June 24, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Iran agreeing to a ceasefire is fundamentally bearish for gold.
From a technical perspective, price is still consolidating within the 3340–3400 range.
A break below 3340 could signal increased bearish momentum.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3400 – Psychological resistance
• 3396 – Resistance
• 3380 – Resistance
• 3365 – Key resistance
• 3350 – Midpoint (bull-bear line)
• 3340 – Critical intraday support
• 3328 – Support
• 3315 – Support
• 3300 – Psychological support
📉 Intraday Strategy:
SELL if price breaks below 3340 → target 3328, then 3319, 3310, 3300
BUY if price holds above 3350 → target 3356, then 3365, 3370, 3375
👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there's interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Trade with caution and always manage your risk.
CFDGOLD trade ideas
Short gold, gold still has at least one chance to pullback!At present, gold has rebounded to the 3370-3380 area again, which largely confirms that 3350-3340 is the bottom area at this stage. However, what we still cannot underestimate is that even with the support of safe-haven, gold has still failed to effectively break through the resistance of 3385-3395-3405 area, and even fell under pressure several times. To a certain extent, it weakened the willingness and confidence of bulls, so it aggravated the trend of wide fluctuations in the short term. During this period, we must pay attention to the rhythm change of gold.
According to the current bullish strength of gold, I think gold does not have the conditions to directly break through the heavy resistance of 3385-3395-3405 area for the time being, so gold still needs at least one retracement expectation, so I think we can still try to short gold in the 3375-3385 area, but the retracement expectation should not be too large, 3365-3355 is enough!
Gold in a Tug of War – Consolidation or Comeback?After a quiet trading week, XAUUSD is hovering around 3,368 USD, trapped between hawkish central bank policies and prolonged geopolitical tension in the Middle East.
Despite safe-haven demand sparked by the Israel–Iran conflict, Fed, BOE, and SNB holding interest rates high conti
From a technical perspective, gold is struggling to break through the 3,385 USD confluence resistance zone. A rejection at this level could trigger a short-term pullback toward 3,330 USD or lower.
In my view, this is a healthy consolidation phase—not a reversal. Don’t underestimate the bulls. The long-term uptrenpullbacks may offer strate.
What about you—do you believe gold is gearing up for another rally? Drop your take below.
Analysis of the Short-Term Downtrend in Spot Gold Prices AgainstBased on the attached chart and extracted text information, here is a graphical analysis and trend determination of the spot gold price against the US dollar (Gold Spot / US Dollar).
Trend Analysis:
- General Trend: Based on the available data, there appears to be a short-term downtrend. The decline in price and confirmation of selling levels indicate strong selling pressure. However, this trend must be confirmed using other technical indicators.
- Price Range: The chart indicates a broad price range between approximately $3,000 and $3,500 over the past several months. This indicates significant volatility in the price of gold.
Support and Resistance Levels:
- Support Levels:
- The $3,219.944 level represents an important support level.
- The $3,100 and $3,000 levels may also act as support levels if the downtrend continues.
- Resistance Levels:
- The $3,353.820 level (the current buy level) could act as an immediate resistance level.
- Higher levels in the $3,400-$3,500 range represent potential resistance levels if the trend reverses.
- Monitoring Support Levels: The aforementioned support levels should be monitored to identify potential buying points in case of a bounce.
Based on the available data, there is a short-term downward trend in the spot gold price against the US dollar, starting from these areas:
- Entry price of the deal: $3,355.00
- Stop loss price for the trade: $3,381.00
- Target price for the deal TP1: $3,320.00
- Target price for the deal TP2: $3,280.00
- Target price for the deal TP3: $3,219.00
GOLD (XAUUSD) – Wave b Complete? Preparing for Wave c RallyGold tapped into the key demand zone and swept sell-side liquidity (SSL) beneath wave (iii) lows.
A five-wave decline appears complete, with wave (v) of b terminating just below the o.618 fib extension at 3344.86.
🟢 Wave c projection now in focus — looking for a 5-wave impulsive rally to develop.
Targeting the Sell Zone between the 0.5–0.764 retracement (3395.87–3425.07).
