Scalping Strategy Using BOS & OB | Gold Spot | by Mohsen MozafarDescription:
> This is a 30-minute scalping setup on Gold Spot (XAU/USD), based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) — focusing on Break of Structure (BOS) and Order Blocks (OB).
Analysis and strategy are prepared by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad.
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📊 Market Context:
Current Structure: Bearish
Short-Term Market Structure: MSU (Market Structure Up)
Efficiency: Confirmed (clean price action & response zones)
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🧠 Technical Highlights:
1. Double BOS confirms recent shifts in momentum
2. TLQ (Top Liquidity Quest) formed after HH (Higher High) and liquidity sweep
3. Key Demand OB identified (labeled A) — valid based on BOS confirmation
4. Expecting a bounce from OB (A) towards (B) as a reaction to unfilled imbalance
5. Potential drop from TLQ zone (B) to (C) if liquidity is fully absorbed
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🎯 Scalping Plan:
Entry Zone:
Order Block at (A), waiting for CHoCH or bullish price action confirmation
(preferably on lower timeframe like M5)
Stop Loss:
Just below OB (around 3327)
Take Profits:
TP1: Near TLQ / Extreme zone (B)
TP2: Further liquidity grab or possible continuation above previous HH
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❗ Alternative Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to hold at OB (A) and breaks below 3327 with BOS,
→ short opportunity opens toward new lows at 3314–3310 (labeled C).
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✅ Summary:
This is a clean scalping setup following SMC principles:
BOS → OB → Liquidity → Reaction
Focus on structure, precision, and quick confirmation signals.
Prepared by:
📌 Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
CFDGOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD - Breakdown: - RISK OFF - Gold BearsGOLD has reached my previous analysis target ✅
Now seeing a pullback wave before potential continuation to the downside, keep in mind it is End of Month.
🎯 Pullback Zones:
1️⃣ 3340
2️⃣ Extended: 3350–3356
📉 If no new bullish fundamentals:
Next targets: 3293–3280
#XAUUSD #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #Forex #Commodities #TradingLevels #MarketOutlook
Suppression remains unchanged, the latest layout of gold📰 Impact of news:
1. Powell's testimony
2. Geopolitical impact
📈 Market analysis:
The short-term rebound of gold is the release of energy for the accumulated bulls. From the current market trend, 3340 above is the key point of the short-term watershed between bulls and bears. The short-term resistance above is around 3342-3348, and the short-term support below is around 33220-3315. If it falls below this, it will continue to look towards yesterday's low of 3290-3280. The daily level is under pressure and continues to see a decline and adjustment. If it touches 3340-3350 above, you can try to short. After it retreats to 3320-3315 and obtains effective support, you can consider going long.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3340-3350
TP 3330-3320-3315
BUY 3320-3315
TP 3330-3340-3350
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold is under pressure and continues to focus on weekly support
The Israeli-Iranian conflict that broke out on June 13th lasted for 12 days before a ceasefire agreement was reached. Iran retaliated against the US military base but did not block energy transportation. Trump called its response weak, and market concerns cooled. Gold and oil prices gave up their gains. Spot gold closed at $3,368.98 per ounce, close to flat. U.S. crude oil fell 9% from a 5% increase. Trump announced on Tuesday that Israel and Iran had reached a ceasefire agreement. After mediation by Qatar, Iran agreed, and Israel also hoped to end the conflict within a few days.
Gold fell as the situation eased and the demand for safe-haven assets weakened. Oil prices fell more due to the lack of risk in the Strait of Hormuz, and U.S. stock index futures rose. Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Bowman unexpectedly said that interest rates may be cut in July. U.S. Treasury yields fell and the U.S. dollar index fell, but did not support gold prices. The U.S. economy is facing inflation and growth slowdown pressure. If the situation in the Middle East worsens, oil prices may soar, exacerbating the risk of stagflation. Short-term ceasefires and differences with the Federal Reserve suppress gold prices. Medium- and long-term geopolitical risks and expectations of interest rate cuts support gold. Investors can pay attention to relevant developments and diversify their allocations.
