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Middle East Tension & Markets: My Honest Stance🌍🕊️✌️ Middle East Tension & Markets: My Honest Stance 💣 🔥 🗡️ Hi everyone, It’s Friday, June 20th — and we face a fragile moment: the uncertainty of possible US military action against Iran. 📉📰✈️ On my charts: Bitcoin (BTC) reached key resistance and now ranges sideways as we await clarity. Gold (XAUUSD) remains the classic safe haven — it holds an ascending structure, but profit-taking could trigger dips if markets crash. Silver (XAGUSD) is similar, yet needs broader industrial strength to outperform gold. Crude Oil (WTI) could spike dramatically if bombs fall — but I choose not to profit from pain. USDJPY & USD pairs reflect global trust in the dollar and US stability — I’ll cover this more next week. My personal stance is simple: 💙 I never short disasters. I never profit from human suffering. I am LONG on humanity and peace. 🕊️✌️🌈 👉 I expect potential market gaps between now and Monday: ✅ Bad news (war) → gold, silver, oil likely pump ✅ Good news (diplomacy) → risk assets rebound, oil stabilizes I am positioned carefully with small risk and clear stops. My goal: protect my capital, trade my plan, but never bet on pain. If I lose because peace prevails — I win as a human. Stay safe, trade wisely, and never forget: sometimes the best trade is no trade at all. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by FX_Professor
5
Gold Market Analysis: Key Levels and Trends 23/June/2025 Core Themes 1. Geopolitical Drivers: Escalating tensions in the Middle East, particularly U.S. airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, are fueling gold's "flight to safety" narrative. Analysts anticipate sustained demand for gold amid potential regional conflict. 2. Technical Bullish Bias: Gold is in an uptrend, respecting key support levels and forming higher lows within an ascending channel. Breakouts above resistance (e.g., $3,439–$3,501) could validate further gains. 3. Correction vs. Continuation: While short-term pullbacks are expected (e.g., testing $3,320–$3,200), the broader bullish structure suggests corrections are temporary. --- Key Technical Levels Support: - Immediate: $3,320 (lower channel boundary) - Deeper: $3,200 (critical level; break could extend corrections) Resistance: - Short-term: $3,378–$3,382 (upper channel boundary) - Mid-term: $3,439 (previous resistance; target for bullish continuation) - Long-term: $3,501 (potential next resistance; requires strong momentum) Fibonacci Retracements: - 23.6%: $3,360–$3,370 (support zone for long entries) - 50.0%: $3,400 (conservative take-profit target) - 61.8%: $3,415 (key golden ratio level; likely Wave (5) peak) - 100%: $3,435–$3,440 (aggressive target; upper channel line) --- Trade Setups & Strategies 1. Long Entry: - Target: $3,400–$3,435 (Fibonacci extensions) - Stop-Loss: Below $3,315 (break of key support) - Entry Zone: $3,360–$3,370 (near ascending channel support and 23.6% Fib) 2. Bullish Confirmation: - Breakout Above $3,378: Validates continuation toward $3,439 and $3,501. - Volume Increase: Confirms strength at key levels (e.g., $3,360–$3,370). --- Risk Management & Key Risks - Stop-Loss Placement: - Longs: Below $3,315 (protects against deeper corrections). - Shorts: Above $3,350 (avoids false breakouts). - Volatility: Monitor geopolitical developments (e.g., U.S.-Iran escalation) that could trigger rapid price swings. - Correction Risks: If gold fails to hold $3,320, a drop to $3,200 may occur, requiring tighter stops. --- Fundamental Outlook - Safe-Haven Demand: Rising tensions are likely to sustain gold's appeal. - Inflation & Rate Outlook: Persistent inflation concerns and potential rate cuts (if economic data weakens) could further support gold. - Negotiation Risk: De-escalation or Iran's concessions may pause the bullish momentum, leading to a reversal toward $3,340–$3,320. --- Conclusion Gold is in a strong bullish phase, driven by geopolitical risks and technical structure. Traders should focus on buying dips near $3,320–$3,370 with targets toward $3,439–$3,501. However, monitor the $3,320 support and geopolitical developments closely. If the trend breaks, a retest of $3,200 could follow. Always use stop-losses to manage risk. Final Note: The market is highly volatile, so position sizing and risk management are critical. Stay alert for news updates and technical confirmations (e.g., closes above $3,378)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by teconlab
