Trading Signals for Gold Sell below $3,443 (21 SMA -7/8 Murrray)The XAU/USD trend remains bullish as long as the price consolidates above 3,384.
Therefore, it would be prudent to buy gold as long as the price consolidates above3,444, where the 7/8 Murray level is located.
Gold's volatility will continue over the next few days, so we believe it could move between 3,386 and 3,356.
Consequently, if gold consolidates and breaks above 3.498, it would be seen as a buying opportunity, with targets at the 8/8 Murray level around 3,600/
Last tow months, gold gapped around 3,498. This will likely be seen as a buying opportunity if the price breaks above the psychological level of $3,439
Conversely, below the R_1 around 3,443, gold will be seen as an opportunity to sell, targeting 3,400 and the bottom of the uptrend channel around 3,338.
The RSI indicator is showing a negative signal, so we must be cautious when buying, as a very strong technical correction could occur.
CFDGOLD trade ideas
XAUUSD Possibility MovementThe Price Would Retrace to 3304.5 and then going up to 3355
Confirmation :
1. Break Short Term Trendline after RSI Oversold
2. FMCBR M15 & M30 after the Price Break the short term Trendline
3. CHOCH in LTF M5 Market Structure
4. Target Price 1.618 - 3.618 FMCBR or Supply area
Gold corrective pullback supporta t 3330Gold’s price action sentiment remains bullish, underpinned by a well-established rising trend. However, recent intraday movement suggests a corrective pullback or short-term consolidation, likely in response to overbought conditions or short-term profit-taking.
Key Technical Levels:
Support:
3,330 – Key short-term support and previous consolidation zone; the critical pivot level for trend continuation.
3,315 – Secondary support; minor structural level.
3,300 – Psychological and technical support; near-term bearish target on a breakdown.
Resistance:
3,390 – Immediate upside target on a bullish continuation.
3,420 – Medium-term resistance; aligns with prior highs.
3,450 – Longer-term target, marking the upper boundary of the current bullish channel.
Scenario Analysis:
Bullish Continuation (Base Case):
If Gold maintains above the 3,330 level and confirms a bullish bounce, the broader uptrend is expected to resume, with upside targets at 3,390, followed by 3,420 and 3,450 over time.
Bearish Reversal (Alternative Scenario):
A daily close below 3,330 would negate the short-term bullish structure, exposing the market to deeper retracements toward 3,315 and 3,300, where further demand could emerge.
Conclusion:
Gold remains in a bullish trend, with the current pullback seen as corrective. The 3,330 level is a critical inflection point: holding above it supports further upside momentum, while a breakdown below this level would challenge the bullish outlook and potentially signal a deeper retracement. Traders should monitor price action around this zone for directional confirmation.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XAUUSD - 23 Jun to 28 Jun 2025#XAUUSD UPCOMING WEEK:
I’m bearish on M candle 🕯️ — potential for monthly flip.
🎯 DOL: 3393
🗓️ Expect Mon/Tue to sweep BSL first at 3387 / 3403 before SSL come into play
Judas swing scenario - Mon/Tue need to sweep major BSL , else invalid
#Forex #FXTrading #WeeklyOutlook
Gold Rebounds from Support, Eyes Breakout Above 3,370📊 Market Dynamics:
– Gold briefly dipped to 3,344 this morning before rebounding to 3,355 as of now.
– The USD is steady after cautious Fed commentary, while geopolitical tensions continue to support safe-haven flows into gold.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance: 3,370 – 3,380
• Immediate support: 3,344 – 3,340
• EMA: Price remains above EMA 09, signaling continued short-term bullish bias.
• Patterns / Momentum: A bullish engulfing pattern formed on the H1 chart at 3,344.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue to rebound toward 3,370–3,380 in the short term. A break above 3,380 could open the path to 3,400.
💡 Trading Strategies:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 3,375 – 3,380
🎯 TP: 3,355 – 3,360
❌ SL: 3,385
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3,344 – 3,348
🎯 TP: 3,365 – 3,370
❌ SL: 3,335
Gold prices rebound weakly after sharp fallFrom a technical perspective, the gold daily moving average system is intertwined, and the long and short forces are relatively balanced. The current key resistance above is near 3350, which is an important psychological barrier. If an effective breakthrough is achieved, it may open up the upward space; the support below focuses on the 3285-3290 line, which is the lower edge of the May oscillation platform. If it falls below, it may increase the pressure of the correction. The loss of the middle track in the 4-hour chart further confirms the short-term weak structure and provides technical support for the downward trend. It is recommended to go long near the 3285-3290 level. At present, gold continues to fall in line with the trend.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to go long in the 3287-3292 area of gold, with a stop loss at 3280 and a target of 3320-3340.
