GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Following up on last week’s chart update, we saw another perfect test of the channel top, right in line with our Goldturn Channel expectations. The new weekly candle completed the channel top challenge with precision.
Our weekly chart idea is now playing out perfectly. We continued to get strong support above 3281, followed by another hit onto the 3387 channel top. But this time, we got something new: a body close above 3387, which confirms the gap to 3482 as active. We’ll now look for that 3482 target to be hit, ascending inline with the channel top.
Any rejection around these upper levels will likely see price retrace to find support at lower Goldturn levels. These are opportunities we’ll be watching closely to buy back in.
Price action remains well-contained between 3281 and 3387, but with that recent close above 3387, we’re now shifting focus toward higher expansion. The structure is rising, and the channel is guiding price beautifully, offering more room for smart, calculated positioning.
As long as we hold above the half-line and especially above 3281, we stay in buy-the-dip mode, favouring long setups from intraday Goldturn zones for quick 20–40 pip scalps or more extended swing entries when structure permits.
Should we see a failure to maintain above 3387 or a close back below 3281, we’ll reassess potential movement toward the lower channel boundary. Until then, the structure remains bullish within the channel and price is following our path perfectly.
The Goldturn methodology continues to prove its worth, cutting through noise, filtering out the fake outs, and keeping us on the right side of the market.
Stay sharp, stay patient.
MR GOLD
GOLDVIEWFX
CFDGOLD trade ideas
Gold Trade Plan – Wait for the Trap, Then Catch the Move Price broke the ascending trendline and is now heading into a key demand zone around 3387–3390. My plan is to wait for the manipulation wick into the green zone, ideally touching the trendline confluence below, then catch the bounce for a clean long setup toward 3460+. If that fails, I’m ready to flip short after the liquidity grab.
Two scenarios on the table:
1- Rejection from the demand zone → bullish continuation.
2- Fakeout bounce → trap longs → reversal drop.
Stay patient, let price come to you.
The golden storm is coming again, are you ready?Gold rebounded after falling back to 3333 in the first wave, and then rebounded to 3357 in the second wave before falling again, breaking through the previous low of 3333 and accelerating down to 3316. Currently, the short-term trend has stabilized in the 3316 area, which is also the support level for multiple rebounds in the previous period. After continuing to fall today, it has not broken through. We have arranged long orders in the 3316-3317 area in advance and have taken profits near 3331. Gold rebounded after stepping back again. Our long order plan is still in position. If the subsequent rebound breaks through the 3333 line, it is expected to further rise to the 3340-3348 area. We will try to short in this area.
In the short-term structure, the upper resistance focuses on the 3340-3348 area, and the lower support focuses on the 3310-3315 area. 3300-3305 is the watershed between the strength of long and short positions in the short term. The daily level is still under pressure as a whole, and the main idea of high altitude continues.
Gold operation strategy: short gold when it rebounds to around 3340-3348, target the 3330-3320 range.
Gold Outlook: Bullish Bias Builds🧠 Combined Market Intelligence Report
Focus Asset: XAU/USD (Gold/USD)
Current Price: $3,381.65
🌍 Macro Overview: Key Weekly Market Themes
🏦 Central Bank Policy Divergence
Federal Reserve: Held rates steady; Powell struck a more cautious tone. Seven members now forecast no cuts in 2025. Rate cut probability softened early in the week, then revived after Fed Governor Waller hinted at a possible July cut.
Swiss National Bank (SNB): Cut rates to 0.00%, surprising markets and signaling potential for negative rates if needed.
Bank of Japan (BOJ): Maintained rates at 0.50%, slowed bond tapering, signaled caution amid trade and inflation uncertainty.
ECB & BOE: Mostly neutral/dovish tones. ECB may cut in 6 months; BOE remained split.
🧩 Implication: Diverging monetary paths and policy uncertainty support demand for neutral reserve assets like gold.
⚔️ Geopolitical Risk: Israel-Iran Conflict
Markets opened bullish on gold due to de-escalation signals from Iran, but risk-off sentiment returned midweek after:
Trump’s “unconditional surrender” demand
Iran’s “irreparable damage” threat
Reports of possible U.S. strikes
By Friday, Trump hit “pause” for 2 weeks of diplomacy.
🧩 Implication: Geopolitical tension is unresolved. Gold remains a top safe-haven hedge as military conflict risk persists.
📉 Macro Data Weakness
U.S. Retail Sales: -0.9% (vs. -0.4% expected)
U.S. Industrial Production: -0.2%
Philly Fed Manufacturing: -4.0
UK Retail Sales: -2.7% m/m
Eurozone Wage Growth: 3.4% y/y (missed expectations)
Australia Jobs: -2.5k (vs. +15k expected)
🧩 Implication: Global slowdown signals strengthen gold’s appeal as a defensive and inflation-hedging asset.