10
XAU/USD,15M CHART PATTERN.gold at 3412, and im listed the following targets: Target 3482 → This is above your entry price, so it looks like a mistake if you're in a sell position. Target 3340 → Logical downside target. Target 3320 → Another lower target, continuation of bearish momentum. Corrected View (Assuming SELL from 3412): Type Level Entry 3412 TP1 3340 TP2 3320 SL (suggested) 3445–3450 (above recent highs) Let me know if the 3482 was meant to be your stop loss instead — that would make more sense in this context.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Money_Magnet5
15
GOLD. Why is Gold Rising Again?The yellow metal is one again receiving support driven by two main factors. The first is the continued risk of failure in the negotiations between Tehran and Tel Aviv. The second is related to the chronic weakness of the U.S. dollar amid the American economy slipping into a recession, which may persist for a prolonged period, and the uncertainty surrounding the future global impact of Donald Trump's customs tariff policy. From a technical perspective, gold prices continue to be in a long-term upward trend. The bullish momentum, driven by the aforementioned reasons, may continue after breaking and consolidating above the 3340 level. Technical Outlook and Trading Idea: The price is trading above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, as well as above the 5-and 14-period SMAs , which have crossed and are giving a buy signal. The RSI is crossing the 50% mark, also indicating a buy. the Stochastic Oscillator is above 50% and continues to rise. In this situation, I believe gold should be bought, with a potential rise toward 3384. A likely entry point for a buy position could be considered around 3347.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by CEO-PREMIUM-ANALYSIS
6
"GOLD XAUUSD 30M | Trendline Breakdown & Bearish Target at $3310Gold (XAUUSD) is respecting the descending trendline on the 30-minute timeframe with multiple rejections confirming the bearish structure. The downtrend remains intact unless price decisively breaks above $3,370. A potential downside target near $3,310 remains in focus. Ichimoku Cloud indicates selling pressure with resistance from the Kumo. Watch for price action confirmation near $3,342 support and $3,370 invalidation level. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Smart_Trading_Strategy
5
XAUUSD has been in a strong free fall following the sell strategXAUUSD has dropped sharply in a free fall, perfectly following the sell strategy from 3348–3350. We have won. Trading Strategy for XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD Based on the current price structure and short-term bias, here are two tactical trade setups: Sell Setup – If Price Rejects Resistance Entry: 3,348 – 3,350 USD Stop-loss: 3,357 USD Take-Profit 1: 3,340 USD Take-Profit 2: 3,335 USD Take-Profit 3: 3,330 USD Buy Setup – If Price Holds Support Entry: 3,328 – 3,330 USD Stop-loss: 3,320 USD Take-Profit 1: 3,338 USD Take-Profit 2: 3,340 USD Take-Profit 3: 3,348 USD Important: Always set a stop-loss in every trade to manage risk effectively.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Henrybillion
9
Gold Ready to Shine Again? Watch This Battle Zone Closely!Gold is consolidating above the 50% retracement (3372) after defending key structure at 3368–3378. Bullish momentum is building as Silver continues to lead, and the US Dollar (DXY) weakens post-FOMC. If buyers step in here, we could see a clean breakout toward 3415–3450 and beyond. But if 3368 breaks, the bull case is temporarily invalidated. 🧭 Technical Highlights: ✅ Support Zone: 3368–3378 (Fibonacci + bullish order block) ✅ Resistance Targets: 3395, 3415.84, 3451.84, 3470+ 🔄 Silver Divergence: XAGUSD broke higher → leading XAU bullishly 🔼 Bias: Bullish (as long as 3368 holds) 🌐 Fundamental Drivers: 🏦 Fed dot plot turns dovish – Only 1–2 cuts, but no hikes planned; supports gold upside. ⚔️ Middle East tensions rising – Iran vs. Israel/US rhetoric keeps risk premium high. 📉 DXY weakens after Powell avoided hawkish tone; real yields remain capped. 💬 Silver outperforming on safe-haven + industrial hedge flows. 💡 Trading Plan Summary: Buy Zone: 3372–3380 TP Zones: 3395, 3415, 3450+ Invalidation: Close below 3368 Confirmation: Break and close above 3395 with volume = signal to scale in 🔔 Keep an eye on: US Jobless Claims, SNB & BoE Decisions DXY 98.70 key level Silver reaction near 36.70–37.20
