CHFAUD trade ideas
AUD/CHF – Macro Sell Outlook Based on News & Calendar
This week, the macroeconomic calendar is notably quiet for both the Australian dollar and the Swiss franc, with no high-impact events scheduled for either currency. In such a news-light environment, currency markets tend to default to broader macro themes, risk sentiment, and the underlying characteristics of each currency.
The Swiss franc (CHF) is widely regarded as a classic safe-haven currency, attracting demand during periods of uncertainty or when global markets lack direction. Conversely, the Australian dollar (AUD) is considered a risk-sensitive, growth-oriented currency that often underperforms when there is little optimism or momentum in the global economy.
With China-related concerns still hanging over the Australian economy and no domestic news or catalysts expected to boost AUD this week, the backdrop remains unfavorable for the Australian dollar. The absence of positive drivers for AUD, combined with the CHF’s defensive nature, creates a natural bias in favor of the Swiss franc.
**In summary:**
For the week ahead, AUD/CHF is fundamentally skewed toward the downside. With no news-based reasons to buy AUD, and with CHF likely to benefit from a stable, risk-averse environment, the pair favors a sell (short) bias on macroeconomic and news calendar grounds.
AUD/CHF – Smart Money Swing Setup🔍 **AUD/CHF – Smart Money Swing Setup**
Price continues its bearish structure on H4, with lower highs and lower lows aligning with institutional order flow. M15 confirmed a bearish CHoCH and BOS with liquidity above equal highs, offering a clean Sell Limit opportunity.
We have identified a high-probability target near 0.51500 — a strong H4 demand zone aligned with previous lows and an unmitigated order block.
🎯 Risk-Reward ~1:5
No major macro news this week for AUD or CHF, providing a clean environment for price action to unfold. Wait for mitigation and confirmation before entry.
AUD/CHF:Bearish Momentum Strengthens with 3 Key Technical SignalThe AUD/CHF currency pair has recently displayed compelling bearish characteristics across both the daily and weekly timeframes, reinforcing the current downtrend and presenting a potential continuation opportunity for trend-following traders.
Technical Breakdown:
1. Daily Chart – Bearish "Falling Three Soldiers"
On the daily chart, AUD/CHF has formed a textbook "falling three soldiers" candlestick pattern. This formation consists of three consecutive bearish candles following a temporary bullish retracement, signaling strong selling pressure and a likely continuation of the prior downtrend. This pattern typically reflects increasing control by sellers and a lack of significant bullish response.
2. Weekly Chart – Bearish Engulfing Pattern
Zooming out to the weekly timeframe, the pair recently printed a bearish engulfing candle , a classic reversal signal. The bearish engulfing fully overshadows the prior bullish candle, signaling a strong shift in momentum in favor of the bears. When found at a swing high or resistance area, this pattern adds significant weight to a bearish bias.
3. Price Below 50 EMA and 200 EMA
Further confirmation comes from the moving average setup. AUD/CHF is currently trading below both the 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) . This alignment reinforces the downtrend, with the 50 EMA acting as a dynamic resistance level. The gap between price and the EMAs suggests sustained bearish pressure and little sign of bullish recovery in the near term.
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Market Sentiment and Outlook:
From a broader perspective, the Swiss Franc (CHF) often benefits from risk-off sentiment due to its status as a safe haven, while the Australian Dollar (AUD) is considered more risk-sensitive. With global risk sentiment facing headwinds from inflationary pressures, central bank uncertainty, and geopolitical tensions, AUD may remain under pressure against CHF.
Traders could look for pullbacks into resistance — such as the 50 EMA or previous support-turned-resistance levels — to consider short entries with confirmation , ideally supported by bearish candlestick patterns or momentum indicators.
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Conclusion:
With multiple layers of bearish confluence — the falling three soldiers on the daily chart, the bearish engulfing pattern on the weekly, and price action firmly below the 50 and 200 EMAs — the technical bias for AUD/CHF remains strongly bearish . Until the pair reclaims key moving averages or prints a reversal structure, the path of least resistance continues to point downward.
