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Let’s talk about gold’s movement This week, the fundamentals are relatively relaxed. The two sides of the Middle East war continue to fight each other. The market is relatively tired, resulting in the relative weakness of gold, silver and oil. From the technical perspective, the gold price continues to fluctuate and fall. After falling to the bottom, it rebounds rapidly. The overall bulls are strong again. Let's briefly sort it out: 1: Fundamentals: Market aesthetic fatigue leads to continuous adjustment of gold, silver and oil; 2: Technical aspect, the fundamentals are relatively weak, resulting in the technical adjustment of "up and down puncture" to wash the plate! To sum up: This week's trend is very difficult to operate; long, the fundamentals are weak; short, the overall risk aversion has not disappeared; therefore, there is a trend of constantly piercing the lows, and then constantly pulling up; the overall trend is a decline of three and a rise of two! The current overall environment: 1: Fundamentals: The first stage: The Middle East war is still going on, the two sides continue to fight each other, and their attitudes are strong; the opposing forces of the camps are obvious; the impact is far-reaching! The first stage is a continuous confrontation; risk aversion is born, assisting the strong rise of gold, silver and oil; we are still in the first stage! The second stage: the opposing camp forces gradually exit; for example, the United States decides whether to exit within 2 weeks, which is actually waiting for the intensity of Iran and Israel's next move. The United States exits and the war expands; the United States and the West exit indirectly, and the Middle East war becomes protracted. Refer to the Russian-Ukrainian war. The United States and the West continue to wait and see, then the Middle East war will form a multi-to-one situation, which is relatively unlikely. Israel is a "nail household" placed in the Middle East by the United States and the West. The United States and the West will not sit idly by and watch Israel being completely defeated. The third stage: the end of the war; this stage is far away; refer to the current Russian-Ukrainian war; once the war starts, it will not end easily, whether it is an agent, the forces behind the camp, or the forces of a third party, without the final benefits in hand , will not end the war, such as the chaebols that support it, the military and industrial enterprises that support it, the political ladder strategic goals that support it, etc. To sum up: we are currently in the first stage of the war, and the subsequent second stage is the core stage of the market, so we have to be careful about risk aversion repeatedly, and be careful about risk aversion rekindling, so that the bulls can "stir up a thousand waves again, but at this stage, the market continues to pierce and wash the market, which makes us very uncomfortable! We can only choose to follow the trend, and then choose different support levels, and deal with it mainly in line with the trend This week's trading ideas: First, they are all trend-following ideas, and second: they are all support points, but they are not very smooth, and the uninterrupted piercing, stopping the decline, and pulling sharply are all uncomfortable Next week's market outlook: 1. Weekly K, it is still a time-for-space mode, the price is resistant to falling, the indicator is corrected, here 3500 is definitely not a high point in the future; but it still takes time to promote the continuous upward attack of weekly K! Therefore, from a long-term perspective, I still suggest that gold is mainly bullish; 2. Daily K, the stochastic indicator continues to be near the central axis, forming a bottoming out and rebounding; the indicator is in a dead cross, the price is resistant to falling, and the market is washed here, washing "the sky is hanging and the earth is dizzy"; at the same time, in terms of form, it continues to fluctuate and rise. After multiple rises, the probability of subsequent breakouts is relatively high; 3. 4 hours, the stochastic indicator is golden cross, the form is bottoming out and rebounding, and it is also an uninterrupted decline and piercing, and then a sharp rise; the high-level one-word interval of 4 hours is integrated It is a relay sideways signal; the follow-up means the continuation of the trend; To sum up: technically, the daily K-line is sideways and resistant to falling, and the weekly K-line is sideways and resistant to falling. The subsequent multiple upward tests on the technical side will gradually form a break; fundamentally, the subsequent second stage has not yet arrived completely, and the attitude of the United States in the next two weeks will also determine the direction of the second stage of the war I suggest that the idea is to maintain the trend of low-multiple ideas. In terms of position, refer to the support and choose the uninterrupted layout of the support position; wash-out response: do a good job of risk control, wash-out is also helpless; short-term: try to avoid it as much as possible. Without a fundamental change, don't over-lay out short-term. Trend: combining fundamentals and technical aspects, the subsequent breakout of 3500 and the probability of setting a new high are relatively high
