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NASDAQ Bearish Momentum Persists as Price Drops 2.7% in 24 HoursTechnical Analysis The price has dropped more than 2.7% in the last 24 hours. The bearish trend, as highlighted in the previous analysis, remains intact. The price is likely to stabilize within the bearish trend, targeting 20,670 and 20,550, as long as it trades below 20,990. However, a bullish correction toward 20,860 or 20,990 is possible, particularly if the price stabilizes above 20,860. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 20860 Resistance Levels: 20990, 21080, 21210 Support Levels: 20780, 20670, 20550 Trend Outlook: - Bearish Momentum with stability below 20990 - Bullish Momentum by stability above 20990 Previous idea:
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Thursday 19 Dec 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively Trading in GMT time zone Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you! Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST) Economic news - None - FOMC on Wednesday night News - None Directional bias - BUY Note: Did not trade FOMC on Wednesday, because generally I don’t like to trade news. For me, it’s more of a gamble than a situation where I can stack the probabilities in my favour. Morning analysis: FOMC reaction was huge, with price plummeting through the floor. 4H and Daily fib levels were all smashed. The last remaining fib level in the morning was the W 0.618 fib level. A huge DT had formed on the D TF (marked in green lines). D neckline was broken down and price had travelled to the profit target zone (as marked by the green vertical line). Price had touched the W 0.618 fib level and moved back up, showing a strong reaction to this last line of defence for the bulls. In this case, because price had reached profit target, I was looking for a buy. If price had not yet reached profit target, I would have been cautious with a buy because I have noted how respectful Nasdaq can be of profit targets. It is normally the case that price would re-test the neckline of the market pattern just broken, once price has reached profit target, so I felt confident with a buy. As the morning progressed a falling wedge pattern started forming (marked with blue lines). These usually break upwards, but can break either direction. Price broke the pattern upwards and I entered at the lower hand icon. Confirmations: 1. Market pattern - Two market patterns where at play here. A falling wedge broken upwards + DB on the 1H TF with the neckline (drawn in orange) broken upwards. 2. S&R - Market patterns where forming at a weekly S&R area. 3. Trend - Buy is in the same direction as the overall market trend. DB was forming right at the uptrend line area on the bigger timeframes (marked with the diagonal red line). Temporary downtrend line of falling wedge broken upwards 4. Fib - Long wick candle spike down to W 0.618 fib level 5. Candlesticks - Long wick candle showing a strong reaction to the W 0.618 fib level. Mental stop was placed at the thick pink line, i.e. half of the height of the DB. Price moved up well. Now for setting TP's. Setting take profit in these situations is difficult. Usually, I would use the fib level that I entered on, to provide guidance as to TP1 and TP2 (fib extensions). But in this case, we are not in a trending market and aiming for the Weekly TP (because that is the fib level at play here) is too ambitious. The highlighted green areas are very strong sell areas of confluence. I set these two areas as potential take profit zones. Depending how strong bulls are, they may push all the way to the D neckline and push through, or they may just touch an EMA or sell fib level and price reverses downwards. I have left a lot of money on the table in these scenarios before, by just assuming bulls will break the D neckline back upwards. So was determined today to learn from my past mistakes. I ended up taking partial profit at +- 1000 pips, because I didnt like the strong reaction to the 30min EMA. With Nas, if price is VERY bullish or bearish, then price will react to the 30 EMA. So the fact that bears were so prominent at the 30 EMA, made me want to lock in some profits. Price continued to move up and had a strong reaction to the D EMA (where it was at that time in history). Price had not even reached the area of sell confluence marked in green, and we were seeing a strong bearish push. Decided to take profit again at the top hand icon (+- 1'700 pips) and leave a runner open. Runner got taken out at entry when price came tumbling down. I am happy with my take profit decisions. This was the first time that I capitalised correctly on the move I was looking for. I feel this proves the value of screen time and really trying to make sense of how price is reacting in various situations. You may feel no progress at first, but in the long run, you will slowly start handling situations better and better. Looks now like the market has turned bearish. Weekly EMA and fist W fib level are very far down. Uptrend line on high TF's is also broken. The buy wont just happen in a heart beat (in my opinion). Price will first start consolidating as bulls build strength and momentum and make a reversal pattern on the higher TF's before truly making a big move up. Hope you had a good day! If you were in with a sell on FOMC, its caviar and champagne for the holiday season! ;) Stats: The total bullish move for the day was 2'572 pips: I captured 66% (1'700pips) of the total move - Happy with that! Abbreviations: TF = timeframe TP = take profit 1H = 1 hour 4H = 4 hour D = day W = week M = month S&R = support & resistance H&S = head & shoulders EMA = exponential moving average SL = stop loss
