GOLD Made Inverted H&S Pattern , Long Scalping Ready !Here is my 15 mins chart on gold and we have a reversal pattern , ( inverted head & shoulders ) and we have a clear closure above our neckline so we can buy it to get the target and then wait for the news tonight and then decide the new direction after news effect .
CFDGOLD trade ideas
Strong support at 3365/3350In recent years, following the easing of high inflation pressures in the U.S., the Federal Reserve has maintained a high-interest-rate policy, a decision that has significantly impacted gold and U.S. dollar markets: high rates have boosted the U.S. dollar while suppressing gold demand 📉.
This week, gold prices defied market expectations: fueled by geopolitical conflicts, gold surged last Friday and opened higher on Monday, only to trend lower thereafter ⬇️. The hourly chart shows a series of lower lows, with 3,400 emerging as short-term resistance, while gold currently oscillates around 3,380 🔄. With key economic data pending release, gold may still rebound (the initial jobless claims data was advanced to Wednesday) ⏰.
Technically, gold remains in a unilateral uptrend on the daily chart, with strong support at 3,365/3,350 from the 5-day and 10-day moving averages—though not yet in an extremely strong trend 📈. Key resistances lie at 3,430/3,450: a break above 3,450 could pave the way for a challenge to the previous high of 3,500 🏔️!
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3365 - 3375
🚀 TP 3395 - 3405
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Turbulent Week Ahead? Gold Outlook June 9-13, 2025Hey fellow traders,
Let's dive into the OANDA:XAUUSD outlook for the upcoming week, June 9-13, 2025. The recent price action has been a rollercoaster 🎢, and the next few days promise even more fireworks 🎇.
Looking back at the 30-minute chart from May 22 to June 6, gold saw an initial consolidation, then a strong rally to multi-week highs near 3,420. However, this was followed by a sharp, dramatic reversal, pushing prices back below 3,300. This "bull trap" 🐂 pattern suggests underlying weakness and potential preemptive market positioning.
Another view on this could be the possibility that a gap on the chart at 3300-3295 of around $5 could get closed. Since strong support is right below this, it could serve as a good launchpad 🚀 for an upward rally. Let's see if the upcoming Asia session on Monday triggers this because its only - $14 from $3309.
Key Drivers for the Week Ahead:
📅 June 9, 2025 (Monday)
US-China High-Level Trade Talks Commence in London
High-level delegations from the United States and China began trade discussions in London. This meeting followed an announcement by President Donald Trump on Friday, June 6, 2025, who described a preceding 90-minute phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping as "very positive".
The US delegation included Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Commerce Secretary Howard
Lutnick, and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, reflecting a coordinated approach to addressing complex trade issues. The talks were primarily aimed at resolving the ongoing bilateral trade war, with a particular focus on tariffs and the global supply of critical rare earth minerals.5 While no specific time for the commencement of talks was provided, it is understood they began during London's daytime, approximately (10:12 CEST / 04:12 EDT).
These discussions occurred in the context of a temporary 90-day agreement reached on May 12, 2025, which had seen the US reduce its tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30%, and China reciprocate by lowering its tariffs on US goods from 125% to 10%.9 However, this temporary truce is set to expire in early August, and President Trump had recently accused China of violating the agreement, specifically regarding critical mineral exports. The broader bilateral relationship remains strained by issues extending beyond tariffs, including restrictions on advanced chips, student visas, and concerns over China's state-dominated economic model.
The prompt scheduling of these high-level talks immediately after a leader-to-leader call suggests a tactical move towards de-escalation of immediate trade tensions, aiming to prevent a full-blown trade war. The objective appears to be managing current conflicts rather than achieving a fundamental resolution, especially with the May 12 agreement nearing its expiration. The core disputes, such as control over rare earths and technology, are deeply entrenched and reflect a broader geopolitical competition rather than mere economic disagreements. This pattern of temporary de-escalation followed by persistent underlying tensions indicates a long-term,structural competition. It suggests that trade policy is increasingly intertwined with national security and geopolitical strategy, implying that businesses should anticipate continued volatility and strategic decoupling in certain sectors, rather than a return to pre-trade war normalcy.
