XAU/USD: Range Trading Awaiting BreakoutCore Logic:
1.Macro Drivers: Powell's dovish remarks continue to reverberate, with U.S. Treasury yields declining, the U.S. Dollar Index breaking below 97, and the debt ceiling extended to July 24—safe-haven demand props up gold prices.
2.Technical Outlook:
Currently trading in a $3,300–$3,350 range, with shrinking volume reflecting market caution.
Trend Projection:
- Likely to remain range-bound between $3,300–$3,350; a breakout will depend on progress in previously mentioned catalysts.
- If data misses expectations or geopolitical risks (e.g., Iran tensions) escalate, gold may rally to $3,360; otherwise, it could test $3,300 support.
Trading Strategies:
- Long positions: Enter lightly at $3,300–$3,310, stop-loss at $3,290, target $3,340.
- Short positions: Sell on rejection above $3,345, stop-loss at $3,360, target $3,320.
- Risk management: Cap single-trade exposure ≤3% to mitigate data-driven volatility.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
CFDGOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD: Breakout or Bull Trap?Gold (XAUUSD) on the daily timeframe is showing signs of a temporary rebound after a sharp drop from the resistance zone at 3,452 USD. Specifically, the price has bounced back from the support area around 3,291 – 3,298 USD – a region aligned with dynamic EMA support and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of the previous bullish leg.
1. Key Technical Structure:
A clear reversal candlestick pattern has formed at a strong support zone, paving the way for a short-term technical rebound.
The 0.5 Fibonacci level at 3,346.5 is currently acting as the nearest resistance – aligning closely with today’s closing price.
EMA 20 and EMA 50 are beginning to converge, indicating market indecision on the next directional move.
2. Short-Term Price Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If price holds above the 3,291 – 3,298 support zone and breaks above 3,348, it could retest the 3,400 – 3,452 highs in the coming days. In this case, strengthening EMAs and bullish candle momentum would support this setup.
Bearish Scenario: Conversely, if the price fails to break through the 3,348 – 3,352 resistance zone and falls below 3,291 again, the market may head toward deeper support levels at 3,240 – or even as low as 3,167 USD.
3. Trading Recommendations:
Short-term Buy if there is a confirmed bullish candle closing above 3,348 with strong volume; stop loss below 3,291.
Sell on rally around 3,348 – 3,352 resistance if no clear breakout is confirmed.
Apply strict risk management, especially in a choppy market environment ahead of key macroeconomic data at the end of the month.
Conclusion:
XAUUSD is currently in a “trend re-evaluation zone.” Closely monitoring the 3,291 – 3,348 range will be the key to timing efficient entries in the short term.
GOLD recovers from around $3,300 area, short-term targetsOANDA:XAUUSD has recovered slightly and is currently trading around $3,332/oz, supported by a decline in the US dollar and US bond yields. The market is closely watching the fragile ceasefire between Israel and Iran.
The US Dollar Index TVC:DXY is near a one-week low, making dollar-priced gold more attractive to holders of other currencies. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield is holding near its lowest in more than a month.
As the conflict between Israel and Iran ends, geopolitical risk levels have disappeared, safe-haven funds have flowed back and thus gold is under pressure.
From a more macro perspective, gold remains in an uptrend and real yields are expected to fall further amid continued Fed easing. In the short term, if the market reprices rate cut expectations to become hawkish, this could trigger a technical correction in gold.
Economic data in the coming months will be particularly important for the gold market. If inflation data remains weak or the labor market deteriorates further, Fed officials could cut rates sooner or more significantly than expected.
A ceasefire between Iran and Israel brokered by U.S. President Donald Trump appeared to have taken effect on Wednesday, a day after both countries signaled a temporary end to their conflicting air strikes.
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. consumer confidence unexpectedly fell in June, reflecting growing concerns among households about job prospects and another sign of a weakening labor market amid uncertainty over Trump’s tariffs.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell told Congress on Tuesday that higher tariffs could start to push up inflation this summer, a key period when the Fed considers whether to cut interest rates.
Traders of federal funds futures are currently pricing in a cumulative 60 basis points of rate cuts through 2025, with the first cut likely to come in September.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has recovered slightly after testing the important support area noted by readers in yesterday's edition, around the raw price point of $3,300. However, the temporary recovery is being limited by the EMA21 moving average, followed by the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, which can also be considered as upside targets for the time being.
In terms of overall structure, gold is still in an uptrend with the price channel as the main trend. On the other hand, RSI is also hovering around 50, indicating that the market sentiment is still hesitant and does not have enough momentum for a complete trend.