🧠 Structure Notes:
✅ Imbalance Zone (IMB) formed during the breakdown has now been tapped
🔻 SSL swept + bullish reaction = potential change of state
🟢 Wave (i) and (ii) projection underway – price needs to maintain structure above 3357.43 for bullish continuation
Targets: 3408.81 (0.618 Fib)
Invalidation below: 3340.31
Momentum and RSI divergence support reversal
GOLD Final GDP q/q
Actual: -0.5%
Forecast: -0.2%
Previous: -0.2%
The US economy contracted by 0.5% in the first quarter, worse than the expected 0.2% decline, indicating a sharper slowdown than anticipated.
2. Unemployment Claims (Week ending June 21)
Initial Claims: 236,000
Forecast: 244,000
Previous: 245,000
Initial jobless claims fell by 10,000 to 236,000, lower than forecast and near historically low levels, suggesting that layoffs remain relatively subdued despite economic challenges.
3. Core Durable Goods Orders m/m (May 2025)
Actual: +0.5%
Forecast: +0.1%
Previous: +0.2%
Core durable goods orders, which exclude transportation, rose 0.5% month-over-month, beating expectations and signaling some resilience in business investment.
4. Durable Goods Orders m/m (May 2025)
Actual: +16.4%
Forecast: +8.6%
Previous: -6.3%
Total durable goods orders surged 16.4%, a strong rebound following a prior decline, indicating a pickup in demand for long-lasting manufactured goods.
5. Final GDP Price Index q/q (Q1 2025)
Actual: 3.7%
This measure of inflation in the GDP deflator remains elevated, reflecting persistent price pressures in the economy.
Summary of Market Implications:
The larger-than-expected GDP contraction signals economic weakness, which could increase expectations for accommodative Fed policy.
The drop in initial jobless claims supports the view that layoffs are limited, but rising continuing claims suggest some labor market softness ahead.
Strong durable goods orders point to underlying business investment strength, providing a mixed but cautiously optimistic outlook.
Elevated inflation as shown by the GDP price index keeps inflation concerns alive.
Overall, the data presents a complex picture of a slowing economy with pockets of resilience and ongoing inflationary pressures
the interest rate remains 4.24%-4.5% ,the bond market remain weak on fiscal policy challenges and pending rate outlook.
the 10 year bond yield is trading around 4.291% -4.25% and edge lower from fundamental outlook.
gold on ascending trendline connecting April till June and found support at 3312-3314.
buyers during newyork session will build momentum on technical to bridge 3350 supply .
GOLD - SHORT TO $2,800 (UPDATE)Here's an update from my video analysis yesterday. Gold buyers climbed up towards our sell zone of $3,350 last night, where we closed out our intra-day buy's at £2,500 profit.
Gold sellers so far have rejected that resistance zone & dropped down 400 PIPS! If price can hold steady below this zone we can see much more downside to come. But a break above that zone could push price back up towards $3,400 again.
#3,300.80 tested as expectedAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I will Sell every High’s on Gold especially if #3,352.80 benchmark is not recovered waiting for #3,300.80 benchmark test."
I have announced #3,300.80 test throughout yesterday's session commentary with engaging excellent Selling orders (mostly aggressive Scalps) until #3,300.80 benchmark isn't achieved.
Technical analysis: Strong rejection from late yesterday's session local High’s on increased Volume indicating that Sellers are strongly positioned at that mark, which is Technically the Support fractal on the neckline of former Bullish structure / pattern over Neutral High’s / Low’s. However a strong Support presence is seen at current #3,292.80 - #3,302.80 levels where Gold rebounded on an Hourly 4 chart’s Doji Star Bullish reversal candle many times in near past. This decline is temporarily confusing the patterns but with a new Higher Low’s and as long as the Lower Low’s Upper zone stays intact, I will regardless remain Bearish awaiting retracement to test #3,300.80 psychological benchmark once again. One must be fast to adapt on market changes which are the case lately in order not to hold worthless positions. Bond Yields however climbed to fresh Annual High’s above (# +4.5%) while DX is following the sequence on parabolic downtrend delivering #3-session Selling spree on Gold. Price-action remains contained near Hourly 1 chart's #3,327.80 as my main point of interest.