Other big movers for gold will be the US inflation reports. 💥
📅 Wednesday, June 11 (14:30 CEST / 08:30 EDT):
We get the crucial US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.
Watch for Core CPI (YoY) with a forecast of 2.9% and headline CPI (YoY) at 2.5%.
📅 Thursday, June 12 (14:30 CEST / 08:30 EDT):
The US Producer Price Index (PPI) follows.
Forecasts are for Core PPI (YoY) at 3.0% and headline PPI (YoY) at 2.6%.
📊 These numbers are critical. If inflation comes in hotter 🔥 than expected, it will likely strengthen the US Dollar 💵 and push real interest rates higher 📈, making gold less attractive. This could trigger further declines 📉, especially given the current market structure. Conversely, cooler 🧊 inflation could spark a significant rebound 🔄.
Beyond US data, keep an eye 👁️ on speeches from various European Central Bank (ECB) officials throughout the week, including President Lagarde on Tuesday (23:15 CEST / 17:15 EDT). Their collective tone 🎤 could influence EUR/USD dynamics and indirectly impact the US Dollar Index, offering a counterbalance ⚖️ or amplification to gold's movements.
Key Numbers and Technical Levels to Watch:
Gold is currently sitting on a substantial speculative net long position of 187.9K contracts. This is a massive amount of bullish bets 📊🐂, making gold highly vulnerable to rapid liquidation 💣 if the fundamental picture turns sour. A "long squeeze" could amplify any downside move.
Immediate Support: The 3,300 level is paramount. A decisive break below it would signal further weakness. Below that, 3,250 is strong technical support where we saw a bounce previously.
Overhead Resistance: Look for resistance at 3,350-3,360, and then the recent peak of 3,420. Reclaiming these levels would require a significant shift in sentiment.
Expect high volatility ⚡, especially around the US inflation releases. Trade smart 🧠, manage your risk ⚖️, and stay nimble! 🏃
Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍
India / Pakistan
The ceasefire from May 10 is holding, but diplomatic relations remain frosty. India has launched a global image campaign to gain support, while Pakistan insists on dialogue and accountability.
Outlook: Without substantial agreements on border terrorism and water issues, tensions will stay latently high, with potential for new escalation risks. ⚠️
Gaza Conflict
Violence escalated again in early June. Israel intensified attacks, killing civilians seeking aid in Gaza City, and at least six people were killed at a distribution point.
Outlook: The humanitarian situation continues to worsen 🚨, and international mediation efforts are urgently needed. However, an immediate ceasefire seems unrealistic. ❌
Russia / Ukraine
In the first week of June, Russia launched one of its largest series of attacks: hundreds of drones and missiles hit Kharkiv and Kyiv, resulting in civilian casualties. Simultaneously, a planned prisoner exchange has stalled.
Outlook: Strategic air attacks will likely continue 💥, and the prisoner exchange remains deadlocked. Without a diplomatic initiative, the conflict will stay entrenched. 🕳️
U.S.–China Trade War
Following talks between Trump and Xi, new negotiation rounds are expected in London. China has opened up rare earth exports, a sign of cautious de-escalation.
Outlook: If dialogue channels open 🗣️, systemic trust could grow, but genuine reforms remain uncertain. 🤔
🌐 Global Trade War
The OECD has lowered its growth outlook to 2.9%, warning of protectionism 🧱 and delayed investments. The ECB is also maintaining synchronization with the FED.
Outlook: Without de-escalation, the world faces a global economic slowdown 🐌 and permanent fragmentation of supply chains. 🔗
🏛 Trump vs. Powell
Trump has again complained about the FOMC's hesitancy, nicknaming Powell “Too Late,” and demanding a full 1% interest rate cut.
Outlook: Pressure is mounting 📣. Whether the Fed yields depends on if inflation and labor data allow for a loose policy. 🎯
💵 U.S. Inflation – May 2025
Forward-looking data shows a weakening services sector and consumer prices rising again as tariffs pass through. Official CPI data for May 2025 will be released on June 11.
