AUDCHF - Potential SellHi traders,
Here is my view on the AUDCHF trade coming this week to next week.
BIAS: BEAR
Logical Analysis: Price has declined fast and strong from ~0.5607 to ~0.5113.
The Store has so much CMCMARKETS:AUDCHF in stock that no one has been in to buy at around 0.5600-0.5350.
From the 9th April 2025 to today buyers were interested. It seems that 0.5113-0.5330 is a good price to make business.
As of Today (9/05/2025) The Store seems to have more in stock which makes me believe the price will drop again. :)
Technical Analysis: From 0.51133 price has been rising slowly towards the weekly resistance (0.53663).
The momentum in the buying is slowing down.
Price has violate the latest higher low.
A regular flat has formed on the 4hr timeframe.
Timed Entry: Up to you
Good Luck
CHFAUD trade ideas
AUD/CHF - Trendline Breakout (15.05.2025)The AUD/CHF Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.5338
2nd Support – 0.5308
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AUDCHFAUDCHF Interest Rate Differential and Directional Bias (May 2025)
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA):
As of March 2025, the RBA cut its cash rate to 4.10% in response to easing inflation and slower growth.
Major Australian banks forecast further cuts, with rates possibly falling to 3.1% by early 2026 if disinflation continues and growth remains sluggish. Cuts are expected to occur steadily, possibly every quarter, starting May 2025.
Swiss National Bank (SNB):
The SNB has cut its key rate to 0.25% as of March 2025, its second cut this year, aiming to support growth amid global uncertainty.
Most analysts expect the SNB to hold rates at this low level for the remainder of 2025, with only a minority predicting a further cut to 0%.
Differential:
The interest rate differential strongly favors the Australian dollar (RBA 4.10% vs. SNB 0.25%), a gap of nearly 4 percentage points.
However, with the RBA expected to cut further and the SNB likely on hold, the differential will narrow over the coming quarters, reducing AUD’s relative yield advantage.
Directional Bias and Technical Outlook
Recent Price Action:
The AUD/CHF exchange rate has been volatile recently and Technical analysis shows a bearish bias
Fundamental Drivers:
Australia: Growth remains sluggish, and the RBA is expected to continue easing, which will pressure the AUD.
Switzerland: The SNB’s dovish stance is already priced in, but global risk aversion and safe-haven flows may continue to support the CHF, especially if geopolitical or trade risks intensify.
Global Sentiment: Uncertainty around global trade and tariffs could further benefit the defensive Swiss franc, while commodity-linked currencies like the AUD may remain under pressure.
Summary Table
Central Bank Policy Rate (May 2025) Outlook Impact on AUDCHF
RBA 4.10% Further cuts expected Bearish for AUD
SNB 0.25% Likely on hold Supportive for CHF
Differential ~+3.85% (AUD over CHF) Narrowing in 2025 Reduces AUD advantage
Conclusion: Directional Bias
Short-term bias: Bearish AUDCHF. Despite a wide rate differential, the narrowing gap (due to RBA cuts) and persistent global risk aversion favor further downside.
Medium-term: If the RBA accelerates cuts and global growth remains uncertain, AUDCHF could remain under pressure, with the CHF supported by its safe-haven status.
In summary: The interest rate differential still favors the AUD, but this advantage is eroding. Economic headwinds and technical signals point to a bearish outlook for AUDCHF in the near term.
AUD-CHF Bearish Wedge Pattern! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CHF has formed a
Bearish wedge pattern
And the pair is now trying
To make a bearish breakout
So IF the breakout is confirmed
We will be expecting a
Local bearish move down
Sell!
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AUD/CHF ShortBias: Bearish AUD/CHF
AUD Weakness
RBA inflation (Trimmed Mean CPI YoY) slowed from 3.3% → 2.9%
Global risk sentiment is fading due to weak U.S. data, trade tensions, and slowing growth
AUD struggles in risk-off environments and with declining China demand
CHF Strength
Safe-haven flows remain strong as markets de-risk
Swiss CPI is stable, and the SNB remains steady — CHF attractive in low-volatility regimes
CHF favored when yield-chasing slows down
📌 Technical Coordinates – Short Setup
Sell Limit Entry: 0.5400
Stop Loss: 0.5525
(Above daily structure high and broken support zone)
Take Profit 1: 0.5000
(Key psychological and historical support zone)
Take Profit 2: 0.4800
(SNB spike zone, clean sweep extension)
AUD/CHF BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/CHF is trending down which is clear from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a classical trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 0.520.
