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UK100 trade ideas

FTSE 100 Trade Plans UpcomingThe UK major stock index (FTSE100) has seen sustained falls over a reasonable period of time. Currently there is no strong case for up moves, and similarly down moves. However, It is ranging to the downside on a slightly more 'unsure' outlook, as summarised by the technicals drawn. 1. Tech bias illustrates losing of value and a push to lows that ultimately may break on continued pressure. 2. Sentiment shows no real growth outlook and slight risk off view.
PEPPERSTONE:UK100Short
by WillSebastian
FreakFriday - FTSE 100 possible correctionExpected today was UK retail sales data, which rose 2.9% in the previous month. April's decline of -1.8% during a period of heavy rain on the island kept customers away from the stores, according to the UK's Office for National Statistics. The expected forecast was for a positive correction of 1.5% according to surveys but this has been far exceeded. Also important has been the factor of inflation, which had been very high until the previous month and returned to the right direction of the Bank of England after 3 years above the 2% target, which nevertheless remains high at around 5.7%. Add to this the increase in the average wage value versus inflation rate and consumer confidence appears to be recovering to 2021 values, according to the LSEG/Ipsos Primary Consumer Sentiment Index - PCSI survey which came in at +53.0 on Thursday, one of the oldest measuring indices started in 2010. Adding to what has been said yesterday, hopes of possible election rumors, it is believed that a landslide victory for Labour against the Tories, who claim to hold the key to rebuilding growth and carefully managing the state's coffers, currently heavily burdened with debt, may be in the offing. This would be a turnaround from 2016's Brexit and former Prime Minister Liz Truss's skeletal mini-budget for 2022 that hasn't been varying much. It is clear that if Labour wins rate cuts are looming to shrink debt and prop up the price of the pound and the search for stability in economic policy. UK fund managers seem to be hopeful of this, and it is believed that equity and credit valuations in the UK do not yet reflect the good that is to come, which would affect a better government bond rating, because of the tail risk that the Tories currently have with their fiscal policy, but it must also be understood that the 47.5 billion plus owed by the UK to Europe is not paid overnight and it was clear that there was going to be an economic impact. Some analysts believe that the reputation of increasing taxes and public spending may negatively affect bonds, because public finances are not in good shape. Nevertheless, two-year bonds fell to their lowest level after the BoE's decision according to LSEG, and this has caused them to outperform U.S. and European bonds due to those releases. It is possible that once the election factor is removed the UK's idiosyncratic risks and persistent inflation will facilitate a period of greater stability. Today being the Quadruple Witching Hour also known as Freak Friday where the quarterly maturities of futures and options on indices and stocks occur, with historical records in most of the equity markets, investors have reached Thursday with portfolios that recorded significant capital gains, hence, also warns the risk of a possible profit taking or at least put the brakes on the positions. And that is why today the markets are starting the morning in the red. If we focus on the FTSE 100 in London, we have witnessed since May 15 how the price corrected from the highs at 8,492.21 points, again the index tried to recover strongly the price to 8,371.41 points and then we have seen how since the beginning of the week an upward movement began. Currently the price zone of 8,260 points is considered overvalued and the RSI has marked an overbought signal at the beginning of the session, so it would not be unusual for the index during the summer period to begin a corrective period coinciding with the elections in the direction of its last support at 8,107.97 points. If the market remains in this bullish cloud, it is likely to retest the second resistance prior to the highs, where we will see if the market continues to support the index shares with the same strength or not. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:UK100Short
by ActivTrades
Potential bullish bounce?UK100 is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 8,094.06 1st Support: 8,003.06 1st Resistance: 8,245.38 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:UK100Long
by ICmarkets
FTSE on a 1-month correction. Is it over?Great display of compliance to technical dynamics by FTSE 100 (UK100) on our previous analysis (April 29, see chart below) as after hitting our 8350 Target it got rejected exactly at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the long-term +2 year Channel Up: The corrective pattern broke yesterday below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since April 19, which technically opens the way for a test of the next Support level, the Higher Lows Zone. As you can see, this Zone has been providing Support (and the most optimal buy entry) since the January 17 Low. As a result, as long as the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) is holding, we will buy the next Higher Lows contact and target 8350 (Lower Highs projection similar to February 07 2024 and October 17 2023). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:UK100Long
by TradingShot
FTSE 100 Index Declines After Labour Market NewsFTSE 100 Index Declines After Labour Market News The British stock index FTSE 100 (UK 100 on FXOpen) dropped nearly 1% yesterday due to the release of economic data indicating a rise in unemployment. According to ForexFactory: → The Claimant Count Change (number of unemployment benefit claims) was 50,000 (expected = 10.2k, previous month = 8.4k). This is the highest number since March 2021. → The unemployment rate slightly increased to 4.4% compared to the previous value of 4.3%. However, today the FTSE 100 (UK 100 on FXOpen) chart is showing signs of recovery. Fundamentally: → GDP news did not bring any unpleasant surprises; → Weakening in the labour market might prompt the Bank of England to lower the interest rate to stimulate the economy, which should support the stock index. From a Technical Analysis Perspective of the FTSE 100 (UK 100 on FXOpen): → At the low of the decline, the price found support at the median line of the upward channel that has been in place since last autumn (shown in blue); → The median line is reinforced by the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from the bullish impulse A→B; → The price failed to consolidate below the late May low around the 8150 level, indicating a local capitulation of bears. Bulls, on the other hand, might use these technical support factors to attempt to resume the upward trend within the blue channel. To do this, they will need to break the resistance of the trend line (shown in red). Trade global index CFDs with zero commission and tight spreads. Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about trading index CFDs with FXOpen. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:UK100
by FXOpen
1
FTSE 100 - index prepares for bumper run to 10kThis is a macro outlook into late 2024. On the above 3-month chart price action has been trading under resistance since 1999. A significant development has now occurred. That resistance after 22 years has confirmed as support. Isn’t there a recession coming? Since the UK imposed economic sanctions on itself in 2016 (A world first believe?) there is a growing realisation that extended dependancy on external resources will mean accepting higher and higher costs for everyday goods and services. Much like the US, the UK is about to enter a period of internal investment as it seeks to rediscover why protectionism does not work. You would think with so many history graduates in parliament.. The Macro outlook for the FTSE 100 is fascinating. Many many stocks are oversold in the FTSE 100. Not all. But a great many are with little to no ideas published on them. Identifying this trend a couple of years ago, the ideas on Rolls Royce and Centrica were published (attached below), now up 100 and 200%, respectively. However you will notice such performance does not apply equally across the index. My belief or rather hours of study informs us selecting the correct stocks will outperform over the next 2 to 3 years. Already have begun to identify them. The TA.. On the chart we have: 1) Macro higher lows forming an ascending triangle. 2) Price action printed the first macro higher high in October 2017. 3) Inverse head & shoulders pattern with confirmation and 10k target. 4) The 3-month hammer candle. 10 days until it closes. IF it closes as is, it will be the shot that starts the race. Is it possible the index corrects and crashes as everyone suggests? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww Type: Investment Risk: 30-40% exposure, you don’t want to sit this one out. Timeframe: Long between now and end of year. Return: 30%
FTSE:UKXLong
by without_worries
FTSE Retreats to Key Fibonacci LevelsAfter powering to all-time highs at the start of the month, the FTSE 100’s uptrend has started to falter with the index pulling back more than 300 points during the last two weeks. Let's explore the reasons behind this pullback and identify key levels where the index might find support. Why is the FTSE Falling? Rising Bond Yields: Concerns about prolonged high global interest rates have driven bond yields higher, making bonds more attractive compared to stocks and putting downward pressure on the equity market. Strong Sterling: The British pound has surged to a 21-month high against the euro due to persistent inflation in the UK. Investors are speculating that the Bank of England will delay rate cuts longer than the European Central Bank. A stronger pound negatively impacts FTSE’s multinational companies. Natural Market Cycles: It's crucial to recognise that uptrends often experience periods of correction. These pullbacks are not necessarily the end of a trend but can present opportunities to enter the market at favourable risk/reward levels. Key Levels to Watch The FTSE’s pullback has brought it to some significant support levels that could potentially halt the decline if the long-term uptrend resumes: 50% Fibonacci Retracement (April Swing Low to May Swing High): The recent trend from April to May offers a smooth basis for Fibonacci retracements. The FTSE has now reached the 50% retracement level of this move, making it a critical point to monitor. 50-Day Simple Moving Average (50MA): This moving average coincides with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level mentioned above, adding further weight to its importance as potential support. February 2023 Highs: Before the breakout in April, the highs from February 2023 served as significant resistance. In an established uptrend, former resistance levels often become support as traders look to buy back in. 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement (October 2023 Lows to May 2024 Highs): Fibonacci retracements can be taken from longer term trend legs and this is a prime example. A 38.2% retracement of the impressive run higher from October 2023 to May 2024 comes in just below the levels mentioned above and should be closely watched. FTSE 100 Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 80.84% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:UK100
by Capitalcom
FTSE-100 : ROUNDING TOP- The market has been registering higher highs and low since mid-April ; the mid-term trend was then bullish. - As stated in our previous analysis, the market has successfully accelerated to a new historical high around 8,483pts. Since then, with continuing disappointing economic developments regarding inflation, PMI and retail sales data, investors have been pushed to take some profits out. This led to this technical situation where the market seems to have come to a state of exhaustion, highlighted by a rounding top pattern. Both moving average are in bearish configuration following a downside cross. The MACD indicator evolves inside its selling zone too. - The short-term outlook is bearish for the market. The rounding top pattern is seen as a bearish reversal configuration, especially when it occurs far in a bullish trend, at an all-time high level. The market has just broken-out the 23.6% fibonacci level at 8,310pts and its next targets can be found around 8,200pts, 8,117pts and 8,030pts by extension. Pierre Veyret, Technical Analyst at activTrades The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has no been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such is to be considered to be a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:UK100Short
by ActivTrades