US100US100 IS in bullish trend. Potentially printing HH and HL. trend in in strongly bullish.. we buy at CMP. No sign of reversal.Longby Naqash912
Nasdaq market analysis: 06-Jan-2025Good morning, traders! Welcome to today's Nasdaq market analysis. Compare my price action insights with your own charts and enhance your trading skills.07:05by DrBtgar1
The Quest for Market MasteryEssential Reading for Understanding Markets, Behavior, and Decision-Making Understanding financial markets and human behavior requires more than just technical knowledge - it demands deep insights into psychology, probability, and decision-making. I've curated a selection of groundbreaking books that together provide a comprehensive framework for mastering these interconnected domains. Let's start with Daniel Kahneman's "Thinking, Fast and Slow," a masterpiece that revolutionized our understanding of human decision-making. Kahneman introduces us to two systems that drive our thinking: the fast, intuitive System 1, and the slow, analytical System 2. This book is essential for anyone looking to understand their own cognitive biases and improve their decision-making process, whether in markets or in life. Building on these psychological insights, Richard Thaler and Cass Sunstein's "Nudge" explores how choice architecture influences our decisions. Their work demonstrates how subtle changes in how options are presented can significantly impact outcomes - crucial knowledge for both policymakers and investors. For those interested in the intersection of theory and practice, Nassim Nicholas Taleb's "Incerto" series (including "Fooled by Randomness," "The Black Swan," and "Antifragile") offers profound insights into probability, uncertainty, and risk. Taleb's work challenges conventional wisdom about randomness and helps readers develop more robust mental models for dealing with uncertainty. Moving to practical market applications, Edward O. Thorp's "A Man for All Markets" provides a fascinating journey from Las Vegas to Wall Street. Thorp, who pioneered quantitative investing, shares valuable lessons about probability, risk management, and the importance of maintaining a mathematical edge in any endeavor. Gregory Zuckerman's "The Man Who Solved the Market" tells the incredible story of Jim Simons and Renaissance Technologies. This book offers rare insights into how mathematical models and data science revolutionized trading, while also highlighting the importance of assembling exceptional teams and maintaining rigorous discipline. Finally, George Soros's "The Alchemy of Finance" introduces his theory of reflexivity, challenging traditional economic theories about market equilibrium. His insights about how market participants' perceptions affect market reality remain highly relevant today. Reading these books in combination offers several key benefits: A deep understanding of human psychology and decision-making Practical frameworks for dealing with uncertainty and probability Real-world applications of theoretical concepts Insights into different approaches to market analysis Lessons about risk management and system building The authors approach markets and decision-making from different angles - psychology, mathematics, philosophy, and practical experience. Together, they provide a rich tapestry of knowledge that can help readers develop more sophisticated mental models for understanding markets and human behavior. For beginners, I recommend starting with "Thinking, Fast and Slow" to build a psychological foundation, then moving to "Nudge" and the "Incerto" series. More market-focused readers might prefer beginning with Thorp's memoir before diving into the theoretical works. Remember that understanding markets and behavior is a journey, not a destination. These books don't offer simple formulas for success, but rather frameworks for thinking about complex problems. The real value comes from integrating these different perspectives into your own mental models and decision-making processes. Whether you're an investor, trader, policy maker, or simply someone interested in understanding how markets and humans interact, these books provide invaluable insights that can help you navigate an increasingly complex world. The time invested in reading and understanding these works will pay dividends far beyond the financial markets.Educationby Moshkelgosha13