Intraday, gold still has a bullish technical outlook, but a sell-off that takes gold below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level would be a bearish signal in the near term. Therefore, long positions should be opened near the $3,300 area, with protective levels behind the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement.
Notable positions will also be listed as follows.
Support: $3,320 – $3,300 – $3,292
Resistance: $3,350 – $3,371
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3367 - 3365⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3371
→Take Profit 1 3359
↨
→Take Profit 2 3353
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3301 - 3303⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3297
→Take Profit 1 3309
↨
→Take Profit 2 3315
GOLD Trading: trategy: Look to SELL at resistance zone,downtrend🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone (Sell Limit): 3,353 – 3,357 USD
Stop Loss (SL): 3,375 USD
Take Profit (TP): 3,280 – 3,283 USD
Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:3 → suitable for 2–4 session swing trades.
📊 Technical Analysis:
1. Overall Trend:
GOLD is clearly in a downtrend, confirmed by:
A descending trendline connecting recent lower highs.
Price consistently forming lower highs and lower lows.
2. Indicator-Based Analysis:
🔹 SMA 89 (Purple Line):
Price is trading below the 89-period SMA, confirming bearish momentum.
SMA89 acts as a dynamic resistance, and the 3,353–3,357 zone aligns with this resistance level.
🔹 BB20 (Bollinger Bands):
The upper band sits near 3,383, close to the SL zone → validating 3,375 as a proper stop.
Price is currently bouncing from the lower BB, so a rejection from the mid-to-upper band is likely, supporting a SELL setup.
🔹 Volume Analysis:
Volume is decreasing during this recent rebound, indicating:
Weak bullish pressure, typical of a corrective move.
The rally lacks conviction → strengthens the bearish case.
Will gold prices continue to decline?On Tuesday, spot gold once fell below the $3,310 level and finally closed down 1.67% at $3,322.82 per ounce, as the Israel-Iran ceasefire dented safe-haven sentiment and Fed Chair Powell stated that more time is needed before considering interest rate cuts. Spot silver closed down 0.46% at $35.90 per ounce. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.2960%, and the 2-year yield at 3.8310%. Powell indicated that current policy is in a favorable position to wait and see before considering rate adjustments, adding that "colleagues privately say I'm doing the right thing". The vast majority of officials believe rate cuts later this year would be appropriate, while noting it's "too early to declare the U.S. dollar is falling".
Technically, gold's daily chart formed a large bearish candle with a lower shadow, breaking below previous support levels amid consolidation. This suggests the bearish trend may persist.
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Trading Strategy:
sell@3330-3335
TP:3300-3295
Breakout from Demand Zone🟡 XAU/USD – 2H Chart Analysis
Title: “Compression Breakout From Demand Zone – Room to Revisit Highs”
Bias: Bullish (Momentum Confirmation)
Timeframe: 2H
Chart Reference: MJTrading – June 23, 2025
📍 Context & Structure:
Gold has just broken out of a multi-candle compression range after tapping into a well-defined demand zone between $3,333 – $3,346. This area acted as the launchpad for previous rallies and is now showing fresh signs of accumulation.
Two EMAs (15 & 60) are attempting a bullish crossover, supporting a shift in momentum.
📈 Trade Setup (Long Bias):
Entry: ✅ Market or retest at $3,366
Stop Loss: 🔴 Below the recent demand base at $3,330
Target 1: 🟢 $3,415 (local swing high)
Target 2: 🟢 $3,460–$3,480 (upper major supply / range top)
R/R Ratio: 🔁 ~2
🔍 Why It Matters:
✅ Price defended key demand zone
✅ Strong engulfing candle with decent volume signals a reversal
⚖️ MJTrading Note:
“Gold thrives on uncertainty — and this bounce from a high-confluence demand zone could be the beginning of a push back toward the highs, especially if macro data shifts in favor.”
