Gold Bullish Momentum
📈 XAU/USD Gold Technical Analysis – Smart Money Concept Perspective
🕒 Timeframe: 1H | Date: July 16, 2025
Overview:
This analysis follows a Smart Money Concept (SMC) framework, focusing on market structure shifts, liquidity zones, and potential high-probability setups. Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of a possible bullish reversal after forming a clear accumulation zone near a significant low.
Key Highlights:
🔹 BOS (Break of Structure):
A bullish break of structure confirms a shift in momentum, indicating that the prior bearish trend might be weakening.
🔹 LL (Lower Low) and LH (Lower High):
The market previously formed a Lower Low, followed by a Lower High, maintaining bearish structure until the recent BOS occurred.
🔹 Accumulation Phase:
Price is consolidating in a defined accumulation range, suggesting smart money might be absorbing liquidity before a move higher. This zone may serve as the springboard for the next bullish leg.
🔹 Inducement:
An inducement zone lies just below the trendline support and accumulation range. It’s designed to trap early sellers before a bullish continuation.
🔹 POI (Point of Interest):
A key supply or mitigation zone lies around the $3,355.75 level. We expect price to move into this POI before reacting.
🔹 Target:
If price successfully clears the POI and confirms strength, the projected target is in the $3,375–$3,380 zone based on confluence from upper channel resistance and previous structure.
🔄 Forecast Path:
Short-Term Pullback: Price may dip slightly to mitigate the inducement zone near trendline support.
Bullish Breakout: Strong impulse toward POI.
Reaction from POI: Potential minor retracement before a continuation toward the target.
🧠 Market Psychology Insight:
This setup reflects smart money accumulation and manipulation at its core — inducing retail traders into short positions before a potential bullish move. Watch for confirmations like bullish engulfing candles or break of lower highs on smaller timeframes.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold is poised for a possible bullish move after showing accumulation and breaking bearish structure. The $3,328–$3,335 range is key for entries, with the $3,355 POI and $3,375+ as targets. Manage risk and wait for confirmation before entering trades.
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