TVC:GOLDLong
by jiqeu1
GOLD/USD Falling Wedge Breakout PotentialChart Analysis: The chart illustrates a Falling Wedge Pattern, a bullish reversal setup typically signaling a breakout to the upside. 📌 Key Observations: 📉 Downward Channel: Price has been compressing within a falling wedge (highlighted in blue), indicating potential exhaustion of sellers. 💪 Support Zone: Strong support observed near the 3,340 level, with price rejecting this zone multiple times (highlighted with orange circles). 🔼 Bullish Signals: Price recently tested the lower wedge boundary and bounced, suggesting potential reversal. 🎯 Breakout Target: Projected target after breakout is around 3,453.453 USD, aligned with previous resistance zone. 🟢 Buy Pressure Arrows: Green arrows signal previous bullish reactions from similar demand zones. 📈 Conclusion: If price breaks above the wedge’s upper boundary with volume confirmation, a bullish rally toward 3,453 is expected. Keep an eye on breakout retest for entry validation. ✅ Trading Plan Suggestion: Entry: On breakout above wedge resistance SL: Below recent swing low (~3,330) TP: 3,453 zone 🎯 🔔 Note: Wait for a confirmed breakout before entering to avoid false signals.
TVC:GOLDLong
by MrStellanSight
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉 The Iran-Israel conflict continues to escalate, with Trump declaring that U.S. fighter jets struck three major Iranian nuclear facilities—Fordo, Natanz, and Isfahan. This development has ignited the Middle East "powder keg," providing additional fuel for gold's rally. Key support lies at 3340–3345, while short-term resistance sits at 3385–3390. A breakthrough above resistance is imminent. Gold is expected to extend its rebound trend at next week's opening. Trading Strategy: Continue to adopt a buy-on-pullback approach, leveraging dips as entry points. buy@3345-3355 TP:3380-3390 Share accurate trading signals daily—transform your life starting now! 👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MonicaLongman
Geopolitics: Risk Premium Discount Under Five Aircraft Carriers'Geopolitics: Risk Premium Discount Under Five Aircraft Carriers' Pressure When the U.S. Nimitz Carrier Strike Group arrived in the Arabian Sea as scheduled on June 22, forming a dual-carrier deployment with the Carl Vinson, London gold spot prices fell slightly by 0.04% to $3,367.09/oz—a phenomenon of "gold prices falling instead of rising under the shadow of war" that is rewriting the market's traditional response model to geopolitical conflicts. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has just announced that "military operation targets against Iran have been completed ahead of schedule," while the U.S. has released news of "deciding whether to join the war within the next 48 hours." Meanwhile, the UK's twin aircraft carrier battle groups have passed through the Suez Canal, with five aircraft carriers gathering in the Middle East—a military deployment comparable to the troop buildup before the 2003 Iraq War. However, market calm stems from two contradictory signals: on one hand, news that Iraq's "Hizbullah Brigades" threatened to block the Strait of Hormuz (accounting for one-third of global oil tanker traffic) panicked energy markets; on the other hand, although Iran-Europe nuclear talks made no substantive breakthrough, they released a de-escalation signal of "negotiations upon Israel's ceasefire." This tug-of-war between "military escalation and diplomatic de-escalation" has led to a "partial realization" of gold's safe-haven demand—similar to knowing a storm is coming but unsure of the exact time, so you buy an umbrella but don't open it immediately. Key data anchors: Israeli airstrikes have destroyed 40% of Iran's missile launchers, and Iran's retaliatory strike on Israel's "cyber capital" Beer Sheva on the 20th used 35% fewer missiles than last week. This "decrease in attack intensity" is interpreted by the market as an expectation of a "short-term war," causing gold ETF holdings to decline by 2.3% month-on-month. Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it helps you XAUUSD sell@3380~3390 SL:3410 TP：3370~3360
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by David_Wilson1
Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it helps you I. Next Week's Trend Analysis Geopolitics: Middle East Tensions Like an Unattended Gas Stove The ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran is akin to a gas stove left burning in a kitchen, poised to explode at any moment. Last week, Israel launched airstrikes on Tehran and reportedly killed an Iranian nuclear scientist, prompting Iran to retaliate against Beer Sheva, known as Israel's "cyber capital." More worryingly, Iraqi armed groups have threatened to block the Strait of Hormuz if the U.S. intervenes—a channel through which one-third of global seaborne crude oil passes, essentially gripping the world's energy tap. Russia has also warned of a "highly negative" response if Iran's supreme leader is harmed, further escalating tensions. In this context, gold serves as a "safe haven" for risk aversion. However, the market remains torn: on one hand, fears of conflict escalation drive funds into gold; on the other, hopes that Iran-Europe talks will ease tensions may prompt some capital to withdraw for wait-and-see. This contradiction was evident last week when gold prices surged to $3,450 before dropping to $3,367. Next week, close attention should be paid to whether the U.S. takes military action against Iran within two weeks and whether actual blockades of the Strait of Hormuz occur—such news will trigger sharp fluctuations in gold prices. Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it helps you XAUUSD sell@3380~3390 SL:3410 TP：3370~3360
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by David_Wilson1
Market next target 📉 Original View (Bearish Outlook): Predicts a downward move from around $3,370 to the target near $3,250. Sharp drop illustrated with zigzag downward arrows. Yellow arrow highlights growing volume — likely interpreted as early selling pressure. --- 🔄 Disruption: Bullish Reversal or Trap Setup 🧠 Problems With Bearish Thesis: 1. Volume Spike Might Indicate Demand: The yellow arrow highlights a volume surge, but this might be buyer absorption, not selling dominance. If this volume came during a wick-heavy candle or hammer, it suggests buying interest at lows. 2. No Break of Major Support Yet: Price is still above $3,350, a key psychological and technical zone. No clear breakdown has occurred — the downtrend is assumed, not confirmed. 3. Oversold Momentum? Momentum indicators (not shown) may reveal oversold conditions, making a short-term rebound more probable.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Gold (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Analysis- 20 June 2025On the 4-hour chart, gold has been trading in a fairly wide range. The market has not clearly broken down, and many analysts see it as still structurally bullish as long as key support holds. Currently price is pulling back toward a confluence of support around $3,353–$3,355 (a zone overlapping a trendline and prior demand). In other words, buyers have defended roughly the 3,340–3,355 area recently. Resistance lies just above in the $3,370–$3,380 region, with a major psychological pivot at $3,400. One analyst notes gold is “boxed between resistance at $3,450 and support at $3,340–$3,335”, so the immediate bias depends on these zones. A clean break above 3,380–3,400 would signal bullish continuation (targeting 3,450+), while a drop below the 3,340–3,350 support zone would shift the bias bearish. Overall, the market structure on H4 is mixed-to-bullish: we see higher swings in larger timeframes, and only a minor short-term down leg so far. As one analysis notes, gold remains “structurally bullish” and an upside break could chase the $3,500–$3,550 area. Key Zones and Levels (4H) Strong Support (Demand) Zone: ~$3,340–$3,355. This zone (around the recent swing lows) has attracted buying. Analysts mark $3,350–$3,355 as a key buy zone. Breaking below ~$3,340 would be a warning, putting 3,300 as the next floor. Supply Zone / Resistance: ~$3,370–$3,380. This is the near-term resistance cluster (multiple analysts cite 3,370–3,380 as key). A rejection here would keep gold rangebound. Major Pivot: $3,400. This round number is acting as an important hurdle. A decisive close above $3,400 would open the door to the $3,434–$3,450 area (prior highs). Conversely, failure at $3,400 can push price back toward the support zone. Larger Resistances: If the uptrend resumes, look to ~$3,450 (April swing high) and beyond. Many long-range targets point to $3,500+ in a strong bull move. Secondary Supports: Below the main support zone, watch ~$3,300 and down at $3,281 (the 50-day moving average). These act as deeper floors if weakness continues. 