My position: I assume no new orders as I will await where Gold will turn next / reveal major move. Either #3,327.80 - #3,332.80 break-out towards #3,352.80 benchmark or big Sell towards #3,300.80 benchmark first, then if #3,292.80 gives away, #3,252.80 benchmark. Trade accordingly.
Analysis and layout of the latest gold trend in the evening📰 Impact of news:
1. The ceasefire agreement reached earlier did not take effect, and Trump believed that both sides violated the agreement
2. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivered a speech 3 hours later
📈 Market analysis:
After falling below the 3300 mark, gold hit the 3295 line and then rebounded. However, there are too many long orders at the current high level of gold, and the market will not rise easily. The current international situation is so tense, and gold is still slowly declining. It is difficult to rebound sharply in this situation. In the short term, focus on 3290-3280 below. If effective support is obtained, you can go long and look towards 3300-3310. If it falls below the support line of 3290-3280, the downward channel of gold will be opened and it is expected to reach 3265. At the same time, pay attention to the 3328-3338 resistance range on the upside. If the first rebound in the evening encounters pressure and resistance here, you may consider shorting.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3328-3338-3400
TP 3310-3300-3295
BUY 3290-3280
TP 3300-3310
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold is bouncing from support.. Time frame m30🔍 1. Trend Analysis
Past Trend:
From June 10 to around June 14, the price was in a strong uptrend, moving within an ascending channel (highlighted in red and blue).
After mid-June, the trend reversed into a downtrend within a descending channel (also shown in blue).
Current Position:
Price is now breaking out of the descending channel, potentially signaling a trend reversal or short-term recovery.
---
📈 Support and Resistance Levels
Key Resistance Levels:
3,347.944 – Intermediate resistance.
3,373.423 – Major short-term resistance and target zone.
Key Support Levels:
3,306.252 – Immediate support below current price.
3,275.459 – Strong support zone (highlighted in red), price bounced here multiple times.
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📉 Pattern Observations
Reversal Pattern:
The recent bounce from 3,275–3,280 region, with rounded bottoms and breakout from the falling channel, suggests a potential bullish reversal.
Fibonacci Retracement:
A retracement level around 0.8279 appears on the chart, indicating that the price has retraced deeply from a recent swing high—another bullish indicator.
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📊 Projection and Trading Outlook
Bullish Scenario (as shown by the arrows on the chart):
If the price holds above 3,306.252, it may move toward:
Target 1: 3,347.944
Target 2: 3,373.423
These are marked in blue boxes on the chart.
Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to hold above 3,306.252 and breaks down again:
Next support is at 3,275.459 (major demand zone).
A breakdown below this zone could signal further downside.
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🧠 Market Sentiment & Cues
Multiple Touchpoints (Orange Circles): Suggest validity of both uptrend and downtrend channels.
Volume Missing: No volume data is present, which would help confirm the breakout’s strength.
Risk Events (Flag icons): These may indicate upcoming US economic events, which could bring volatility.
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✅ Conclusion
Neutral-to-Bullish Bias short term, especially if price holds above 3,306.
Watch for confirmation above 3,347 for further upside.
Risk increases if price drops back into the red demand zone (< 3,275).
XAUUSD Hello traders. Today's second and also final trade opportunity comes from the XAUUSD pair. I consider this setup to be somewhat risky, so I recommend keeping your risk exposure at a minimum.
Earlier today, I shared a trade on GBPJPY, which has since experienced a strong upward move. As a result, I’ve updated the TP level for that trade. You can find the updated information noted under that specific post.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 30-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 3323.09
✔️ Take Profit: 3340.22
✔️ Stop Loss: 3314.50
🕒 If momentum fades or the price consolidates in a tight range, I will keep this trade open only until 23:00 (UTC+4). After that, I’ll close it manually—whether in profit or loss—depending on how price action evolves.