In terms of gold, the overall price of gold fell on Monday. The highest price rose to 3396.68 on the day, and the lowest price fell to 3346.92, closing at 3368.94. On Monday, gold jumped higher in the early trading, and then came under pressure again. It continued to rise after the European and US trading to test the opening high. The price fell very weakly overnight, and finally ended with a big negative. At present, gold is still in a volatile decline.
From a multi-cycle analysis, first observe the monthly rhythm. The price ran according to the rhythm in May as the author said, and finally in a cross state. For June, focus on the gains and losses of the highs and lows in May. The price will only be a real break if it really closes above this position. The long-term watershed is at 2780. From a weekly level, the gold price is supported by the 3280 regional support level. From a mid-term perspective, we are still in a mid-term bullish position, but we need to pay attention to the market's retracement to the weekly support. At the same time, the price will be further under pressure only if it breaks the weekly support. From the daily level, the price breaks the 3365 daily watershed. The overall follow-up still focuses on the pressure performance, and the focus below is on the retracement to the weekly support. At the same time, according to the four-hour level, we need to pay attention to the 3360 position temporarily. Since gold is currently in a volatile decline, it will continue to be short before breaking 3405. In the short term, we will first focus on the four-hour and daily resistance pressure, and focus on the 3320 and 3280 area support below.
Gold 3360 and 3365 range is under pressure, and the target is 3320-3280
Analysis of gold market trend on June 23:
Core viewpoint:
Gold may continue to fluctuate at a high level and be weak next week, focusing on the breakthrough direction of the 3340-3395 range. The hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve suppresses gold prices, but geopolitical risk aversion and the decline of the US dollar form support. The technical side shows a long-short tug-of-war situation, and we need to be vigilant about the risk of breaking.
1. Analysis of key influencing factors
Federal Reserve policy suppression
The dot plot shows that there will be only two interest rate cuts in 2025, and long-term interest rate expectations will be raised, weakening the attractiveness of interest-free assets such as gold.
Risk point: If US economic data (such as PCE and unemployment rate) weaken significantly, hawkish expectations may be reversed.
Geopolitics and risk aversion
The situation in the Middle East, trade frictions and other events still provide bottom support for gold, limiting the downside space.
The trend of the US dollar is differentiated
The US dollar index rose and fell, and if it weakens further, it may ease the pressure on gold.
2. Key technical signals
The watershed between long and short positions
Support level: 3350-3340 (lower track of 4-hour channel), break down to 3250.
Resistance level: 3385-3395 (short-term trend line suppression), break through to test the previous high of 3450.
Indicator divergence
Weekly: MACD death cross appears initially, if confirmed, it will start mid-term adjustment.
Daily line: The momentum column turned to decline, but the volume did not fall, so be wary of false breakthroughs.
4 hours: The channel support near 3340 is the last line of defense for bulls, and if it fails, it will accelerate downward.
3. Trading strategy suggestions
Scenario 1: Range oscillation (probability 60%)
Operation logic: 3340-3395 range high sell low buy.
Short order: enter near 3385, stop loss above 3400, target 3350.
Long order: try long with a light position near 3340, stop loss 3320, target 3370-3380.
Scenario 2: Breaking support (30% probability)
Trigger condition: daily closing price is lower than 3340.
Follow-up strategy: short at 3360, stop loss at 3380, target 3250 (midline).
Scenario 3: Breaking resistance (10% probability)
Trigger condition: stand firm at 3395 and the dollar weakens.
Follow-up strategy: go long when it falls back to 3380, stop loss at 3365, target at 3450. Risk warning
Data risk: focus on US PCE inflation, GDP revisions and other data next week. If unexpectedly weak, gold may rebound.
Geopolitical emergencies: if the conflict escalates, safe-haven buying may push gold prices up rapidly.
Liquidity risk: month-end capital flows may amplify volatility, and positions need to be controlled.
Summary: Gold is short-term technically bearish but has not broken. It is recommended to focus on rebounding high and strictly stop loss. If 3340 is effectively broken, the trend will turn bearish; otherwise, if the support is held, there is still the possibility of a volatile upward trend.
GOLD → Consolidation. Awaiting the FOMC meetingFX:XAUUSD is consolidating in the range of 3403 - 3373. The problem is that there is news ahead. FOMC and interest rate meeting. The market may react in any unpredictable way...