Trend Continuation Setup: Long Entry from MA supportPrice has pulled back to the key moving averages, acting as dynamic support. Trend remains bullish.
A bullish setup has formed, offering a long entry opportunity with limited downside risk.
📝Trade Plan :
Entry: Near the current price, around the moving averages
Stop Loss: Just below today’s low, at the 3310 level
Target: First target around 3500, with potential for continuation if momentum builds
Gold analysis - Bullish outlook in play!Hey traders! 👋
Let’s break down what’s happening on Gold (XAU/USD).
On the higher timeframe, Gold remains in a strong bullish trend. Price is currently rising from the May 14th low and appears to be targeting the all-time high around 3500.120.
Zooming in, we can see a minor pullback unfolding, likely a setup for the next leg higher. I’ve marked the minor low (A) and minor high (B) to define our current dealing range. Connecting these with a Fibonacci retracement, price has tapped into the discount zone, showing signs of potential accumulation.
On the lower timeframe, there’s a clear market structure shift, suggesting momentum could soon flip back to the upside.
📌 My plan:
Buy now at 3354
Stop Loss: 3312.11
Take Profit Targets:
– TP1: 3400.00
– TP2: 3452.00
– TP3: 3501.14
⚠️ Note: There's still a possibility of a deeper dip toward 3031, so I’m factoring that into my risk management.
What’s your take on this setup? Drop your thoughts in the comments below. Let’s discuss!
XAU/USD Reversal Expected from Demand Zone – Bullish Breakout PoIn this 1H chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar), the price has been trading inside a descending channel, gradually approaching a strong demand zone between $3,345 – $3,341, which also aligns with the weekly low. The price recently tested this zone and showed signs of slowing bearish momentum.
I anticipate a potential bullish reversal from this area, supported by historical demand reaction and volume activity. The projected price action (illustrated with the W-pattern) suggests a higher probability of a breakout from the channel, targeting:
🎯 TP1: $3,367 (mid-structure & MA test)
🎯 TP2: $3,374.16 (key horizontal level)
🎯 TP3: $3,383.82 (upper resistance & previous support flip)
🛑 SL: Below $3,341 – invalidation of the demand zone
This trade idea relies on confirmation via bullish engulfing or rejection wicks around the demand zone with volume uptick.
Always wait for a clear entry confirmation before entering the trade. Trade safe and manage your risk.
Gold Slips as Ceasefire Eases SafeHaven Demand Bearish Below3339Gold Drops on Israel-Iran Ceasefire
Gold prices declined as safe-haven demand eased following President Trump’s announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran. Despite the pullback, gold remains up nearly 23% year-to-date, supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty driven by Trump’s tariffs, and robust central bank purchases.
Market Focus:
All eyes are now on U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony, which may offer fresh insights into potential near-term interest rate cuts.
Technical Outlook:
Gold remains under bearish pressure as long as it trades below the 3329–3339 pivot zone.
A confirmed 4H candle close below 3329, or especially 3309, would further validate downside momentum toward the support range.
Support Levels: 3302, 3281, 3256
Resistance Levels: 3364, 3393
A clear break below 3302–3281 would open the path toward deeper bearish continuation.
XAUUSD multi-TF publicTimeframe: H1 (reference H4) – the downtrend channel from 13/06 is still valid.
Volume Profile: “ledge” supply 3408-3418, demand 3332-3342.
Trading plan
1️⃣ Sell scalp 3408-3418
• Trigger condition: price touches supply + appears Pin-bar/Bearish Engulf H15 with spike volume; DXY & US10Y do not decrease sharply.
• Entry 3408-3415 $, SL 3422 $, TP1 3400 $ (+6 $) → move SL BE; TP2 3390-3392 $ (+16 $).
2️⃣ Buy scalp 3332-3342
• Trigger condition: Hammer/Bullish Engulf M5-M15 at demand, volume dries up then increases; DXY does not break +0.2 %.