Outlook: Higher inflation could halt the Fed's "dereflexion" course — a dilemma ⚖️ between growth 📈 and price stability. 🛑
Technical View 📐
Regarding the major Head and Shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern on the 4H chart I shared previously, I'd like to explain some new developments that are altering its potential outcome.
Since the price has re-entered and fallen below the neckline, I activated my "second brain cell" 🧠 to guess what could be next. This led me to revise the larger 4-hour chart structure with the adjustments shown in the accompanying image.
As you can also see in the updated version below, a reversed H&S pattern remains a possibility, as the proportions still appear valid. 🔄
Potential Scenarios for Gold 🧩
Under this revised idea, Gold could potentially reach the neckline entry at 3397 (+88) from the current price. This is one plausible scenario. ✅
Alternatively, the price could drop further to the "Head" at 3120 (-191 from the current 3309), which would, of course, invalidate this H&S pattern. ❗
While this is speculative 🔮, given that trading often involves psychological movements and their resulting impacts, I believe this is a favorable approach to forecasting.
Another reason to see it as bullish is the formed standard bull flag 🚩🐂.
Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook 16-20 JuneHello traders 👋,
A powerful week ahead with extremely sensitive fundamentals in play.
🔎 Macro Fundamentals
🔥 FOMC rate decision + press conference coming up. This will set the tone for USD and risk markets.
🏦 FOMC statement + economic projections will guide the next dollar liquidity wave.
📊 Key US consumer data via Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales.
🏠 Housing sector updates: Permits, Starts, NAHB.
📈 Business inventories, Philly Fed, CB Leading Index, TIC flows.
⚠ Volatility expected to spike heavily mid-week during the Fed.
The market is positioned for liquidity grabs, with strong potential for traps both sides. Execution requires sniper discipline.
🔬 Technical Structure — Weekly Chart Context
Weekly bullish BOS confirmed.
Weak High sitting at 3448, currently challenged.
We are extended in premium territory after multiple bullish expansions.
Main premium OB zone: 3445 - 3465, highly reactive zone.
Discount demand stands lower around 3320 - 3280 and 3100 key weekly equilibrium.
EMAs remain fully locked bullish.
RSI approaching extended levels (71), risk of profit-taking spikes remains.
🎯 Key Weekly Levels
Type Zone Comment
🔼 Resistance 3445 – 3465 Active premium trap zone
🔼 Resistance 3502 1.272 Fibonacci extension
🔼 Resistance 3572 1.618 Fibonacci extension
🔼 Resistance 3649 2.0 Fibonacci extension
🔽 Support 3320 – 3280 Last valid weekly OB
🔽 Support 3100 Weekly equilibrium & demand
🧭 Weekly Bias
🔧 Primary bias: bullish continuation still intact while weekly structure remains protected. Watch for sweeps above 3445-3465.
🔧 Potential correction risk from high-impact fundamentals (FOMC). Buy dips if structure holds.
🔥 If you enjoy this clean breakdown: hit that 🚀, follow & drop your thoughts below!
Stay sharp traders — we execute with precision.
— GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD Decline could move downsideXAUUSD Gold Price Analysis
Gold continues to face downside pressure amid ongoing sell-offs. After pulling back from recent highs, Gold is now approaching the 3400 level. However, selling pressure remains strong, especially following a weak rebound from the 3377 area, which signals limited buyer interest at current levels.
Key Points
Support Zone 3365/ 3340
Resistance zone 3400 / 3410
The US Dollar is gaining strength as a safe-haven asset, which is holding back Gold’s upward momentum. This shift in sentiment is driven by increasing caution in the markets ahead of key macroeconomic events:
Ps Support with like and comments for more better analysis share with you.
