Dow Jones Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern on H1 TFPrice was retested and rejected in an H4 demand zone following a massive pullback. Since then, it has been showing consistent higher highs and higher lows on H1 and has now confirmed a bearish-to-bullish reversal in the form of an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern. Whether or not there is a minor pullback, as indicated by the arrows pointing to the downside, the overall bias is bullish, as per the confirmations mentioned.
US30 trade ideas
SHORT ON US30US30 Has given us a nice pullback to a major supply area.
I am expecting price to rise a little higher into the supply are then give us a major drop to the previous swing low for over 1000 points!!!
I have placed a sell limit order withing the supply area looking to short us30 for the rest of the week.
DOW JONES Holding the 1D MA50 can propel it to 45000.Dow Jones (DJI) contained Friday's Trump-led pull-back just above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), marking the strongest correction since April 21. So far that is purely a technical reaction to the Resistance 1 (42855) rejection a day earlier.
This is forming an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) but above all, as long as the 1D MA50 holds, it is a bullish continuation of April's rebound/ Bullish Leg at the bottom of the long-term Bullish Megaphone pattern and on the 1W MA200 (red trend-line).
As you can see, the 1W MA200 has been the ultimate Support of this pattern and last time it started a rebound that broke above the 1D MA50 and retested it, was on the first Bullish on November 09 2023.
That pull-back held the 1D MA50 and the price action continued the bullish trend until it completed a +23.69% rise, before the next 1D MA50 break.
As a result, as long as the 1D MA50 holds, we expect at least another +23.69% rise on the medium-term, which this times falls on the Resistance 2 level (45100), aligning perfectly for a technical test. Our Target will be a little lower at 45000.
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DOW JONES: Channel Up targeting 43,400.Dow Jones is practically neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.880, MACD = 380.350, ADX = 13.770) as the price is consolidating on its 4H MA50. Despite the neutrality, it remains inside the Channel Up, that is supported by the 4H MA200 and whose 4H RSI squeeze indicates we might be on a similar slow uptrend as late April's. We expect a similar +5.60% rise from the HL bottom, TP = 43,300.
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KOG - US30Quick update on this as it's looking like it's stretching out early buyers and has caught some at the top.
We've added the red boxes to this and we're keeping a close eye on that lower one around 41400-500 as long as 42000 holds us down. If we get it we get it, but it needs to go straight down before going up.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
US30 Footprint Update | May 29, 2025We're witnessing a clear shift in order flow dynamics on the 1H footprint chart.
🔻 Earlier in the session, sellers were firmly in control with heavy negative delta and large sell imbalances between 42,280–42,120.
🔄 Key Change: Around 42,088–42,177, aggressive selling was absorbed, followed by a strong bullish delta of +125 and increasing buyer interest in the following candles. Volume has flipped in favor of buyers.
📈 Current Price: Holding around 42,191.50, just below the key resistance zone of 42,231. A clean break and acceptance above this level could confirm a bullish shift toward 42,280–42,300.
🧠 What I’m Watching:
Break and hold above 42,231 = long continuation
Failure to sustain = possible retest of 42,177 or lower support
🎯 Volume and delta are aligning in favor of bulls — let’s see if they can take control.
DowJones INTRADAY important resistance retest Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 42,920
Resistance Level 2: 43,300
Resistance Level 3: 43,620
Support Level 1: 41,470
Support Level 2: 41,160
Support Level 3: 40,890
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 BUY MODELDOW JONES (US30) – Long Trade Idea
Timeframes:
Higher Timeframe Bias: Daily
Execution Timeframe: 4HR
Market Narrative:
A beautiful buy model is currently unfolding on the Dow, suggesting smart money accumulation and preparation for a move into premium pricing.
Price is retracing into discount, where we see a confluence of:
A Daily Bullish Order Block (OB)
A 4HR Buy-Side Imbalance / Sell-Side Inefficiency (BISI)
This confluence acts as a strong magnet for price and presents a high-probability long opportunity.