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Tuesday 7 Jan 2025I trade Nasdaq exclusively Trading in GMT time zone Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you! Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST) Economic news - JOLTS Job Openings @ 15h00 News - None Directional bias - BUY Morning analysis: M TF - Currently showing bullish sentiment, even after last month's doji candle close. W TF - Bulls have managed so far to keep price above W neckline (on the W TF change the chart type to line chart and you will clearly see the "M" representing a DT market pattern). D TF - D 0.618 SELL fib level was broken, as bulls pushed price up well above this level and managed to close the D candle above it. Even though bulls showed massive strength on Monday, they were unable to close the D candle above the D falling wedge pattern top blue line, i.e. they were unable to break the pattern upwards. At time of writing in the morning, temporary blue downtrend line is being respected. The blue downtrend line represents the D downtrend of the falling wedge (drawn on the D TF) and the green down trendline represents the 4H downtrend line (drawn on the 4H TF) 4H TF - Potential neckline of a DT noted and marked with orange. If the 7am candle breaks this neckline downwards, price will push down because we are at the top of a higher TF market pattern (D falling wedge) + we have a 4H DT. These are strong bearish signals, but they will only be valid should price action give a reversal signal by bears being able to break the orange neckline downwards. The D buy fib levels coincide with the 4H buy fib levels as both are drawn from swing low at B to swing high at A on each respective TF. This gives a form of TF confluence and makes these levels stronger. 1H - Bears have managed to break below the pivot point + 1H EMA. The 1H candle that closed at 6am, wicked down to the pink uptrend line and there was a strong reaction (long lower candle wick) alluding to the validity of this uptrend line. Interest area's: 1. One buy area of confluence marked in green highlight - 4H EMA + D EMA (at that time) + D 0.382 buy fib level As the day progressed: Bulls managed to push up and break the pivot point upwards. The candle that broke the pivot closed right on the 30min EMA. When Nas is very bullish or bearish, the 30min EMA will act / be respected as dynamic support and resistance. Hence, I didn't want to enter my buy right at this level. I waited to see what price action would reveal. Looking at the 15min TF you can see a small price retracement to the pivot point (red candle at C.), a doji right at the pivot point and a green candle pushing up and away from the pivot and closing higher . It was at this point that I entered on a full position size, as I deemed my risk low because I had waited for the break and re-test: Entered a buy at the hand icon - Confirmations: 1. Market pattern - 30 min DB with neckline broken upwards and re-tested 2. S&R - pivot point + 1H EMA acting as dynamic support 3. Trend - Buy is in the overall bullish direction of the recent market and temporary orange downtrend line broken upwards. Price also rejecting and moving away from temporary down trend blue line 4. Fib - 5. Candlesticks - bullish engulfing candle to the left of C. on the 1H TF + previous long wick candle rejecting the D sell 0.618 fib. Mental SL placed at the thick pink line, so that the pivot point the 1H EMA and bulls rejecting the 4H neckline could possibly protect my buy. Price action was a bit choppy, but I held my position open as price was making higher highs and higher lows on the 1H TF. Price gradually trending upwards along the 1H EMA. Then news came out at 15h00 and price fell through the floor. JOLTS Job Openings is not really a "high impact" news event for Nasdaq like the CPI and NFP is. So this was a surprisingly volatile move, indicating how sensitive traders are to economic news that would affect Fed decisions regarding rate cuts. For me, up until the news, Nas was showing really good bullish price action. And then price just fell through the floor. I closed my biggest position at 1'150 pips loss (as I usually don't like to take losses of more than 1'000 pips a day). My smaller position size, I hesitated to close and took a loss of 2'411 pips! WHAT THE HELL!!! This was the fist time in a long time that I hesitated to close and it cost me badly, my emotions really got in the way here. Then, as per my strategy, when price reached my interest area, I moved down to the 5min TF and entered a buy when price made a DB on the 5min TF at the lower hand icon.. But that was a false signal i.e. a small bounce off a strong reversal zone, but price ultimately tanked further and I closed at 1'126 pips loss. What a freakin disaster....I basically took a 2'927 pips loss today (if I smooth the effect of position sizing). Part of this loss is due to variance and part of it is due to my own fault. There is no way I could have projected that Nas would fall through the floor on this news event and I don't regret my entry as I do believe my entry is correct for my bias and I did wait for the break and re-test. My mistake was that I hesitated to close and took a bigger loss than I should have. I also should not have entered again if I had already taken such a huge loss for the day. My strategy is to be out for the day if I make a 1000 pip loss. So it was a bit of a disaster. Nasdaq (and mostly myself) DESTROYED me today! After this devastation to my trading account, I think I will sit the rest of the week out, as tomorrow market are closed in national mourning and then Friday is NFP which I don't trade anyway. I need market to be