📊 Technical Outlook for XAU/USD (Gold)
🔹 Current Price: $3,381.65
🔸 Key Indicators (1D)
Indicator Value Signal
RSI 55.65 Slightly bullish (>50)
Stochastic %K / %D 51.23 / 53.33 Neutral zone
Williams %R -44.18 Mid-range, no strong signal
Bollinger Mid-Band 3,381.55 Price = BB midline (balance point)
Keltner Mid-Channel 3,381.94 Matching price (consolidation)
📍 Key Price Levels
Support: $3,360 → $3,345
Resistance: $3,410 → $3,430
Breakout Point: Close above $3,410 confirms upside momentum
Breakdown Point: Close below $3,360 confirms renewed selling pressure
📈 Forecast for Gold (XAU/USD) – Next 1–5 Days
🔮 Fundamental Bias: 🔼 Mildly Bullish
Unresolved geopolitical tension = sustained safe-haven flows
Global economic softness = pressure on real yields
Mixed Fed tone, SNB cut = supportive macro backdrop for gold
📉 Technical Bias: 🔁 Neutral to Bullish
RSI above 50, price above major midlines = buyers still in control
Consolidation at key pivot level ($3,381) suggests accumulation, not exhaustion
If price breaks above $3,410 and sustains, rally toward $3,430–3,460 is likely
If price breaks below $3,360, watch for a retest of $3,345–3,330 support zone
🎯 Final XAU/USD Forecast Summary
Time Frame Direction Price Targets Confidence Risk Catalyst
1–2 Days 🔁 Sideways-to-Bullish $3,390 → $3,410 Moderate News on Fed, Trump-Iran
3–5 Days 🔼 Bullish $3,430 → $3,460 High Breakout + geopolitics
Bearish Case 🔽 If < $3,360 $3,345 → $3,330 Moderate Peace deal + strong USD
⚠️ Trade Considerations
If bullish breakout (> $3,410) → potential swing trade toward $3,460
If failed breakout (< $3,360) → reversion trade toward $3,330
Avoid aggressive positions until volatility picks up, as current setup is range-bound with breakout potential.
The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1M-1Y timeframes!
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
Gold continues to fluctuate, and range operations are effective!Gold opened high on Monday and then fell sharply. On Tuesday, it fluctuated and corrected with a cross-yang line. On Wednesday, the overall trend was also volatile. However, after the Fed's interest rate decision was announced on Wednesday, the price of gold fell to around 3362. The low point of this decline was just supported by the 10-day moving average. From a technical point of view, the support of the 10-day moving average at 3350 has become a key point. If this support can be effectively maintained, the gold price is expected to maintain a volatile pattern; once it breaks down, the short-selling force may continue, and then it will be necessary to look at the support of the 20-day moving average near 3350. In terms of upper resistance, the 5-day moving average is currently near 3390, which will suppress the upward movement of gold prices. Further resistance depends on the gains and losses of 3405.
There is not much change in the 4-hour chart. The lower track has not opened, and the support of 3360 is strong. It is still a bullish trend. However, it is worth noting that in the continuous rebound, the Bollinger middle track suppression point has not been broken. Relatively speaking, gold is weak and volatile in the medium term. Under the trend today, if it continues to rise, we must pay attention to the gains and losses of the dense suppression point 3405. If 3405 is broken, the trend strength will come out and we can see the high point of 3430. For intraday trading, we still maintain high-altitude and low-multiple, waiting for the trend strength to break through the space, and we are bullish above the support of 3350 during the day.
Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to short at the rebound of 3385-3390, with a target of 3370-3365; gold falls back to 3350-3355 and buys, with a target of 3375-3385;
GOLD → Geopolitical risks are driving gold prices up. To ATH?FX:XAUUSD is updating its interim highs as it retests resistance at 3435 amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. Economic risks are on the rise...
Gold rose 1.5% on Friday in Asian trading as investors sought refuge from escalating tensions between Israel and Iran. The price approached 7-week highs and could reach $3,500 if the conflict intensifies. The US and Israel have warned of serious consequences, while Iran has promised to respond. Geopolitics has overshadowed economic news, and markets are pricing in the possibility of a Fed rate cut in September.
Technically, the price is emerging from a local consolidation and testing a fairly important resistance level, forming a false breakout and correction. But this does not mean that the price will fall...