4-Hour Bias In plain terms, as long as $3,340–$3,355 holds as support, the bias tilts bullish or neutral. We can say bullish bias above that zone: buyers will look to enter on pullbacks there. If price stays under $3,370, gains will likely be capped short-term. A break above $3,380/$3,400 would confirm a bullish breakout. On the flip side, a break below $3,340 shifts us to a bearish bias, with attention turning to lower support levels. On indicators, shorter-term momentum has eased (recent RSI is flattening around 60), suggesting some fatigue. But the longer-term trend is up, supported by strong safe-haven demand (central bank buying, geopolitical risk). In summary: neutral-to-bullish on 4H, favor buyers near support but cautious near overhead supply. Intraday (1H) Setups Zooming into the 1-hour chart, we look for trades that align with the above bias. The clearest setups involve buying around demand zones and selling near supply areas: Buy the Dip (~$3,344–$3,355): Wait for gold to dip into the 3,340–3,350 area. If you see a bullish price-action signal (e.g. a clear hammer or bullish engulfing candle), that’s a potential buy. Place a stop just below (~$3,335). Initial targets are around $3,370–$3,380 (near resistance). For example, one analysis suggests: “Buy XAU/USD at 3,344–3,348, TP 3,365–3,370, SL 3,335”. Sell the Rally (~$3,375–$3,380): If price runs up to $3,375–$3,380 and shows signs of stalling (e.g. bearish candle), consider a short. Stop would be just above (~$3,385), with a target back down toward $3,355–$3,360 or the 1H demand zone. (One example from analysis: “Sell XAU/USD at 3,375–3,380, TP 3,355–3,360, SL 3,385”.) This aligns with fading the high of the range. Breakout Strategy: If momentum is strong and gold breaks convincingly above ~$3,380–$3,400 on the 1H, one can enter long on the breakout. The next resistances are ~$3,434 and $3,450. Stops should be very tight in that case (just under the breakout candle). Risk Management: Keep position sizes small (1–2% risk). Use stops under/above the structural levels. Always wait for a clear 1H candle signal before pulling the trigger, to avoid false moves. Key 1H levels: We can cite the strong short-term zones: support ~$3,344–$3,348 and resistance ~$3,375–$3,380. If price skims these areas, watch carefully for a signal to buy or sell as described above. If 1H breaks below $3,340, be ready for a move toward the lower demand zone (around $3,335) or even $3,300–$3,280. Takeaway Gold is currently trading between ~$3,340 and $3,380 on the 4H chart. The simplest guidance is to trade the range: buy on dips near $3,340–$3,355 with stops just below, aiming for the $3,370–$3,380 area, and sell near $3,375–$3,380 if rallies stall. Maintain a bullish tilt as long as that $3,340+ support holds, but be ready to switch bearish if gold decisively closes under ~$3,340. Single Takeaway: Treat ~$3,340–$3,355 as a key demand zone – a bounce here would be a high-probability long entry (targeting $3,370–$3,380), whereas a break below would turn the bias lower.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
June 26, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary: The situation is getting interesting — Trump is reportedly considering naming Powell’s successor early, which is providing support for gold. For now, the plan is to buy on dips to support. However, if Trump changes course again, we must stay flexible and respond to any reversals with clear plans. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3370 – Resistance • 3364 – Resistance • 3350 – Midpoint / Bull-Bear Line • 3340 – Key Resistance • 3329 – Support • 3312 – Intraday Key Support • 3300 – Psychological Support • 3295 – Support • 3285 – Support 📉 Intraday Strategy: • SELL if price breaks below 3325 → watch 3321, then 3312, 3305, 3300 • BUY if price holds above 3335 → target 3340, then 3345, 3350, 3358 👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there's interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues! Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Trade with caution and always manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
Bearish direction remains unchanged, wait patiently Since the sharp drop in gold last Monday (June 16), except for the correction of closing the cross positive line last Tuesday, the daily level has closed five consecutive negative lines since last Wednesday until now, fully demonstrating the weak characteristics of gold prices in recent trading. From the technical indicators, the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average have formed a dead cross, which is an important signal of the weakening of the short-term market trend. The current gold price continues to run below these two moving averages, further verifying the current market situation where the shorts dominate. There is still no big fluctuation in the intraday, short positions are patiently waiting, and the operation still maintains our target of 3310-3305 unchanged.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by jiqeu1