Gold within known rangeTechnical analysis: Descending Channel on Hourly 4 chart was discontinued as there was an attempt on the same chart to develop Ascending Channel and extend the Intra-day’s relief rally above #3,402.80 benchmark. My action plan remains intact as I will continue operating with Scalp Sell and Buying orders as long as #3,362.80 - #3,402.80 zone holds (so far it hasn't been crossed again to the upside or downside) and reversal towards #3,417.80 Resistance in extension if #3,402.80 benchmark gets invalidated. Consider the Lower High’s Upper zone test on the Daily chart’s scale, while Hourly 4 chart turned Bearish on my key indicators sessions ago. As expected, yesterday's session Daily candle closed below the #3,395.80 Resistance, widely above both of the Daily chart’s MA’s, turning flat for the session (isolated within Neutral rectangle however). That is a strong indication that the market is attempting to Price the Bottom here (temporary or not), which just so happens to be a Lower High's Lower zone within Daily chart’s Ascending Channel. It is no surprise that today's Hourly 4 chart’s candle is attempting to engage Bearish sequence so far and since its on Bearish Technicals (invalidated Ascending Channel), I consider it the most optimal re-Buy entry for a Short-term recovery back towards #3,288.80 - #3,392.80 Resistance belt or above (representing last week’s High’s).
My position: Even though I mentioned remaining on sidelines, I used #3,388.80 - #3,392.80 as an excellent re-Buy zone and closed my set of Scalping orders within #3,393.80 - #3,398.80 and remained off for the session. It is indeed clash of Bearish Technicals and War news (Fundamentally Bullish) as I will keep my Trading activity to minimum, protecting my capital for now.
The Fed’s decision may guide the direction of gold
💡Message Strategy
Gold prices fell more than 1% as traders locked in profits after hitting an 8-week high, with attention turning to the Fed's policy decision and diplomatic signals from Iran. The move puts gold on track to form a bearish closing price reversal pattern, suggesting further consolidation if no new safe-haven demand emerges.
Safe-haven demand stagnates as Israel-Iran tensions ease
Geopolitical risks from the ongoing Israel-Iran conflict have been one of the key drivers of gold's recent gains. However, as reports emerged that Iran was willing to restart nuclear talks through an Arab intermediary, market reaction became muted.
These developments led to a more than 3% drop in crude oil prices and eased inflation concerns. Despite the continued tensions in the Middle East, the change still limited further gains for gold. U.S. Treasury yields were almost flat on the day, reflecting a decline in the market's urgent demand for traditional safe-haven assets.
A weaker dollar failed to support gold's gains
The U.S. dollar index (DXY) fell to 97.685, just above last week's multi-year low. Bearish sentiment persists, and new short positions may curb any rebound.
Gold's failure to rise despite a weaker dollar indicates overall hesitation in the market. Analysts pointed out that the lack of safe-haven inflows into the dollar and U.S. Treasuries highlights that traders are more focused on upcoming central bank guidance than geopolitical factors.
Fed outlook will dominate short-term price action
Traders are now awaiting the Fed’s decision on Wednesday, with expectations that interest rates will remain unchanged, but forward guidance will be key.
Gold could face new pressure if Fed Chairman Powell turns hawkish or suggests that interest rates will remain high for a long time. Any signs of policy normalization could boost the dollar and weaken gold’s appeal. However, a dovish tone or concerns about the persistence of inflation could strengthen support for gold near technical key levels.
Gold price forecast: If the $3310 range support is effective, the bullish trend remains
📊Technical aspects
From a technical perspective, gold is testing a key support area. A drop to around $3,380 could trigger new buying; if this level is lost, it will further test the $3,350 support level.
On the upside, resistance is close to $3,450, and if bullish momentum resumes, the all-time high of $3,500.20 is still possible.
For now, the forecast maintains a cautiously bullish tone, provided that the $3,310 support level remains solid and the Fed avoids turning hawkish.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position:3375-3380
Short Position:3410-3420
XAU/USD,4h chart pattern.Im looking to buy Gold at 3432 with a target of 3500. Here's a quick analysis and trade plan for this idea:
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🟡 Gold Trade Setup
Buy Entry: 3432
Target (Take Profit): 3500
Potential Gain: 68 points
Suggested Stop Loss: Around 3400 (for a 1:2 risk/reward ratio)
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📊 Things to Consider:
1. Trend: Ensure the current market trend supports a bullish move. Look for higher lows and higher highs.
2. Support at 3432: Is this a strong support level? If it’s holding multiple times, it can be a good entry.
3. Resistance at 3500: This could be a psychological or historical resistance. Be ready for partial profit booking near it.