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Today's gold is waiting for low prices to go longToday's gold is waiting for low prices to go long
Gold price dynamics
International gold price: Today's spot gold fluctuated and weakened, once falling below $3,350/ounce, and the lowest hit $3,332.95, mainly affected by the ceasefire agreement in the Middle East.
Reasons for fluctuations: In the early trading, due to Iran's attack on the US military base, the gold price once soared to $3,398, but quickly fell back after Trump announced the ceasefire between Israel and Iran.
At present, the gold price fluctuates greatly, and the market has repeatedly washed the market.
Both the long and short sides have repeatedly washed the market, causing a huge impact on the market trading ecology. I believe that many people will encounter this unprovoked disaster again on Monday.
However, Iran's foreign minister subsequently denied the official ceasefire, and the situation remains unclear.
If the ceasefire agreement fails to be implemented, the gold price may rebound quickly to $3,400-3,450.
It seems that all choices of the direction of the war are left to traders like me.
Let's take a look at the interest rate cut situation:
Fed Vice Chairman Bowman made dovish remarks, saying that if inflation is mild, interest rates may be cut in July, and the US dollar index fell as a result.
The market currently expects a 23% chance of a rate cut in July and an 80% chance of a rate cut in September.
Fed Chairman Powell's testimony to Congress today is crucial, and if he sends a dovish signal, it may boost gold prices.
Remember the time: today
Technical analysis:
Technical analysis:
Support: $3300-3320 (200-day moving average).
Resistance: $3400-3450 (recent high).
Short-term (1-3 days):
If Powell's testimony is dovish, gold prices may rebound to $3380-3400.
If the ceasefire in the Middle East goes well, gold prices may fall to $3300.
My view:
Continue to go long at lows: 3330-3345 range layout
Final stop loss area: around 3315
Target: above 3400
XAUUSD – Weak consolidation near 3,357, eyes on 3,443 retestYesterday, gold traded within the 3,344 to 3,371 USD range and closed at 3,368.75 USD (+0.72%). Despite the slight rebound, price action remains weakly consolidative within a broad ascending channel, repeatedly rejected at the 3,443 USD resistance area — where multiple FVGs (Fair Value Gaps) remain unfilled.
On the H4 chart, price is holding above the key confluence support at 3,357 USD, which aligns with the medium-term ascending trendline. If this level holds, a technical bounce back toward 3,443 USD is likely.
However, it's worth noting that recent upward moves have lost momentum near the upper FVG zones. Traders should wait for a clear confirmation signal — particularly a strong bullish candle at the current support — before considering entry.
Escalating U.S. Debt Crisis Coupled with Weaker U.S. DollarPowell Unleashes Rare Dovish Signal, Gold Rebounds to $3,330
In yesterday's speech, Powell remarkably signaled policy easing, explicitly stating the Fed "will take appropriate actions to sustain economic expansion," driving gold's short-term rebound to the $3,330 threshold. Technically, gold is now locked in a strong consolidation range of $3,300–$3,350, with the Bollinger Bands midline at $3,325 emerging as the focal point of long-short battles.
The U.S. Dollar Index hit a new low today, while the U.S. debt crisis is set to raise the borrowing ceiling again—both tailwinds for gold's upward momentum.
Trading Strategy Recommendations:
- Short at Resistance: Enter light short positions between $3,345–$3,350, set stop-loss at $3,360, and target a pullback to $3,320.
- Long at Support: Initiate staggered long positions in the $3,310–$3,300 support zone, set stop-loss at $3,290, and target a rally to $3,340–$3,345.
- Volatility Trading: Exploit range-bound movements around the $3,330 midline, aiming for 8–12 dollar profits per trade.
Market Note: With the dollar weakening and debt ceiling tensions resurfacing, gold's safe-haven appeal is reinforced. Maintain position sizes below 5% and strictly enforce $15 stop-loss orders to navigate news-driven volatility.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
XAUUSD GOLD📈 GOLD (XAU/USD)
📊 Timeframes:
⏱️ 30-Min & 1-Hour
🟢 Long Trade Plan
🔍 Analysis Highlights:
✨ Bullish Divergence spotted
🚀 Breakout Trade
🎯 Trade Details:
🛑 SL: Marked on chart 🔴
✅ TP1: Mentioned on chart 🥇
🏁 TP2: Mentioned on chart 🥈
📌 Chart levels clearly labeled
📬 For any queries regarding chart: comment in message section
💡 Trade smart, manage risk! 📉📈
#Gold #XAUUSD #BreakoutTrade #LongSetup #BullishDivergence #TradingView #TradePlan
XAUUSDXAU/USD Trade Analysis – SELL Setup
Trade Idea: A short position on Gold (XAU/USD) is recommended, as we are currently observing a bearish outlook.
Entry Zone: The ideal entry for this trade is between the levels of 3323 and 3325, where we anticipate a potential price reversal or continuation to the downside.Stop Loss: Set the stop loss at 3336.00, just above the key resistance zone. This provides a safe buffer in case the market moves against the trade, while ensuring limited risk exposure.
Take Profit Levels:
🎯 TP1 (3318): The first target is 3318, a key support level, where price may pause or consolidate before further movement.
🎯 TP2 (3315): The second target is 3315, representing a more significant support zone that could attract buying pressure.
🎯 TP3 (3310): The final target is 3310, where a deeper retracement might unfold, offering the most profit potential.
XAUUSD 1H | Harmonic AB=CD | Sentiment Reversal in PlayGold has formed a clean Harmonic AB=CD Pattern, with price currently sitting at the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone). This aligns with technical expectations for a possible bullish shift.
🗓️ The recent sharp sell-off in Gold was heavily influenced by the ongoing Iran-Israel conflict, triggering fear, panic, and speculative selling. Despite Gold's fundamentally bullish bias as a safe-haven asset, market sentiment overpowered fundamentals in the short term.
🔍 On the 30min LTF, we have a crystal-clear Bullish Divergence on RSI, adding further confluence that downside momentum is weakening, and a corrective reversal may unfold from this area.
Bias:
✅ Harmonic AB=CD complete — PRZ active
✅ LTF Bullish Divergence (30m) confirmed
✅ Price action showing exhaustion at key support
✅ Expecting potential bullish reaction and relief rally
⚠️ As always, waiting for confirmation with proper risk management. Market remains sensitive to geopolitical headlines.
💡 DYOR — Do Your Own Research before executing trades.
Wave 2 Corrective Phase Over!Now that Wave 2 correction is over or very close to completion, I am now waiting for an impulse move up by buyers.
Following this impulse move, I will look for a ‘Minor Wave 2 Correction’, where I will start looking for entry points to buy Gold.
What’s your bias on Gold & what do you think the next major move is?
Gold prices rebounded weakly after a sharp plunge!After Trump announced that Israel and Iran had reached a comprehensive ceasefire agreement, market risk aversion significantly cooled, and gold prices plunged by more than $30 in early trading. From a technical perspective, the moving average system of gold's daily chart shows an intertwined state, with relatively balanced bullish and bearish forces. Currently, the key resistance above is near 3350, which is an important psychological threshold. If effectively broken through, it may open up an upward space; the support level below focuses on the 3285-3290 range, which is the lower edge of the May platform (shock platform). If broken, it may exacerbate pullback pressure. The loss of the middle 轨 (middle track) in the 4-hour chart further confirms the short-term weak structure, providing technical support for the downward trend. It is recommended to go long near 3285-3290 during the pullback in the evening, but currently, gold continues to decline following the trend.
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Trading Strategy:
buy@3290-3295
TP:3335-3340
XAUUSD Drop H4 Timeframe Analysis
Gold is currently holding the falling wedge pattern on H1 & H4 now market is range of 3290-3330 structural support. On last setup we had 140 PIPS TP HIT.
What's possible scanarios we have?
if H4 remains above 3285-3290 then buy and hold it till 3307 then 3320
On the otherhand if The H4 candle closes below 3280 buyying will be limited and market will trun the new the rangbound 3280-3230
All the setups are executed well and All the entires should be taken If all the rules are Applied
#XAUUSD