CHFAUD trade ideas
AUD/CHF Trade Setup: Current trend is BullishThe AUD/CHF pair is currently in a bullish trend, consistently forming a series of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). Using the Fibonacci retracement technique, a potential long position can be planned based on the following trade statistics:
Pair: AUD/CHF
Trend: Bullish
Entry Point (EP): 0.53234
Stop Loss (SL): 0.53061
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.53407 (1:1)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.53580 (1:2)
Risk: 1%
Lot Size: 0.44
We will open two trades simultaneously:
The first targeting a 1:1 risk-reward ratio
The second targeting a 1:2 risk-reward ratio
This setup allows for efficient risk management while aiming for higher profit potential within the prevailing bullish momentum.
AUD/CHF Trade Setup. Bullish TrendThe AUD/CHF pair is currently in a bullish trend, consistently forming a series of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). Using the Fibonacci retracement technique, a potential long position can be planned based on the following trade statistics:
Pair: AUD/CHF
Trend: Bullish
Entry Point (EP): 0.53234
Stop Loss (SL): 0.53061
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.53407 (1:1)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.53580 (1:2)
Risk: 1%
Lot Size: 0.44
We will open two trades simultaneously:
The first targeting a 1:1 risk-reward ratio
The second targeting a 1:2 risk-reward ratio
This setup allows for efficient risk management while aiming for higher profit potential within the prevailing bullish momentum.
AUDCHF Sell opportunityAccording to the AUDCHF chart it's obvious to us it has been on a downward trend to date.
So it's logical to looking for a sell position.
We have a trendline on the chart and before it, we had a powerful bearish trend. These form a flag pattern for us.
After breaking the trendline with a strong candle at 4H timeframe we can expect another bearish leg.
And our targets is the trendline collisions. (0.52479-0.52225) & (0.51731 - 0.51587)
And our last target is the daily support level. (0.50568 - 0.49949)
After that our scenario happen I'll update my analysis.
It's just my personal analysis and I have no responsibility for your trades. thanks for your attention.
AUD/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/CHF pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 12H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.513 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDCHF On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for AUDCHF below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.5250
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.5282
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUD/CHF Long Trade Setup – Bullish Divergence ConfirmationEntry: Buy Stop at 0.55713
Stop Loss: 0.54924
Take Profit: 0.56514
📌 Analysis:
The chart shows a clear bullish divergence on both the 4H and 1H timeframes, indicating potential upside momentum.
The RSI is also confirming a shift in strength, supporting a possible reversal.
A break above 0.55713 (buy stop level) would confirm bullish continuation.
🎯 Trade Plan:
Entry triggers upon breakout above 0.55713
Stop loss is set below the recent swing low at 0.54924, ensuring controlled risk.
Targeting 0.56514, aligning with previous resistance levels for a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
📊 Risk Management:
Ensure proper position sizing to manage risk effectively.
Monitor price action for signs of weakness or early exit signals.
Dynamic trade management – trailing stop or partial profits at key resistance zones.
📢 Let’s see how this setup unfolds! Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. 🚀📈
AUDCHFCurrent Monetary Policy Stance
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) lowered its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.10% in February 2025, marking the first cut since 2020.
The RBA paused further easing in April, maintaining the rate at 4.10% and adopting a cautious, data-dependent approach.
The RBA’s policy remains restrictive, but with inflation easing and private demand sluggish, further gradual rate cuts are anticipated through 2025.
Switzerland (SNB):
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) cut its policy rate by 25 basis points to 0.25% in March 2025, responding to increased downside risks to inflation.
Swiss inflation remains the lowest among G10 economies, forecast at 0.6% for 2025.
The SNB is expected to keep rates at 0.25% until at least 2026, with a low risk of returning to negative rates.
Interest Rate Differential
As of April 2025, the interest rate differential between Australia and Switzerland stands at 3.85 percentage points (Australia 4.10% minus Switzerland 0.25%).
This significant positive differential typically supports the Australian dollar, as higher yields attract capital inflows into AUD-denominated assets.
Impact on AUD/CHF Exchange Rate
Higher Australian rates relative to Switzerland generally favor AUD appreciation versus CHF, as investors seek higher returns.
However, the Swiss franc’s status as a safe-haven currency can counteract this effect during periods of global uncertainty, attracting flows into CHF regardless of the rate gap.
The RBA’s gradual easing bias and the SNB’s low, stable rates suggest the differential may narrow slightly if Australia continues to cut rates, but the gap is expected to remain wide through 2025.
Summary Table
Central Bank Policy Rate (Apr 2025) Policy Direction Inflation Outlook
RBA 4.10% Gradual easing expected Easing, within target
SNB 0.25% On hold, dovish Very low, stable
Conclusion
The monetary policy differential between Australia and Switzerland is currently wide, with Australia maintaining much higher rates than Switzerland. This supports the AUD/CHF exchange rate, but the effect is moderated by the Swiss franc’s safe-haven appeal and global risk sentiment. Future moves by the RBA to cut rates may narrow the differential, but the gap is likely to remain significant in 2025.
