflation concerns alive. Overall, the data presents a complex picture of a slowing economy with pockets of resilience and ongoing inflationary pressures the interest rate remains 4.24%-4.5% ,the bond market remain weak on fiscal policy challenges and pending rate outlook. the 10 year bond yield is trading around 4.291% -4.26% and edge lower from fundamental outlook. gold on ascending trendline connecting April till June and found support at 3312-3314. buyers during newyork session will build momentum on technical to bridge 3350 supply . break below 3311-3314 will heading to my demand floor . #gold .
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Excellent session yesterdayAs discussed throughout my yesterday’s session commentary:” My position: Besides all Fundamental factors / escalation, Gold isn't soaring as one could expect. Therefore I will continue Scalping #3,352.80 - #3,377.80 Neutral belt and will Trade the break-out. #3,352 towards #3,327.80 or #3,377.80 to the upside however with DX rising, I give more probabilities to the downside.“ I have firstly engaged many Scalping orders from #3,377.80 - #3,382.80 Scalp re-Buy zone towards #3,392.80 and closed all with Profit. Then late U.S. session delivered #3,352.80 benchmark test which I re-Bought in repetition and closed my Scalp orders on #3,358.80 - #62 belt. Also my Selling Swing projection was delivered (#3,327.80 test). Technical analysis: Gold is taking strong Intra-day hits in form of Three Black Crows candlestick formation and most likely Selling sequence is not stopping here. The Hourly 4 chart’s Resistance cluster has rejected the Price-action twice already which gives a updated Targets with a potential extension towards #3,200.90 psychological benchmark if #3,322.80 - #3,327.80 Support zone gives away. Only if #3,352.80?mark breaks to the upside and market closes (especially Weekly (#1W) closing) above, I will contemplate Buying the market as at the moment / Hourly 1 chart’s reveals no clues nor configuration is not worth entering / only Sell orders both Scalp / Swing are suitable. I don't expect today’s session Fundamental reports to be relevant, as I await Support extension test (Selling on every local High’s) due ceasefire talks / deal. My position: I will Sell every High’s on Gold especially if #3,352.80 benchmark is not recovered waiting for #3,300.80 benchmark test.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by goldenBear88
Gold is showing potential signs of a bullish reversalGold is showing potential signs of a bullish reversal after a prolonged bearish trend. The price recently rejected strongly from a key resistance level, triggering a sharp internal liquidity sweep followed by a fast downside move. This indicates that smart money may have cleared out weak hands. Resistance zone 3335 / 3360 Support zone 3300 / 3285 Currently, the market appears to be compressing, forming a potential bullish structure. If this consolidation holds and breaks to the upside, it may confirm the beginning of a bullish leg. You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis/
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrMartin_11
1
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: Price moved well today sticking to the bias level and completing the first two TP levels we had shared. The path illustrated yesterday also worked well giving the move into the support level, then the bounce upside into resistance before then resuming the move. With FOMC tomorrow we can expect any sharp movement to happen in the late session and Asia, otherwise the pre-event price action has begun, we have a range in play with resistance above at the 3395 level and support below 3355-60 which has been highlighted. The bias will stand for now but we're going to take a back seat. Price: 3382 KOG’s Bias of the day: Bearish below 3401 with targets below 3365, 3358 and below that 3350 Bullish on break of 3401 with target above 3410 and above that 3425 RED BOXES: Break above 3395 for 3406, 3410, 3416 and 3419 in extension of the move Break below 3378 for 3368✅ and 3355 in extension of the move As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
14
The Direction After Sideways Fluctuation at 3330Trump's announcement of an Israel-Iran ceasefire dented safe-haven sentiment, curbing safe-haven buying 🛑. Gold opened with a sharp plunge, then extended losses as Powell later stated that more time is needed before considering rate cuts—dovish expectations eased, sending gold further lower ⬇️. The price briefly fell below the 3,300 level, nearing 3,295 at its lowest, but failed to breach the 3,290-3,300 support zone 📊. As I indicated yesterday, traders could test rebound strength near support; once news impacts faded, gold rebounded to close at 3,323 🔄. Currently trading sideways around 3,330, gold faces resistance at 3,350 while downside support remains at 3,290-3,300 📈📉. We therefore maintain a bearish stance ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Sell@3345 - 3335 🚀 TP 3325 - 3315 - 3305 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Sovereign_11
1
Gold price PMI positive, slight increase⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) edge higher toward $3,375 in early Asian trading on Monday, driven by heightened geopolitical tensions following US President Donald Trump’s decision to intervene militarily in the Israel-Iran conflict. The move significantly escalates the situation in the Middle East, fueling demand for safe-haven assets like gold. The US launched airstrikes on three Iranian nuclear facilities early Sunday, marking a direct entry into the conflict despite Trump’s prior pledges to avoid new overseas wars. The intensifying turmoil has sparked a wave of risk aversion, supporting bullion prices amid rising uncertainty. Meanwhile, investors will closely monitor the preliminary S&P Global US Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for June, due later in the day, for further market direction. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold prices continue to be supported around the 3340 mark, positive with today's US PMI news data ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3380- 3382 SL 3387 TP1: $3370 TP2: $3360 TP3: $3350 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3318-$3316 SL $3311 TP1: $3326 TP2: $3338 TP3: $3349 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
2
DeGRAM | GOLD bullish takeover from support📊 Technical Analysis ● The XAUUSD 4-hour chart, as shown in the upper right corner, presents a clear bullish structure within a well-defined rising channel. Price action has consistently respected both the lower and upper boundaries of this channel, with multiple bounces off support levels reinforcing the trend. Recently, the chart highlights a “bullish takeover” after a brief pullback, where price found support at 3,345.47 and quickly reclaimed ground above the channel’s median. The forecasted path, illustrated by the projected arrows, suggests a continuation toward the resistance zone at 3,431.14, with the channel’s upper boundary acting as a dynamic target. The presence of higher lows and the swift recovery from the latest dip further confirm the underlying bullish momentum. ● The technical setup is strengthened by the clear identification of support and resistance levels. The 3,293.50 area has repeatedly served as a strong base, while the 3,431.14 level is marked as the next significant resistance. The rising channel itself provides a visual framework for the ongoing uptrend, and the recent bullish engulfing pattern at support signals renewed buying interest. The chart’s structure, with its clean trendlines and labeled zones, points to a high-probability scenario for further gains as long as price remains within the channel. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Recent fundamentals support the technical case for continued upside in gold. As of June 22-23, 2025, gold is trading near 3,364, with market sentiment buoyed by ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and persistent global economic uncertainty. While Citi has revised its long-term gold forecasts downward, Bank of America maintains a bullish outlook, citing safe-haven demand amid US military actions and inflation concerns. Additionally, the latest data shows that gold remains above key moving averages, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is holding near neutral, suggesting room for further upside. The combination of technical resilience and supportive macro factors continues to attract buyers to gold as a hedge against volatility. ✨ Summary ● XAUUSD is poised for a move toward 3,431.14, with the rising channel and recent bullish takeover pattern supporting the case for further gains. The bullish scenario remains valid as long as price holds above 3,345.47, with 3,293.50 serving as a critical support. A sustained break above resistance could open the path to new highs, while a drop below channel support would warrant a reassessment of the trend. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DeGRAM
7
Buy GOLD now at 3352 and target 3381,3455 and 3517. 🟦 Price Action Idea: Pullback to 3356 Weekly Zone I’m observing a pullback on the daily chart into the 3356 weekly supply zone, where I expect a potential rejection — partly due to escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East acting as a catalyst. 📊 Chart Simplicity: I always try to keep my chart simple and beginner-friendly. If you choose to trade this setup: Use proper position sizing. You can average into your position near the blue line in the stop-loss zone. Take partial profits at each marked level. ❗ Do NOT hold the full position until the final target. Manage your trade actively. 🟨 Good luck — and stay disciplined. ⚠️ A Friendly Reminder I’m not a signal provider and I’m not selling anything here. If you're looking to buy signals, some “signalists” will likely comment below, trying to redirect you to premium channels. That’s their business — not mine. 👇 To New Traders: Here’s how many people think early on: “Trading is easy. I’ll just follow someone with 10K, 30K, or even 100K followers and copy their trades.” Let’s be real: Even a 100K following doesn't guarantee quality. Many of those accounts don’t trade their own signals — they live off selling them. 🧠 How to Protect Yourself If you want to grow and not just follow hype, here’s a simple method: ✅ Track 30–40 trade ideas from different traders — including older posts (some move winners to the last pages to look better). ✅ Check if the direction was correct. ✅ See if the entry was actually filled. ✅ Evaluate the trade logic, not just the result. This is how you’ll learn to think independently and avoid falling for signal-selling traps. Trade safe. Trade smart. Rendon1
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Rendon1
It’s the right time to short goldThe daily gold line presents a three-top gathering pattern. The historical trend shows that the 3290-3280 area has triggered technical pullbacks many times, all of which rebounded to around 3350. The current 4-hour chart trend line suppression level coincides with the Fibonacci 0.618 pullback resistance from the previous high of 3450 to 3300 in the 3350-3360 range. This area constitutes the core pressure zone. If the price fails to effectively break through and stand above 3360 when it probes this area again, it is highly likely to replicate the previous two resistance and fall patterns. At that time, short orders will be arranged based on the 3350 first-line resistance area, with the goal of breaking the key support of 3300 and further looking down at the 3280 and 3260 levels. The overall bearish tendency is maintained, and the resistance to rebound is a signal to enter the market and sell short. Gold recommendation: Gold is short around 3345-3352, target 3330-3320
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
Gold Market Weekly: Analysis & OutlookI. Market Trends and Institutional Game Analysis This week, the gold price exhibited a typical volatile downward pattern, starting its correction from $3,450 on Monday and hitting an intraday low of $3,340 on Friday before rebounding sharply to around $3,370 ahead of the close. This movement essentially represents a "market washing" maneuver by institutions leveraging the short-term lull in Middle East tensions, with bears repeatedly attempting to push prices down by $10–$20 per round. However, each decline encountered significant resistance, starkly contrasting with the unilateral drop in April. Order flow characteristics indicate that bearish momentum has notably attenuated, with low-level selling appearing as a deliberately constructed "bear trap"—a signal reinforcing the unbroken medium-term upward trend of gold. II. Macro-fundamental Support for Gold's Resilience 1.Escalating U.S. Fiscal CrisisThe U.S. fiscal deficit has reached $1.4 trillion annually, and even the $80 billion revenue increment from tariff wars remains negligible in this context. More critically, the Trump administration’s proposed "Big Infrastructure Bill" is projected to add $4 trillion to the deficit, fundamentally eroding the credit of U.S. Treasuries and the U.S. dollar’s purchasing power. Historical data shows that fiscal deficit monetization consistently drives surges in gold’s safe-haven demand, meaning a decisive peak in gold prices remains unlikely until the deficit issue is resolved. 2.Hidden Geopolitical Risks in the Middle EastThe conflict between Iran and Israel has entered a critical phase, with Iran adopting a hardline stance in negotiations—demanding not only an immediate ceasefire from Israel but also accountability for war initiators and the retention of nuclear rights. Should the situation escalate abruptly over the weekend, the $110 correction seen this week could be fully reversed on the first trading day of next week. III. Investment Strategy: Capitalize on the "Correction Entry" Window The market currently exhibits the trait of "limited downside, unlimited upside": geopolitical risks and U.S. dollar depreciation expectations underpin gold’s floor, while unpriced macro uncertainties leave upward potential open. For investors, this correction presents an optimal opportunity to establish medium-to-long-term long positions. We recommend batch entry between $3,350–$3,380, targeting the $3,500 psychological level, with a stop-loss set below $3,320 to mitigate short-term volatility. Risk Warning : Closely monitor developments in the Middle East over the weekend and the pace of U.S. fiscal bill implementation, as sudden events may trigger sharp fluctuations in gold prices. I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
GOLD 2 Best Places For Sell Very Clear , Don`t Miss 300 Pips !Here is my opinion on Gold at the moment after the price moved very hard to downside as i mentioned in the last update , now we have a very good 2 places to sell it again , the first one @ 3326.00 , it`s a very good place to sell it cuz it was a very good support and the price break it and now it will play as a good res so we can sell from it , and if the price go higher we can sell from area between 3350 : 3345.00 , it will be a great place to sell it also , and if the highest place who force the price to downside we can add another sell entry from 3326.00 if we have a daily closure below it .
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by FX_Elite_Club
GOLD The US 10-year Treasury yield is approximately 4.29%-4.37% The US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading near 97.877, showing relative stability with minor fluctuations Impact on Markets Today The slight decline in the 10-year yield suggests modest easing of bond market pressure, possibly reflecting cautious investor sentiment amid ongoing fiscal concerns and expectations of Fed rate cuts later this year. The DXY near 97.9 indicates a moderately strong dollar, though recent trends show some weakening due to fiscal worries and softer economic data. Together, a stable-to-slightly weaker dollar and a modestly lower 10-year yield can support safe-haven assets like gold, though elevated yields still pose a headwind. But despite the dips of both the 10 year us government bond yield and the dollar index ,GOLD lost over 500pips from Asian session to Newyork session trading on cease fire deal between Israel and Iran by united states of America. In brief: The US 10-year yield’s slight dip combined with a steady DXY reflects a market balancing inflation, fiscal concerns, and Fed policy outlook. This environment supports cautious risk-taking with safe-haven demand still relevant. follow zone of buy and sell for educational purpose only. #gold #dollar
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you Investment Opportunities Amid Geopolitical Risks and Recession Expectations I. Fundamental Support: Persistent Geopolitical Risks and Escalating Recession Expectations Middle East Situation: Potential Risks Not Fully Priced Although Iran's threat to block the Strait of Hormuz has not yet translated into actual action, its strategic value as an "ultimate deterrent" has been partially recognized by the market. Historical data shows that during Iran's two blockade threats in 2011 and 2018, gold rose by an average of 8.7%. However, the current price range of $3,380-$3,400 only reflects the direct impact of the Israeli airstrikes on the 14th, and has not fully incorporated the risk premium for potential retaliatory actions by Iran. Once "quasi-actions" such as tanker seizures or partial strait blockades occur, gold prices may quickly break through $3,450. Fed Policy: Dual Drivers of Rate Cut Expectations and Economic Weakness Although the Fed kept rates unchanged at its June meeting, the dot plot showed that 7 out of 19 committee members expected "zero rate cuts" for the whole year, conflicting with the market's 61.7% probability of a rate cut in September. The essence of this divergence is the game between "high tariff inflation pressures" and "economic slowdown"—when the median GDP forecast is revised down from 1.7% to 1.4%, and the Atlanta Fed model predicts that Q1 growth may turn negative, the long-term trend of declining real interest rates remains unchanged, and gold's "recession-resistant" attribute will gradually emerge. Correlation Effect Between Crude Oil and Gold Currently, WTI crude oil maintains a 3.7% gain, and Brent crude fluctuates around $76/barrel. Tensions in the energy market provide indirect support for gold. Historical data shows that when crude oil rises by more than 5% in a week, gold has a 72% probability of rising simultaneously, as both share the logic of "geopolitical risk premium". If Iran takes subsequent actions against oil tankers, the two assets may experience a resonant rally. Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you XAUUSD buy@3365~3375 SL:3350 TP：3385~3395
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by David_Wilson1
GOLD 1. Final GDP q/q Actual: -0.5% Forecast: -0.2% Previous: -0.2% The US economy contracted by 0.5% in the first quarter, worse than the expected 0.2% decline, indicating a sharper slowdown than anticipated. 2. Unemployment Claims (Week ending June 21) Initial Claims: 236,000 Forecast: 244,000 Previous: 245,000 Initial jobless claims fell by 10,000 to 236,000, lower than forecast and near historically low levels, suggesting that layoffs remain relatively subdued despite economic challenges. Context: Despite the drop in new claims, continuing claims (people receiving ongoing benefits) rose to about 1.97 million, the highest since November 2021, indicating some softening in the labor market. Economists expect the unemployment rate to edge up slightly to around 4.3% in June from 4.2% in May. 3. Core Durable Goods Orders m/m (May 2025) Actual: +0.5% Forecast: +0.1% Previous: +0.2% Core durable goods orders, which exclude transportation, rose 0.5% month-over-month, beating expectations and signaling some resilience in business investment. 4. Durable Goods Orders m/m (May 2025) Actual: +16.4% Forecast: +8.6% Previous: -6.3% Total durable goods orders surged 16.4%, a strong rebound following a prior decline, indicating a pickup in demand for long-lasting manufactured goods. 5. Final GDP Price Index q/q (Q1 2025) Actual: 3.7% This measure of inflation in the GDP deflator remains elevated, reflecting persistent price pressures in the economy. Summary of Market Implications: The larger-than-expected GDP contraction signals economic weakness, which could increase expectations for accommodative Fed policy. The drop in initial jobless claims supports the view that layoffs are limited, but rising continuing claims suggest some labor market softness ahead. Strong durable goods orders point to underlying business investment strength, providing a mixed but cautiously optimistic outlook. Elevated inflation as shown by the GDP price index keeps inflation concerns alive. Overall, the data presents a complex picture of a slowing economy with pockets of resilience and ongoing inflationary pressure. #GOLD
EASYMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
XAUUSD: Trend changed to bearish. Significant downside potentialGold turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.253, MACD = 18.142, ADX = 16.679) as it crossed below both the 4H MA200 and 1D MA50. The two form a Bearish Cross. Technically a Channel Down has emerged, no different than those that emerged after rejections on the R1 Zone (like now). As long as the 4H MA50 acts as a Resistance and holds, we will be bearish, aiming at the S1 level (TP = 3,245). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by InvestingScope