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XAUUSD Trade Setup – June 17, 2025🔍 30-Min Timeframe | Volume Profile | Risk-Reward Analysis 🔹 Short Position Idea 🔻 Entry: $3,393.83 🔻 Stop Loss: $3,402.14 (above recent value area high) 🔻 Take Profit: $3,359.88 (prior HVN support area) 📉 R:R ≈ 3:1 🔸 Context: Price rejected the upper volume node and failed to break the prior high. Strong selling pressure followed by a pullback to a low-volume node. VWAP and POC levels show imbalance favoring bearish continuation. 🔸 Confirmation: Break and close below $3,389 with volume could confirm downside momentum. 📌 Watching for price to respect the value area and migrate toward the lower demand zone.
FX:XAUUSD
by Tommykamo
The bulls rise strongly and continue to rise after falling backFrom the 4-hour analysis, today's support is around 3345-50. If the intraday retracement relies on this position, the main bullish trend will remain unchanged. The short-term bullish strong dividing line is 3320-25. Before the daily level falls below this position, any retracement is a long opportunity. Maintain the main tone of participating in the trend. Gold operation strategy: 1. If gold falls back to 3340-45 and does not break, go long, stop loss 3335, target 3375-3380, continue to hold if it breaks
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AgnesGreen
1
Have you seized the golden opportunity again and again?Today, the strength of gold is very weak. It only rushed up at the opening, and quickly fell below the 3400 mark. Keeping above the key point of 3400, gold continues to be bullish. Now that it has fallen below 3400, the short-term has gone out of the small-level top, and the market is no longer so strong. For our short-term operations, the short-term correction of gold prices focuses on the daily cycle MA5 support, and the weekly MA5 support is long. The rebound focuses on the 3403-3408 resistance card. The rebound can be followed by the short-term! Although gold has fallen below 3400, the short-term direction has changed, but the general direction has not changed. It is still bullish. In the future, we still have the opportunity to look at the high point of 3500, but we have to wait for the bottom to stabilize. Now we can only follow the trend. We will do what the market does. From a technical point of view, the current macd high dead cross in 4 hours has a large volume, and the smart indicator sto is oversold, which represents the 4-hour shock trend. The current bollinger band three-track shrinkage in 4 hours also represents the range compression. At present, the upper pressure of 4 hours is located at the adhesion point of the middle rail and the moving average MA10 at 3404-3409, while the support corresponds to the moving average MA30 and MA10 near the 3380-3363 line. From the current 4 hours, if the price is to fall directly, the rebound will not exceed the 3420-3422.5 line. The current macd dead cross of the gold 1-hour line is shrinking and sticking, and the smart indicator sto is running downward, indicating that the hourly line continues to fluctuate weakly. What we need to pay attention to now is the adhesion pressure of the upper moving average MA60 and MA30 corresponding to the 3412 line. Pay attention to the resistance of 3403 in the short term. Today's short-term operation of gold recommends rebound shorting as the main, and callback long as the auxiliary, and pay attention to the support of 3380-3370 in the short term.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
Gold Breaks the Range: Trend Reversal or Just a Fakeout?XAUUSD – Gold Breaks the Range: Trend Reversal or Just a Fakeout? After several days of sideways action, gold has finally broken out of its consolidation channel — but not upward. The price action signals uncertainty, while underlying global risks suggest a larger move may be brewing. With US markets closed for a bank holiday, low liquidity could lead to sharp, unexpected spikes — traders, stay alert. 🌍 Macro & Fundamental Outlook 📌 As widely expected, the Federal Reserve held rates steady, but Fed Chair Powell maintained a hawkish tone, warning that inflation risks remain due to ongoing geopolitical instability and rising commodity costs. 🔥 The gold market now hinges on two major geopolitical scenarios in the Middle East: If the US intervenes diplomatically to ease tensions between Iran and Israel, gold may continue to correct further — possibly into the 3,325 – 3,300 range or lower. However, if reports are accurate that Trump is coordinating with Israel for potential strikes on Iran, gold could spike aggressively as safe-haven demand surges toward 3,417 – 3,440. 📊 Technical Breakdown (M30 – H1) Price has broken below the range-bound structure, suggesting a potential momentum shift to the downside. The EMA cluster (13–34–89–200) is sloping downward, confirming bearish short-term pressure. The 3,345 level has acted as support, but if it gives way, 3,325 becomes a critical liquidity zone where buyers may step in. ✅ Trading Plan 🟢 BUY ZONE 1: 3,325 – 3,328 Entry: Only after a clear bullish reversal (pin bar / bullish engulfing candle) SL: Below 3,320 TP: 3,345 → 3,360 → 3,373 → 3,384 🟢 BUY ZONE 2: 3,345 – 3,348 Entry: On price retest and bullish confirmation SL: Below 3,340 TP: 3,360 → 3,373 → 3,384 → 3,403 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3,417 – 3,440 Entry: If price rallies into resistance with no supporting fundamentals SL: Above 3,445 TP: 3,403 → 3,384 → 3,360 → 3,345 💬 Final Thoughts Gold is at a pivotal point. While today’s break could indicate a new leg down, we’ve seen countless false breakouts during low liquidity sessions. Only trade on confirmation — not emotion. Watch for geopolitical headlines and let price action guide your risk-adjusted decisions. Stay patient. Stay sharp. Let the market prove itself before you do.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
