CFDGOLD trade ideas
GOLD. Daily Timeframe overview with Initiative AnalysisHey traders and investors!
Daily Timeframe
Market phase : sideways. Seller's initiative.
Boundaries marked with black lines.
Gold followed an alternative scenario from the previous review toward 3435. The buyer played out the 8-9 vector of the range on the daily timeframe, and now the initiative has shifted to the seller. The seller's targets are 3245 and 3201 — areas to watch for potential buy patterns aiming for a new ATH. The price might get stuck in the 3293–3271 zone. If a strong buyer reaction occurs, a reversal may happen in this range.
The ideal area to look for buy patterns is around 3201.
Selling is risky.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
Gold To Go In BuyGold prices tumbled early on Tuesday with safe-haven demand easing as the United States and Iran backed away from hostilities while Tehran reached a shaky ceasefire agreement with Israel.
Gold for August delivery was last seen down US$72.60 to US$3,322.40 per ounce, 3.8% below the June 13 record high of US$3,452.80.
Continue to short after the rebound on 6.24Judging from the current market trend, the upper short-term resistance is around 3343-48, the lower short-term support is around 3310-15, the short-term long-short strength watershed is 3300-05, the daily level is under pressure and continues to see suppression and adjustment, and the main tone should actually be rebound shorting.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold rebounds to 3343-48 and shorts, stop loss 3356, target 3317-3323, continue to hold if it breaks;
Gold Outlook: Navigating Rising Geopolitical Tensions and Mixed Technical Analysis
The gold spot price recently tested resistance near $3,451, marking a significant swing high. Following this, the price has pulled back to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at approximately $3,353, which currently acts as critical support. The daily chart shows gold holding above its 50-day weighted moving average (WMA) around $3,250, with an upward sloping trendline reinforcing near-term bullish support.
If gold decisively stays below the $3,353 support, it may test lower levels near $3,293 and potentially the trendline support near $3,228. Such a move could signal a short-term bearish phase, driven by easing geopolitical fears or strengthening US dollar sentiment.
• Support Levels: $3,353 (61.8% Fib), $3,293 (100% Fib retracement), $3,228 (141.4% extension).
• Resistance Levels: $3,451 (recent high), with a possible challenge above to $3,500 psychological level.
Momentum indicators present a mixed picture. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is nearing neutral at 48, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The MACD histogram indicates weakening bullish momentum, while stochastic oscillators are trending lower but not yet in oversold territory, implying potential for further correction before resuming upward movement.
Conversely, a rebound above $3,451 could trigger fresh bullish momentum targeting $3,500 and beyond.
XAUUSD:Go long
The uncertainties in multiple dimensions such as geopolitics, US monetary policy and tariffs have significantly increased, which will bring more volatility to the gold price.
Today's market trend is still mainly volatile. During the Asian session, there has been a deep pullback. 3316 is the short-term support. It is expected that there will be a rebound in the future.
Trading strategy:
BUY@3325-30
TP:3345-50
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Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis - 24 June 2025📊 4-Hour Chart: Supply & Demand Structure
1. 📐 Market Structure & Bias
Gold has bounced off the $3,340–3,350 demand area multiple times—confirming a strong support structure on the 4H timeframe .
Following this bounce, gold made a higher-low, reinforcing a bullish trend.
Overall bias remains bullish, as long as prices hold above the $3,340 region. A break below this zone may bring deeper correction.
2. 🔍 Demand Zones (Buy Areas)
Zone A – $3,340 to $3,350
Comes with trendline support and prior consolidation.
Volume and price action confirm institutional buying interest.
Zone B – $3,300 to $3,310
A more significant base zone for deeper pullbacks or additional liquidity running.
3. ⚠️ Supply Zones (Sell Areas)
Zone C – $3,380 to $3,390
Shallow zone where recent rallies have stalled—ideal for supply fade strategies.
Zone D – $3,400 to $3,410
Major resistance zone—historical retracement area with institutional selling.