4. News & Events: Watch for U.S. economic data or Fed comments that could impact gold volatility.
5. Risk Management: Don’t risk more than 1-2% of your capital on this trade.
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Would you like a technical chart setup or analysis based on current market conditions to support this trade idea?
Gold-----Sell near 3405, target 3390-3360Gold market analysis:
Yesterday's daily line closed with a big negative line, which was basically a day to kill the buying. Today's idea is to sell in the short term. The daily and weekly trends have not yet turned to selling. Although the daily line closed with a big negative line yesterday, its shape and indicators have not completely turned to selling. There is still motivation to buy in the later stage. In addition, Iran and Israel are still fighting. It is still difficult to see a deep decline in the short term. We estimate that today's Asian session will rebound slightly and then fall. If today's daily line continues to fall again, it may enter a new short-term selling mode. We are just a follower. We follow the short-term. If the short-term trend is bearish, we will rebound and sell. The daily line closes the negative Asian session and waits for the opportunity to sell.
In the Asian session, we pay attention to the suppression of the 3410 position. It is the suppression position of the shape, the suppression position of the 1-hour moving average, the central axis position of yesterday's big drop, and the suppression position of the daily line. If the Asian session stands on 3410, it may bring a new technical rise in buying. After all, the shape of the daily line is still buying. Secondly, if it breaks 3382, it can continue to sell it with a small rebound. 3405 is also a suppression, and it is also considered to sell when it is close.
Pressure 3405 and 3410, support 3282, the strength and weakness dividing line 3400.
Fundamental analysis:
Yesterday, Iran and Israel started bombing each other again, and the situation began to escalate.
Operation suggestion
Gold-----Sell near 3405, target 3390-3360
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Wednesday, 18th June 2024)Asian + London Session
Bias: No Bias
USD News(Red Folder):
-Unemployment Claims
-Federal Funds Rate
-FOMC Statement
-FOMC Economic Projections
Notes:
- Uncertainty on geopolitical tension
- No exact bias, waiting for FOMC
statement for indication
- Potential BUY/SELL if there's
confirmation on lower timeframe
- Pivot point: 3440,3350
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
THE KOG REPORT - Update End of day update from us here at KOG:
Yesterday we wanted a swoop below to then attempt the long, we didn't get the exact level but anyone who got in will have hit not only the target shared in the report but also a majority of the red box and KOG's bias level targets for the week and day.
We now have support below at the 3370 region which will need to break to go lower, while above we have the resistance level and final KOG report target level 3406. This is the level we want to be watching during the sessions to come.
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bearish below 3336 with targets below 3306✅, 3299, 3297, 3285 and 3275
Bullish on break of 3336 with targets above 3345✅, 3350✅, 3355✅, 3367✅ and 3376✅
Red boxes:
Break above 3310 for 3320✅, 3332✅, if held above 3335✅, 3347✅ and 3362✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3306 for 3299, 3295, 3285, 3280 and 3264 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
H1 pullback in bullish H4 mThe market is at a point where we must sell, it's at a maximum of Elliott Waves, wave 5 is already extremely extended, so prepare for a mega drop of several weeks while everyone continues to buy at the lows, it will continue to go down. In summary, we have a bullish market on H4, now there will be a correction on H1, that is, a bearish trend on H1 for several weeks; it is not an ABC, but 5 bearish waves
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Xauusd market update This chart shows the Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) on the 2-hour timeframe, and it's suggesting a potential bullish breakout setup based on the following elements:
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📊 Chart Analysis Summary:
🔷 Pattern Formed:
A falling wedge pattern has developed (highlighted in the final descending channel).
Falling wedges are typically bullish reversal patterns, especially when formed after a downtrend.
🔽 Prior Movement:
The price initially rose in an upward channel until around June 16.
After that, a corrective downtrend began, forming the wedge.
📈 Current Action:
The wedge is narrowing, and the price appears to be consolidating near support, with the potential to break out upward soon.
The upward arrow and shaded box indicate the projected target zone if a breakout occurs.