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ultreosforex
15
Gold's Next Move Up: Why I'm Waiting for This 1H Order Block.Hello, traders! 👋 Let's take a look at the current price action on Gold (XAU/USD). 📉 Current Situation: Correction Phase After a strong impulse that swept the Buy Side Liquidity (BSL), Gold has entered a correction. This corrective move has a clear target below: a key 1-hour order block that aligns with the 61.8% daily Fibonacci level. This area acts as strong support and a potential reversal zone for the continuation of the uptrend. ⚠️ Patience is Key Price has not yet reached a safe discount zone for considering long positions. This is where the "whale's" Point of Interest (POI) lies. It's highly probable that large players will deliver the price to this zone to "refuel" (mitigate their positions) before continuing the move up, or at least to test the manipulation that swept the initial BSL. My Trading Plan 🎯 The Long Setup The primary condition for considering a long setup from the $3356 - $3365 area is: Mitigation of the 1-hour order block. The 61.8% Fib level must hold with a clear reversal reaction on at least the 4-hour timeframe. I don't expect this to happen today. It's likely that price will first build liquidity above our POI before dropping into it. Only from that zone, and with LTF confirmation, can we consider safer long positions. This is not financial advice. My analysis is for educational purposes only.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheWhaleSM
32
Gold Hits PRZ with RD-! Time for Bears to Take Over?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) attacked the Resistance zone ($3,445-$3,406) once again, forming an Ending Diagonal at the top of the structure. Although price reached the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) , the presence of Regular Divergence (RD-) between the last two peaks could indicate the weakening of bullish momentum . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , we can clearly count a completed 5-wave structure , with an Ending Diagonal pattern . This supports the idea of a major correction starting soon . I expect Gold to attack the lower lines of Ending Diagonal , and if it breaks, it could drop to at least $3,333 . The Second Target could be the Support zone ($3,451-$3,120) . Do you think Gold will make a new All-Time High(ATH) again in this rally?! Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,463 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 2-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pejman_zwin
13
GOLD : Be Careful Of This Clear Bearish PatternGOLD : Be Careful Of This Clear Bearish Pattern Israel and Iran's air war entered a second week and European officials sought to draw Tehran back to the negotiating table. Stock markets ticked higher on Friday while oil skirted close to its biggest daily drop since April after President Donald Trump pushed back a decision on U.S. military involvement in the Israel-Iran conflict. The U.S. is now giving itself two weeks and maybe some diplomatic opening window there to resolve the situation in Iran European shares rose on Friday after declining for three straight sessions, as a stall in the United States' involvement in the Middle East conflict helped soothe investor concerns. The foreign ministers of Germany, France and Britain plan to hold nuclear talks with their Iranian counterpart on Friday in Geneva, a German diplomatic source told Reuters. The pause on GOLD price is related to the news above. we should be careful because if they reach any agreement gold can fall aggressively as long as it didn't manage to rise more. Don't forget that the big trend is bullish but remains manipulated and also effected too much by the news ✅PS: GOLD has a bearish scenario from all perspectives. I wouldn't say sell it because it's very risky, but you can consider this scenario if you have long positions. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
FX:XAUUSDShort
by KlejdiCuni
6