#MJTrading #Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #chart #signal #buy #long
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for June 23Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3450, support 3338
4-hour chart resistance 3395, support 3342
1-hour chart resistance 3373, support 3345
Today's gold trend, due to the geopolitical risk aversion caused by the weekend news, the gold price quickly rose and then fell, opening high and moving low. Today, the gold price fell to a low of 3347 and rebounded. At present, the gold price remains in the range of fluctuations. The trend of short-term gold prices fluctuates and falls. In terms of operation, don't rush to chase high prices. Although conflicts in the Middle East have been frequent recently, it seems that the impact on gold prices has also begun to weaken! The short-term key support position below is near 3340, and the important pressure position is near 3370-75
SELL:3372near
SELL:3400near
BUY:3350near
Urgent Gold Market AnalysisUrgent Gold Market Analysis: Trading Strategies After Iran's Parliament Approves Closing the Strait of Hormuz
I. Geopolitics: Market Reactions from "Threat" to "Action Countdown"
Iran's parliament has formally approved closing the Strait of Hormuz, though final decision-making rests with the Supreme National Security Council. This news is like lighting a fuse on a powder keg—while an actual blockade hasn’t occurred, the market has started pricing in "probability risks". Historical data shows the Strait of Hormuz handles 21% of global oil consumption (about 21 million barrels per day). If blocked, oil prices could surge 10%-15% within 48 hours, directly fueling global inflation expectations.
The current market contradiction lies in:
- **Tug-of-war between short-term panic and long-term doubt**: Hardline Iranian advisors have publicly called for "immediately closing the strait and striking U.S. warships", but the Supreme National Security Council is still weighing the costs of "mutual destruction"—80% of Iran’s own oil exports depend on the strait. This "brinkmanship" has trapped gold in a "neither rising nor falling" range, similar to knowing a storm is coming but unsure when to open an umbrella.
- **Signal game of military deployments**: The U.S. aircraft carrier Ford has arrived in the Arabian Sea, forming a three-carrier strike group with two others, while Iran has deployed missile boat clusters and electronic warfare units along the strait. This "tit-for-tat" posture makes gold’s safe-haven buying exhibit "event-driven" characteristics—each U.S. warship movement or Iranian missile drill triggers $5-$10 fluctuations in gold prices.
The market now stands at the center of a teeter-totter: on the left is the "energy bomb" of the Strait of Hormuz, and on the right is the "recession ghost" of the U.S. economy. $3,350 is the balance point, and the meeting minutes of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council will be the key weight determining which way the teeter-totter tilts. Operationally, it is recommended to refresh vessel tracking data and U.S. military movements every 4 hours to avoid being blindsided by market surprises amid information lags.
Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it helps you
XAUUSD buy@3370~3380
SL:3350
TP:3390~3400
What Happens Next? Has the up move started !?In line with my previous analysis, the price rose back above the lower trend line. Now looking at the detail of the bearish waves, it is possible that an up move could take the price to at least around 3440. That is my expectation. Keep in mind that this is a forecast as a result of an analysis.
XAUUSD Outlook: Between Fed Doubts and Dollar WeaknessHello traders, Lucas here – let’s break down the latest moves on gold!
Following a failed breakdown below the 3,300 support level, gold is now entering a mild corrective phase. In the absence of strong catalysts, price is likely to remain range-bound between 3,300 and 3,340 in the near term.
The market is currently shaped by a weakening US dollar and growing uncertainty around the Fed’s interest rate policy. While the USD has dropped to multi-year lows, gold is struggling to gain traction – partly due to easing geopolitical tensions and persistent hawkish signals from Fed officials.
Traders are now bracing for a series of key US economic data releases, including Durable Goods Orders, GDP figures, and Initial Jobless Claims – all due before 12:30 GMT today. However, the main event remains Friday’s PCE inflation report, which could be the game-changer for rate expectations moving into H2.
From a technical perspective, key levels to watch are 3,300 – 3,306 – 3,340 – 3,347, acting as intraday pivot zones. Should a false breakout occur near 3,347, a pullback toward the 3,320 – 3,307 liquidity zone may follow before bulls attempt to reclaim higher ground. Upside targets in that scenario include 3,364, 3,372 and possibly 3,396.
Until a clearer narrative emerges, intraday strategies with reactive price action around these key zones remain the safest play.
All the best, Lucas_Reid !
GOLD PULLS BACK TO BUY ZONE!Hey Traders so looking at Gold as we can see it has now pulled back to the trendline and is testing support at $3300 level.
So if bullish now is the time to buy it with a stop loss under support at 3237 or even maybe even 3200.
Also Seasonally Gold normally bottoms in the Summer around July or August.
Imo a wide stop is need to let the market breathe we don't want to be stopped out due to normal daily movement.
If bearish however be very careful this seems to me like strong bull market. I wouldn't think about shorting unless breaks below trendline and below 3200.
Always use Risk Management!
(Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Good Luck & Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
Gold prices rose as dollar data was not good
📌 Gold information:
Gold prices plunged on Tuesday as a ceasefire was declared in the 12-day war between Iran and Israel, market risk appetite rebounded, and demand for safe-haven assets declined. The ceasefire news pushed global stocks higher, while oil prices fell to a two-week low as concerns about supply disruptions eased. The plunge in crude oil prices also further suppressed gold's inflation hedging appeal. As an interest-free asset, gold prices are under pressure against the backdrop of waning risk aversion, but there is still buying support at low levels.
