Bullish reversal off 50% Fibonacci support?The Gold (XAU?USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,374.04
1st Support: 3,348.45
1st Resistance: 3,444.62
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CFDGOLD trade ideas
I think these 2 scenarios can happen for gold to reach new ATHGold supported by Israel-Iran conflict, US intervention in focus
Gold's sharp rise came late last week after Israel struck multiple targets in Iran, including Tehran's nuclear facilities.
The attack sparked fierce retaliation from Iran, which launched a barrage of missiles at key Israeli targets, including the financial capital Tel Aviv. Some of the Iranian missiles were also seen penetrating Israel's "Iron Dome" defense system.
What do you think?
Best regards, StarrOne !!!
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3500.Colleagues, I believe that, as with the euro, the upward five-wave impulse is not yet over. At the moment, I see the formation of wave “3” of the lower order and wave ‘3’ of the middle order, which means that the upward movement will continue at least to the resistance area of 3500 — this is the maximum of wave “3” of the higher order, which means that a correction is possible at this level.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
XAUUSD Strong break-out ahead to $3700.Gold (XAUUSD) is trading within a Channel Up, while being supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This is similar to the December 19 2024 - January 30 2025 Channel Up, which when it broke above the previous Higher High Resistance, it rose straight to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, as long as the 1D MA50 supports, we are looking for a medium-term bullish break-out, possible by the end of July, targeting at least 3700.
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Excellent last week / more Profits aheadAs discussed throughout my Friday’s session commentary: “ My position: Gold is Trading on Bullish extension due Middle East crisis escalation. I am looking at my calculated my re-Buy zones to Buy every dip on Gold and continue Scalping (Buy orders only) towards #3,452.80 benchmark potential extension. However if Gold closes the week below #3,400.80 benchmark, Gold will continue ranging and I will alter my perspective (less likely).
I have engaged multiple re-Buy Scalp orders on #3,412.80 Bottom and closed them on #3,420.80 and engaged Swing order on #3,423.80 which was closed on #3,4335.80 which finalized last week in excellent way.
Technical analysis: Gold has now completed the Daily chart’s Triangle peak (local High’s) and thus I am expecting a new Bullish direction starting early week’s phase towards #3,452.80 psychological benchmark and #3,500.80 benchmark in extension (needless to mention, fueled by renewed Middle East crisis escalation as an catalyst). Personally I believe it will be a big one on strong Bull Volume once Buying accumulation is done (happening now). Hourly 4 chart is extending strongly Golden Cross formation and points to an Bullish Short to Medium-term Buying sustainability. A green closing on today's session Daily chart’s candle points to Bullish direction / upwards motion in succession. Personally I believe that only if Selling benchmark gets invalidated and Sellers make a break-out to the downside (now at #3,400.80) does the trend resumes its previous Bearish bias. This is total Bullish trend and total Bullish domination.
GPLD (XAUUSD) Breakout or Trap? Triangle Breakout AheadGold (XAUUSD) is forming an Ascending Triangle pattern, approaching a crucial resistance zone. Price action indicates potential for either a breakout or a false breakout (trap). Key targets and rejection levels are clearly marked on the chart. Stay alert for a possible rejection near the upper trendline or a breakout confirmation above the resistance zone.
This analysis is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. Always manage risk properly.
Gold Reclaims Bullish Zone—Perfect Time for a Swing EntryGold has once again reclaimed bullish momentum after breaking through the key support zone around $3,412, previously a stubborn ceiling that had acted as resistance multiple times throughout late May and early June. The break above this level—validated by a decisive green Supertrend flip—indicates a short-term trend reversal in favor of buyers.
After a brief consolidation phase, XAUUSD formed a solid breakout candle, confirming upward momentum. The current price action sits comfortably above the Supertrend line, which is now acting as dynamic support, while volume has picked up notably during the move up—an important confirmation of institutional interest and breakout strength.
Trade Setup Breakdown
• Entry: Above the $3,412 breakout area (now acting as support)
• Stop Loss: Below the key support zone, ideally near $3,373–$3,375 to allow for wick re-tests and avoid premature exits
• Target/TP: Resistance zone marked near $3,484–$3,500, which aligns with a prior consolidation ceiling from late April and early May. This target offers a risk-reward ratio of approx. 2.3:1, which is favorable for a swing position.
• Re-entry Opportunity: If gold retraces back to the $3,373–$3,383 zone (support cluster), it would provide a high-probability re-entry while keeping the same TP of $3,500.