Best Free Volatility Indicator on TradingView for Gold Forex This free technical indicator will help you easily measure the market volatility on Forex, Gold or any other market. It will show you when the market is quiet , when it's active and when it's dangerous . We will go through the settings of this indicator, and you will learn how to set it up on TradingView. Historical Volatility Indicator This technical indicator is called Historical Volatility. It is absolutely free and available on TradingView, MetaTrader 4/5 and other popular trading terminals. TradingView Setup Let me show you how to find it on TradingView and add it to your price chart. Open a technical price chart on TradingView and open the "Indicators" menu (you will find it at the top of the screen). Search "Historical Volatility" and click on it. It will automatically appear on your chart. "Length" parameter will define how many candles the indicator will take for measuring the average volatility. (I recommend keeping the default number, but if you need longer/shorter-term volatility, you can play with that) Timeframe drop-down list defines what time frame the indicator takes for measuring the volatility. (I recommend choosing a daily timeframe) And keep the checkboxes unchanged . How to Use the Indicator Now, let me show you how to use it properly. Wider the indicator and analyse its movement at least for the last 4 months. Find the volatility range - its low levels will be based on the lower boundary of the range, high levels will be based on its upper boundary. This is an example of such a range on USDCAD pair. When the volatility stays within the range, it is your safe time to trade. When volatility approaches its lows, it may indicate that the market might be slow . Highs of the range imply that the market is very active In-between will mean a healthy market. The Extremes The violation of a volatility range to the downside is the signal that the market is very slow . This would be the recommended period to not trade because of high chance of occurrence of fakeouts. An upward breakout of a voliatlity range is the signal of the extreme volatility . It will signify that the market is unstable , and it will be better to let it calm down before placing any trade. Volatility Analysis That is how a complete volatility analysis should look. At the moment, volatility reached extreme levels on CADJPY pair. The best strategy will be to wait till it returns within the range. Remember This With the current geopolitical uncertainty and trade wars, market volatility reaches the extreme levels. Such a volatility is very dangerous , especially for newbie traders. Historical volatility technical indicator will help you to easily spot the best period for trading and the moment when it is better to stay away. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
9
Choppy Gold Action Hides a Bigger Drop on Weekly Chart?After Monday’s correction, Gold continued lower – but the drop has been extremely choppy, making swing trading nearly impossible in this environment. 🔄 Short-term vs. Weekly Picture On the 1H chart, price action is messy and directionless. However, the weekly chart tells a clearer story – which is not bullish at this moment. ❗ Let’s not rush into the “new ATH” narrative Last week, I pointed out around the 3360 zone that we may get a rise above 3400. That move happened – but it seems more driven by Middle East tensions than by any structural strength in Gold itself. 📉 Why I’m leaning bearish on higher timeframes at this moment: • This week’s price action almost fully negates last week’s strong green candle • A close near the bottom of the range could form a Dark Cloud Cover pattern – a strong bearish signal • Unless we see a reversal above 3400, downside remains the higher probability 📌 Next Target? If the weekly close confirms this bearish setup, a drop to 3150 is not only possible – it’s becoming likely. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
4
XAU/USD 30M CHART PATTERN.XAUUSD (Gold Spot vs USD) on the 30-minute timeframe, here’s the breakdown: Observations: A descending channel was broken to the upside. Price is above the Ichimoku cloud, which often suggests bullish momentum. There is a clearly marked support zone around 3,320 - 3,325. Two target points are drawn with arrows indicating potential upside levels. --- 📍 Target Levels (as seen on the chart): 1. First Target: Approximately 3,370 2. Second Target: Approximately 3,405 – 3,410 These targets are based on previous resistance levels and potential price projections after the breakout. --- ✅ Strategy Suggestion (if you're trading this): Entry Zone: Around 3,327 – 3,330 (current level) Stop Loss: Below Support Zone (~3,315) Take Profits: TP1: 3,370 TP2: 3,405 – 3,410 Let me know if you'd like Fibonacci levels or RSI confirmation as well.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by RSI_Trading_point