On Wednesday, the price of gold retreated from $3,400 as sentiment stabilized and investors focused on the upcoming Fed decision. Tensions in the Middle East remain high, but there is less panic in the markets. The Fed is expected to leave rates unchanged. The focus is on forecasts for rates, growth, and inflation. Dovish signals could support gold and weaken the dollar. If the Fed is more cautious due to oil and the conflict in the Middle East, the dollar could rise and gold could fall.
Technical nuances are irrelevant in this case, as price behavior depends on the market's interpretation of fundamental factors.
Resistance levels: 3403, 3420
Support levels: 3373, 3339
BUT! Technically, I would say that there is pressure from the bears. The price is compressing towards the support level of 3373.
The market remains unbalanced in favor of buyers, and it is logical that market makers will be interested in testing the trend support zone or the 3339 level (due to the liquidity pool) before continuing to rise (gold may continue to rise both if rates are lowered and if they remain at the same level. However, the tone of the Fed will play a major role here)
Best regards, R. Linda!
This chart shows a Gold (XAU/USD) analysis on the 1-hour This chart shows a Gold Spot (XAU/USD) analysis on the 1-hour timeframe, with technical elements typically used in smart money concepts (SMC). Here's a breakdown of what's shown:
Key Chart Elements:
FVG (Fair Value Gap):
Two FVG zones are marked in pink rectangles, one around the mid-3,300s and another lower down.
These indicate imbalance zones where price moved rapidly and may return to fill the gap.
SSL (Sell-side Liquidity):
Marked below current price action, suggesting a possible liquidity sweep (stop-hunt) before a reversal.
BSL (Buy-side Liquidity):
Marked above current price (near 3,400), indicating potential target zone for a bullish move.
Price Projection Path:
A zig-zag black line illustrates a projected bullish move:
Dip below current price to sweep SSL.
Quick recovery into FVG.
Break of structure and move higher.
Final target near 3,400 (BSL).
Support & Resistance Zones:
Marked in pink rectangles, showing historical reaction levels and potential areas of interest.
News Event Symbol:
Appears at the bottom of the chart, likely signaling upcoming macroeconomic data that could influence volatility.
Interpretation:
The chart suggests a bullish bias after a liquidity sweep below the recent lows (SSL), aiming for a rally toward 3,400 (BSL). The FVG zones may act as resistance-turned-support or retracement targets on the way up.
GOLD My Opinion! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GOLD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 3313.7 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 3321.8
Safe Stop Loss - 3309.7
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Wednesday, 24th June 2024)Bias: Bearish
USD News(Red Folder):
-Fed Chair Powell Testifies
Notes:
- Strong bearish closure on daily
- Looking for a break & retest on 4hr structure
- Potential SELL if there's
confirmation on lower timeframe
- Pivot point: 3370
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
XAU/USDPrice action trading is a methodology in financial markets where traders make decisions based on the actual price movements of an asset over time, rather than relying heavily on technical indicators or fundamental analysis. It involves observing and interpreting patterns and trends in price charts to predict future price movements.
XAUUSD; CONTINUATION HIGHERHello traders
XAUUSD has been very bullish recently and currently correcting to a strong resistance of @3315 which coincides with a 61.8 fib
we expect a bounce higher targeting previous highs of @3395
if the price drops lower than 3300 this idea will be irrelevant
GOOD LUCK
Excellent session yesterdayAs discussed throughout my yesterday’s session commentary:” My position: Besides all Fundamental factors / escalation, Gold isn't soaring as one could expect. Therefore I will continue Scalping #3,352.80 - #3,377.80 Neutral belt and will Trade the break-out. #3,352 towards #3,327.80 or #3,377.80 to the upside however with DX rising, I give more probabilities to the downside.“
I have firstly engaged many Scalping orders from #3,377.80 - #3,382.80 Scalp re-Buy zone towards #3,392.80 and closed all with Profit. Then late U.S. session delivered #3,352.80 benchmark test which I re-Bought in repetition and closed my Scalp orders on #3,358.80 - #62 belt. Also my Selling Swing projection was delivered (#3,327.80 test).