Entry Zone:
🟢 Buy Zone: 41,900 – 41,850
Inside the 4HR BISI
Aligned with the Daily OB (discounted price)
Ideal for entries upon confirmation via:
1HR bullish BOS (Break of Structure)
FVG (Fair Value Gap) entry
Internal liquidity sweep + displacement
Targets (Premium-side Liquidity & Imbalances):
TP1 – 42,500
🎯 First premium inefficiency fill + short-term liquidity target
TP2 – 42,800
🎯 Key level inside Daily SIBI (Sell-Side Imbalance, Buy-Side Inefficiency)
TP3 – 43,060
🎯 February Low above current price — likely a buy-side liquidity draw
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Below 41,700
🔒 Below Daily OB low and structural invalidation level
RRR: At least 1:3 to TP1, and 1:6+ to final target
Key Confluences:
Daily OB + 4HR BISI = strong demand and imbalance alignment
Trading in discount of the current dealing range
Clear buy-side liquidity pools above (including February Low)
Market structure remains bullish on higher timeframes
Strong probability of price delivering higher into premium
Execution Tips:
Wait for confirmation inside the 41,900–41,850 zone:
15min–1HR bullish market structure shift (BOS)
Fair Value Gap + displacement candle entry
Consider partial profits at TP1, and trail stops for extended targets
Avoid entries during high-impact news unless already in profit
US30Correlation Between US30, 10-Year Bond Yields, Bond Prices, and DXY
1. Bond Prices vs. Yields
Inverse Relationship: Bond prices and yields move inversely. When bond prices rise, yields fall, and vice versa.
Example: If the 10-year Treasury bond price drops (due to selling pressure), its yield rises to attract buyers.
Current 10-year yield: 4.54% (as of May 21, 2025).
2. 10-Year Yield vs. DXY (US Dollar Index)
Typical Positive Correlation: Higher yields attract foreign capital into USD-denominated assets, strengthening the dollar (DXY↑).
Recent Divergence:
A rising 10-year yield paired with a weakening DXY may signal market skepticism about Fed policy or risk aversion (e.g., investors favor Treasuries as safe havens despite lower yields).
Example: If yields rise due to inflation fears without economic growth, DXY may weaken as traders doubt the Fed’s ability to sustain rate hikes.
3. DXY vs. US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average)
Inverse Correlation: A weaker dollar (DXY↓) often supports equity indices like US30, as multinational companies benefit from cheaper exports and higher overseas earnings.
Exceptions:
In risk-off environments, a stronger dollar (DXY↑) may coincide with equity sell-offs as investors flee to safe-haven assets.
4. 10-Year Yield vs. US30
Mixed Relationship:
Negative: Rising yields can pressure equities (US30↓) as higher borrowing costs reduce corporate profits and make bonds more attractive.
Positive: Yields rising due to growth optimism may lift stocks (US30↑) if earnings expectations improve.
5. Yield Curve Dynamics (30-10 Year Spread)
Current Spread: 0.51% (30-year yield: 4.94%, 10-year yield: 4.43%).
Implications:
A widening spread (30-year > 10-year) suggests long-term growth/inflation expectations.
A flattening/inverted spread signals economic uncertainty or recession fears.
Summary Table of Relationships
Factor Relationship with DXY Relationship with US30
10-Year Yield ↑ Typically ↑ (if growth-driven) ↓ (if rate-driven) / ↑ (if growth-driven)
Bond Prices ↑ ↓ (yields fall, USD less attractive) ↑ (cheaper borrowing)
DXY ↑ — Typically ↓ (hurts exports)
30-10 Spread Widens Neutral ↑ (growth optimism)
Key Scenarios
Risk-On Environment:
DXY↓ + US30↑ + Yields↑ (growth optimism).
Example: Weaker dollar boosts equities despite rising yields.
Risk-Off Environment:
DXY↑ + US30↓ + Yields↓ (safe-haven demand for bonds and USD).
Policy Divergence:
Yields↑ + DXY↓ (markets doubt Fed’s ability to sustain hikes despite inflation).
Conclusion
The interplay between US30, bond yields, prices, and DXY is dynamic and context-dependent:
Yield-DXY Link: Normally positive but can diverge during policy uncertainty or risk aversion.
