CHFJPY trade ideas
CHFJPY BUY TRADE PLAN🔥 PRIMARY TRADE PLAN – INTRA-DAY BUY (VALIDATED)
🆔 Plan ID: CHFJPY-ID-BUY-0521-01
📅 Date: May 21, 2025
📊 Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (84%)
📈 Type: Tactical Continuation Buy
📌 Status: ⚠️ Conditional – Zone Tap & Confirmation Required
📋 TRADE OVERVIEW
Plan Type Direction Confidence R:R Validity Execution Status
Intra-Day Buy 84% Up to 1:3.2 12–18H Conditional – Await OB Tap + Conf
🧠 STRUCTURAL CONTEXT
✅ D1:
Clean Higher High → Higher Low sequence since March
Price holding above key structural support @ 173.30–173.50
Present candle structure = Bullish inside bar breakout retest
✅ H4:
Recent impulse broke past 174.80 supply zone
Clean BOS with internal sweep, now retracing toward imbalance
✅ H1:
Impulse leg from 173.20 → 174.80
Retracement underway = internal FVG + demand OB alignment
📍 ENTRY ZONES
Zone Price Range Description
🟢 PEZ 174.05 – 174.25 H1 OB + FVG + 50–61.8% retracement from impulse
🟡 SEZ 173.70 – 173.90 Deeper liquidity grab zone + unmitigated OB
❗ STOP LOSS
SL: 173.55
Below structural swing + OB low
Validates loss of internal structure
🎯 TARGETS
TP Target Description
TP1 174.80 Previous high (imbalance zone)
TP2 175.30 Liquidity sweep target
TP3 175.85 D1 continuation projection level
📏 RISK:REWARD ESTIMATE
TP R:R
TP1 ~2.0:1
TP2 ~2.9:1
TP3 ~3.2:1
🧠 RISK MANAGEMENT
Max Risk: 0.5% (Intra-Day Category)
SL to BE after TP1 + H1 BOS confirmation
50% off @ TP1, 30% @ TP2, 20% trail with structure
✅ CONFIRMATION TRIGGERS REQUIRED
Criteria Status
H1 Bullish Engulfing Awaiting
Volume Spike Zone Awaiting
Session Filter London/NY only
SMT Trap Optional
⏳ PLAN VALIDITY
Valid for: 12–18 hours
Auto-expire if:
PEZ tapped with no confirmation after 4 candles
Price breaks below 173.55 without confirmation
🌐 MACRO + SENTIMENT SNAPSHOT
Factor Commentary
🇨🇭 CHF Sentiment Neutral – SNB holding policy
🇯🇵 JPY Sentiment Weak – BOJ still dovish
Risk Flow Mild Risk-On → supports CHF strength
Retail Sentiment 66% short = bullish confluence
Sentiment Score ✅ +7.2 / 10
CHFJPY Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
CHFJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 173.90 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 173.48
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 174.66
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CHFJPY Will Go Lower! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for CHFJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 174.993.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 174.502 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CHFJPY: Long Trade Explained
CHFJPY
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long CHFJPY
Entry Point - 173.57
Stop Loss - 173.03
Take Profit - 174.53
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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CHFJPY: Bullish Continuation
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the CHFJPY pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CHF/JPY SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
CHF/JPY pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is evidently rising on the 1H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 173.464 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CHFJPY: Trading Signal From Our Team
CHFJPY
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long CHFJPY
Entry - 173.86
Sl - 173.44
Tp - 174.83
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CHFJPY Sell Setup- Go for sell when setup given
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if you know how
- keep looking for sell even if price goes one more up
- similar with GJ, in any case CHFJPY has to come down
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"I Found the Code. I Trust the Algo. Believe Me, That’s Everything."
CHFJPY - Potential Buy (Day Trading)Hi Traders,
Today’s trade idea is a BUY on $CMCMARKETS:CHFJPY.
🧠 Price Action Analysis:
Price has been making consistent higher highs, showing a strong bullish trend.
Since April 2025, the market has been offering a discount — a potential pullback in the uptrend.
I’m currently waiting to see how price behaves at this discounted level. If buyers step in with strength, I’ll look to enter a long position.
Let’s see how it plays out — good luck!