Resistance levels: 3425, 3435, 3461
Support levels: 3408, 3400, 3377
If gold consolidates above 3425 and continues to storm the resistance, growth may continue, and at the moment, there is a fairly high probability of a retest of the ATH. However, the ideal scenario would be a retest of the zone of interest 3408 - 3400 and the capture of liquidity before continuing growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAU/USD – Technical AnalysisThe chart reflects a sustained bearish phase within a well-defined descending channel, yet current price action suggests a potential trend shift may be underway.
🧠 Key Observations:
Price Compression Near Channel Support:
The market is testing the lower boundary of the descending channel, indicating possible exhaustion of selling momentum.
Ichimoku Cloud Analysis:
Price remains below the cloud, confirming bearish structure for now. However, cloud thinning ahead signals a weakening trend, which often precedes a reversal.
Projected Recovery Path:
A forecasted move is highlighted, suggesting a break above $3,360–$3,380, targeting the upper cloud resistance near $3,400. This level aligns with prior structure and volume interest.
Volume Profile (left):
Strong volume nodes align with support zones, reinforcing the potential for a bounce if momentum shifts.
📌 Strategy Insight:
While bearish momentum remains in control, signs of stabilization and potential reversal are emerging. Traders should wait for:
A confirmed break above the cloud, or
A bullish engulfing with volume support to validate long entries.
✅ Summary:
Trend remains bearish, but the setup shows early signs of accumulation and reversal. A breakout from the cloud and descending channel could trigger a shift toward $3,400+ in the near term. Monitoring phase active.
Entry Timing: Wait for Catalysts, Find Optimal PositionsEntry Timing: Wait for Catalysts, Find Optimal Positions
The Federal Reserve's latest report states that interest rates will remain on hold, but future rate cuts will proceed at a slower pace—originally projected to reduce rates by 50 basis points this year, but now possibly only 25 basis points annually, akin to pressing the brake pedal gently without fully stopping. Powell also noted that while inflation has shown signs of rebounding, the impact of geopolitical conflicts on prices may be temporary. This has left the market confused: on one hand, it suggests the U.S. economy may not be as weak as feared, reducing the urgency for rate cuts; on the other, concerns persist that high rates could suppress consumption and investment.
Next week, the U.S. will release GDP data. If the data comes in better than expected, indicating robust consumer spending, the Fed may be less inclined to cut rates promptly, strengthening the U.S. dollar and potentially exerting downward pressure on gold prices. Conversely, if the data disappoints, market expectations for earlier rate cuts could intensify, allowing gold to rebound. Currently, the market is waiting for clear signals from the Fed, and this hesitant sentiment will also keep gold prices volatile.
If there is positive news from Iran-Europe talks or the U.S. GDP data exceeds expectations, gold prices may decline. Consider initiating light short positions when prices fall near $3,350 or rebound to around $3,390.
Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it helps you
XAUUSD sell@3380~3390
SL:3410
TP:3370~3360
UPDATE 26th June 2025 Consolidation Phase Consolidation Phase still running.
It have a potential to retest a lower support.
During this consolidation period, we will continue to monitor any fluctuations ( war, geopolitic, US economic, etc ) that will affect the movement of gold prices.
So becareful at support level / key level.
Goodluck !
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Can the price of gold continue to rise?Gold trend analysis:
Gold has not fallen in the past two days, and there are signs of bottoming out in the short term. Since the daily line bottomed out and pulled up, the daily line closed positive yesterday, and the bulls began to counterattack, and the low point of the one-hour line was rising. We also said in last night’s blog that the key point below the market outlook is at 3295. If it cannot fall in the short term, it is likely to bottom out and rebound. The upper pressure is at the Bollinger middle track 3355. If it breaks and stabilizes at this price, gold will have a larger upward space, and the upper side will look at 3385.
In the 4-hour chart, the stochastic indicator temporarily forms a golden cross, which is a bullish signal; however, the BOLL track suppression is still there, which is also the pressure position of 3345-3347; the gold 1-hour moving average is still a dead cross downward short arrangement, and the gold shorts still have momentum. The key position of gold in the short term is still at 3340. Although gold seems to have a strong rebound in the early trading, it is still under pressure and began to fall back from 3340. There is no effective breakthrough. Therefore, before gold effectively breaks through 3340, it will continue to maintain a high-altitude thinking. Only after gold breaks through and stands firmly at 3340, will the gold bulls usher in a turnaround. Pay attention to the support near 3312, the low point of yesterday's US market decline. The upper resistance is 3355.