as "normal" as possible because now I have my work cut out for me to slowly make up these losses. I will need to look for good quality entries and limit my risk. Losses are normal in trading and these will be faced by every trader. But the biggest damage a trader can do to his progress is to have uncontrolled losses and let losses get bigger than they should. It has been many months since I made this error, so I am making progress, but one bad day can cause serious damage. Limiting losses is more important than making money. If you don't have this skill you will never be profitable over the long run - I was reminded of this valuable lesson today. Hope you had a better day than me! Abbreviations: TF = timeframe TP = take profit 1H = 1 hour 4H = 4 hour D = day W = week M = month S&R = support & resistance H&S = head & shoulders EMA = exponential moving average SL = stop lossby Jinxx841
NAS100 Time to BUY?I've provided all the details on my chart about this trade idea. Please let me know your thoughts.Longby TheInternetMoneyCo1
NAS100USD Short-Term Resistance and Support AnalysisOur Perferance The NAS100USD is approaching key levels. The chart highlights a strong resistance zone at 21,785 and a short-term resistance near 21,570. The trendline indicates recent bullish attempts, but the price has rejected resistance levels multiple times (circled). Currently, a bearish move toward the identified support area around 20,680 is anticipated. A short position may be considered, targeting the support zone with appropriate risk Note: This analysis is for educational purposes and not trading advice. Consider market conditions and strategies. Please do not forget the like button, Share it with your friends,thanks, and Trade safe. Shortby David_Josh_TraderUpdated 11
NAS 23K by end of January 2025Hello Traders, Using Fibs and trend channel I predict NAS will hit around 23K by the end of January. I also expect this to be a local top. Let's see what happens.. Stay tuned. Longby TheUniverse618Updated 112
us100 longUS100 LONG 💎Please don't be greedy ENTRY : yellow point TP : blue lines SL : below red line for LONG position above red line for SHORT position ⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 1: Please respect the yellow entry point, otherwise you risk entering too early before my strategy or too far, thus reducing gains and aggravating losses in the event of a stop loss ⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 2: For risk and money management: 5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20 And 3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20Longby RODDYTRADINGUpdated 13
Technical Analysis: Bullish Momentum and Key Levels OverviewTechnical Analysis The price currently exhibits bullish momentum, aiming to reach 21,400. A 1-hour or 4-hour candle closing above 21,400 is expected to drive the price further upward toward 21,540. Conversely, if a 4-hour candle closes below 21,400, the price is likely to range between 21,400 and 21,220. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 31350 Resistance Levels: 21400, 21535, 21620 Support Levels: 21220, 20990, 20860 Trend Outlook: Consolidation: Between 21,200 and 21,395 Bullish Trend: Above 21,395 Bearish Trend: Below 21,200by SroshMayi6
NASQ 100-it looks at key daily support with good buy opportunityHello mates, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trade on what we see the price movement on chart. A key part of my discipline is always setting a Stop Loss when opening a trading position. This ensures every trading position is risk managed. Our 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!Longby QQGuo-Shane4
NEW IDEA FOR NASDAQ100The Nasdaq 100 index, which includes 100 of the largest technology companies in the United States, is considered one of the most important indices in the global stock market. In this article, we will analyze the technical analysis of this index and consider a scenario in which the price could decline to the support of the channel floor at 19,420.0 if the key resistance at 21,418.4 holds. The scenario ahead In technical analysis, support and resistance levels play a decisive role in predicting future price movements. Here, we will consider a scenario in which the price could decline to the support of the channel floor at 19,420.0 if the resistance at 21,418.4 holds. 1. Holding the resistance at 21,418.4 If the price fails to break the resistance at 21,418.4 and remains below this level, it indicates a continuation of the downtrend. This scenario seems likely given the current selling pressure in the market. 2. Moving towards support at 19,420.0 If the resistance holds, the price is likely to decline towards the channel floor support at 19,420.0. This level is considered a strong support area that may trigger a price reversal or temporary consolidation.Shortby arongroups2
QQQ - NASDAQ Has Never Been This ExpensiveQQQ relative to money supply reveals that markets have never been this expensive in history, despite all the money that was pumped in over covid. Tulips! Caution is in order despite what "experts" may tell you.Shortby RealMacroUpdated 2216
Bullish bounce?USTEC is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as an overlap resistance. Pivot: 20,768.07 1st Support: 20,451.36 1st Resistance: 21,249.53 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party. Longby ICmarkets117
Key Market LevelsSharing key market levels for potential long entries for upcoming months. Longby KODENORTH4
NASDAQ 100 index / US 100 outlook Based on the previous week rejection of the 21742.33 zone, I'm anticipating price to come back to 21610.60 which is my daily point of interest for sell continuation (a pullback os anticipated) taking the Monday high as Inducement. But I'm looking forward to catching the pullback with the H4 POI: 21045.73 , yesterday's low as Inducement hence buying till we reach my daily poi before the sell continuation. What's your outlook on this. Comment let's interact Don't forget to follow to get notifications of I drop my outlooks. by HallowAdept118
NASDAQ100 D1After the price had a strong reaction on the OB, now is geeting back to the zone. I keep a bullish view until the zone is lost. If that happen we could see price to reach lower zones!by velasforex2009116
Purely TechnicalOn the close of last week Friday, nasdaq found support at 21,300-21,280… A closer examination of the 15-30min timeframe chart shows a *double bottom* chart pattern formation… Going into Monday, we’re looking of price to slightly pullback to the support zone at for buy entry. Price will be retracing to for profit taking . If price does consolidate at this lvl sell positions can be entered for further continuation of the pending fall to 50 day moving average 200 day moving average Longby ronyneverlies4
NAS100...Ever the Bullish Instrument Part 11With the last few days of 2024 upon us, this is not the time to deviate from what works and that is trading the HL's to HH's. The market has consistently shown it's hands by making HL's to HH's on the largest timeframe (Daily & Monthly) and as such has provided clear indications of what is to come for 2025. The Yearly candle, and every other candle will expire this week on Tuesday and the weekly finishing off the sequence on Friday. No sells are in the cards for me as usual. Once the HH (ATH) is finished, it's waiting on the next HL to get back in trend. With that being said...everything remains the same...HL's to HH's. If you do not hear from me again...Have a happy new year and all the best with trading the trend. #auberstrategy #aubersystem #oneauberstrategy #whywewait #patience #zigzagtheoryLongby Auberstrategy3
Short Position - NASDAQShort Position Entry: Consider initiating a short position if the Nasdaq-100 Index falls below 21,000. Stop Loss (SL): Set a stop loss at 21,555 to manage potential losses.' Market Sentiment: The combination of the Federal Reserve's cautious approach and rising inflation may contribute to a weakening market sentiment, potentially leading to a downward movement in the index. his recommendation is for educational purposes only. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Stock trading involves risks, including the potential loss of capital. Ensure to evaluate your risk tolerance and conduct thorough research.Shortby KSLBrokingUpdated 2
Nasdag trend and break outNasdag is about anticipate in a bullish momentum,now we wait for it to break out of our bearish trend and go long for a retest towards the major highLongby professorFX7025
NasdaqNasdaq has broken below the medium trend and the secondary one, now watch for 20750, if broken expect major downside to follow down to 19200 where the main support trend from 2023 is currently atShortby lell03123
significant support/resistance area multiple times in the past.On the NAS100 chart, the price has reached a key resistance zone (highlighted in purple) after a strong upward movement and is now facing selling pressure. This zone has acted as a significant support/resistance area multiple times in the past. Expectations: Based on this analysis, the price is currently in a corrective move and is likely to move toward the support zone at 20,750 - 20,950. Proposed Scenario: If the bearish momentum continues and this support zone is broken, the price could decline further. However, if the price bounces off this zone, it may present a good opportunity to re-enter long positions. Key Resistance: 21,250 Key Support: 20,750 This analysis is based on price behavior around key support and resistance levels. Let me know if you’d like any modifications or additional details!Shortby EhsanFibo3
NASDAQ - 22/12/24 - LONGPrice has for the past weeks been on an uptrend, showing clear higher highs and higher lows. Looking for price to continue higher on the basis that last week's low was a new higher low. Additional confluences include a daily order block and price showing bullish momentum immediately after tapping. To summarize, the idea is to just follow the trend. 1:3 RRLongby weno31Updated 3