Why the Bias Is Bullish
1. Structure Break & Supertrend Flip
The key breakout above previous resistance was clean and confirmed by the Supertrend flip to green, a historically reliable short-term bullish signal.
2. Volume Confirmation
Volume spikes on the breakout candles confirm real buying pressure—not just a false breakout or low-liquidity movement.
3. Support Retest Potential
The $3,412–$3,383 zone now forms a strong demand area where buyers are likely to defend their positions if price pulls back. This zone also aligns with historical congestion from earlier price action.
4. Macro Context (Not in chart but relevant)
Ongoing economic uncertainty, rising global tensions, and interest rate speculation continue to boost gold's safe-haven appeal. Traders are increasingly rotating into gold during periods of macro volatility.
Outlook
Gold is likely to continue climbing toward the $3,500 mark unless it closes below $3,373 on high volume. Bulls appear to be in control, and even a minor pullback could serve as a buying opportunity. As long as the price remains above the flipped Supertrend and $3,373 support, the bullish case remains intact.
GOLD/USD – Bullish Reversal Pattern FormingGOLD/USD – Bullish Reversal Pattern Forming 🟢📈
📊 Chart Analysis:
The chart shows a strong Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern forming, which is a classic bullish reversal signal:
🔹 Left Shoulder and Right Shoulder – Marked with orange circles, both found support near the 3,263 level (purple line), suggesting strong buying interest at this zone.
🔹 Head – The lowest point in between the shoulders, also bouncing from support.
🔹 Resistance Zone – Marked with red arrows around 3,500–3,520. This zone has rejected price action multiple times in the past.
🔹 Support Zone – Marked below 3,200, where previous consolidation and buying took place.
📈 Projected Move:
The neckline breakout suggests a potential move toward the 3,520+ level. A minor pullback is expected before continuation. If price breaks above resistance, we could see a strong bullish rally.
📌 Key Levels:
Support: 3,263 🟩
Resistance: 3,500–3,520 🟥
Potential Target After Breakout: 3,550+ 🎯
✅ Bias: Bullish above 3,263 support
⚠️ Invalidation: A break below the neckline would cancel the bullish setup
Xauusd Buy SetupsThis trading setup focuses on price behavior influenced by ongoing geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran, which have been driving volatility and sharp market reactions around key technical levels.
Setup 1: Rejection and Reversal at 3375
• Watch for a clear rejection of the 3375 level.
• Enter a long position only if a bullish candle closes above the high of the rejected candle.
• Target: 3440, a notable resistance level likely to be tested if bullish sentiment follows through.
Setup 2: Breakout Confirmation Above 3450
• If the price closes above 3450, this confirms a strong bullish breakout.
• Buy targeting 3500, aligning with a continuation of momentum driven by market reaction to geopolitical developments.
Technical Confirmation:
This strategy is supported by powerful custom indicators:
• Doji, Hammer, Star Scanner – effective for spotting early signs of trend reversals or exhaustion.
• Candle Reversal Zones – mark key levels where trend shifts or continuation moves are most likely to occur.
Together, these tools help confirm high-probability entries in volatile environments influenced by the Israel-Iran conflict.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great finish after completing each of our targets throughout the week with ema5 lock confirmations on our proprietary Goldturn levels. Yesterday we finished off with 3388 and stated we would look for ema5 cross and lock above 3388 to open 3428 and failure to lock will follow with a rejection.
- This played out perfectly with the cross and lock confirmation and then the target hit at 3428 completing the range.
BULLISH TARGET
3318 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3318 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3352 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3388 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3388 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3428 - DONE
We’ll be back now on Sunday with our multi-timeframe analysis and trading plans for the week ahead. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows.
Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Buy- Go for buy if you got entry setup
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if your strategy allow
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Hanzo / Gold 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Gold – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 3412
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 3372
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
Hanzo / Gold 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )
Gold: surged amid Middle East unrestThe newly emerged Middle East tensions pushed investors back into gold, as a safe-haven asset. The price of gold started the previous week in a relatively calm mood, however, the geopolitical tensions pushed the price of gold toward new highs, reaching the level of $3.443 shortly on Friday trading session, however, is ending the week modestly lower, at $3.432. The all time highest level stays close to current levels at $3.497, reached April 22nd this year. Analysts from Goldman Sachs revised their forecast for the price of gold to $3.700 at the end of this year, and $4K for the next year. The rationale for a revision was a strong demand for gold coming from central banks.
