CHFJPY trade ideas
CHFJPY Smart Money Concepts (SMC)In modern trading, especially within the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) methodology, terms such as Order Blocks, Imbalances, Breaker Blocks, and Inverted FVG (Fair Value Gaps) are widely used. Below is a detailed explanation of each:
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1. Order Blocks
An Order Block is a zone on the chart where large institutional investors have left "traces" of their operations, meaning a place where there was a concentration of buying or selling activity. It is typically the last candle before a significant price movement.
Bullish Order Block: The last bearish candle before a strong upward movement.
Bearish Order Block: The last bullish candle before a strong downward movement.
How to use:
Price often returns to order blocks before continuing the trend.
Order blocks are used as potential entry or exit zones.
Example:
If the market is falling and a sharp reversal upwards begins, the last red candle before this rise is the bullish order block.
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2. Imbalances
An Imbalance is a zone on the chart where demand and supply were sharply uneven, creating "gaps" in the market structure.
These zones are often referred to as FVG (Fair Value Gaps)—an area between the wicks of the first and last candles of three consecutive candles, where the middle candle does not overlap with the first or third.
It is believed that the market tends to fill these gaps, meaning the price often returns to these zones before continuing its movement.
How to use:
Imbalances can serve as a reference for identifying potential retracement zones.
Enter a position when the gap is filled.
Example:
In an uptrend, if the price rises sharply, creating a gap between the wicks of candles, traders can expect the price to return to this area.
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3. Breaker Blocks
A Breaker Block is a zone that forms when the market breaks a key support or resistance level and begins moving in the opposite direction. They appear where an order block was "broken."
Breaker Blocks indicate that the previously dominant trend has been broken, and the market is preparing for a new movement.
They can also be used to filter valid order blocks.
How to use:
After an order block is broken, the former support/resistance zone can serve as an entry point after a retest.
Used to identify trend reversals.
Example:
In an uptrend, if the price breaks below the previous bullish order block, it becomes a bearish breaker block.
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4. Inverted FVG (Inverted Fair Value Gap)
An Inverted FVG is a zone where the market provides excessive liquidity in the opposite direction, creating an opportunity for "smart money" to trap traders in the wrong movement.
An Inverted FVG occurs when the market "absorbs" liquidity, making traders believe the trend is continuing, but it is actually a manipulation before a reversal.
It is used to analyze price manipulation and find entry points against the "trap."
How to use:
Enter after the price has covered the FVG zone and confirmed a reversal.
Inverted FVGs often appear in zones that collect stop losses.
Example:
In an uptrend, the price sharply breaks a resistance zone (creating an FVG) but then reverses back and moves downward.
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Conclusion
Order Blocks and Breaker Blocks help identify zones where large players may enter the market.
Imbalances highlight areas where the price might return to balance demand and supply.
Inverted FVGs help traders avoid traps set by large players and enter the market more strategically.
These elements are especially useful for traders following SMC principles, as they provide a deeper understanding of the actions of major market participants.
SELL CHFJPY - Selling JPY pairs, JPY strength to continueTrader Tom, a technical analyst with over 15 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
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CHFJPYThe potential sell scenario for the pair this week:
A strong opportunity to sell CHFJPY from the current levels.
CHFJPY Opportunity Presenting Itself Just have to be patientAs we navigate these pairs, it’s important that we take our time to thoughtfully develop our strategy. Currently, our time frames are aligned; however, we do need to see the price on the 4-hour chart turn bearish. This movement will help guide the price back to the daily area of interest (AOI).
Once we observe the price shifting back to a bullish trend, we will patiently await a pullback on the 4-hour chart. This will provide us an opportunity to analyze the lower time frames for a sign of strength (SOS) before proceeding with our trade. It’s essential to remember that exercising patience often yields the best results, and a more measured approach can lead to success.
Preparing chfjpy sellFrom weekly timeframe to 4hr timeframe and wait for breakouts and pullback of that my minor zone.
CHFJPY Wave AnalysisThe trend seems to have ended in this timeframe and we should wait for the start of a downtrend
Trade Entry: Range 171.150
Stop Loss: 172.750
Take Profit: 167.540
This offer has a risk/reward ratio of around 2.5
Make sure to involve less than 2-3% of your total capital and stick to money management principles
This is just a suggestion for consideration
CHFJPY - Downside move !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on CHFJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect bearish price action after price filled the imbalance and rejected from bearish OB.
Fundamental news: Upcoming week on Thursday (GMT+2) we will see results of Interest Rate on CHF. News with high impact on currency.