5
Gold Drops on Israel-Iran CeasefireGold prices declined as safe-haven demand eased following President Trump’s announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran. Despite the pullback, gold remains up nearly 23% year-to-date, supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty driven by Trump’s tariffs, and robust central bank purchases. Market Focus: All eyes are now on U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony, which may offer fresh insights into potential near-term interest rate cuts. Technical Outlook: Gold remains under bearish pressure as long as it trades below the 3329–3339 pivot zone. A confirmed 4H candle close below 3329, or especially 3309, would further validate downside momentum toward the support range. Support Levels: 3302, 3281, 3256 Resistance Levels: 3364, 3393 A clear break below 3302–3281 would open the path toward deeper bearish continuation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Candy-crypto1
2
XAU/USD) Bullish trand Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a breakout from consolidation supported by key levels and trend structure. Here’s the detailed analysis: --- Technical Breakdown 1. Key Support Zone Price has formed a strong base around 3,315–3,325, with multiple bullish rejections (green arrows). This zone has acted as a demand level, reinforcing bullish structure. 2. Ascending Trendline Support An uptrend line supports higher lows, showing momentum building to the upside. 3. EMA 200 Price is now challenging the 200 EMA (3,353.41) — a key dynamic resistance. A successful breakout and retest above this EMA will likely fuel continued bullish movement. 4. Breakout & Measured Move Projections The chart indicates a bullish breakout from a consolidation box (yellow zone). Measured move targets based on the previous rally: First target: 3,368.86 (1.17%) Second target: 3,381.55 (1.75%) 5. RSI Confirmation RSI (14) is around 57, showing bullish momentum but still below overbought—supporting further upside potential. Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion / Idea Summary Bias: Bullish Entry Zone: On pullback into 3,330–3,340 range or breakout retest above EMA 200 Targets: 3,368.86 3,381.55 Invalidation: Sustained close below 3,320 and break of the uptrend line --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
4
XAUUSD H4 Bullish Pullback Before Major Sell Zone ReactionGold (XAUUSD) is currently reacting from a strong H4 demand zone after an extended bearish move. Price is expected to pull back toward the selling zone marked around 3,440, which acted as major supply earlier. This setup aligns with Smart Money Concepts — where price first collects liquidity from demand before a potential distribution from supply. 📍 Trade Setup Idea: Buy from Demand Zone: 3,300 – 3,315 Target Zone (for rejection): 3,440 – 3,455 Stop Loss for Buy: Below 3,290 Watch for Short Entry at Selling Zone after rejection confirmation 🧠 SMC Concepts in Play: Liquidity Sweep Break of structure → Pullback → Mitigation Selling pressure expected from previous imbalance area ⚠️ Risk Note: Wait for bullish confirmation at demand before entering long, and bearish confirmation before selling from the top. 🔖 Tags: #XAUUSD #Gold #H4Chart #SmartMoney #LiquidityGrab #ForexAnalysis #SMC #PriceAction #SupplyDemand #ForYou
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by SMC_ProTrader_Fx
5
XAUUSD 4H Chart – Trendline Break and Retest in Play"Gold (XAUUSD) on the 4H timeframe has broken below the ascending trendline and is currently in the process of retesting the previous support, now turned resistance. If the retest holds, further downside is expected towards the 3123 level, as marked on the chart. Ichimoku Cloud also shows a bearish outlook, supporting the potential drop. Traders should watch price action closely around the retest zone for confirmation." This is not financial advice .
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Smart_Trading_Strategy
2