1
Weekly Gold Outlook: Signs of Trend Reversal EmergingGold is beginning to show clear signs of a potential bearish phase. The current uptrend is weakening, and a new center of gravity has formed around 3319 on the weekly timeframe. Price is currently moving higher to complete Phase 2, which often precedes a new trend cycle. A weekly close below 3320, especially after sweeping the upper liquidity zone near 3495, would confirm the start of Phase 3 — historically a trend continuation setup. This suggests that gold could enter a deeper correction phase, potentially resetting for the next bullish leg. Projected Downside Targets: Target 1: 3100 Target 2: 3056 Target 3: 2960 Extended Bearish Target: Below 2760 (Accumulation zone for the next uptrend) This cycle is unfolding on the weekly timeframe, so it may take time to fully develop. Key Resistance Zones (Sell Interest Areas): 3525–3548: Current resistance zone with signs of profit-taking by large players 3606: Next resistance level 3688: Strong upper resistance where institutional selling interest could intensify These zones are critical supply areas, and market participants are already showing signs of booking profits around these levels.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by Gravity-Traders-Academy
Fed expected to remain on hold and ‘likely’ a ‘Nothing Burger’It is widely regarded as a ‘sealed deal’ that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain the current target rate at 4.25% - 4.50% today, marking a fourth consecutive meeting on hold. This is likely to displease US President Donald Trump, who has repeatedly called for rate cuts, recently referring to the Fed Chairman Jerome Powell as ‘stupid’. Despite Trump’s approach, I do not see a path where the central bank needs to cut rates today. While I would agree that the US economy is softening, it is not sufficient to ring alarm bells at the Fed. May’s inflation data were soft, suggesting stickiness and limited impact from tariffs, and domestic demand remains stable. Meanwhile, while the job market has demonstrated signs of weakening, the US remains at full employment. Couple this with vague trade policy and the recent escalation between Israel and Iran – with US involvement a possibility at this point – the Fed are unlikely to move on rates until later on in the year. Markets are pricing in around two rate cuts this year (matching March’s Summary of Economic Projections ), targeting either the September or October meeting for the first 25-basis-point (bp) rate reduction. Were the Fed to throw a curveball and surprise markets by cutting rates by 25 bps today, it would trigger a sizable downside move in the US dollar (USD) and underpin a bid across the US equity market. With that said, with a rate cut already baked in, the market’s focus will shift to the Fed’s rate statement, the press conference, and the updated SEP. Importantly, the fresh projections are the first out of the Fed since Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs in early April. Uncertain times Uncertainty, although a somewhat overworked term at present, remains pertinent in today’s macroeconomic backdrop. Consequently, the Fed’s job of updating the dot plot (and the economic projections) is challenging. Like the market, Fed officials will struggle to gauge what the near-term future holds. I would not be surprised to see Powell echo a similar sentiment to the one expressed at the March meeting. Nevertheless, it should not raise too many eyebrows to see the Fed adopt a more hawkish tilt in its updated projections, with a slight upward (downward) revision to inflation (GDP [Gross Domestic Product). However, a marked change in direction in terms of lowering rates in the future from the Fed today is certainly something investors will be watching for, and could lead to increased volatility across major asset classes. If we see a dovish pivot, I will closely watch Spot Gold (XAU/USD), which has been hovering around all-time highs of US$3,500 for some time now. Spot Gold trading at demand A dovish scenario today could push the yellow metal towards the noted all-time high. As you can see from the chart below, daily flow has buyers and sellers squaring off within demand at US$3,343-US$3,392, which may provide enough of a floor to press higher today. In the event of a break south, the first port of call in terms of support would be at US$3,280, followed by another layer at US$3,208. Written by FP Markets Chief Market Analyst Aaron Hill
FPMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by FPMarkets
Learn 6 Common Beginner Trading Mistakes (FOREX, GOLD) In the today's post, we will discuss very common beginner's mistakes in trading that you should avoid. 1. No trading plan 📝 That is certainly the TOP 1 mistake. I don't know why it happens but 99% of newbies assume that they don't need a trading plan. It is more than enough for them to watch a couple of educational videos, read some books about trading and Voilà when a good setup appears they can easily recognize and trade it without a plan. Guys, I guarantee you that you will blow your trading account in maximum 2 months if you keep thinking like that. Trading plan is the essential part of every trading approach, so build one and follow that strictly. 2. Overtrading 💱 That mistake comes from a common newbies' misconception: they think that in order to make money in trading, they should trade a lot. The more they trade, the higher are the potential gains. The same reasoning appears when they choose a signal service: the more trades a signal provider shares, the better his signals are supposed to be. However, the truth is that good trades are very rare and your goal as a trader is to recognize and trade only the best setups. While the majority of the trading opportunities are risky and not profitable. 3. Emotional trading 😤 There are 2 ways to make a trading decision: to make it objectively following the rules of your trading plan or to follow the emotions. The second option is the main pick of the newbies. The intuition, fear, desire are their main drivers. And such an approach is of course doomed to a failure. And we will discuss the emotional trading in details in the next 2 sections. 4. Having no patience ⏳ Patience always pays. That is the trader's anthem. However, in practice, it is extremely hard to keep holding the trade that refuses to reach the target, that comes closer and closer to a stop loss level, that stuck around the entry level. Once we are in a trade, we want the price to go directly to our goal without any delay. And the more we wait, the harder it is to keep waiting. The impatience makes traders close their trades preliminary, missing good profits . 5. Greed 🤑 Greed is your main and worst enemy in this game. It will pursue you no matter how experienced you are. The desire to get maximum from every move, to not miss any pip of profit, will be your permanent obstacle. Greed will also pursue you after you close the profitable trades. No matter how much you win, how many good winning trades you catch in a row, you always want more. And that sense main lead you to making irrational, bad trading decision. 6. Big Risks 🛑 Why to calculate lot size for the trade? Why even bother about risk management? These are the typical thoughts of the newbies. Newbie traders completely underestimate the risks involved in trading and for that reason they are risking big. I heard so many times these stories, when a trading deposit of a trader is wiped out with a one single bad trade. Never ever risk big, especially if you just started. Start with a very conservative approach and risk a tiny little portion of your trading account per trade. Of course there are a lot more mistakes to discuss. However, the ones that I listed above at the most common and I am kindly recommending you to fix them before you start trading with a substantial amount of money. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
3
XAUUSD Buy ForecastXAUUSD New Forecast👨‍💻👨‍💻 This is my personal trade and not in anyway a mandatory setup. Note: Follow proper risk management rules. Never risk more then 2% of your total capital. Money management is the key of success in this business...... Set your own SL & TP. Please support this idea with a Like and COMMENT if you find it useful click "follow" on our profile if you will like these type of trading ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!! lemme know your thoughts in the comment sec..
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by King_CityStar_Fx
XAU/USD – Bearish Setup Developing After Complex CorrectionGold may be nearing the end of a complex double three (W)-(X)-(Y) corrective pattern, suggesting that the recent upside momentum could be exhausted and a larger degree bearish wave may be on the horizon. 🔹 Wave Structure Analysis The initial decline completed an ABC Zigzag correction, labeled as Wave (A)-(B)-(C). Price then rallied into a W-X-Y double three structure, with the second leg (Y) potentially complete as of the latest high. The rejection at the recent swing high indicates potential distribution and the start of a new impulsive decline. 🔻 Bearish Outlook If the count is valid, Gold may be starting a new bearish sequence, targeting lower support levels in the coming weeks. A break below the short-term support (~$3,340–$3,320) could confirm the onset of a downward move. Key bearish target zone: $3,120–$3,040, with potential extension toward $2,960 if momentum accelerates. 🛑 Invalidation Level A daily close above Wave (Y) high (~$3,513) would invalidate the bearish thesis and indicate further upside continuation or a new impulsive structure. 📌 Conclusion: Gold may have completed a complex corrective structure and is showing signs of weakness. If confirmed, this opens the door for a deeper corrective or impulsive move to the downside. Traders should watch for breakdown confirmation before entering shorts, with tight risk control above recent highs.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by MrLiquidonFX