🎯 Target Levels:
If a breakout happens, the target range is marked between ~3,466.83 and ~3,537.17.
This is in line with the height of the wedge projected from the breakout point.
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🧭 Key Support & Resistance:
Support levels: 3,327.707 → 3,304.348 → 3,264.135
Resistance levels: 3,466.831 → 3,511.496 → 3,537.167
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🔔 Indicators & Signals:
The purple lightning bolt and U.S. flag icons likely denote upcoming economic events/news, which could act as catalysts for volatility and breakout confirmation.
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📌 Conclusion:
This setup suggests bullish momentum could be building, especially if price breaks above the wedge’s upper trendline with volume. If confirmed, it may rally toward the 3,466–3,537 resistance area.
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Would you like a detailed trade plan (entry, stop-loss, take-profit), or are you analyzing this setup for educational purposes?
GOLD (XAUUSD) SELL SETUP – Triple Top Rejection Confirmed? Gold is currently testing a strong supply zone near the $3,450 resistance area for the third time. Each test has been followed by sharp rejections, forming a potential triple top pattern, which is a classic bearish reversal signal.
🔵 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $3,450 – Strong supply zone (highlighted blue zone)
Mid Support: $3,032 – Previous structure support & demand
Major Demand: $2,647 – Long-term demand zone (orange)
🔻 Bearish Signals:
Price failed to break above the $3,450 supply zone
Strong bearish wick and rejection candle
Lower highs on RSI/MACD (not shown but worth noting)
📌 Potential Trade Idea:
Entry: Near $3,400–$3,450 zone
Target 1: $3,032 (mid-term support)
Target 2: $2,647 (long-term demand)
SL: Above $3,470 (clear invalidation)
🗓️ As we move toward July, a break below $3,300 could trigger momentum selling down to $3,000 and even $2,647.
💬 What’s your bias on gold this week? Are we heading for a major correction or another bounce?
#Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #TripleTop #BearishSetup #SmartMoney #PriceAction #TradingView #LuxAlgo #SwingTrade #Commodities
Have you caught up with this golden opportunity?The 4-hour K-line pattern of gold shows that the upward trend remains intact, focusing on the strong support range of 3360-3365 (technical resonance with the 5-week moving average). Before the price effectively breaks below the support band, the bulls still have upward momentum, otherwise the trend may reverse. The 3365-3400 range is maintained for intraday fluctuations. The gold operation strategy recommends arranging long orders in the 3370-3375 area when the price falls back, and adding positions to long positions if the support of 3360-3365 is broken.
Operation strategy: Gold recommends going long near 3370-3375 now, and adding positions to long positions in the support area of 3360-3365 when the price breaks, with the target of 3380-3390.
If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time.
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
Geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East continue to escalate, with intense clashes between Israel and Iran driving gold prices higher. However, Federal Reserve officials have recently sent frequent hawkish signals, emphasizing the need to maintain interest rates to control inflation and downplaying expectations of rate cuts. Additionally, U.S. trade agreements with multiple nations are gradually being finalized, which could potentially provide bearish momentum for gold at any time. Overall, gold is trending to rise first and then fall.
Technical Analysis:
The 4-hour chart shows gold steadily advancing within an ascending channel, with strong bullish momentum. Resistance is near 3,450, while support currently stands at 3,400. However, it is important to note that after a short-term rapid rally, prices may need a pullback for correction.
Trading Recommendations:
Aggressive traders may initiate light long positions near 3,400–3,410, targeting 3,450; if this level is broken, extend the target to 3,470–3,475. If prices face resistance near 3,450 during upward attempts, consider light short positions.
Trading Strategy:
buy@3400-3410
TP:3450-3470
sell@3460-3450
TP:3420-3400
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Gold Long idea ( road to 4 k ) If you don’t know by now buy gold! So many factors effecting the precious metal pushing prices higher daily weekly and monthly. These factors are not getting better or being reduced by any way shape or form currently. This is providing perfect steam for the gold train. 🥶🚂
Will ASIA favor BULLS or BEARS?Two “if-this-then-that” scenarios
If price pushes above the recent swing high (~3 430–3 435)
→ Look for a move toward the 50% retracement zone at 3 415–3 416 (our next upside target).
