CHFEUR trade ideas
Euro bearish guard against Swiss francAt the same time as the price hits the ceiling of the descending channel, it has formed a AB=CD pattern as well as 5 rising Elliott waves. Between wave 3 and 5, we see the formation of negative divergence in the RSI indicator. It is expected that we will see the price fall at least to the Fibonacci range of 23%.
EURCHF - Long from trendline โ
Hello traders!
โผ๏ธ This is my perspective on EURCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. I have a confluence for a long position if price makes a retracement and then rejects from trendline + liquidity zone + institutional big figure 0.98000.
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EUR/CHFA bullish butterfly spread in the context of forex trading is a strategy that isn't directly translatable from options trading since forex typically involves trading currency pairs rather than derivatives like options. However, we can draw parallels by using a combination of spot trades and/or forex options to create a similar payoff structure. Hereโs a conceptual adaptation of a bullish butterfly spread for forex trading:
Profit and Loss
**Benefits**:
- **Limited Risk**: The maximum possible loss is the net cost of entering the trades, which is limited.
- **Potential for High Reward**: If the currency pair ends up near the middle price (1.2000 in this case), the strategy can yield significant profit.
**Risks**:
- **Limited Profit Potential**: The strategyโs profit is capped.
- **Complexity**: Managing multiple positions simultaneously can be complex and may incur higher transaction costs.
Conclusion
A bullish butterfly spread in forex involves creating a combination of long and short positions in the currency pair to mimic the payoff structure of an options butterfly spread. This strategy is suitable for traders expecting a moderate rise in the currency pair's exchange rate, offering limited risk and potential reward if the rate stays near the middle strike price at expiration. This method requires careful planning and management due to its complexity.
Potential bearish drop?EUR/CHF has reacted off a resistance level which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could potentially drop to our take profit.
Entry: 0.99127
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 0.99534
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.98315
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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EURCHF"EURCHF analysis update: Price has shifted to the bullish side after breaking out of a major bearish trend and a recent bullish flag pattern. Following the Elliott Wave 12345 pattern, we've entered a buying position after a 38-50% retest and a bullish rejection. Get ready for potential upside!"
EURCHF Sell signal at the top of Channel Down.The EURCHF pair has been trading within a long-term Channel Down since the September 26 2022 Low. Today it hit the 1.5 Fibonacci extension level which on January 13 2023 formed the last Lower High at the top of the Channel Down.
As a result, this is the first long-term sell signal that has emerged since that date. We want to keep a safer, short-term perspective though and will only short towards the bottom of the current Channel Up (which is the Bullish Leg of the long-term Channel Down) and target 0.977500.
If then EURCHF closes a 1W candle below the Channel Up, we will re-sell and target Support 1 at 0.95700, similar to the March 13 2023 Low.
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How to Confirm an Elliott Wave Count.Hello fellow traders, today I would like to show you how to apply a Kennedy Channeling technique (by Jeffrey Kennedy) to identify and confirm Elliott waves with more confidence.
1. Base Channel:- Wave 3 identification
When wave 2 is complete, connect the origin of wave 1 and the end of wave 2. Draw a parallel line along the top of wave 1. As long as price action stays within this channel, you can consider price action corrective, probably wave C of a Zigzag. In a bullish trend, prices ought to break above the upper boundary line of this channel for wave 3 count to be acceptable.
2. Acceleration Channel:-Wave 4 identification.
Connect the extreme of wave 1 and the top of wave 3. Draw a parallel line starting at the bottom of wave 2. Only after prices break through the lower boundary line of the acceleration channel, could you be convinced that wave 3 is over and wave 4 is unfolding.
3. Final Channel:- Wave 5 identification
Connect the end of waves 2 and 4. Draw a parallel line along the top of wave 3 to project wave 5 target. It is quite common for wave 5 to terminate upon reaching the upper trendline of the final channel.
That's all for today. Trade wisely!
EUR/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello,Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so EUR-CHF is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 0.982.
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EURCHF - 4hrs ( Buy Trade Target Range 150 PIP ) Pair Name : EUR/CHF
๐จTime Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close
โScale Type : Large Scale
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We seek to spread understanding rather than make money
โ๏ธ Key Technical / Direction ( Long )
Type : Mid Term Swing
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Bullish Break
0.98600 Area
- Major Turn level
- Channel Break Out
- inner Choch
- week / day High Break
- Fixed Range lvn
- Pattern / Counter Break
- Quarter's High Area
Bearish Reversal
1.0000 area
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- Pattern Target
- Major Liquidity Zone
- Year High Area
- Quarter High Areas
- Fibo 161.8 %
EURCHF BREAKOUT ON DAILY RESISTANCE EUR/CHF has confirmed a bullish breakout above the daily resistance level. We anticipate a continuation of this bullish trend towards the next resistance zone identified from previous price action. It is likely we will see a minor retracement before the pair resumes its upward rally.