CHFJPY Technical and Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view the price will fall to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
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CHFJPY trade ideas
CHFJPY BUY?Market is reacting to daily area on Daily time frame. Based on 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal.
We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor
CHFJPY BUY TRADE PLAN🔥 CHF/JPY TRADE PLAN 🔥
📅 Date: April 28, 2025
🔖 Plan Type: Intra-Day – Trend Continuation
Trade Plan Overview
Type Direction Confidence R:R Status
Intra-Day Buy ⭐⭐⭐⭐ 81% 3.1:1 Awaiting Tap
Guidance: Prioritize the Primary Buy Zone entry. Strong continuation bias supported by H4 structure, sentiment alignment, and volume breakout retest.
Total allowed risk: 0.5% of account.
Primary Trade Plan: Trend Continuation – Buy
📈 Market Bias & Trade Type
Bias: Bullish
Trade Type: Trend Continuation
🔰 Confidence Level
⭐⭐⭐⭐ (81%)
Reason: H4 bullish OB + Retest of Breakout Level + H1 bullish structure + Sentiment Score: +7/10
OB: 35%
Structure: 30%
Volume: 16%
📌 Status
Awaiting Tap
📍 Entry Zones
🟩 Primary Buy Zone: 172.90 – 173.10 (H4 OB, demand retest)
🟧 Secondary Buy Zone: 172.50 – 172.70 (breakout retest zone)
❗ Stop Loss
172.10 (Below H4 OB, +1.5x ATR buffer, ~80 pips risk)
🎯 Take Profit Targets
🥇 TP1: 174.80 (~170 pips | 2.1R)
🥈 TP2: 175.90 (~280 pips | 3.5R)
🥉 TP3: 176.80 (~390 pips | 5.0R) (Swing)
📏 Risk:Reward
2.1:1 (TP1)
3.5:1 (TP2)
5.0:1 (TP3)
🧠 Management Strategy
Risk 0.5% of $
SL to Breakeven after TP1
Take 50% at TP1, 30% at TP2, trail 20% to TP3
Full Exit if H4 BOS (bearish)
Avoid holding through major CHF or JPY news.
⚠️ Confirmation Criteria
H1 bullish engulfing or strong wick rejection in zone
Volume spike on H1/M30
Best entry during London Open – NY Open overlap.
⏳ Validity
Valid for 2 days (till April 30, 2025)
❌ Invalidation:
Full bearish BOS on H4 below 172.10
DXY/Yen strength surge due to sudden macro event
🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot
COT: CHF Neutral / JPY Mildly Bearish
DXY: Mildly Bearish
Retail: 61% Short CHFJPY (contrarian bullish bias)
Cross-Pair Check: GBPJPY bullish, USDJPY bullish (confirming)
Macro: No major CHF/JPY high-impact news next 48H
Sentiment Score: +7/10
Historical: CHFJPY continuation setups post-retest have 70%+ success in last 6 months.
📋 Final Trade Summary
Elite bullish continuation setup. Structure, volume, sentiment all aligned. Tactical entries only at precision zones. Risk tight and managed per protocol.
CHFJPY My Opinion! SELL!
My dear friends,
CHFJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 174.67 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 173.76
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Forget Candlestick Patterns -Who is in control BUYERS or SELLERSAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
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CHF_JPY GROWTH AHEAD|LONG|
✅CHF_JPY made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Around 172.500 and we are
Already seeing a powerful
Rebound so we are bullish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further move up
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CHFJPY – Daily Timeframe (D1) Technical & Fundamental AnalysisCHFJPY – Daily Timeframe (D1) Technical & Fundamental Analysis
On the daily timeframe, CHFJPY is currently in a consolidation phase, creating uncertainty in the market following a strong uptrend over the past few weeks. During this period of consolidation, we have identified several key levels that could potentially influence the market direction in the coming days.
The major key support level is at 166.600, which serves as a crucial area of interest. If price breaks below this level, it could signal a potential shift in market direction and trigger further downside movement.
Within the consolidation range, we also identified minor key levels near the current price:
171.200 – considered our minor key support
172.700 – considered our minor key resistance
Our strategy focuses on the current liquidity zone. Since price is moving within this range, we are waiting for a clear formation of liquidity. If this occurs, we anticipate a breakout above the resistance level and will place a Buy Stop entry at 172.870, with:
Stop Loss (SL) at 171.430, below the liquidity zone
Take Profit (TP) at 176.460, targeting the next minor resistance level
Fundamental Insights:
Fundamentals Supporting the Swiss Franc (CHF):
Strong Economic Data: If Switzerland releases stronger-than-expected economic growth, higher inflation figures, or positive employment data, this could increase investor confidence in the Swiss Franc and drive its value higher against the Yen.
Safe-Haven Demand: The Swiss Franc is widely recognized as a safe-haven currency. During periods of global uncertainty or financial market volatility, investors typically seek the CHF for stability. Increased global risk sentiment could push CHF higher versus JPY.
Fundamentals Pressuring the Japanese Yen (JPY):
Low Interest Rates & Dovish Monetary Policy: The Japanese Yen continues to face pressure due to Japan’s long-standing ultra-loose monetary policy, including low or negative interest rates and the Bank of Japan’s ongoing asset purchase program. Without significant policy tightening, the Yen is likely to remain weak.
Economic Headwinds: Any signs of slowing economic growth in Japan—such as disappointing GDP data, rising unemployment, or persistently low inflation—could further weaken the JPY, enhancing the bullish case for CHFJPY.
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. As always, wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage your risk wisely and trade what you see, not what you feel.
CHF/JPY BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
CHF/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 174.668
Target Level: 172.727
Stop Loss: 175.944
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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THIS IS CHF/JPY ANALYSIS As we can see from 1 day time frame market overall is uptrend and it's making a pullback to the downside to clear imbalance near a demand level.we will wait for a change in the character in order to start looking for long opportunity in small time frame for entry by targeting 1 day swing high. Trade safe
CHFJPY | 01.05.2025SELL 174.800 | STOP 176.500 | TAKE 172.700 | Japan released data on 1 May 2025 and left the key interest rate unchanged at 0.05%. This expectedly boosted the rates of related currencies. The Swiss franc will stand out in this position in our opinion. We expect multidirectional price movement in a range above the 174.000 level. Then we are likely to observe a decline in the indicator to the lower boundary of local support.
CHFJPY Wave Analysis – 5 May 2025
- CHFJPY reversed from the resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 174.00
CHFJPY currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the pivotal resistance level 175.85 (which has been steadily reversing the price from November) and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the previous sharp upward impulse wave (3) from the end of April.
Given the strength of the resistance level 175.85, CHFJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 174.00.
Great trade Loving this set up great run.resident Donald Trump says tariffs on Chinese imports to the United States will eventually be lowered, after both Beijing and Washington appeared to soften their positions about potential trade talks. “At some point, I’m going to lower them because otherwise you could never do business with them,” he said in an interview with NBC’s “Meet the Press with Kristen Welker,” which taped on Friday. “They want to do business very much
Nice Idea on a chartI look for 3pin head and shoulders on a chart,
Optimism about a de-escalation in the global trade conflict helped the US Dollar (USD) despite disappointing data releases. US President Donald Trump reported undergoing trade talks with South Korea, Japan and India. He also claimed that there’s a “very good” chance of clinching a deal with China, yet added that any pact with Beijing has to be in US terms. At the same time, a Beijing-backed outlet said on Thursday that United States officials have contacted their Chinese counterparts for talks. Tensions between China and the US persist, but optimism led Thursday’s price action.