The RSI took the uptrend during the week, ending it at the level of 61 on Friday. At this moment on charts, it seems like investors are eyeing the overbought market side for one more time. The MA50 continues to be the supporting line for the price of gold. Both MA50 and MA200 continue to move as two parallel lines with an uptrend, without an indication that the course might be changed anytime soon.
As long as geopolitical tensions are making investors unrest, the price of gold will head toward the upside. The uncertainty is driving the demand for safe-haven assets. However, charts are pointing to the possibility of a short term reversal for the price of gold. It should not expect some significant reversal, but rather till the level of $3.380. Also, the current level at $3.430 is the one to watch, considering that the same highs gold reached at the beginning of May and around 20th of April this year. In case that current level is pushed toward the upside, then it should be expected that the price of gold will reach a new all time highest level in the coming period. It should also be considered that the FOMC meeting is scheduled for Wednesday, next week, which might imply some higher volatility. It is not expected that the Fed will cut interest rates, but investors are set to hear the Feds view on macroeconomic projections.
Gold is challenging ATHGold meets resistance at 3,440 on Friday, despite a surge in geopolitical risks amid the Iran-Israel war. We expect the market to have a correction before rising to all-time highs.
The ideal ATH level is 3,650
What we want to see to achieve ideal level ?
The market rebounded from the POI level driven by a strong bull signal.
The market break and retest the last high at 3,500.
If the market reverses sharply after breaking 3,500, all the above scenarios will be invalid and a false breakout pattern will occur.
Fundamental level that you should pay attention:-
The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision will be announced next week, and investors expect Powell to keep interest rates unchanged.
The Iran-Israel war could intensify geopolitical risks in the Middle East. If tensions escalate further, we expect gold price to surge.
The Federal Circuit will appeal Trump's tariffs as an abuse of presidential power on July 31, 2025
XAUUSD FULL DAILY OUTLOOK — 16 JUNE 2025👋 Hello traders, welcome to a key week for gold.
The bullish expansion continues to unfold cleanly, following weeks of calculated breakout sequences.
After liquidating major liquidity pockets below 3120 earlier this year, gold shifted into controlled higher timeframe expansion.
The breakout above May’s consolidation confirms full bullish structure control. However, we are now entering premium exhaustion territory, where liquidity traps become increasingly dangerous for emotional traders.
This is where most fail — chasing late breakouts — but we stay patient and execute only inside clean zones.
🔎 STRUCTURE PROGRESSION
✅ Weekly BOS fully confirmed → higher timeframe bullish structure intact.
✅ Daily has printed higher lows at 3120 → 3246, leading to the recent higher high at 3448.
✅ Price is now extended into premium expansion.
✅ EMA 5/21/50 fully locked bullish — trend continuation bias.
✅ RSI remains firm but near extended levels.
✅ Fibonacci extensions above are now fully in play.
🎯 DAILY BIAS — 16 JUNE 2025
Primary bias remains bullish as long as price holds above 3355 structure.
Price sits inside premium expansion, where liquidity traps may unfold near 3448–3505.
Controlled pullbacks into 3405–3385 remain healthy for continuation, while deeper dips into 3325 open better risk-reward positioning.
Bullish continuation remains the base case, but aggressive premium sweeps before FOMC remain highly probable.
🔼 DAILY SUPPLY ZONES
Price Zone Context
3448 – 3460 Breakout premium supply (first liquidity trap zone)
3500 – 3505 1.272 Fibonacci extension — major liquidity pocket
3570 – 3575 1.618 Fibonacci extension — exhaustion premium trap
🔽 DAILY DEMAND ZONES
Price Zone Context
3405 – 3385 Shallow pullback liquidity zone
3355 – 3325 Main Daily OB demand — structure protection
3290 – 3255 Deep flush zone — extreme HL recalibration zone
⚠ THE BATTLE THIS WEEK
✅ Price may attempt premium sweeps above 3448 → 3505 before any deeper correction.
✅ Below 3385 lies the first reactive zone for controlled pullbacks.
✅ FOMC remains the dominant macro driver — liquidity will likely front-run into Wednesday.
✅ Patience is key — the market may trigger both traps before any clear directional expansion unfolds.
🔐 Mindset Reminder:
In premium we don't chase — we wait for the market to exhaust liquidity and show real intent.