Eyes on Powell testimony H4 Timeframe Analysis Gold is currently holding the falling wedge pattern on H1 & H4 now market is range of 3290-3335 structural support. What's possible scanarios we have? As we have seen market rejected multiple times today at 3335 and still on downside. if H4 remains belo6 3330-3335 then keep your eyes at 3305 then 3290 milestone. On the otherhand if The H4 candle closes above 3335 buyying will be rapture and market will tap the Volume Gap at 3365 then 3380. Additional TIP: Above 3335 keep buy Below 3325 keep sell #XAUUSD
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Forexmaestro121
Analysis of the latest gold trend on June 24: I. Macro-driven analysis 1️⃣ Geopolitical conflict escalates, risk aversion rises On June 23, local time, Iran launched the twentieth round of large-scale missile and drone attacks on Israel, using the "Khyber" long-range missile to strike targets in Israel for the first time. At the same time, US submarines launched 30 "Tomahawk" cruise missiles and 12 MOP bunker-buster bombs at nuclear facilities in Iran, directly escalating the military conflict. Iran claimed that it had released a large number of drones and warned that Israel's air defense system was close to saturation, causing the Middle East war to quickly enter a high-risk stage. The market's risk aversion sentiment has risen sharply, and gold has jumped higher during the day, continuing a wide range of fluctuations. 2️⃣ Trump's remarks disturbed market sentiment Last Friday, Trump's statement that "the third aircraft carrier has been deployed in the Middle East" was confirmed by many parties to be exaggerated. In fact, it was only a conventional troop mobilization arrangement, which temporarily weakened the market's expectations for further escalation of the geopolitical situation, resulting in a retreat of gold's safe-haven buying in the late trading and suppressed gains. However, with the fact of the conflict last weekend, risk aversion quickly returned, and gold formed a "high opening gap" pattern in early trading on Monday, and its risk aversion attribute was strengthened again. 3️⃣ The game between major powers intensified and medium- and long-term risks increased The US strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities are aimed at curbing its nuclear capabilities. Iran's possible retaliatory countermeasures (such as blocking the Strait of Hormuz and expanding proxy conflicts) may trigger a global energy supply chain crisis. At the same time, Russia's provision of air defense support and the appearance of Chinese reconnaissance ships in the Persian Gulf have made the geopolitical situation more complicated, providing solid support for the medium- and long-term trend of gold. 2. Technical analysis of gold 🔍 Intraday market review and trend structure Affected by risk aversion, gold continued to open high and go low on Monday this week, which was highly similar to the trend of last Monday. The highest intraday reached around 3398, and then adjusted. The upward surge in the early Asian session just tested the previous trend line pressure level, and the overall structure still tended to rebound weakly. Intraday operations should maintain the idea of "mainly shorting at highs". ⏱ Analysis of key technical structures 4-hour chart: The moving average system has not turned significantly, indicating that the short-term rise of gold lacks sustainability, and the risk aversion has driven the rise and then retreated quickly; 1-hour chart: After the short-term downward trend was broken, gold once rose to around 3398. The current key support level is at 3340. If it continues to break down, it will test the 3320 first-line support; Structural form: The hourly chart forms a preliminary prototype of a "double bottom". If 3340 is not broken, a second rebound may be launched, but the upward space is still limited by the strong resistance in the 3395-3405 area. 3. Trading strategy: 🎯 Sell at high rebound and short 3390-3405. If the strong pressure level is not broken, short short. Exit after breaking 3410. Target 3366-3355 🔄 Long with light position in callback 3350-3340. Short-term long test after stabilization. Stop loss after breaking 3335. Focus on 3380-3390 in rebound 🚫 Avoid chasing up —— The current volatile market is not suitable for chasing up —— —— 📌 Operation tips: The current volatility of gold is dominated by geopolitical risk news, which is prone to rapid rise and fall. Pay attention to controlling positions and stop loss discipline; Pay attention to the trend of the US dollar index, the linkage of crude oil prices, and the synchronous performance of market risk aversion indexes (such as VIX) during the trading session; If the price breaks through 3405 and stabilizes, it is necessary to adjust the thinking and follow the trend.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Gold_Hunters_Alliance