Entry 3336 $, SL 3325 $, TP1 3346 $ (+10 $), TP2 3356-3360 $ (+20 $).
Cancel trade: H4 close > 3422 or < 3325; level 1 news (PMI, Fed) in 30 minutes.
Admin: scalp XAUUSD only when spread ≤ 0.35 $, risk ≤ 0.5 % of account, minimum RR 1 : 0.5 for TP1.
The idea is educational, not an investment recommendation.
XAUUSD Technical Outlook – Rebound or Trap?1. Market Overview
After a sharp rejection near the 0.618 Fibonacci level, XAUUSD has pulled back and is now trading around 3,323 USD. Although price has stabilized somewhat, technical indicators suggest this is likely a corrective move within a prevailing downtrend.
2. Technical Analysis
Price Action
XAUUSD is currently hovering near 3,323 USD after a failed attempt to break above the resistance zone at 3,373–3,392 USD — an area marked by:
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the recent downtrend
Repeated historical rejections.
The upper boundary of a sideways consolidation range from early June.
Recent candlesticks show indecision and rejection from higher levels, suggesting sellers are still in control.
Support Zone Behavior
The price recently bounced from the 3,294–3,317 USD range, where strong historical support and the 0.382 Fibonacci level align.
This zone continues to hold, but if broken, could open the door to deeper declines toward the 3,250 or even 3,224 USD levels.
RSI Indicator
RSI remains flat around the neutral zone, indicating a lack of bullish momentum.
No significant divergence or breakout signals are currently visible on the daily RSI chart.
3. Key Technical Levels
Resistance:
3,373 – 3,392 USD: Confluence resistance zone (0.618 Fib + historical supply).
3,435 – 3,453 USD: Previous swing high – key medium-term benchmark
Support:
3,294 – 3,317 USD: Immediate support, holding for now.
3,250 – 3,224 USD: Potential next target zone if bearish pressure resumes.
4. Trade Setup Scenarios.
Scenario 1 – Buy if support holds and bullish confirmation appears
Entry: 3,295 – 3,305 USD.
Stop-loss: Below 3,289 USD.
Take-profit: 3,340 – 3,355 – 3,370 USD.
Condition: Look for bullish reversal patterns (e.g., Bullish Engulfing, Pin Bar) on H1–H4.
Scenario 2 – Sell on rejection from resistance zone
Entry: 3,370 – 3,375 USD.
Stop-loss: Above 3,392 USD.
Take-profit: 3,330 – 3,310 – 3,290 USD.
Condition: Clear bearish rejection candlestick with diminishing volume
Note:
XAUUSD remains in a vulnerable state. The current move may be a technical rebound rather than a true reversal. Traders should watch closely how price behaves around the 3,373–3,392 USD zone in the coming sessions. A breakout could signal a new bullish leg, while another rejection would likely confirm a continuation of the bearish trend.
GOLD Expected bullish from 23 Jul till 27 JulMultiple support and pivot levels aren't allowing the GOLD to decline, Highly expected to be bullish due to strong trendlines and key levels. 3400 to be easily broken this time. Take your risk under control and wait for market to break support or resistance on smaller time frame. Best of luck everyone and happy trading ! :)
GOLD ANALYSIS: A Bullish Breakout coming XAU-USD🔍 Key Technical Levels Decoded
🛡️ FORTRESS SUPPORT ZONE: $3,245 - $3,295
🛡️ Psychological level at: $3,250
1. 🎯 TARGET ZONES:
Immediate Target: $3,360 (4H FVG - Fair Value Gap)
Primary Target: $3,320 - 3,340
2. 🎭 The Liquidity Grab
The recent dip was a masterclass in market mechanics:
Weak longs were flushed out at $3,293
mean Smart money accumulated at discount prices
_______________________________
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT 🚨 DISCLAIMER ⚠️ DYOR
Trading Strategy (XAUUSD) – June 25, 2025 After a sharp decline in the previous session, XAUUSD has shown a mild recovery and is currently trading around 3,332 USD. However, price action suggests this could merely be a pullback within a broader downtrend, as gold has yet to break above the key resistance zone.
Technical Analysis
Price Action
Gold has bounced from the support zone between 3,291 – 3,317 USD, which has historically acted as a strong demand area. This zone also aligns with the Fibonacci 0.382 retracement from the previous bullish leg.