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Jinxx84
Bearish drop?NAS100 has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 21,414.83 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 21,813.15 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 20,774.05 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:NAS100Short
by VantageMarkets
NAS100USD: Strategic Selling Amidst Bearish MomentumGreetings Traders! In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we reflect on yesterday’s high volatility, which triggered a significant displacement to the downside. Such strong movements often leave inefficiencies in price action that may be revisited in the near future. However, the prevailing bearish institutional order flow suggests opportunities to capitalize on selling setups. Key Observations: 1. Consolidation in Premium Zones: Currently, price is consolidating at a premium level, providing an optimal zone to initiate sell positions. Following the principle of selling in premium and buying in discount, this setup aligns with institutional trading strategies. 2. Bearish Momentum: The bearish structure remains intact, reinforcing the likelihood of price continuing its descent toward discount zones. 3. Potential Reversals in Discount: When price reaches discount levels, it is possible for a reversal back into premium zones. This necessitates a strategic and observant approach to anticipate the next market move. Trading Strategy: Entry: Seek confirmation to sell at premium levels during this consolidation phase. Target: Discount zones, where sell-side liquidity resides, will serve as the primary profit-taking area. As always, remain vigilant and adaptive to market dynamics. If you have insights or questions, feel free to share them in the comments. Let’s learn and grow together! Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
NASDAQFed's Hawkish Stance Sparks Fears ofSustained 4%Rate FloorMarkets Fear Fed's 4% Floor as Dollar Surges While the Federal Reserve's "hawkish cut" on Thursday was widely anticipated, markets are now concerned that the 4% policy rate will act as a floor for the coming year, with no further easing expected until midyear or later. Technical Analysis The price dropped approximately 4.5% yesterday ahead of the Fed's rate decision. Today, the market corrected to the resistance level of 21,420, after which it is likely to drop back toward 21,215, particularly if it stabilizes below 21,420. Stability below 21,420 will maintain a bearish trend, targeting 21,280 and 21,215. A break below 21,215, confirmed by a 4-hour candle close, could push the price further down toward 20,990. Key Levels Pivot Point: 21420 Resistance Levels: 21530, 21620, 21770 Support Levels: 21290, 21215, 20990 Trend Outlook Bearish Momentum: Likely to persist with stability below 21,420. Bullish Momentum: Possible if stability above 21,420 is achieved.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
1
Nasdaq 100: Make-or-Break Trendline SupportChart Analysis: The US 100 Index has pulled back from recent highs but remains above its rising trendline (black), maintaining the broader bullish structure. 1️⃣ Rising Trendline: The trendline, originating from the August lows, has been a key dynamic support for the index. Price is currently testing this level around 21,150, making it a critical area to watch. 2️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (blue): The index remains above the 50-day SMA at 20,818, confirming short-term bullish momentum. 200-day SMA (red): Positioned at 19,438, reflecting a long-term bullish trend. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: At 51.88, signaling neutral momentum, giving room for the index to either bounce or consolidate further. MACD: The MACD line has turned downward, suggesting weakening bullish momentum but no decisive bearish crossover yet. What to Watch: A bounce from the trendline could signal a continuation of the uptrend, with immediate resistance near the recent highs around 21,600. A break below the trendline may shift attention to the 50-day SMA or the 20,800 level for potential support. The US 100 Index remains within a broader bullish structure, with the rising trendline acting as a critical support level for near-term price action. -MW
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by FOREXcom
1