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AUD/CHF Trade Setup: Current trend is BullishThe AUD/CHF pair is currently in a bullish trend, consistently forming a series of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). Using the Fibonacci retracement technique, a potential long position can be planned based on the following trade statistics:
Pair: AUD/CHF
Trend: Bullish
Entry Point (EP): 0.53234
Stop Loss (SL): 0.53061
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.53407 (1:1)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.53580 (1:2)
Risk: 1%
Lot Size: 0.44
We will open two trades simultaneously:
The first targeting a 1:1 risk-reward ratio
The second targeting a 1:2 risk-reward ratio
This setup allows for efficient risk management while aiming for higher profit potential within the prevailing bullish momentum.
AUD/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/CHF pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 12H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.513 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDCHF: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
AUDCHF
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short AUDCHF
Entry - 0.5411
Sl - 0.5440
Tp - 0.5354
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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AUD/CHF Loonie Heist: Sniping Swiss Profits with Thief Trading!🌍 Hello Global Traders! 🌟
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Stop Loss 🛑:
📍 Place your Thief SL at the recent swing low on the 4H timeframe (0.52300) for scalping or day trades.
📍 Adjust SL based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of open orders.
Target 🎯: Aim for 0.56000.
💵 AUD/CHF is riding a bullish wave, fueled by key market drivers. ☝
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AUDCHF Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDCHF.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.530.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.518.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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AUDCHF – Sell Setup Based on Weekly Resistance RejectionMarket Outlook:
AUD/CHF has shown a clear rejection from a significant weekly resistance zone, indicating strong selling pressure from higher timeframes. This sets the context for a bearish bias moving forward.
Technical Setup:
On the 4-hour chart, price has broken below a rising trendline, signalling a potential trend shift.
Price has also closed below the 50 EMA, confirming short-term bearish momentum.
Trade Plan:
I’ll be watching for a pullback to the broken trendline or the 50 EMA zone. If price retests and shows bearish rejection (e.g., bearish engulfing, pin bar, or trendline break in lower time frame), that would be my trigger to enter short.
Risk Management:
SL will be set above the recent swing high and the resistance zone. Risk-to-reward ratio aimed at 1:1 or better depending on entry.
Conclusion:
AUDCHF is showing strong signs of bearish reversal. I’ll wait for a clean retest and rejection before entering a sell. Watching price action closely around the pullback zone.
AUDCHF Wave Analysis – 7 May 2025
- AUDCHF reversed from resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 0.5235
AUDCHF currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance area between the major resistance level 0.5375 (former multi-month low from last August), the upper daily Bollinger Band and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from February.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the previous impulse wave C of the short-term ABC correction 4 from the start of April.
Given the strength of the resistance level 0.5375, AUDCHF currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.5235 (low of the previous correction b).
AUD/CHF Trade Setup. Bullish TrendThe AUD/CHF pair is currently in a bullish trend, consistently forming a series of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). Using the Fibonacci retracement technique, a potential long position can be planned based on the following trade statistics:
Pair: AUD/CHF
Trend: Bullish
Entry Point (EP): 0.53234
Stop Loss (SL): 0.53061
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.53407 (1:1)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.53580 (1:2)
Risk: 1%
Lot Size: 0.44
We will open two trades simultaneously:
The first targeting a 1:1 risk-reward ratio
The second targeting a 1:2 risk-reward ratio
This setup allows for efficient risk management while aiming for higher profit potential within the prevailing bullish momentum.
AUDCHF Sell opportunityAccording to the AUDCHF chart it's obvious to us it has been on a downward trend to date.
So it's logical to looking for a sell position.
We have a trendline on the chart and before it, we had a powerful bearish trend. These form a flag pattern for us.
After breaking the trendline with a strong candle at 4H timeframe we can expect another bearish leg.
And our targets is the trendline collisions. (0.52479-0.52225) & (0.51731 - 0.51587)
And our last target is the daily support level. (0.50568 - 0.49949)
After that our scenario happen I'll update my analysis.
It's just my personal analysis and I have no responsibility for your trades. thanks for your attention.