Investors are currently focusing on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's appearance at a House Financial Services Committee hearing. Powell has been cautious on whether to cut interest rates in the near future.
📊Comment Analysis
The current market selling sentiment has increased significantly, and for gold, falling seems to be the only way to go. Today, whether you look at rebound short or low long, basically you will not have a chance, that is, falling, it seems that the market has lost hope in gold, and the current gold has fallen to 3295, and the break of 3300 declares that gold has further room to fall. From the trend point of view, it is likely to fall now!
The further strong support on the current trend line is around 3274, and it is not ruled out that it will fall directly to the current position. At present, the Federal Reserve is still speaking, and whether it will cause drastic fluctuations in gold in the future is still unpredictable, but from today's trend, shorting is already the best solution at present, and the upper resistance can first look at 3330!
💰Strategy Package
Gold: Rebound 3325-3335 short, stop loss 3345, target 3290-3300!
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the lot size that matches your funds
GOLD: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,348.30 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold on the Edge: Will US Debt Fears Spark a Breakout?XAUUSD – Gold on the Edge: Will US Debt Fears Spark a Breakout?
After weeks of muted movement, gold is coiling within a bearish channel — but a fresh warning from Goldman Sachs may be the trigger that changes everything. With concerns mounting over America’s fiscal future, gold could be preparing for a decisive shift.
🌐 Macro View – Goldman Sachs Sounds the Alarm
🔺 Goldman Sachs recently issued a critical warning:
US national debt is expected to exceed WWII levels, with interest payments topping $1 trillion by 2025, outpacing spending on defense and healthcare.
If urgent fiscal reforms aren’t implemented, the US could face a tightening cycle that slows GDP growth without reducing the debt-to-GDP ratio.
The root causes? Excessive spending, rising interest rates, and deep political gridlock.
📌 For global investors, this type of uncertainty is often bullish for gold — especially as a hedge against both inflation and US dollar instability.
📉 Technical Outlook (Updated – M30 to H1)
Gold is still trading inside a well-defined descending channel, with sellers firmly in control.
Price is currently hovering around the pivot zone at 3,338.42, with a possible short-term bounce toward 3,368.04, the upper edge of the channel.
EMA ribbons (13–200) are sharply aligned to the downside, signaling strong bearish momentum.
If the price fails to break above 3,368, the next key support zones lie at 3,325.78, and potentially 3,309.25, where unfilled fair value gaps (FVG) await.
✅ Trade Plan
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3310 – 3308
Stop-Loss: 3303
Targets: 3314 → 3318 → 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 →
🟢 BUY SCALP: 3325 – 3323
Stop-Loss: 3318
Targets: 3330 → 3334 → 3338 → 3342 → 3346 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 →
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3418 – 3420
Stop-Loss: 3424
Targets: 3414 → 3410 → 3405 → 3400 → 3396 → 3390 → 3385 → 3380
🔻 SELL SCALP: 3396 – 3398
Stop-Loss: 3403
Targets: 3392 → 3388 → 3384 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370
💬 Closing Thoughts – A Volatile End to the Week?
With US markets returning from a bank holiday and macro pressure rising, volatility could spike to close the week.
✅ Stick to disciplined SL/TP levels. Avoid premature entries and let price confirm direction.
Gold remains technically bearish — but the global debt narrative could turn this market on its head.
Prepare. Observe. Strike only when the structure aligns.
Gold expectation 1HGold should retest this price support line (in green) in its route to rejoining the channel for its destination. It broke out of structure due to news that came out, but buyers are making it return to its original path. Some nice strong buys are expected, so please watch for confimations as we go. #BuyTheBull
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for June 26Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3400, support 3295
4-hour chart resistance 3370, support 3312
1-hour chart resistance 3350, support 3328
The gold market has recently shown strong resistance to decline, showing signs of stopping the decline and stabilizing for two consecutive trading days. The low point of the hourly chart is gradually moving up. This positive signal further consolidates the support of the market bottom. Today's opening price is around 3330, and the highest point of the oscillation upward is 3350. The recent volatility has decreased. In the NY market, we will focus on today's opening price of 3330 as the dividing line between long and short. If it falls below this position, the lowest target can be seen near 3312. Before that, you can do scalp buying transactions above 3330.
Buy: 3330near
Buy: 3312near