Technical analysis: Gold is taking strong Intra-day hits in form of Three Black Crows candlestick formation and most likely Selling sequence is not stopping here. The Hourly 4 chart’s Resistance cluster has rejected the Price-action twice already which gives a updated Targets with a potential extension towards #3,200.90 psychological benchmark if #3,322.80 - #3,327.80 Support zone gives away. Only if #3,352.80?mark breaks to the upside and market closes (especially Weekly (#1W) closing) above, I will contemplate Buying the market as at the moment / Hourly 1 chart’s reveals no clues nor configuration is not worth entering / only Sell orders both Scalp / Swing are suitable. I don't expect today’s session Fundamental reports to be relevant, as I await Support extension test (Selling on every local High’s) due ceasefire talks / deal.
My position: I will Sell every High’s on Gold especially if #3,352.80 benchmark is not recovered waiting for #3,300.80 benchmark test.
XAU/USD 15M CHART PATTERNHere's a summary of your XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) trade setup on the 15-minute chart:
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📈 Trade Type: Buy
Entry: 3324
🎯 Take Profits (TP):
TP1: 3340
TP2: 3365
TP3: 3397
🛑 Stop Loss (SL):
SL: 3293
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🧮 Risk-Reward Ratios (Approximate):
Target Profit (Pips) Risk (Pips) RR Ratio
TP1 16 31 1:1.94
TP2 41 31 1:1.32
TP3 73 31 1:2.35
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✅ Notes:
Trend Confirmation: Make sure there is bullish momentum (e.g., break of a recent high, bullish candlestick pattern, or moving average crossover).
News Risk: Check economic calendar (e.g., USD news, Fed meetings) to avoid volatility surprises.
Manage Position: Consider partial take-profit at each level and trail your stop loss accordingly.
Gold Trend Analysis and Trading Strategy: Interpreting Bowman's Gold Trend Analysis and Trading Strategy: Interpreting Bowman's Rate Cut Signal
I. How Did Bowman's Speech "Fuel" Gold's Rally?
Fed Governor Bowman dropped a key statement today: "If price growth stabilizes, I would support a July rate cut." This is like a gas station attendant telling a driver, "Prices will drop soon—fill up less for now." After fixating on inflation last year, her sudden pivot has markets convinced the Fed may finally "let off the gas."
Why is this bullish for gold? Think of it this way: When the Fed cuts rates, borrowing costs fall, and the dollar "goes on sale." Since gold is priced in dollars, a cheaper dollar makes gold more attractive. While markets aren’t fully convinced of a July cut (CME data shows only 8.3% probability), Bowman’s words as a Fed "insider" are like a supermarket’s pre-sale discount announcement—some will always stock up early.
II. Why Is Gold Acting Like It Hit the Brakes but Wants to Accelerate?
(1) Where Is the "Brake Pad" Support?
Gold prices have hit the brakes near $3,347 (June 20 low), and Bowman’s speech could trigger a rebound to $3,390—like hitting a speed bump then gradually accelerating. Technically, the $3,350-$3,370 range acts as "anti-skid lines" on the road—if this holds, gold may resume its upward drive.
(2) Where Is the "Speed Limit" Resistance?
The major roadblock ahead is $3,413 (June 16 high), like a highway speed limit sign. If Bowman’s remarks convince more investors of an impending rate cut, gold could break this limit to test $3,450 or higher. But beware: If Middle East tensions ease suddenly (e.g., Iran halts strait blockade threats), gold may "hit the brakes" and pull back.
(3) Is the Middle East "Gas Pedal" Still Depressed?
With Israel and Iran exchanging missile strikes (Iran launched a new round on June 19), it’s like a constant traffic accident on the road, driving investors into gold’s "safe haven." Current dynamics—potential Fed rate cuts (dollar discount) + Middle East conflict (hedge demand)—are jointly pressing gold’s "gas pedal," but market hesitation over whether the Fed will actually cut rates is causing volatility.
**Trading Strategy Recommendations:**
- **Long on Dips**: Buy near $3,350-$3,370 with stop-loss below $3,340, targeting $3,390 initially.
- **Breakout Play**: Add to positions above $3,413, with profit targets at $3,450 and $3,480.