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉 Fundamental Analysis: Geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East continue to escalate, with intense clashes between Israel and Iran driving gold prices higher. However, Federal Reserve officials have recently sent frequent hawkish signals, emphasizing the need to maintain interest rates to control inflation and downplaying expectations of rate cuts. Additionally, U.S. trade agreements with multiple nations are gradually being finalized, which could potentially provide bearish momentum for gold at any time. Overall, gold is trending to rise first and then fall. Technical Analysis: The 4-hour chart shows gold steadily advancing within an ascending channel, with strong bullish momentum. Resistance is near 3,450, while support currently stands at 3,400. However, it is important to note that after a short-term rapid rally, prices may need a pullback for correction. Trading Recommendations: Aggressive traders may initiate light long positions near 3,400–3,410, targeting 3,450; if this level is broken, extend the target to 3,470–3,475. If prices face resistance near 3,450 during upward attempts, consider light short positions. Trading Strategy: buy@3400-3410 TP:3450-3470 sell@3460-3450 TP:3420-3400 Share accurate trading signals daily—transform your life starting now! 👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MonicaLongman
Strong support at 3365/3350In recent years, following the easing of high inflation pressures in the U.S., the Federal Reserve has maintained a high-interest-rate policy, a decision that has significantly impacted gold and U.S. dollar markets: high rates have boosted the U.S. dollar while suppressing gold demand 📉. This week, gold prices defied market expectations: fueled by geopolitical conflicts, gold surged last Friday and opened higher on Monday, only to trend lower thereafter ⬇️. The hourly chart shows a series of lower lows, with 3,400 emerging as short-term resistance, while gold currently oscillates around 3,380 🔄. With key economic data pending release, gold may still rebound (the initial jobless claims data was advanced to Wednesday) ⏰. Technically, gold remains in a unilateral uptrend on the daily chart, with strong support at 3,365/3,350 from the 5-day and 10-day moving averages—though not yet in an extremely strong trend 📈. Key resistances lie at 3,430/3,450: a break above 3,450 could pave the way for a challenge to the previous high of 3,500 🏔️! ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Buy@ 3365 - 3375 🚀 TP 3395 - 3405 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign_1
Intraday Gold Trading System with Neural Networks: Step-by-Step________________________________________ 🏆 Intraday Gold Trading System with Neural Networks: Step-by-Step Practical Guide ________________________________________ 📌 Step 1: Overview and Goal The goal is to build a neural network system to predict intraday short-term gold price movements—typically forecasting the next 15 to 30 minutes. ________________________________________ 📈 Step 2: Choosing Indicators (TradingView Equivalents) Key indicators for intraday gold trading: • 📊 Moving Averages (EMA, SMA) • 📏 Relative Strength Index (RSI) • 🌀 Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) • 📉 Bollinger Bands • 📦 Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) • ⚡ Average True Range (ATR) ________________________________________ 🗃 Step 3: Data Acquisition (Vectors and Matrices) Use Python's yfinance to fetch intraday gold data: import yfinance as yf import pandas as pd data = yf.download('GC=F', period='30d', interval='15m') ________________________________________ 🔧 Step 4: Technical Indicator Calculation Use Python’s pandas_ta library to generate all required indicators: import pandas_ta as ta data = ta.ema(data , length=20) data = ta.ema(data , length=50) data = ta.rsi(data , length=14) macd = ta.macd(data ) data = macd data = macd bbands = ta.bbands(data , length=20) data = bbands data = bbands data = bbands data = ta.atr(data , data , data , length=14) data.dropna(inplace=True) ________________________________________ 🧹 Step 5: Data Preprocessing and Matrix Creation Standardize your features and shape data for neural networks: from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler import numpy as np features = scaler = StandardScaler() data_scaled = scaler.fit_transform(data ) def create_matrix(data_scaled, window_size=10): X, y = , for i in range(len(data_scaled) - window_size - 1): X.append(data_scaled ) y.append(data .iloc ) return np.array(X), np.array(y) X, y = create_matrix(data_scaled, window_size=10) ________________________________________ 🤖 Step 6: Neural Network Construction with TensorFlow Use LSTM neural networks for sequential, time-series prediction: import tensorflow as tf from tensorflow.keras.models import Sequential from tensorflow.keras.layers import LSTM, Dense, Dropout model = Sequential( , X.shape )), Dropout(0.2), LSTM(32, activation='relu'), Dense(1) ]) model.compile(optimizer='adam', loss='mse') ________________________________________ 🎯 