Nasdaq 100 Index Plummets After Fed DecisionNasdaq 100 Index Plummets After Fed Decision On 17th December, analysing the Nasdaq 100 chart (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), we: → Drew a blue upward channel relevant for 2024; → Noted that the price was near the upper boundary of the channel, while the RSI indicator had entered the overbought zone; → Suggested that bulls might face difficulties in pushing the price to a new all-time high. Yesterday, the Fed cut the interest rate by 0.25%. Although it was anticipated, the market reaction was sharply negative. The Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) dropped by approximately 4%. The steep market reaction was driven by Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments during the press conference, where he stated that the FOMC plans to cut rates only twice in 2025, contrary to market expectations of four cuts. Technical analysis of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart shows that: → The price remains in the upper half of the channel, supported by the 21,230 level, which previously acted as resistance (as indicated by arrows). → We can assume that the area around the median of the blue channel (marked by orange lines) could act as a barrier to further downward momentum, as medians often serve as equilibrium zones where supply and demand balance out. What’s next? According to analysts at Zacks, record highs for the tech stock index may not be a topic of discussion in the near future. There is a possibility that a local descending channel could form, potentially driving the price into the lower half of the broader upward channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
2
NAS100 H4 | Potential bearish reversalNAS100 is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 21,404.67 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 21,660.00 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 20,949.82 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:NAS100Short
by FXCM
3
us100 LONGus100 LONG 💎Please don't be greedy ENTRY : yellow point TP : blue lines SL : below red line for LONG position above red line for SHORT position ⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 1: Please respect the yellow entry point, otherwise you risk entering too early before my strategy or too far, thus reducing gains and aggravating losses in the event of a stop loss ⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 2: For risk and money management: 5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20 And 3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by RODDYTRADING
NAS100 NAS100 price is still in a strong uptrend, but we expect that in the short term, there is a chance that the price will correct in the 22195-22247 zone. If the price cannot break through the 22247 level, the price may decline. Consider selling in the red zone. *Very Risky Trade 🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you. >>GooD Luck 😊 ❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
VANTAGE:NAS100Short
by Serana2324
The key is whether it can be supported in the support zone Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (NAS100USD 1D chart) Support zone 1st: Left Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (21039.7) ~ 21348.0 2nd: 19582.6 However, when the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is touched, whether it is supported or not is important. The next volatility period is expected to be around December 26th. If it is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it is expected to eventually rise to the left Fibonacci ratio 2.618 (23557.7) ~ right Fibonacci ratio 1.27 (23962.1) and re-determine the trend. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. --------------------------------------------------
OANDA:NAS100USD
by readCrypto
NAS/NQ are also preparing for the yearly transitionIf we are flexing daily Fib levels, I used the 21600 swing low as the base. If so we have achieved 75% today. It's also interesting that the volume profile POC (dashed) lies within the golden zone, which is also containing the Broken high retest point I believe we have down here over the next few weeks into mid January. Using the space between the broken support (breaker) and the new low as consolidation, we should be able to build a nice base for entry ticket into this coming year's candle high
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by HollywooodTrades
Price Retest Scenarios and Key Levels for Trend ConfirmationTechnical Analysis The price has surged to a new historic high. It is now expected to retest 21900. A confirmed 4-hour candle close below 21900 will indicate a bearish move toward 21770. On the other hand, if the price stabilizes above 22120 with a confirmed 1-hour candle close, it will support a bullish trend toward 22230. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 22120 Resistance Levels: 22230, 22400, 22510 Support Levels: 21900, 21770, 21620 Trend Outlook: - Bearish Momentum with stability below 22120 - Bullish Momentum by stability above 22120
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi