US100 trade ideas
NDX has taken support at previous lowNDX has taken support at previous low. It may retrace from this support.
NASDAQ 1D IdeaPotential for a bearish pullback on the NASDAQ 1D which could lead to a price movement towards the support level at 18300. SELL levels from 19400
Came like a thief in the night: TRUMPCESSIONBearish continuation to my last post
Donny triggered it
that said im expecting price to drive lower from my red zone and to resist at the levels i think around the red price levels will it all be over
Tarrif shock about to hitI believe markets will go down ~10% coming days into 2nd of April. The market will not stay complacent and take profit just in case to see what will happen. Some believe Trump will cancel or postpone the tarrifs again, but he can't do that each time or people will not believe him anymore. Perhaps the big move down will be because the EU will announce their counter tarrifs against the USA.
Nas100 - Huge bear trap or further downside?The Nasdaq 100 has recently broken a critical rising trendline that has supported its bullish trajectory for an extended period. This break signifies a potential shift in market sentiment, suggesting that the prior uptrend may be losing steam. When an established trendline is breached, it often signals a change in the market's direction, indicating that buyers are losing control and sellers are starting to assert dominance.
In addition to the trendline break, the Nasdaq 100 has now fallen below all of its key moving averages—namely, the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages. These moving averages are widely followed indicators of trend strength, and their loss is typically a bearish sign. When prices drop below these averages, it signals weakening momentum, and it becomes harder for the index to regain upward traction without strong buying pressure.
The weekly timeframe shows a beautiful support level if the bulls fail to reclaim all the key moving averages.
Together, the break of the rising trendline and the loss of key moving averages suggest that the Nasdaq 100 could be entering a phase of increased volatility and downward pressure. Traders should closely monitor the index for potential further declines or a failure to reclaim these key technical levels, as they could signal deeper market corrections.
Thanks for your support.
- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!
- Drop a like and leave a comment!
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for 2 Weeks - Easy MoneyNAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for 2 Weeks, it could drop a little forsure but with my back testing of this strategy, its good long now, manage your position accordingly.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Technical Outlook
NAS100 is currently in a corrective phase, trading at $18,900, with bearish momentum suggesting a potential move toward the $18,300 support level in the coming week. If this level holds, a rebound could push the index back up toward $20,300, creating a temporary recovery phase.
However, if the price struggles at $20,300 and fails to sustain bullish momentum, it would confirm the formation of a descending channel, reinforcing the broader downtrend. In this scenario, NAS100 could extend its decline toward $16,100, where the price may find support.
Key structural levels to watch:
Support Levels: $18,300 → $16,100 → $14,600 (Major support from 2021)
Resistance Levels: $20,300 → $16,000 (Resistance from 2023)
If the index reaches $16,100, this could serve as a critical level where a strong reaction may occur, as it aligns with historical price zones and previous sell-off extensions. The $14,600 support from 2021 remains a last defense level, potentially preventing deeper declines.
Traders should monitor volume and price action confirmations at key levels to assess whether the index is setting up for a reversal or further downside continuation.
NAS100 short setup alert!Hello traders,
I've identified a prime shorting opportunity on NAS100! As noted in my previous analysis, the index remains under bearish pressure, driven by Apple’s stock decline.
On March 28, 2025, NAS100 broke below 19,100 support zone, confirming strong downside momentum. It then retraced to 19,500, filling an imbalance before facing a rejection.
📉 Trade Setup:
🔻 Sell Zone: 19,200 – 19,350
🎯 Target 1: 18,800
🎯 Target 2: 18,297
🛑 Stop Loss: 19,564
Stay disciplined, trade smart, and secure those profits! 🚀📊
Price is at a Buy Zone - Bulls to push prices higher...Price is currently at support levels of a consolidation channel
Waiting for price to breakout and retest my trendline
before riding along with the bulls...
NAS100 - Stock market still in a downtrend?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down, it will be clear that it is heading for further moves. At the channel ceiling, I could be close to the next sell-off.
As the new US tariffs are set to take effect on April 2, new evidence suggests that they may be less than the markets had expected. According to a recent report in the Toronto Star, Canada is likely to face the lowest level of tariffs, while Mexico, another member of the US trade agreement, is likely to face a similar situation. In addition, Trump’s recent statements about significant progress in controlling fentanyl (an industrial drug), are seen as a positive sign for improving trade relations.
In this regard, CNBC reported that VAT and non-tariff barriers will not be taken into account in calculating the tariff rate, or at least not fully. The main concern is that by threatening to impose a 25% tariff, Trump is actually preparing Canada and Mexico to accept higher rates than the current conditions. It seems that his goal is to impose the highest possible tariff level. This decision could be an incentive to increase tariff revenue to reduce taxes. Of course, such an approach is associated with high risks, since any level of tariffs can lead to retaliatory measures from trading partners.
In the case of Europe, tariffs imposed on American goods are higher than in other countries, but a large part of them relate to the automotive industry. Europe has previously announced that it is ready to reduce these tariffs. The question now is whether the EU will take a different approach than Mexico and Canada? That is, first impose higher tariffs and then negotiate to reduce them.
This scenario could ultimately benefit the US economy, as the bulk of its trade is with Mexico and Canada. Meanwhile, China remains a complex challenge, as it is the main target of Trump’s tariff policies. In addition, the US president recently proposed imposing tariffs on Venezuela, which could be a pretext for intensifying trade pressure on China. Polls show that 50% of the market expects new tariffs on China, which indicates the level of investor concern.
The European Union has reacted to the Trump administration’s decision to impose new tariffs on imported cars and expressed regret over the move. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has said the bloc will seek a negotiated solution to ease tensions, but she has also stressed that Europe’s economic interests will be protected against US trade policies.
The US credit rating has risen to a new low, according to a new report from Moody’s, which warns that tax cuts and trade tariffs could widen the country’s budget deficit.
Analysts at Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank say investors expect the effective tariff rate on all imports to be between 9% and 10%, although some analysts at Goldman Sachs have suggested a rate of 18%. However, inflation and exchange rate expectations point to lower figures.
If Trump’s promise of “reciprocal tariffs” is implemented, the effective tariff rate could be even lower than 5 percent, although this depends on whether the agricultural sector is also subject to tariffs. Some reports also suggest that non-tariff barriers may be completely ignored.
According to Deutsche Bank, it is very difficult to determine market expectations precisely. But if the tariff rate ultimately falls between 5 and 7.5 percent, markets are likely to react with more confidence. Otherwise, more volatility and turbulence in financial markets are expected.
At the beginning of the year, markets were in a positive and optimistic mood. The Republican victory in the election, the continuation of tax breaks and the possibility of new support packages were among the factors that reinforced this optimism.
However, factors such as the high US budget deficit, the deadlock in Congress and the high inflation rate have now challenged this optimism. Meanwhile, two important support tools that were effective in the past may no longer be as effective:
1. During Trump’s first term, the stock market was of particular importance to him. Even during the COVID-19 crisis, he constantly talked about the stock market and considered it part of his successes.
The term “Put Trump” meant that even if he made harsh statements, he ultimately acted in the market’s favor.
2. But now, in Trump’s second administration, he talks about “short-term pain” and “economic detoxification.” Tariff threats, reduced investment and policy uncertainty have caused the S&P 500 to fall 10% since February. Trump still considers the market important, but he is no longer as staunchly supportive of it as he used to be.
In addition, this week will include the release of a series of key economic data. Including:
• Tuesday: ISM Manufacturing PMI and JOLTS.
• Wednesday: ADP Private Employment Report
•Thursday: ISM services index and weekly jobless claims.
One of the big risks to the markets is that economic data remains weak while the ISM price sub-indices rise. Such a situation could signal a deflationary tailwind. In such a situation, even if the Federal Reserve moves to lower interest rates, it will still be difficult for the stock market to grow.
NASDAQ Trade Plan: From 4-Hour Trend to 15-Minute Execution!NAS100 Strategy: Using Fibonacci and Market Structure for Precision!
📊 In this NASDAQ (NAS100) trade idea, I focus on a top-down approach starting with the 4-hour chart. If the 4-hour trend is bullish, I look for higher highs and higher lows. If bearish, I focus on lower highs and lower lows. 🔄 My key strategy is identifying pullbacks into equilibrium—around the 50% Fibonacci retracement level—within any price swing. This is my point of interest.
Once price moves into this area, I shift to the 15-minute chart to refine my entry. 🔍 Here, I wait for a break of structure during the pullback, aligning with the overall trend direction. This approach allows for precise execution while staying in sync with the larger trend. 🚀
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk.
NAS100 selling pressure continues due to Apple stock declineHello traders,
As I highlighted in my previous NAS100 analysis, I expected a move to the downside. Technically, the index formed a double top, which was confirmed by a neckline break. Additionally, it has fallen below the rising support trendline from November 2024 and successfully retested it. This week, I anticipate further downside continuation. For an optimal selling opportunity, keep an eye on price action during the New York AM session. Ideally, I’d like to see a minor pullback to 19,200 before considering short positions, with the index potentially targeting liquidity at 18,297 and possibly extending to the 17,235 low from August 2024.
From a fundamental perspective, several factors are reinforcing our bearish outlook on NAS100:
Trade Tariff Concerns – New U.S. tariff measures are fueling trade war fears, weighing on tech stocks.
Inflation & Fed Policy – Higher inflation raises concerns about prolonged high interest rates.
Tech Sector Weakness – Leading NAS100 stocks like Apple and Nvidia are experiencing declines.
Stay cautious and trade wisely! 🚀
NAS Falling Knife is OverNAS Falling Knife is Over.
It has been taking support from its trend support.
An uptrend may start from here.
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – The Way of the Silent Blade
⭐️ We do not predict—we calculate.
We do not react—we execute.
Patience is our shield. Precision is our sword.
🩸 market is a battlefield where hesitation means death. The untrained fall into traps, chasing shadows, believing in illusions. But we are not the crowd. We follow no signal but the one left behind by Smart Money. Their footprints are our way forward.
🩸 Bullish Structure Shatters -
Key Break Confirms the Path – 19980
reasons
Liquidity Swwep
liquidity / choch
key level / multi retest before
weekly / monthly zone
🩸 Bearish Structure Shatters
Key Break Confirms the Path – 19840 Zone
our reversal always at key level
even a reversal area is well studded
reasons
Liquidity Swwep
liquidity / choch
key level / multi retest before
weekly / monthly zone
🔻 This is the threshold where the tides shift. If price pierces this level with authority, it is no accident—it is designed. The liquidity pool above has been set, and the institutions will claim their prize. Volume must confirm the strike. A clean break, a strong push, and the path is set.
Watch the volume. Watch the momentum. Strike without doubt
I’m keeping an eye on a potential global recession NASDAQ 100Hey everyone, here’s my quick take on the NASDAQ 100 (NDX) and why I’m keeping an eye on a potential global recession:
1. Bearish Divergence on the Chart
We’ve got the price pushing higher while the RSI is sloping lower—classic bearish divergence. It’s a big red flag that momentum isn’t matching price action. Sure, it doesn’t guarantee a drop, but it definitely makes me cautious about chasing new highs.
2. Rising Wedge / Channel
The trendlines I’ve drawn suggest a rising wedge or narrowing channel. Those often break to the downside if buyers can’t keep the momentum going. I’m watching that lower boundary like a hawk—if we close below it, that’s usually a bearish signal.
3. Ichimoku Cloud Levels
We’re still hanging around the top of the Cloud, which means the longer-term trend isn’t totally broken yet. But if price falls into the Cloud or below it—and the Tenkan-sen crosses under the Kijun-sen—that’s another sign that sellers might be taking control.
4. RSI Confirmation
The RSI is showing that classic lower high pattern, which means the market’s losing steam. A drop below typical support ranges on the RSI (like 40-50) would back up the idea of a deeper pullback or correction.
5. Macro Picture & Recession Risks
The NASDAQ 100 is a pretty good indicator of market sentiment, especially for big tech. If we see a bigger breakdown here, it might hint at broader economic weakness. Combine that with ongoing concerns about inflation, interest rates, and global supply issues, and we have a recipe for recession chatter to get louder. I’m not saying it’s a done deal, but the chart is telling me to stay on my toes.
Bottom Line
Yes, the chart is flashing bearish signals, and the macro environment is still uncertain. If we break below key support levels, it could be the start of a bigger downtrend—potentially lining up with a global economic slowdown.
01-04-2025 _ Short Term Bullish Idea _ NAS100 M151- Divergence followed by Convergence.
2- No Divergence against.
3- One can expect pullback followed by continuation to the upside.
20323.3-20647.3 The key is whether it can rise above this level
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
The April TradingView competition is sponsored by PEPPERSTONE.
Accordingly, we will look at the coins (tokens) and items that can be traded in the competition.
Let's talk about the NAS100 chart.
--------------------------------------
(NAS100 1M chart)
I think the stock market is fluctuating due to the rapidly changing situation and various economic issues.
Therefore, I think it is not easy to analyze index charts such as NAS100 and US30.
However, since the HA-High indicator of the current 1M chart is newly generated and is showing a downward trend, if it does not rise above 20647.3 when the competition starts, it is likely to eventually fall.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart, it is necessary to check for support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.5 (15898.2) ~ 0.618 (17130.8).
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near 19598.6, the HA-Low indicator point of the 1D chart, and rise above the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart.
If not, it is expected that it will eventually meet the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart and determine the trend again.
Currently, the price is being maintained above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart, so it is maintaining an upward trend in the medium to long term.
Therefore, when the competition starts, you should respond depending on whether the price is being maintained above or below the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart.
Currently, the short-term support zone is 19269.9-19598.6, and the medium to long-term resistance zone is 20323.3-20647.3.
Even if it is supported and rises in the short-term support zone, if it fails to break through the medium to long-term resistance zone, it will eventually fall.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
DOWN TREND CONTINUATION We created a daily fvg gap that might push price lower. a possible 9:30 manipulation higher will set the stage for lower price targeting Monday lows the fvg lower boundary is created by the Monday high this is also supported by the London section
FED slowing down balance sheet reduct，good new for marketMarket sentiment has been pessimistic over the past few days, with some expecting further declines while others anticipate a rebound. However, after scanning through online discussions, I was surprised that almost no one is talking about the most critical piece of information for April！
— Starting in April, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will reduce the monthly redemption cap on U.S. Treasury securities from $25 billion to $5 billion to slow down the decline in its securities holdings.!
If we look back at May 2024, the Fed made the same move, which led to a significant rally from May to July.
For those who remain bearish, it's crucial to have proper stop-loss strategies in place. After April 2, as long as technical indicators align, we should expect a strong rebound.
NAS100 BUY ANALYSIS SMART MONEY CONCEPTHere on Nas100 price form a demand around level of 19368.82 which means is likely to continue going up and trader should go for long with expect profit target of 19725.06 and 20133.34 . Use money management
$NAS100 in correction mode. Is a bounce coming?Market experts will say 10% is a correction 20% is a bear market. In the last 5 years NASDAQ100 has been in the bear market 2 times. Once during COVID19 and another time during the FED Rate hike cycle. And it has been in correction mode in Aug 2024 when the Yen carry trade unwound.
Since Aug 2024 PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 has shown great strength with higher highs and higher lows and perfectly within the upward slopping Fib Retracement channel as shown in the chart below respecting the major fib levels and bouncing off from the 0.618 Fib retracement level every time it had a drawdown. The current correction in PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 is very close to the 0.618 Fib retracement level which is currently at 18700. This will indicate another potential downside of 2-3 % and if the Fib levels are supposed to holds then we will see a bottom @ 18700 and a bounce back from those levels. This will also bring down the RSI to low 30s which will indicate an oversold position.
Verdict: Start DCA into $ NAS100 and go long 18700.
