GBPCHF The United States has imposed a 39% tariff on Swiss goods. This news is not in the favor of the Swiss franc.SWISS FRANC / BRITISH POUND forum
GBPCHF The United States has imposed a 39% tariff on Swiss goods. This news is not in the favor of the Swiss franc.
GBPCHF Idea: GBPCHF RETAINS BEARISH MOMENTU…Data Breakdown
Factor Score Explanation
COT Positioning -2 Institutional sentiment favors CHF over GBP. Hedge funds appear to be rotating out of GBP.
Retail Sentiment -1 Retail traders are heavily long GBPCHF — contrarian signal to go short.
Seasonality -1 August has historically not been favorable for GBPCHF, especially when CHF gains on risk-off sentiment.
Trend Reading -2 Strong bearish momentum across multiple timeframes. Weekly trend is clearly down.
GDP Differential -2 UK’s GDP is stagnating while Switzerland’s economy remains relatively stable.
PMI Scores (m/s) -4 Both manufacturing and services PMIs are weak in the UK — contraction territory.
Inflation Metrics -3 UK inflation slowing, lowering BoE pressure to hike. Swiss inflation remains well-anchored.
Labor Market -1 UK employment weakening; not supportive of GBP strength.
Interest Rates -1 BoE nearing peak; SNB has hawkish tilt, narrowing the rate differential.
🧨 That’s 14 out of 15 inputs either neutral or negative for GBPCHF — this is rare alignment. This isn’t just a weak currency pair — it’s statistically and fundamentally fragile.
GBPCHF Idea: GBPCHF RETAINS BEARISH MOMENTU…🔔 Why I Like This Setup
GBPCHF is aligned across fundamental, sentiment, and technical dimensions for a bearish continuation. With a clean invalidation level and strong downside potential, this is one of the clearest risk-defined setups on the board.
📌 “Bias + Price Action + Fundamentals + Confluence = Confidence.”
🔍 What the Data Tells Us
GBPCHF stands out this week as one of the strongest bearish setups on my watchlist. The pair earns a Very Bearish rating (-17 — the lowest score among all major pairs I’m tracking.
🧩 Macro context:
UK macro data remains weak: GDP, PMI, and employment metrics are declining
Switzerland continues to benefit from safe-haven flows and SNB’s hawkish tone
Retail crowd still buying GBPCHF — a contrarian bearish signal
GBPCHF next week looks bullish. I’m looking to go long, targeting 1.09 rangeGBPCHF Idea: GBPCHF RETAINS BEARISH MOMENTU…Idea link above ^^^
GBPCHF currently has the strongest bearish bias, reflecting widespread weakness across economic, sentiment, and trend-based indicators.
From a sentiment standpoint, institutional traders are reducing exposure to the British pound, while retail traders are predominantly long — which often precedes downside moves. Seasonality doesn’t favor GBP in August either, adding weight to the bearish pressure.
The UK's fundamental backdrop is deteriorating: recent data points to slowing GDP, weak retail sales, and significant declines in both manufacturing and services PMI readings. Labor market strength is fading, and inflation is easing, which could force the Bank of England to pivot toward rate cuts or, at the very least, a pause in hikes.
In contrast, the Swiss economy remains relatively stable. Inflation is under control, and the Swiss Franc continues to attract capital due to its safe-haven reputation, especially during periods of global uncertainty. With the SNB showing no urgency to adjust rates and the UK outlook worsening, policy divergence is increasingly favoring CHF strength over GBP.
GBPCHF So what do you guys think about this pair? We are almost at the lowest point in history, any ideas where do you expect some up movement?GBPCHF TP hit...........
GBPCHF 1.06500 is weekly triple bottom + extremely huge support, under that in nothing else, so we must definitely go up from this support area becouse price has never been under 1.06500 in historyGBPCHF yum yum $$$
GBPCHF ripe n ready
shorted @ 1.0748