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AUD-CHF Pullback Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CHF made a retest
Of the strong wide horizontal
Resistance around 0.5289
And we are already seeing a
Local pullback so we are
Locally bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
On Monday
Sell!
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AUDCHF Sell Opportunity - Structure Broken, Bears in Control📉 Overview from Weekly Time Frame
AUDCHF has been held under the 14EMA and a significant weekly resistance zone for multiple weeks, mirroring the bearish control seen in NZDCHF. Sellers have maintained dominance without a successful bullish close above the EMA, reinforcing a bearish long-term bias.
📆 Daily Chart Explanation
The daily timeframe shows a clear internal structure break to the downside. Price has decisively dropped below both the 14EMA and 50EMA, confirming bearish momentum and trend shift. This setup adds confidence to look for sell continuation setups.
⏱ 4H Chart Explanation
4H chart aligns with the higher timeframes. A bearish trendline has been broken and structure has shifted lower, with price making lower highs and lower lows. Momentum is clearly favoring sellers, especially after the EMA50 breakdown.
🧭 Plan
Bias: Bearish
Entry: Wait for price to pull back into the discounted zone near broken structure or EMA confluence on 4H, with bearish confirmation
Targets:
• TP1 – Recent low
• TP2 – Next key support level on daily timeframe
Invalidation: A break and close above the 4H structure high or 50EMA would invalidate the setup
AUDCHF Will Go Down! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDCHF.
Time Frame: 15m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.526.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.524 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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AUD_CHF LOCAL SHORT|
✅AUD_CHF has retested a resistance level of 0.5290
And we are seeing a bearish reaction
With the price going down but we need
To wait for a confirmation
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
SHORT🔥
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AUD-CHF Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CHF fell down sharply
But the pair will soon hit a
Horizontal support level
Of 0.5281 from where we
Can go long with the
Take Profit of 0.5312
And the Stop Loss of 0.5273
Buy!
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AUD/CHF | Potential Downward Movement
💡 Sell Market Order @ 0.53495
🎯 Target Profit 0.52733
🛑 Stop Loss 0.53728
❌ Do not risk more than 1% of your account on each trade
Description:
Price has reacted to a 4 Hr FVG after a liquidity sweep of a major swing high. The price is moving lower now after testing a bearish order block. We are expecting a continuation to the downside toward the relative equal lows at 0.52733 mark.
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AUDCHF The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for AUDCHF below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.5349
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.5357
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SHORT AUD CHF Investment OpportunityDear traders, I am Andrea Russo, a Forex expert and market analyst. Today I want to share with you a short opportunity on the AUDCHF pair, based on solid technical analysis and current market dynamics.
📌 Entry level: 0.5374 🎯 Take Profit (TP): 0.5173 🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 0.5440
The AUDCHF has shown signs of weakness after a consolidation phase. The bearish pressure, fueled by the strength of the Swiss franc and a climate of risk aversion, could favor a decline towards the indicated target levels.
Technical indicators confirm the strategy: 🔹 Key resistance near 0.5440, invalidation level of the position. 🔹 Bearish momentum with decreasing volumes on bullish pressures. 🔹 Short-term moving average suggesting a possible continuation of the decline.
📊 We will monitor the market to confirm the movement. Always remember to apply proper risk management!
AUDCHF: Growth & Bullish Forecast
Balance of buyers and sellers on the AUDCHF pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
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AUDCHFAUDCHF
This is my ORB strategy,
Been testing it out for a while and I like to think I do it different to others
All I’m waiting for is for price to come back to retest this area
And target lows of last week.
I still think I have more work to do with this but progressing really well.
Let me know what you think
AUDCHF: Completed Consolidation 🇦🇺🇨🇭
AUDCHF completed a consolidation within a horizontal range
on a daily, breaking and closing above its resistance.
I believe that the pair may rise more and reach a historically
significant falling trend line.
Goal - 0.5386
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AUD/CHF BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
AUD/CHF SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.535
Target Level: 0.531
Stop Loss: 0.538
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 6h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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