Gold operation strategy: short gold near 3350 when it rebounds, defend 3360, and target 3330-3320; long gold falls back to 3320, stop loss 3312, target 3340-3350;
Gold Outlook–24 June: Can Geopolitical Tensions Shift the Trend?📊 MACRO INSIGHTS:
🔸 Iran–Israel Ceasefire Update: Though both sides have referenced a ceasefire agreement, real conditions on the ground tell a different story. Iran has expressed conditional agreement, demanding Israel to halt operations first. However, Israeli forces claim missile attacks from Iran are still ongoing...
🔸 Escalation Despite Diplomatic Moves: Despite former President Trump’s announcement of a peace deal, Iran responded with renewed missile activity — intensifying market uncertainty...
🔸 Currency Sentiment: Asian currencies are mostly strengthening amid conflicting signals from the Middle East, reflecting cautious optimism across emerging markets...
📉 GOLD PRICE TECHNICAL STRUCTURE:
🔸 Gold experienced a significant drop during the early Asian session, forming a visible price gap near the 334x region...
🔸 On the H1 timeframe, a potential correction is underway. Price may retest 3325 or dip as low as 3287 before resuming bullish momentum. If support at 3290 holds or breaks, it could become a key signal for trend confirmation going forward...
🔐 KEY ZONES TO MONITOR:
🟥 Resistance Areas: 3366 – 3394 – 3409 – 3450
🟩 Support Levels: 3333 – 3325 – 3316 – 3293
🎯 POTENTIAL TRADE SETUPS (Price Action Bias):
🟢 Bullish Opportunity #1
📍Entry: 3286–3288
🎯Targets: 3305 → 3322 → 3345
🛑Stop Loss: 3282
🟢 Bullish Opportunity #2
📍Entry: 3296–3294
🎯Targets: 3305 → 3322 → 3345
🛑Stop Loss: 3292
🔴 Bearish Setup #1
📍Entry: 3383–3385
🎯Targets: 3375 → 3362 → 3340
🛑Stop Loss: 3389
📌 Heads-up: Keep an eye on today’s Fed commentary and any new political statements – both could bring unexpected volatility to gold prices...
#XAUUSD #GOLD 30Min 📉📈 #XAUUSD 30m Analysis – Dual Setup Scenario
We’re monitoring two potential trade setups depending on how price reacts at key levels:
🔴 Sell Setup:
Price is entering a Sell-Side Order Block Zone between 3350–3360, aligned with a Fair Value Gap (FVG). This premium zone is likely to act as strong resistance, with potential rejection targeting downside liquidity near 3310 — an ideal area for short positions.
🟢 Buy Setup:
If price sweeps below and taps into the Liquidity Zone / Demand Area around 3305–3311, we’ll watch for a bullish reversal from this discount zone. This area offers a favorable setup for long entries, aligning with institutional buying levels.
📌 Be sure to mark these key zones on your chart for enhanced clarity and execution.
💬 What’s your outlook on Gold? Share your thoughts below 👇
Start going long on goldAlthough gold is under pressure and weak at present, gold still rebounded near 3295 under the influence of yesterday's major negative news, proving that there is still a large amount of buying funds below, limiting the retracement space of gold; and from 3295 to 3335, there is still a rebound space of $40, proving that gold is not extremely weak. Moreover, there is a gap left above, and there is a technical need to rebound to fill the gap;
In addition, yesterday gold fell sharply due to news, and there should be many longs trapped in the market. If gold is relatively stable, there may be self-rescue behavior of the trapped longs, so gold longs still have the opportunity to rebound to 3340-3350. At present, the main focus is on the short-term support area of 3315-3305, and we can moderately consider going long on gold in this area.
XAU/USD long position? Gold direction (novice analysis sharing)I anticipate Gold could rise. I'm now focus at the orange and the green order showing in the chart. Also, I would expect the price could reach to one of the orange line and react to it.
What I've seen is, in short-term gold maybe going down for a while before growth.
I'm now waiting for clear buying signal.
(self explore trading + free source online)
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for June 20Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3450, support 3338
4-hour chart resistance 3372, support 3338
1-hour chart resistance 3363, support 3340
After the sharp drop at the beginning of this week, the bulls were weak, and each rebound was swallowed by a larger decline. Although there was a counterattack, the overall trend was oscillating downward. Yesterday, it rebounded from above 3362 to 3387, and then fell below 3362 to set a new low at 3347.