🔍 1-Hour Chart: Intraday Entry Zones (Aligned with 4H Bias)
Below are premium-level intraday buy setups made for quick execution within the bullish structure:
Entry Type Zone ($) Description
1. Buy the Dip 3,340 – 3,345 Touches 4H demand + trendline — watch for bullish rejection wicks or volume pickup.
2. Quick Dip Buy 3,350 – 3,355 Opportunistic entry higher in demand zone — quicker reentries with lighter pullback.
3. Deep Bounce 3,300 – 3,310 For deeper intraday swings only—requires strong confirmation from lower timeframes.
(Optional) Sell Supply Fade 3,380 – 3,390 Aggressive fade only if strong price rejection appears—caution advised.
Tips for Entry Confirmation:
Look for bullish pin bars, engulfing candles, volume confirmation, or trendline bounces within these zones. Only trade entries with clear price action confirmation.
Gold eased slightly as Middle East risk receded
Safe-haven demand for gold eased slightly as geopolitical risks in the Middle East subsided. However, the downside was limited by a weaker dollar. Market sentiment around a potential escalation in regional tensions also softened, particularly as the likelihood of a Strait of Hormuz blockade declined despite preemptive US strikes. Looking ahead, gold prices may exhibit heightened volatility depending on Fed Chair Powell’s upcoming congressional testimony and the release of the May PCE inflation data.
XAUUSD failed to reenter the ascending channel and retreated below 3360. EMA21 is narrowing its gap with EMA78, signaling a potential shift toward a bearish structure. If XAUUSD breaks below the support at 3320, the price may decline further to 3280. Conversely, if XAUUSD reenters the channel, the price could gain upward momentum toward the resistance at 3400.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD is bullishFrom the chart, you will understand that xauusd is about to buy
Reasons;
1; In daily timeframe, you will see a hammer candlestick
2; Falling wedge pattern breakout
3; In 4 hrs, Third trendline touch
4; In lower timeframe, you will see a double bottom before the falling wedge breakout
XAUUSD and USOILHesitation Geopolitical factors have led to the escalation of relations between several countries. The Middle East is in chaos. Although this is a trading market, the relationship between the two is too close. This is why the Asian market XAUUSD reached a high of 3400.
But it is not stable. Because after the news that stimulated the rise in gold prices over the weekend, there were some negative news. For example, peace talks, time differences, negotiations and other factors have eased the tense atmosphere. Then the gold price fell with the trend, reaching a low of 3347.
From the overall situation, the market still has the momentum to rise in the short term. But this depends on Iran's response. Including the impact of the Strait of Hormuz. This is the key factor in the rise or fall of oil prices. Investors with larger funds can arrange long orders in advance.
The view on XAUUSD is to buy at low levels. The impact of geopolitics is too huge. On the basis of interest rate cuts, buying is the key to profit. But everyone's financial situation is different, so when trading, remember to control the position ratio. Prevent trading errors from leading to account liquidation.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold is in the Bearish DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
GOLD fluctuates, but remains generally stable sidewaysOANDA:XAUUSD has been volatile and volatile but has remained broadly stable as investors assess the conflict between Israel and Iran while keeping an eye on this week's Federal Reserve policy meeting.
Spot gold was steady at $3.38/oz at press time, down from a high of $3,403/oz yesterday (Tuesday).
Israel and Iran traded fire for a fifth day on Tuesday as US President Donald Trump called for the evacuation of the Iranian capital Tehran and cut short his trip to the G7 summit in Canada, amid reports he had asked his administration's National Security Council to prepare in the Situation Room.
According to Reuters, Tehran has asked Oman, Qatar and Saudi Arabia to urge Trump to push Israel for a regional ceasefire in exchange for Iran's willingness to be flexible in nuclear talks.
Trump's latest Truth Social post stated: "I have not communicated with Iran in any way, shape or form about (peace talks). This is all fake news! If they want to negotiate, they know how to communicate with me. They should make a deal at the negotiating table, it will save lives!!!"