However, XAUUSD remains below the key resistance zone at 3,373 – 3,392 USD, which is a confluence of:
- The Fibonacci 0.618 retracement from the most recent downtrend
- A historical supply zone that has been rejected multiple times
- The upper boundary of the sideways range formed since May
- If price fails to break through this zone in the coming sessions, the risk of continued downside remains high.
RSI Indicator
- The RSI (14) is currently hovering around the neutral zone (49–54), indicating that the rebound lacks the strength needed to confirm a trend reversal.
- The RSI has not crossed above the 55 threshold, suggesting the dominant trend is still bearish.
Key Technical Levels to Watch
Resistance:
- 3,373 – 3,392 USD: Confluent resistance zone (Fibonacci 0.618 + prior supply zone)
- 3,435 – 3,452 USD: Major swing high, a key medium-term reference level
Support:
- 3,291 – 3,317 USD: Immediate support zone, still holding strong
- 3,250 – 3,224 USD: Potential downside target if the bearish momentum resumes
Suggested Trade Setups
Scenario 1 – Buy if price holds above 3,291 and shows confirmation signals
Entry: 3,295 – 3,300 USD
Stop-loss: Below 3,289 USD
Take-profit: 3,340 – 3,355 – 3,370 USD
Conditions: Must show clear bullish reversal patterns (Pin Bar, Bullish Engulfing) on H1 or H4 timeframe
Scenario 2 – Sell if price rejects from resistance zone with confirmation candle
Entry: 3,370 – 3,375 USD
Stop-loss: Above 3,392 USD
Take-profit: 3,330 – 3,310 – 3,290 USD
Conditions: Clear bearish rejection candle + declining volume
Note: XAUUSD is currently in a technical rebound phase after a strong drop but lacks solid reversal confirmation. Traders should closely monitor the price reaction near the 3,373 – 3,392 USD resistance zone over the next sessions. This area will determine whether the downtrend will resume or a reversal begins.
Stay tuned for more daily trading strategies, and make sure to save this analysis if you find it helpful for your trading plan.
Strategy analysis by @Henrybillion
DeGRAM | GOLD rebound📊 Technical Analysis
● Friday’s flush tagged the green 3 300–3 310 demand and the long-term trend-support, then left a bullish gap inside the falling channel; price is now basing above the gap midpoint and printing higher lows toward the pink supply.
● A clean break of channel resistance at 3 348 completes a 4 h inverse-H&S measured to the next confluence at 3 375 (May pivot / former range top).
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Core PCE cooled to 0.1 % m/m, pulling real 2-yr yields to two-week lows while IMF flagged persistent central-bank bullion buying—both restoring bid tone in gold.
✨ Summary
Long 3 320-3 335; clearance of 3 348 targets 3 375. Bias void on a 4 h close below 3 300.
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Gold price range is 3350-3400, brewing directionGold price range is 3350-3400, brewing direction
In-depth analysis of the gold market in June 2025: the latest developments and tomorrow's trend forecast
As of June 22, 2025:
The international gold market presents the characteristics of "high volatility and upward center movement", and the price continues to fluctuate under the influence of multiple factors.
The latest London spot gold price is around US$3376/ounce, down about 3.5% from the high of US$3500 in early June, but still in the historical high range. , showing strong resistance to decline.
Market sentiment changes:
The current gold market sentiment has shifted from "risk aversion" to "policy wait-and-see", and investors are re-evaluating the Fed's monetary policy path and geopolitical risk premium.
It is worth noting that although short-term risk aversion demand has cooled, long-term supporting factors (such as central bank gold purchases and de-dollarization trends) remain solid, making the gold price correction relatively limited.
Analysis of capital flows:
From the perspective of capital, the market shows obvious differentiation.
On the one hand, the holdings of SPDR, the world's largest gold ETF, have declined slightly recently, indicating that some institutional investors have chosen to take profits;
On the other hand, retail investment demand (gold bars, gold coins) remains strong, and emerging market central banks (especially China and India) continue to increase their gold reserves, providing a solid bottom support for the market.
This game between institutions and retail investors, short-term funds and long-term funds, is an important reason for the current volatility in the gold market.
Geopolitical risk premium remains a key catalyst for short-term gold price fluctuations.
In early June, Israel launched an air strike on Iran's nuclear facilities, which led to a sharp escalation of the situation in the Middle East, pushing gold prices up more than 3.5% in a single week, breaking through $3,440/ounce.