- **Hedging Against False Moves**: Allocate 10% of position to inverse gold ETFs (e.g., GLL) if Middle East tensions suddenly defuse.
**Key Monitor Points**:
- Track real-time CME FedWatch Tool for rate cut probability shifts.
- Monitor Strait of Hormuz shipping updates via Bloomberg Maritime.
- Follow Fed Governor Bowman’s subsequent public remarks for policy clarity.
In this tug-of-war between monetary policy signals and geopolitical risks, gold’s next move hinges on whether the "gas pedal" of rate cut expectations overrides the "brakes" of market skepticism. Maintain flexibility and align positions with confirmed breakouts rather than speculative narratives.
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD buy@3360~3370
SL:3350
TP:3380~3390
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youGold Price Surges Then Pulls Back Amid Middle East Tensions
This morning, gold opened like it hit the "fast-forward" button. Tensions suddenly flared in the Middle East—after Iran threatened to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, the price surged above $3,990 at the opening. However, as Iran didn’t immediately enforce the blockade and Israel launched counterattacks, markets judged the conflict might not spiral out of control immediately. Gold prices then gradually retreated, now hovering around $3,360—about $30 below the morning’s peak.
From a price trend perspective, $3,350 is a critical support level, like a wall propping up the market. As long as the price doesn’t break below this "wall," it indicates strong buying support below, leaving gold poised for a rebound. Technically, the price action also shows signs of bottoming out, serving as a bullish signal for long positions.
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD buy@3350~3360
SL:3340
TP:3370~3380
After the support at 3,340 for gold, a rebound may be expected.The gold price rebounded after falling from the all-time high of 3,500 to 3,120. It opened at 3,433 last week, dipped to the low of 3,340 before rebounding to close at 3,368. The weekly candlestick was bearish but held above the 5-week moving average. The daily chart shows a doji star with a bearish alignment, yet it maintained the support of the middle Bollinger Band. The 4-hour chart remains within the upward channel, with the support near 3,340 proving effective, indicating short-term signs of stabilizing. This morning, it gapped up to 3,398 and then slightly corrected. The market's safe-haven position replenishment demand supports the gold price. In terms of operation, it is recommended to focus on going long on pullbacks.
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Trading Strategy:
buy@3350-3360
TP:3390-3395
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Monday, 23th June 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-Flash Manufacturing PMI
Notes:
- Geopolitical tension escalated
- Price gapped up on market open
- Potential BUY if there's
confirmation on lower timeframe
- Pivot point: 3430
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | June 23, 2025
🌀 Current Wave Structure – H1 Timeframe
In previous plans, we were debating between two triangle patterns in green:
1. A leading diagonal triangle forming wave 1, or
2. A corrective triangle structure forming wave X (as labeled on the chart).
In last Friday’s plan, I also identified a five-wave triangle structure forming within wave c, with strong evidence of completion shown by a sharp bullish candle.
📰 News Supporting the Move
At this point, it seems war-related news is supporting an upcoming bullish trend, which also strengthens the case that a three-wave abc correction (black) has completed. We are now expecting a bullish leg this week.
🎯 Price Outlook
The current zone is a promising area for a BUY NOW setup. However, we should be cautious about the potential gap-up at the market open. If that occurs, we’ll observe whether the gap gets filled to reassess the buy zone.
If price rallies to the 3382 area and then pulls back, we will look for a swing BUY entry around 3357.
📈 Momentum & Larger Wave Outlook
D1 timeframe: Momentum is about to shift upward, indicating a potential strong and steep bullish trend this week. If confirmed, this supports the scenario that wave 2 (black) has ended and wave 3 is beginning.
However, if price moves in a slow and overlapping fashion, we must prepare for an alternative scenario: that the correction is not yet complete, and another leg down may occur to finalize the structure.
H4 timeframe: Momentum has already shifted to the upside, suggesting a high probability of a gap-up during the Asian session open.
H1 timeframe: Momentum is also about to reverse to the upside, allowing us to consider buying at current levels.
📝 Trade Plan – BUY Setup:
✅ Buy Zone: 3361 – 3379
❌ Stop Loss: 3351
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 3382
TP2: 3396
TP3: 3412