GBPCHF BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPCHF is currently forming a clean bullish flag pattern on the daily timeframe, signaling a potential continuation of the recent impulsive move. After a strong rally from the April lows, price has entered a controlled consolidation just below the 1.12 resistance zone. This structure is typical of a market that’s building momentum before the next leg higher. With key support around 1.10 holding firm, this area becomes a crucial demand zone, and we are now looking for a breakout from this flag formation toward the 1.15 target.
From a fundamental perspective, the British Pound is gaining traction ahead of the UK general elections, with markets pricing in more political stability and fiscal clarity. On the other side, the Swiss Franc has weakened slightly due to the Swiss National Bank's relatively dovish tone and recent interventions aimed at softening CHF strength to support exports. This divergence in policy outlook adds momentum to the bullish GBPCHF narrative. Additionally, with UK wage growth remaining sticky and inflation still above target, the Bank of England is expected to delay aggressive rate cuts, further underpinning GBP strength.
Technical conditions align perfectly with the macro backdrop. The price is respecting the bullish structure, with higher lows forming consistently. The flag resistance around 1.1150 is being tested multiple times, indicating pressure is building for a breakout. Once that resistance is breached with volume confirmation, the bullish wave could accelerate rapidly toward the previous high near 1.15. RSI and MACD also support the continuation bias, both showing signs of renewed upside momentum.
As we head into the second half of June, GBPCHF is setting up beautifully for a trend continuation move. The flag pattern provides a high-probability technical setup with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. As long as the 1.10 support holds, bulls remain firmly in control. Watch for a confirmed breakout over the 1.1150–1.12 range, which would likely trigger a sharp rally toward the 1.15 target and possibly beyond in the coming weeks.