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CHF JPYCHF JPY is making higher highs and higher lows and is currently on trend line. A long position can be considered with SL below last higher low.
CHF/JPY confirmation with entering ascending channelHi dear investors, our next opportunity that we would look into is the CHF/JPY, with it's past attemp to touch the strong support level , there has been a lot of support which came from buyers which pushed the pair into an ascending channel, the lower Strong Support level was not able to be touched this is why we are seing a trend reversal.
The RSI recently got out of the 30 level and we would set up our targets into the upper level of the RSI at the 51 and 60 marks.
Entry : 169.550
Target 1 : 170.630
Target 2 : 171.810
SL level : 168.155
When target 2 is reached we would look for additional confirmations so we can set up our 3rd target at the level of - 174.06
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
CHFJPY trade ideaAfter giving us a double bottom rejection to change direction. we had a break of structure and a break above a key zone followed by a retest to confirm to us a change of direction. we have a retest to a key zone and a rejection. anticipating a further movement to the upside
CHFJPY: Bearish wave of Channel Down unfolding.CHFJPY is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.014, MACD = -1.180, ADX = 47.694) as it is more than halfway on the new bearish wave of the 5 month Channel Down. Having crossed under both the 1D MA50 and MA200, the 1D RSI appears to technically be on a level much like the July 25th rebound. This indicates that we are on an ideal sell entry. Short and target (TP = 164.300) the full -7.43% extension (the decline of the July-Aug bearish wave).
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chfjpy longchfjpy is long , as it has made a bullish divergence on 4h and a retracemnet for the bearish really is pending. so we aim fro the target of the fib 0.5 and hope for the best inshallha
CHFJPY BUY SETUPLooks like Yen is due for a correction after so much bullish momentum into yen which caused JPY pairs to dump across the board. Bullish Morning star formed at this level of demand which is a solid sign of more upside coming. I'll be looking for a buy opportunity on the pull back!
CHFJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring CHFJPY for a selling opportunity around 170 zone, CHFJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 170 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
CHFJPY in a Clear Bearish TrendCHFJPY in a Clear Bearish Trend
Since November 20, 2024, CHFJPY has begun a clear bearish wave, dropping nearly 700 pips in just two weeks.
Last week, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) reported higher inflation data. With this increase in inflation, it is likely that the BOJ will keep its promise to hike rates on December 19th.
In simple terms, the market is anticipating a rate hike from the BOJ at this meeting, which is why JPY continues to strengthen.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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CHFJPY - 1H - Bullish Reversal CHFJPY has formed a bullish divergence on 1H timefame. Take entry on bullish side once last lower high is broken.
CHFJPY1-Seasonality: In Seasonals we can observe the CHFJPY pair remains Bullish.
2-Fundamentals(Exogenous Factors): Real GDP, IR Differential, BOP Relative, Stock Relative all are mix to Decreasing
3-Fundamentals(Endogenous Factors): for JPY factors are Increasing and CHF endogenous factors are mix to increasing.
4-Forex Conditional Scoring: Data is mix or mix to decreasing for both CHF & JPY
5-Global LEI & GDP: is overall increasing
Overall as we can say JPY index is in Buy and CHF index in sell, so we can expect increasing trend in CHFJPY.
CHFJPY - Bearish TrendCHFJPY will start Bearish Trend as Bearish Divergence is formed?
Entry, Stop Loss & Take Profit are mentioned.
CHF Fundamentals: SNB is reducing policy rates since March 2024, SNB rate cut as from 1.25% to 1% recently may result in weak CHF.
JPY Fundamentals: BOJ is increasing policy rates since March 2024, which is causing continuous strength in JPY.
CHFJPY - Short IdeaThe exogenous and endogenous factors are decreasing for the pair CHFJPY. However, CHFJPY's leading economic indicators are increasing. COT report RSI also shows that net positions are decreasing for CHF and net positions are increasing for JPY. Interest rate differential is also negative for the pair CHFJPY as IR for CHF decreases and increases for JPY.
Technically CHFPY is in a bearish trend making HHs and HLs and currently, it is at a strong Daily Support level. Wait for the retracement to fib 0.382 or 0.5 level to enter the trade. Place the stop loss on the previous LH.
CHF/JPY BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are going long on the CHF/JPY with the target of 172.401 level, because the pair is oversold and will soon hit the support line below. We deduced the oversold condition from the price being near to the lower BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is red and gives us a counter-signal.
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