Step 7: Training the Neural Network history = model.fit(X, y, epochs=50, batch_size=32, validation_split=0.2) ________________________________________ 📊 Step 8: Evaluating Model Performance Visualize actual vs. predicted prices: import matplotlib.pyplot as plt predictions = model.predict(X) plt.plot(y, label='Actual Price') plt.plot(predictions, label='Predicted Price') plt.xlabel('Time Steps') plt.ylabel('Gold Price') plt.legend() plt.show() ________________________________________ 🚦 Step 9: Developing a Trading Strategy Translate predictions into trading signals: def trade_logic(predicted, current, threshold=0.3): diff = predicted - current if diff > threshold: return "Buy" elif diff < -threshold: return "Sell" else: return "Hold" latest_data = X .reshape(1, X.shape , X.shape ) predicted_price = model.predict(latest_data) current_price = data .iloc decision = trade_logic(predicted_price, current_price) print("Trading Decision:", decision) ________________________________________ ⚙️ Step 10: Real-Time Deployment Automate the model for live trading via broker APIs (pseudocode): while market_open: live_data = fetch_live_gold_data() live_data_processed = preprocess(live_data) prediction = model.predict(live_data_processed) decision = trade_logic(prediction, live_data ) execute_order(decision) ________________________________________ 📅 Step 11: Backtesting Use frameworks like Backtrader or Zipline to validate your strategy: import backtrader as bt class NNStrategy(bt.Strategy): def next(self): if self.data.predicted > self.data.close + threshold: self.buy() elif self.data.predicted < self.data.close - threshold: self.sell() cerebro = bt.Cerebro() cerebro.addstrategy(NNStrategy) # Add data feeds and run cerebro cerebro.run() ________________________________________ 🔍 Practical Use-Cases • ⚡ Momentum Trading: EMA crossovers, validated by neural network. • 🔄 Mean Reversion: Trade at Bollinger Band extremes, validated with neural network predictions. • 🌩️ Volatility-based: Use ATR plus neural net for optimal entry/exit timing. ________________________________________ 🛠 Additional Recommendations • Frameworks: TensorFlow/Keras, PyTorch, scikit-learn • Real-time monitoring and risk management are crucial—use volatility indicators! ________________________________________ 📚 Final Thoughts This practical guide arms you to build, deploy, and manage a neural network-based intraday gold trading system—from data acquisition through backtesting—ensuring you have the tools for robust, data-driven, and risk-managed trading strategies. ________________________________________
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by ProjectSyndicate
24
XAU/USD Price Action Update – June 18, 2025📊 XAU/USD Price Action Update – June 18, 2025 🔹Current Price: 3,386.58 🔹Timeframe: 1H 📌 Key Resistance Zone: 🔴 3406 – Intraday breakout level; needs a strong candle close above for bullish continuation 📌 Key Demand Zones: 🟢 3338–3342 – First support zone to watch if price drops 🟢 3319–3324 – Major demand; deeper pullback area for long entries ⚡️Bullish Scenario: Price is consolidating in a tight range. A strong 1H close above 3406 could trigger a breakout targeting 3405.63 and beyond. ⚠️Bearish Scenario: If price fails to close above resistance and breaks below the range, a drop toward 3338 or even 3319 could follow — confirmation needed before shorting. 🔍 FXFOREVER Insight: ✅ Price is ranging; don’t trade inside the box ✅ Wait for clean break and retest from either side ✅ Monitor structure shifts on 15M–1H timeframe for confirmation #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #FXFOREVER #PriceAction #SupplyDemand #ForexSetup #ConsolidationBreakout #IntradayTrade
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FXFOREVER_87
Accumulate around 3400, Keep interest rate today⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices slipped below the $3,400 threshold on Tuesday, weighed down by renewed strength in the US Dollar (USD), despite a worsening global risk sentiment. The resilience of the greenback limited gains in the safe-haven asset, though mounting tensions between Israel and Iran continue to offer underlying support. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,380, down 0.05%. Although risk appetite remains subdued, gold has struggled to rally, as the US Dollar regains ground. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the currency against a basket of six major peers, climbed 0.46% to 98.58. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions intensified after US President Donald Trump abruptly departed the G7 summit in Canada on Monday in response to unfolding events in the Middle East. In a stark warning posted to his social platform, he urged, “Everyone should immediately evacuate Tehran,” signaling a sharp escalation in the conflict that began last Friday. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price is moving in accumulation zone below 3400 - 3365. Break and return above 3400, continue to accumulate. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3437- 3439 SL 3444 TP1: $3425 TP2: $3410 TP3: $3395 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3338-$3340 SL $3333 TP1: $3346 TP2: $3355 TP3: $3370 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
2