DXY-US30 Link: Typically inverse but influenced by macroeconomic drivers.
Yield Curve: A widening 30-10 spread supports growth optimism, while flattening signals caution.
Traders must monitor Fed policy, inflation data, and risk sentiment to navigate these correlations effectively.
Dow Jones Continues Its Upward Momentum Toward the 43,344 Level The Dow Jones Industrial Average is showing continued bullish momentum, with an anticipated move toward the 43,344 level following a retracement to the support zone around 42,290–42,250. A price close above last week’s closing level reinforces the bullish sentiment, providing further upward momentum for the index toward the targeted levels outlined in the accompanying chart.
#Dow Jones Industrial Average
#US30
#Technical Analysis
#Chart Patterns
#Price Action
#Global Markets
#Market Outlook
#Swing Trading
Price Patterns Every Trader Should KnowLearn how to trade using price patterns! In this video, we cover continuation, reversal, and bi-directional patterns, including flags, wedges, triangles, and more. You'll see schematics, real chart examples, and learn how to combine them with confluence for better setups.
#PriceAction #ChartPatterns #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #ForexTrading #CryptoTrading
Hanzo / US30 30M Path ( Confirmed Bullish Breakout Zones )🆚 US30
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market tactics
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 42240 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
Reasons
Bullish After Break
42250
🚀 1hr key level
Retest - History
27 May / 2025
21 May / 2025
19 May / 2025
16 May / 2025
15 May / 2025
14 May / 2025
Hanzo / US30 15m Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )🆚 US30
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market tactics
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 42240 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
Reasons
Bullish After Break
42250
1hr key level
Retest - History
27 May / 2025
21 May / 2025
19 May / 2025
16 May / 2025
15 May / 2025
14 May / 2025
☄️ Bearish Setup After Break Out – 42075 Zone
Reasons
1hr key level
Retest - History
26 May / 2025
27 May / 2025
And Next Key level Is Far
41925
we have 150 PIP Range
Dow Eyes 42,800 Resistance – Key Breakout Ahead?The Dow is currently holding near the neckline of a double-top formation that developed between December 2024 and February 2025, possibly buoyed by ongoing tech and Nasdaq optimism. The broader rebound from the 2025 lows is also forming a diagonal structure, setting up the following scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
With weekly RSI holding above the 50 neutral zone after rebounding from oversold levels last seen in 2020, a sustained move above the 42,800-resistance level could extend the rally toward 43,800 and 44,800. A breakout above the all-time high near 45,000 would open the door toward the next major resistance at 46,800.
Bearish Scenario:
If the diagonal formation breaks to the downside—below 41,400 and 41,000—selling pressure could resume, forming a diagonal correction targeting support levels at 40,400, 39,700, and 39,000.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
Sell us30 Key Observations:
Market Structure:
Choch (Change of Character) marked → suggests a shift from bullish to bearish structure.
BOS (Break of Structure) below recent lows confirms bearish pressure.
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs):
H1 FVG and IFVG (Internal FVG) have already been touched and price reacted bearishly.
H4 FVG above is unmitigated, acting as a potential supply zone.
Weekly FVG above current price – could be a long-term draw on liquidity but not immediate.
Trendline (Support):
Price is approaching an ascending trendline acting as dynamic support around 41,890 area.
If this trendline holds, a bounce is possible before any further drop.
Price Action:
Strong bearish candles breaking through the H1 FVG.
Sell-side liquidity beneath equal lows and trendline may be the target.
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🧠 Bias Summary:
✅ Short-Term Bias: Bearish
Reason: BOS + Choch + strong downside momentum + fair value gap fills.
Expectation: Price may seek liquidity below the trendline (41,800–41,600 zone).
⚠️ Watch for a Potential Bounce:
At the trendline zone (41,880–41,900), possible reaction or retracement.
If a strong bullish reaction forms here with displacement, we could see a move back up to fill the H4 FVG.
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📍 Bias = Bearish, with potential for short-term retracement or liquidity sweep before continuation