If price drops below the recent swing low (~3 356–3 357)
→ It’ll likely slide down to the 21-day EMA at 3 342, which has acted like a magnet/bounce area.
Why the 21-day EMA matters
It’s sloping up beneath price (green trendline), so dips into it often spark fresh buying.
A buy-limit order around 3 342 gives you a low-risk entry with the trend still intact.
Overall bias
As long as gold stays above that rising trendline/21 EMA, the bulls remain in control.
Break the swing high → more upside.
Break the swing low → deeper pullback into support.
GOLD - Selling opportunity on the horizonLooking at gold.
We have a nice bearish continuation orderflow on the 15min TF.
We have a nice potential inducement level of liquidity that we are more than likely to take before moving lower.
This is a reduced risk entry due to where we are on the higher TF as we are pulling into a potential demand zone on the higher timeframe.
ITS REALLY IMPORTANT to remember where we are in terms of structure and as we well know Gold doesn't tend to fall for to long as it remains bullish the majority of the time. so in regards to the HTF like I mentioned above we are still bullish so we are expecting a reversal for the longer term at some point in the near future so this could be a case of get what we can from the market and then look for our LTF orderflow to switch Bullish before then looking for them long entries
Around 3,365 – 3,375. Price is currently reacting from here.✅ Market Structure:
The chart marks HH (Higher High), HL (Higher Low), and FL (Failed Low) which indicates a bullish trend or market trying to maintain bullish structure.
The current price has pulled back into a demand zone (highlighted in green around the 3,365–3,375 range), showing potential bullish reaction.
📌 Key Zones:
Demand Zone: Around 3,365 – 3,375. Price is currently reacting from here.
Supply Zone / Target Zone: Around 3,445+. This is likely the next target area marked for profit-taking.
📈 Expected Price Action:
A projected bullish wave is drawn using a white zig-zag path:
Suggests short-term bullish correction.
Followed by a pullback and continuation to the upside.
Final target: above 3,445, completing a bullish move to the upper supply zone.
💡 Bias:
Bullish, as long as price holds above the current demand zone and continues to form higher lows.
✍️ Suggested Description:
"XAU/USD 4H Analysis: The market is currently reacting from a key demand zone after forming a higher low. If the bullish structure holds, we expect a continuation move towards the 3,445+ supply area. Clean higher highs and higher lows confirm the bullish bias. Awaiting a break and retest of the minor resistance zone for further confirmation."
Patience Before the Break: Gold Chart Signals Rally Toward 3,450 Technical Breakdown of the Chart
Key Concepts Used:
BOS (Break of Structure): Indicates a confirmed bullish break in market structure (around June 13).
MSS (Market Structure Shift): Marks a transition from bullish to bearish structure, which aligns with the swing high on June 14.
BSL (Buy-side Liquidity): Liquidity targets marked above recent highs (~3,420 and ~3,450).
Turtle Soup Setup: A classic fakeout reversal pattern, suggesting a stop-hunt below recent lows before a bullish move.
$$$: Liquidity Pool: Shows accumulation below before a breakout upward.
Bullish Case as Implied by the Chart
The chart suggests:
A liquidity sweep occurred at the recent low ("turtle soup").
Price is now rebounding from a demand zone, supported by bullish order flow.
If structure holds, price may:
Break above the minor high at ~3,410–3,420 (first BSL).
Continue upward toward ~3,450+ (second BSL), potentially reclaiming full bullish momentum.
Key Levels to Watch:
Zone Price Range Type
Demand 3,380–3,388 Support Zone
Target 1 ~3,420 Buy-side Liquidity
Target 2 ~3,450 Final BSL Target
If price breaks below the 3,380 zone with momentum, the bullish thesis weakens.
Summary:
Short-Term Trend: Bullish if support holds.
Liquidity Grab Complete: Signs of a reversal from turtle soup setup.
Upside Targets: 3,420 and 3,450.
Invalidation: Break and close below ~3,380