CHFJPY - Potential SellBIAS: SELL
Daily Chart:
Logical Analysis:
Observation of the Price Action
Price has been reaching high price for awhile (weekly chart). The belief is that the buyers will not be willing to buy at this high price and will want a discount.
Price has slow down.
This confirm my bias
Technical Analysis: see chart
Good Luck
CHF/JPY Cup and Handle almost ready to rip through the brim The Technicals are poised nicely for upside.
I haven't seen much news on it, but I suspect it has to do with CHF being a safe haven during turbulent times.
However, the fundamentals I can think are for causing upside for the CHF are the following:
🏦 Swiss Franc's Safe-Haven Appeal Strengthens
In times of global economic uncertainty, investors are gravitating towards the Swiss Franc due to its stability and low government debt, enhancing its strength against the Yen.
📉 Japanese Yen Weakens Amid Economic Concerns
The Bank of Japan's decision to maintain low interest rates and downgrade growth forecasts has led to a depreciation of the Yen, making CHF/JPY more attractive to traders.
Cup and Handle
Price>20 and 200
Target 186.04
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CHFJPY BUY TRADE PLAN📈 CHFJPY BUY TRADE PLAN
📅 Date: May 07, 2025
📋 Trade Plan Overview
Type: Intra-Day
Direction: Buy (Counter-trend to short-term drop)
Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐ (76%)
Trade Classification: Pullback + Internal BOS + H1/OB reaction
🔍 Bias Breakdown
Daily: Bullish structure intact, higher lows holding, testing demand.
H4: Market tapped into prior OB demand, forming bullish reaction candles.
H1: Clear bullish BOS after strong selloff, divergence building.
🛠️ Execution Plan
📍 Entry Zone
🟩 Buy Zone: 173.150 – 173.350
→ H4 OB zone, liquidity pocket, mid-volume cluster
❗ Stop Loss
📉 SL: 172.720
→ Below OB + structure sweep, ~45 pips risk
🎯 Take Profit Levels
🥇 TP1: 174.200 → (1.3:1 RR, near internal high)
🥈 TP2: 175.100 → (2.2:1 RR, imbalance fill)
🥉 TP3: 175.850 → (3.3:1 RR, full swing retrace)
🧠 Risk & Management Strategy
Risk: 0.50% of equity
TP1: Secure 50% + SL to BE
TP2: Secure 30%
TP3: Trail remaining
Max Portfolio Exposure: 2%
Exit Plan:
Invalidate if 1H closes below 172.700
Avoid CHF/JPY macro releases in execution window
✅ Confirmation Triggers
H1 BOS + engulfing
Bullish divergence on M15/M30
Volume spike + RSI > 50 post tap
Ideal Entry: Frankfurt–London overlap
📆 Plan Validity
Valid Until: May 08, 2025 (Tokyo close)
If price trades below OB and closes bearish → Plan void
⚠️ Invalidation
1H close below 172.700
Break of higher time frame bullish structure
Unexpected JPY macro or bond volatility spike
📊 Sentiment & Context
CHF Strength: Neutral
JPY: Momentarily overbought
COT: CHF balanced, JPY heavy long
Cross-Market: DXY steady, VIX under 17 → risk-on
🔎 STATUS
🟡 Awaiting Confirmation
→ Price has tapped zone, but H1 engulfing & volume conditions not fully triggered yet.
→ Do not enter until candle and volume structure confirm during EU session.
🧾 Final Trade Summary
CHFJPY has reacted cleanly to a higher time frame OB and swept local liquidity before showing internal bullish signs on H1. All three time frames are contextually aligned for a tactical long entry with a clear invalidation zone and tight RR. Confirmation pending; high-precision entry required during high-volume hours.
→ Monitor price action closely at 173.150–173.350 zone for a trigger.
CHFJPY Wave Analysis – 15 May 2025
- CHFJPY reversed from the resistance level 176.00
- Likely to fall to support level 173.00
CHFJPY currency pair recently reversed from the pivotal resistance level 176.00, which has been repeatedly reversing the price since November.
The resistance level 176.00 was strengthened by the upper daily Bollinger Band.
Given the strength of the resistance level 176.00 and the strongly bullish yen sentiment seen today, CHFJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 173.00 (low of the previous correction 2).