AUDCHF Take Profit. Yes, once again we caught the right trade with the right analysis, and this marks our second TP of the day — closing the day in profit.
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AUDCHF m15 SellLet the final trade of the day come from AUDCHF.
I expect the pair to decline first to 0.52545 and then towards 0.52419 / SL 0,52861.
Adjust your risk accordingly and activate the trade.
Wishing everyone a profitable day!
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🔔 I post detailed trade ideas and daily market analysis like this every day on my TradingView profile.
👉 Follow me to get notified and read the full breakdowns.
Lingrid | AUDCHF trend Continuation Pattern. Long The price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . It hit the target zone. FX:AUDCHF is holding above the upward trend-line, forming a series of higher lows after the recent flag pattern correction. The price is consolidating above support at 0.5265 and may soon bounce from this area to resume its bullish leg. As long as buyers protect the trend-line, the structure stays bullish with eyes on the 0.5337 resistance.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 0.5265 – 0.5270
Buy trigger: bounce from trend-line
Target: 0.5337
Sell trigger: break below 0.5265
💡 Risks
Break below the trend-line could shift the short-term bias to bearish.
Watch for false breaks or low-volume bounces — confirmation is key.
Volatility may increase around CHF news or cross-pair flows.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
AUDCHFThe current head of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is Governor Michele Bullock, who commenced her term on 18 September 2023 and is serving through at least February 2025.
The current head of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) is
Martin Schlegel, Chairman of the Governing Board, Zurich
Antoine Martin, Vice Chairman of the Governing Board, Berne
Petra Tschudin, Member of the Governing Board, Zurich
Interest Rate Differential and Swiss National Bank (SNB) Policy
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has historically maintained a low or negative interest rate policy to curb the Swiss franc's strength and support the Swiss economy.
Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has been adjusting rates in response to inflation and economic conditions, often maintaining higher interest rates relative to Switzerland.
This interest rate differential typically supports the Australian dollar against the Swiss franc, as higher Australian rates attract yield-seeking capital.
However, recent global economic uncertainties and risk-off sentiment have strengthened the safe-haven Swiss franc, offsetting some of the interest rate advantage of the AUD.
The head of the Swiss National Bank, in recent years, has emphasized cautious monetary policy, aiming to prevent excessive franc appreciation while managing inflation and economic stability.
Directional Bias is Bearish to neutral with potential for further declines in 2025
Interest Rate Differential RBA rates generally higher than SNB, supporting AUD, but SNB's low/negative rates and safe-haven status of CHF create mixed pressures
SNB Policy Cautious, focused on preventing franc appreciation, maintaining low rates
Market Sentiment Risk-off environments tend to strengthen CHF, weighing on AUD/CHF
In conclusion, despite the interest rate advantage of the Australian dollar, the AUD/CHF pair faces bearish pressure due to broader market sentiment favoring the Swiss franc as a safe haven and technical indicators signaling potential downside. Traders should watch SNB communications and global risk sentiment closely for directional cues
The interest rate differential between Australia and Switzerland is a key driver of the AUD/CHF exchange rate. When the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) raises interest rates relative to the Swiss National Bank (SNB), the Australian dollar (AUD) generally appreciates against the Swiss franc (CHF), and vice versa.
How Interest Rate Differentials Influence AUD/CHF
Higher Australian Interest Rates: When the RBA sets higher interest rates compared to the SNB, it attracts foreign capital seeking better yields. This increased demand for AUD leads to its appreciation against CHF, pushing the AUD/CHF exchange rate higher
Lower Swiss Interest Rates: Switzerland traditionally maintains very low or even negative interest rates to prevent excessive appreciation of the CHF and support its economy. This low yield makes CHF less attractive relative to AUD when Australian rates are higher, further supporting AUD strength.
Carry Trade Effect: The positive interest rate gap (for example, RBA at 4.25% vs SNB at 0.5%) incentivizes traders to buy AUDCHF to earn the interest rate differential (positive swap), which can sustain demand for AUD against CHF.
Safe-Haven Status of CHF: Despite the interest rate differential, CHF often strengthens during times of global financial uncertainty due to its safe-haven status. This can offset the interest rate advantage of AUD, causing AUD/CHF to decline even if Australian rates are higher.
AUDCHF: Bulls Will Push Higher
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current AUDCHF chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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RARE / -13R / SHORT....SAS @ .5318 Rare but rewarding !
sell limit.... SAS @ 0.5318
💯 solid setup...watch this tank 📉
in engineering....we call this BUCKLE ;)
expecting min DD < 15p max RRR > 13
TP1 and SL as shown until final TP2 projected by system.
Sorry, alert is not based on TA like BoS or OB or SnR SnD PP or Fibs or even ICT etc....since designed to induce and seduce...rather based on multi-system confluence convergence and confirmations.... now system beeping let's test n see 🙈
IF u like this...would appreciate any feedback for continuous improvement...
🥂