CHF/HUF LONG: Technical Analysis
The technical analysis of the CHFHUF (Swiss Franc/Hungarian Forint) chart highlights an interesting setup that justifies the LONG trade. Let’s look at the key factors that support this decision.
1. Long-term trend and technical support
On the 4-hour chart, we see a pattern that is stabilizing above an important support level, represented by the 200-period moving average (green line). The price action is above the long-term moving average, which suggests an uptrend. Furthermore, the presence of the 50-period moving average (blue line) and the 20-period moving average (red line) indicated on the upper part of the chart confirm that the overall trend is favorable to the LONG, especially considering that the moving averages are aligning in support of the bullish movement.
2. Stochastic Indices and Overbought/Oversold Levels
Another important point concerns the stochastic indicator, which gives us an accurate view of overbought or oversold conditions. Currently, on the 1-hour chart (indicating overbought), we are close to extreme levels, while the 4-hour and daily charts are in oversold conditions. This suggests that, although there is bearish pressure in the immediate future (1-hour chart), the bearish push could run out soon, favoring a resumption of the bullish movement on the higher timeframes.
3. Target and risk/reward ratio
In terms of target, the target identified in this trade is at 445,500, with a relatively low risk compared to the potential gain. The trade has a risk/reward ratio of 1/3, which means that the potential gain exceeds the risk taken by a large margin. This justifies the LONG entry, with a low risk and a favorable profit projection.
4. Combination of indicators
In addition to the combination of moving averages, the WaveTrend SwipeUP indicator suggests that the market momentum is changing towards a possible buy. Even if we are in an overbought phase in the short-term horizon, the accumulation on the higher timeframes is favoring the possibility of a bullish recovery.
Conclusion
In summary, I decided to enter LONG on CHFHUF as the technical setup suggests that despite a short period of overbought on hourly timeframes, the long-term signals on the 4-hour and daily charts are favorable. The trade has a good risk/reward ratio, strong technical support and the WaveTrend indicator supports a bullish movement.