Our job is not to predict reversals, but to execute once liquidity confirms displacement.
🚀 If this helped you build your map for the week, hit that 🚀, drop your thoughts below, follow for full sniper insights.
We trade clean. We execute precise.
— GoldFxMinds
How to position gold in the week of the Federal Reserve’s decisiAs last week came to a close, further geopolitical tensions in the Middle East pushed market risk aversion to its highest level in nearly two months. This round of rising prices was driven by multiple factors. Among them, the weak inflation data released by the United States last week further strengthened the market's expectations for the Fed's loose monetary policy, thereby increasing the attractiveness of gold assets. In the short term, gold prices are expected to continue to be supported by risk aversion on Monday. In addition, the market this week needs to focus on the impact of the Fed's interest rate decision and Chairman Powell's speech on gold prices. Everyone should pay close attention to the price fluctuations that may be caused by the Fed's policy trends. It is particularly important to note that US President Trump plans to attend the G7 summit in Canada from June 15 to 17. His policy statements during the summit may also have an important impact on the gold market. Investors are advised to keep an eye on it.
Technically, the daily level reminds us to focus on the key resistance range of 3455-3460: if this area fails to break through effectively, the price may face a technical correction; if it breaks through, it may open up further upward space. The 4-hour period chart analysis shows that the gold price maintains a unilateral upward trend, the Bollinger Band channel continues to expand, and the moving average system maintains a complete long arrangement. Two major support levels need to be monitored this week: 3420 constitutes a short-term long-short watershed, and if this position is maintained, the price will maintain its strong characteristics; 3410-3405 is a key trend support level. If it is not effectively broken, the long structure will continue.
Operation strategy:
Gold recommends buying long positions near 3420-3415, stop loss at 3407, and target 3440-3460
XAUUSD Price Analysis | Bearish Reversal in ProgressGold has sharply broken down from the upper boundary of a well-respected parallel channel, hinting at a potential trend reversal.
🔎 Technical Breakdown:
Strong rejection at ~$3,440 resistance zone
Break in market structure = early signs of bearish momentum
Support 1: $3,300 – key short-term zone
Support 2: $3,250 – major confluence level
If price fails to hold above $3,300, a continuation toward $3,250 looks likely in the coming sessions.
📊 Trade Setup
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: On pullbacks below $3,390
TP1: $3,300
TP2: $3,250
SL: Above $3,420 (recent swing high)
⚠ Watchlist Dates:
🗓 June 18 – FOMC Meeting (high impact)
💬 What’s your outlook? Will gold hold $3,300 or are bears in control? Let’s discuss below!
#Gold #XAUUSD #PriceAction #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #Forex #FOMC #MarketOutlook
XAUUSD 4H Analysis – Key SMC Levels in PlayPrice has been respecting market structure with multiple Breaks of Structure (BoS) and a confirmed Change of Character (ChoCh) from bearish to bullish. After sweeping a Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) and reacting off an Order Block (OB), price is currently consolidating above a bullish OB.
We're now at a decision point :
Bullish Scenario : If price holds this OB and shows a clear intent to push higher, we could target the previous highs near 3420+.
Bearish Scenario : If the OB fails and we get a clean break below the structure, I'm eyeing the next OB + FVG zone around 3315–3303 as the next point of interest.
Price action inside this range will confirm the next move. Keep an eye on rejections and reaction from the OB zone to decide entry.
🧠 Marked levels :
OBs, FVGs, BSL, IDM block
Key structural breaks (BoS, ChoCh)
Bias remains neutral-to-bullish until OB fails
📌 Wait for confirmation before entry – patience is profit.
#XAUUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #OrderBlock #GoldAnalysis #BreakOfStructure
XAUUSD Expecting Selling movementPrice Level & Trend
Current price $3380
The market has been forming lower highs and lower lows, suggesting a bearish trend continuation
A yellow zigzag line projects a possible downward price movement path
Resistance Zone
A red rectangular zone marks a strong resistance area, previously tested multiple times and rejected
Price failed to break above this zone, reinforcing the bearish outlook
Support & Target Levels
Three significant horizontal support levels are marked
Level 1 $3,368
Level 2 $3,356
Final Target Zone Around $3344 $3344
The final target is emphasized with an orange Target label and arrow, indicating the expected destination for this bearish move
Projection
The chart anticipates short-term pullbacks retracements followed by further downside
This is visualized through the yellow zigzag pattern illustrating probable future price action