The expectation that the Strait of Hormuz may be closed has further exacerbated market concerns about disruptions in the energy supply chain, stimulating a large amount of safe-haven funds to flow into the gold market.
However, there have been signs of marginal easing in the recent situation:
Israel has revised its hostage negotiation plan, direct conflict between Iran and Israel has been suspended, and the Trump administration has issued a statement on whether to intervene in the conflict (to be decided within two weeks), temporarily alleviating market concerns about a full-scale war.
The fluctuation of this geopolitical tension directly leads to the "ebb but not exit" feature of the gold safe-haven premium.
It is worth noting that geopolitical risks have not completely subsided. The continued conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the uncertainty of the US election, and the "proxy war" (such as the attack on merchant ships in the Red Sea by the Houthi armed forces in Yemen) are still ongoing. These factors may push up the demand for safe-haven again in the future.
The monetary policy of the Federal Reserve is another core dimension that affects the gold market.
On June 19, the Federal Reserve announced that it would maintain the upper limit of the federal funds rate at 4.5%, and the policy statement did not release a clear signal of interest rate cuts.
This decision directly stimulated the rapid rise of the US dollar index, and the US Treasury yields rose simultaneously. The market's expectations for "high interest rates to be maintained for a longer period of time" have increased, and gold, as an interest-free asset, has been under obvious short-term pressure.
However, the Fed's statement on "uncertainty in the economic outlook" still leaves room. If the subsequent inflation declines less than expected or the job market cools down, the expectation of interest rate cuts this year may ferment again.
At present, the market's expectations for the number of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year have dropped from 3 times to 1-2 times
The risk of the US dollar credit system provides long-term support logic for gold.
The scale of US debt has exceeded the 40 trillion US dollar mark, and coupled with the uncertainty of tariff policies, the credit of the US dollar continues to be challenged.
Against this background, the global trend of "de-dollarization" has accelerated, and central banks of various countries have actively increased their gold reserves.
The European Central Bank report shows that gold accounts for 20% of global reserve assets, surpassing the euro to become the second largest reserve asset.
The People's Bank of China has increased its gold holdings for 7 consecutive months, with reserves reaching 73.83 million ounces at the end of May. The market speculates that China's hidden gold reserves may exceed 5,000 tons.
This structural change has gradually transformed gold from a simple commodity attribute to a strategic reserve asset of "stateless currency", providing solid support for its long-term value.
Technical analysis and key price levels
Table: Overview of key technical price levels of gold (as of June 22, 2025)
Technical price level type International gold price (US dollars/ounce) Importance
Short-term support level 3350 ★★★★
Key support level 3300 ★★★★★
Medium-term support level 3250-3260 ★★★★
Short-term resistance level 3380-3400 ★★★★
Key resistance level 3450 ★★★★★
Historical resistance level 3500 ★★★
Comprehensive technical analysis shows that gold is in a sensitive window period of "geo-premium fading" and "interest rate cut expectation game".
The breakthrough of key price levels requires triple verification:
1: Technical volume stabilizes
2: Fundamental event driven
3: Fundamental position coordination.
Investors should pay close attention to the breakthrough direction of the core range of 3350-3400 gold prices, which will determine the short-term and even medium-term trend of gold.
The escalation and easing of geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East constitute the most significant price driving factor in the gold market in June. The market will pay close attention to the minutes of the July Federal Reserve meeting and the US CPI data, which may become the catalyst for the next wave of gold trends9.
Tomorrow's market Tomorrow's gold market will be affected by the technical key positions, the fermentation of potential events over the weekend, and the adjustment of institutional positions, and the volatility may remain high.
Baseline scenario (probability 55%): Gold prices fluctuate and consolidate in the range of US$3350-3400.
The triggering conditions of this scenario include:
The geopolitical situation has not deteriorated or eased significantly, the market continues to digest the impact of the Fed's "stabilization" policy, and no major economic data is released.
Technical aspects:
The support level of US$3,350 and the resistance level of US$3,400 will constitute the short-term volatility boundary, and bulls and bears may engage in a tug-of-war in this range.
If the gold price sustains above $3,380 (daily bull-bear dividing line), it will show a bullish directional fluctuation and if it falls below $3,360, it will show a bullish directional fluctuation.