Forexlive commented that those who know Trump know that he will definitely wait for Iran to come to him. According to reports, Iran is trying to negotiate a ceasefire, but has not received any substantive news so far.
Non-yielding gold is seen as a hedge against geopolitical and economic uncertainty and has generally performed well in low interest rate environments. So, fundamentally speaking, gold should be positive in the current market environment, although the sharp declines often make new traders lose their confidence in the trend. I myself have been the same way, there have been many times this year when I did not believe in myself, did not believe in the uptrend and ended up with bad results…
The Fed's interest rate decision and Chairman Jerome Powell's speech will be released today (Wednesday). Traders are now expecting the Fed to cut interest rates twice by the end of the year.
According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch" on June 18:
• The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 97.3% and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.7%;
• The probability of a rate stay unchanged in July is 85.3%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 14.4% and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 0.3%.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold has been trading back and forth between the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level and the 3,400USD whole price point, which was noted as the nearest support and resistance sent to readers in the previous issue.
However, the overall technical structure remains unchanged with the uptrend still dominating the chart, with the EMA21 support as the important support and the trend as the main trend. Meanwhile, the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level is the nearest support and the price channel is the short-term trend.
In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50 and 50 is considered support in this case for the RSI, with the distance far from the overbought zone suggesting that there is still room for upside ahead.
During the day, if gold breaks above the raw price point of $3,400, it will give a positive signal for the bullish outlook and the target is then around $3,435 in the short term.
Finally, the notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: $3,371 – $3,350
Resistance: $3,400 – $3,435
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3423 - 3421⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3427
→Take Profit 1 3415
↨
→Take Profit 2 3409
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3351 - 3353⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3347
→Take Profit 1 3359
↨
→Take Profit 2 3365
$XAU — Endless Up-Trend on GOLD!Gold ( TVC:XAU ) continues its powerful uptrend , repeating a clear and profitable trading pattern: explosive moves (20-30% gains) , brief sideways consolidations, and renewed breakouts. Since early 2024, three such cycles have occurred, each flagged by red breakout arrows on the 1W chart.
Currently, gold is forming another tight consolidation range between roughly $3,200–3,450. Historically, these consolidations have consistently resolved upward. If the pattern repeats, the next target zones lie around $3,985 (+20%) and $4,385 (+30%) . Such bullish targets align with major banks: Goldman Sachs targets $3,700 by year-end and potentially $4,500 in high-risk scenarios, while J.P. Morgan forecasts $4,000 by mid-2026.
Several factors fuel gold’s bullish momentum:
• Central-bank buying remains robust, projected to surpass 1,000 tonnes for the fourth consecutive year.
• Geopolitical risks, tariff disputes, and a weakening USD have enhanced gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
• Central banks increasingly prioritize gold for reserve diversification and risk management, not just speculation.
So, to be short: if weekly closes stay above the $3,200 support, gold likely continues its bullish momentum toward the $4,000 handle .
XAU USD Enter point 3365 target 3375 stop Loss 3358Here's a breakdown of your XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) trade setup:
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🟡 Trade Setup (Long/Buy Position)
Entry: 3365
Take Profit (TP): 3375
Stop Loss (SL): 3358
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🔍 Trade Metrics
Risk (SL): 3365 - 3358 = 7 pips
Reward (TP): 3375 - 3365 = 10 pips
Risk-Reward Ratio: 10 / 7 ≈ 1.43:1
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✅ Analysis
The risk-reward ratio is favorable (above 1), which is generally a good sign.
Tight SL (7 pips) and moderate TP (10 pips) suggest a scalping or intraday strategy.
Make sure market volatility and liquidity conditions at the time support such small pip movements (e.g., during major market hours or news releases).
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⚠️ Key Tips
Spread: Ensure the spread on XAU/USD is tight enough to not eat into your SL.
Slippage: Fast market movements (especially during news) could cause your entry or SL to slip.
Confirmation: Use technical indicators (e.g., support/resistance, RSI, MACD) to confirm this level is a good entry.
Would you like help evaluating whether current market conditions support this trade idea? I can look it up for you.