After today's shock, it broke through the low of 3347 again and fell to 3340. The short-term trend was weak. The Asian session high was at 3370, and the second high was at 3375. The ideal position is to rebound around 3370/75 during the day and choose to go short. Short-term shocks and declines can wait for rebounds and then go short. It is also easy to rebound quickly after the decline. If the support of 3340/38 is maintained, you can try to buy on the scalp. The second consideration is to sell in advance near 3356 to prevent weakness without a pullback and the NY market directly falling to a new low
Short gold after reboundGold rebounded after touching 3312, and has now rebounded to 3330, but the rebound strength is far less than the decline strength, so the overall performance of gold is still weak. Because gold fell sharply yesterday, the market bullish confidence suffered a heavy blow, and there are many resistances above after gold fell and broke, and it is under pressure at 3340-3350 in the short term, and there is a technical gap above that suppresses the 3360-3370 area.
Therefore, before gold stabilizes in the 3360-3370 area, the short-selling force still has the upper hand, so we still focus on shorting gold in trading. We can consider shorting gold with the 3340-3350 area as resistance, and look at the target area of 3320-3310.
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XAUUSD LONG AFTER A LTF BOSGOLD has recently broken its last lower timeframe High, shifting market structure and indicating Buyers are currently in control.
This break opened up a clear Demand Zone below, a small base or last bearish candle before the rise, which is a key area where unfulfilled buy orders may be resting.
Price has already retraced back into this Demand Zone to fill those orders and there’s a liquidity sweep signaling a buy. We should be expecting a buying pressure to resume and push price upward, honoring the imbalance left by the rise.
Entry:
I’m buying from this Demand Zone. This lets me enter at a discount price while trading in direction of the newly established upward momentum.
Target:
The first Target Profit (TP) is set at the next supply Zone above, where selling pressure might emerge.
Stop Loss:
To control risk, the Stop Loss (SL) is placed just below the demand Zone.
If price drops below this area, it would invalidate the demand’s ability to hold, signaling a potential reversal.
✅ Summary:
• Market has shifted to bullish after breaking last high.
• Demand Zone below is a key area to watch for buying opportunities.
• Buying upon the pullback into Demand, with Stop Loss below and Target at supply above.
Gold Outlook: 3 Critical Zones That Could Shape the Next Move▋Observation & Meanings:
▪Price has broken out of the Broadening Wedge to the upside — a strong move led by bulls.
▪It then pulled back after reaching the 100% projection of the previous upswing, which also marked the likely extent of the retracement.
▪A break below the minor low (a) suggests short-term downward pressure.
▪However, the overall uptrend structure remains intact as long as the main low (A) holds.
▋What’s next?
Trading a retracement is always tricky — by nature, it means going against the prevailing trend.
▪ Question 1 : Is there anything to do when price falls below the minor low (a)?
Often, the best move is to stay patient and let the market reveal its intentions, some setups may offer opportunities:
▫The main prior low could act as a key short-term support, as it aligns with the 100% retracement of the previous upswing.
▫For aggressive traders, a quick short toward that level may be an option.
▪ Question 2 : When will a new trend begin?
▫Bearish scenario: A confirmed break below the main prior low could signal the start of a more sustainable downtrend.
▫Bullish scenario: Aside from Aside from (1) a direct breakout above the previous high (B), signs of strength may also come from:
(2) A clear lower high or
(3) A consolidation range, followed by a strong upside break.
In this case :
- The prior high (by definition) marks resistance.
- However, there’s also a tight congestion area before that high, which may act as the real barrier — potentially even more significant due to its cluster of price action.
▫Once early trend signals appear, the next step is to assess if the structure supports a lasting trend.
▋The 3 big zones:
▪ Uptrend Zone
The market is likely regaining upward momentum when one of the following occurs:
1. Price spikes above the previous swing high at point B.
2. Price breaks the tight congestion area to the upside.
3. A new consolidation range forms and breaks to the upside.
▪ Downtrend Zone
A clean break below the main prior low (A) would likely confirm bearish control and may open room for further downside.
▪ Ambiguous Zone
If price fails to meet the conditions for either an uptrend or a downtrend, it’s likely to remain in a drifting, indecisive state.
▋Mental Notes:
▪Don’t predict the price, trade the price. Have a plan, but not blindly follow.
▪The market will always find ways to surprise. Stay open and follow the flow.
▋Not Financial Advice
The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
GOLD 15M STILL LOOK WEAK AND READY FOR CORRECTION CONTINUATIONIm looking to sell this on 15m time frame
I wait for 1 of this scenarios to play out before i go in
First scenarios
-Possible RE-TEST 3341.50 AREA I have pending SELL here with SL 3350.50
Second scenarios
-Break of 3326.50 I will go in on BREAK OUT with SL 3335.50
I will prefer the first scenarios but let see what Market gave us today
Thanks and Holaaa
Happy Wednesday